Embarrassed-Crazy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$127

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

90.3%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$29.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$244

Open exposure

$959

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 08-18 06:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 95% +$464

Other

18% 57% -$1,064

Sports

14% 75% +$217

Politics

7% 91% +$202

Tech

2% 100% +$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+888	$764	94¢	$830	+$67	06-02 07:32
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No		+222	$195	58¢	$129	-$66	06-02 07:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	3	$3.9K	1,984	1,984	+0	No	+$95	03-29 06:36
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$2.8K	2,814	0	+2,814	No	+$14	01-11 05:51
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	4	$2.3K	2,554	0	+2,554	No	+$207	04-02 11:09
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	1	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$120	02-02 07:58
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	1	$1.2K	1,243	0	+1,243	No	+$9	03-02 06:18
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	1	$1000	1,008	0	+1,008	No	+$8	02-02 07:09
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$861	1,240	0	+1,240	Yes	+$379	06-08 07:39
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$821	855	0	+855	No	+$34	05-08 06:23
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$765	777	777	+0	Yes	-$307	06-26 07:18
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$764	888	0	+888	open	—	06-02 07:32
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	3	$745	777	0	+777	No	+$32	05-06 20:17
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	15	$647	666	0	+666	Yes	+$19	05-07 04:46
will belgium be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003085	1	$555	617	0	+617	No	+$62	06-25 05:47
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$546	549	0	+549	No	+$2	02-26 04:27
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$530	588	0	+588	No	+$58	06-01 08:42
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$500	517	0	+517	Yes	+$17	01-11 05:51
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	1	$500	503	0	+503	No	+$3	02-02 07:08
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	1	$491	666	0	+666	Spain	+$175	07-10 06:14
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$444	1,220	0	+1,220	No	-$444	07-20 08:40
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	1	$444	473	0	+473	No	+$29	03-29 06:50
trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	1	$444	454	0	+454	No	+$10	03-29 06:37
Will Malaga CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?	3	$417	444	0	+444	Yes	-$417	05-07 17:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$399	438	0	+438	Yes	+$39	04-12 05:56
Will Portugal be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$395	460	0	+460	Yes	+$64	06-25 05:55
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	1	$394	505	0	+505	No	+$111	06-25 05:52
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$300	315	0	+315	Yes	+$15	01-11 05:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	3	$250	333	0	+333	No	+$83	06-02 12:48
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$224	277	0	+277	Yes	+$53	06-02 07:30
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	1	$222	287	0	+287	No	+$65	03-29 06:37
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$222	230	0	+230	No	+$8	04-05 04:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 06:19:25	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	276	71¢	$196	0x12084a…
07-20 08:40:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,220	36¢	$444	0x4ee747…
07-10 06:15:56	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	444	40¢	$178	0x7d81b6…
07-10 06:14:14	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	666	74¢	$491	0xde3f60…
07-03 08:23:31	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	306	16¢	$49	0x1c5a4d…
07-03 08:22:43	Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	445	11¢	$49	0x7f92b9…
07-03 08:22:26	Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x7a3e84…
07-03 08:22:02	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	3,267	1¢	$49	0xa8ca9f…
07-03 08:21:49	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0xac38f8…
07-03 08:21:35	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x4b1867…
07-03 08:21:20	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	264	19¢	$50	0x28419c…
07-03 08:20:49	Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	1,020	5¢	$50	0x68cf59…
07-03 08:20:25	Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0xe3d571…
06-26 07:23:05	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	264	84¢	$222	0x3f09b2…
06-26 07:18:47	Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	777	29¢	$229	0xc9e57c…
06-25 05:55:44	Will Portugal be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	460	86¢	$395	0x0089aa…
06-25 05:52:10	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	505	78¢	$394	0x95c09c…
06-25 05:49:40	will south korea be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003055	Yes	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0xfbe96f…
06-25 05:49:26	will south korea be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003055	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x74d01e…
06-25 05:47:47	will belgium be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003085	No	BUY	617	90¢	$555	0x68126d…
06-08 07:39:15	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	352	68¢	$239	0xa08712…
06-02 12:48:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	103	75¢	$77	0x283e7c…
06-02 07:35:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x3e5e7a…
06-02 07:32:19	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	888	86¢	$764	0xe6a4cb…
06-02 07:30:37	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	277	81¢	$224	0x102eca…
06-02 07:25:22	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	222	77¢	$171	0xc3f890…
06-02 07:25:08	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	222	88¢	$195	0xae37c0…
06-02 07:22:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xe450f8…
06-02 07:22:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	220	75¢	$165	0x8b0217…
