Realized P&L
-$93.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$533
Hit rate
48.3%
Resolved
7,020
Trades
346,617
lifetime
Volume
$20.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$17.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 07-13 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
40% 44% $-39,109
Crypto
30% 50% $-24,154
Sports
28% 38% $-29,990
Politics
2% 33% $-290
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 5017 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +3,501 $1,709 60¢ $2.1K +$374 07-13 06:21
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No -2,175 $-1,940 90¢ $-1968 $-29 07-12 14:08
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +3,749 $1,210 45¢ $1.7K +$479 07-12 21:26
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +5,087 $2,044 28¢ $1.4K $-645 06-22 16:23
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +2,281 $1,369 60¢ $1.4K $-12 07-13 09:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,040 $-1,415 60¢ $-1234 +$181 07-13 06:18
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,241 $1,467 20¢ $1.1K $-393 07-01 08:16
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +1,438 $713 50¢ $726 +$13 07-08 05:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -2,669 $-427 20¢ $-520 $-94 07-13 15:53
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -814 $-683 62¢ $-505 +$178 06-28 14:27
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1,023 $502 46¢ $466 $-37 07-13 10:49
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +587 $429 77¢ $453 +$24 06-21 17:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +409 $340 97¢ $397 +$57 07-09 21:58
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +734 $372 50¢ $370 $-3 07-11 18:59
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +988 $438 34¢ $341 $-97 06-20 16:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +534 $288 60¢ $318 +$30 06-24 23:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -10,216 $-559 $-250 +$309 07-09 04:26
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,630 $821 10¢ $250 $-571 07-07 06:55
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +2,029 $460 12¢ $233 $-227 06-02 17:48
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes -354 $-277 63¢ $-224 +$53 06-06 07:41
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +551 $267 40¢ $223 $-44 07-09 12:34
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +221 $189 94¢ $207 +$18 05-31 03:52
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes -7,778 $-241 $-206 +$35 05-30 13:43
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +378 $159 55¢ $206 +$47 07-13 11:43
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +1,954 $194 11¢ $205 +$11 07-05 10:33
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,014 $195 18¢ $177 $-18 07-04 11:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +6,008 $316 $177 $-139 07-13 06:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +372 $187 44¢ $162 $-25 07-13 18:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +375 $142 42¢ $159 +$18 07-09 22:11
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes +221 $179 69¢ $152 $-26 06-03 00:05