06-01 08:42:16	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	293	90¢	$264	0x562240…
06-01 06:56:41	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0xba47ab…
05-26 10:25:30	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0xaa5ac7…
05-26 10:25:30	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xa38b2a…
05-26 08:07:46	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x2da675…
05-26 08:07:32	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0xcbb060…
05-26 07:53:04	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x88257a…
05-26 07:41:29	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0x3b4ae1…
05-26 07:11:13	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	70¢	$16	0x88a20c…
05-26 07:03:33	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	250	90¢	$226	0x0dae55…
05-26 07:02:10	Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	777	69¢	$536	0xe5a2da…
05-26 06:59:57	Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	735	70¢	$514	0xe62e02…
05-08 06:24:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	51	83¢	$42	0xde882e…
05-08 06:23:23	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	855	96¢	$821	0xcc5fa3…
05-07 22:11:56	Will Racing de Santander achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	153	98¢	$149	0x9b202f…
05-07 17:57:37	Will Malaga CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	378	94¢	$355	0xb89ed0…
05-07 12:52:27	Will Malaga CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x44cd7b…
05-07 04:51:54	Will Malaga CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xb81cb6…
05-07 04:51:17	Will SD Eibar achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xb724a4…
05-07 04:50:58	Will Burgos CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xcb11a9…
05-07 04:50:51	Will Burgos CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc6733b…
05-07 04:46:34	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x225d8e…
05-07 04:46:25	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xaa2eb2…
05-07 04:46:25	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x77c839…
05-07 04:46:15	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xc411ee…
05-07 04:46:15	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9d4815…
05-07 04:46:15	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x3c3457…
05-07 04:46:04	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xbe7f4c…
05-07 04:46:02	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd3c054…
05-07 04:45:59	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xd84fcb…
05-07 04:45:52	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0xe514f3…
05-07 04:45:52	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xe189af…
05-07 04:45:52	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	226	97¢	$220	0xe0c95c…
05-07 04:45:52	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xa549f0…
05-07 04:45:52	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x79cd95…
05-07 04:45:52	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x1d000b…
05-06 20:17:21	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	453	96¢	$435	0xa8c981…
05-06 20:15:34	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	299	96¢	$286	0xd29471…
05-06 16:19:21	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x64e020…
05-06 16:14:39	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0x627240…
05-06 15:35:25	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x18fa57…
05-06 15:32:51	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x55bc6a…
05-06 15:07:25	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xe51305…
04-19 06:05:22	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	BUY	215	99¢	$214	0x0b0aa6…
04-12 05:56:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	438	91¢	$399	0x9fd178…
04-09 02:46:31	bun pau bay 2026 04 11 bay	Yes	BUY	107	72¢	$77	0xe7b6b2…
04-09 02:46:13	bun pau bay 2026 04 11 spread home 1pt5	FC Bayern München	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2e9c04…
04-09 02:45:35	bun pau bay 2026 04 11 pau	No	BUY	141	90¢	$127	0xd2e354…
04-05 04:52:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	230	97¢	$222	0xe89813…
04-05 04:50:17	sea lec ata 2026 04 04 lec	No	BUY	93	82¢	$77	0x4820b7…
04-02 11:09:55	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	BUY	1,764	91¢	$1,606	0xd283e5…
04-02 11:05:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0xf2a600…
04-02 10:26:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$11	0x59150f…
04-02 09:46:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xfbce9a…
04-02 09:31:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	90	94¢	$85	0xdf6564…
04-02 07:38:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	BUY	444	94¢	$417	0x58e801…
04-02 05:45:07	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	BUY	333	94¢	$313	0xd63c4d…
04-02 05:39:55	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	177	97¢	$172	0x968762…
03-29 06:54:40	will iran strike yemen in march	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0x0f6135…
03-29 06:53:58	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	206	96¢	$199	0x70c264…
03-29 06:50:46	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	BUY	473	94¢	$444	0xbcb723…
03-29 06:50:04	pakistan military action against kabul by march 31	No	BUY	243	91¢	$222	0xc7be06…
03-29 06:48:08	will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 322	Yes	BUY	35	62¢	$22	0x48d15c…
03-29 06:47:52	will starmer say europe during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0xc5702b…
03-29 06:47:40	will starmer say nhs during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x39e11d…
03-29 06:47:16	will starmer say war during the next prime ministers questions event 878	Yes	BUY	188	94¢	$177	0xc4f0dd…
03-29 06:46:14	will virgin river season 7 be the 2 global netflix show this week 298	No	BUY	116	96¢	$111	0xc6e7fe…
03-29 06:37:46	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	287	77¢	$222	0x357531…
03-29 06:37:34	trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	No	BUY	454	98¢	$444	0x95afa3…
03-29 06:36:58	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	1,984	100¢	$1,982	0x0a8009…
03-06 14:34:51	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	207	96¢	$199	0xe3cad2…