Monstrous-Dew 0x5b6331…c911a4
whale cold 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.18M
Unrealized P&L
+$258
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved
198,706
Trades
836,884
lifetime
Volume
$55.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$197.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 10-28 20:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 273 days
Categories
Other
61% 46% -$672,790
Crypto
19% 46% -$770,321
Sports
18% 42% -$589,364
Politics
2% 34% -$122,738
Tech
0% 34% -$24,210
Pop-Culture
0% 31% -$1,634
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 21044 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +257,265 $26,028 15¢ $38.2K +$12,175 10-22 20:48
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +114,224 $42,089 32¢ $36.0K -$6,108 10-27 13:08
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +61,708 $22,793 32¢ $19.4K -$3,355 10-27 13:09
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +51,872 $14,020 29¢ $14.8K +$789 10-27 04:15
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +12,384 $10,144 99¢ $12.3K +$2,129 10-23 20:10
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -10,026 -$8,272 97¢ $-9741 -$1,469 05-16 07:50
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -8,390 -$4,802 90¢ $-7593 -$2,791 09-22 00:33
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +7,112 $5,661 78¢ $5.6K -$89 08-26 10:44
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +14,945 $2,081 26¢ $4.0K +$1,880 10-24 23:07
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +99,037 $4,877 4¢ $3.9K -$965 10-28 17:09
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +22,418 $3,828 16¢ $3.6K -$208 10-24 03:45
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +67,527 $10,839 5¢ $3.4K -$7,463 10-13 15:01
will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from july 21 No +3,501 $981 84¢ $3.0K +$1,977 08-20 01:14
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18,538 $2,901 15¢ $2.9K -$46 10-28 05:38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +16,381 $2,769 17¢ $2.7K -$58 10-24 03:37
Knicks vs. Bulls Knicks +3,312 $2,418 72¢ $2.4K -$17 10-28 19:45
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +7,421 $2,248 32¢ $2.4K +$123 10-27 15:42
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +13,173 $3,967 18¢ $2.3K -$1,662 10-28 18:17
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +3,434 $1,526 66¢ $2.3K +$757 10-10 16:20
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,104 -$592 43¢ $2.2K +$2,784 10-27 12:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,290 $1,212 50¢ $2.1K +$912 10-28 17:24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? Yes +4,582 $2,173 44¢ $2.0K -$135 10-28 20:15
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +13,769 $1,731 15¢ $2.0K +$286 10-26 19:25
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +3,653 $1,894 52¢ $1.9K +$24 10-26 16:14
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2,832 $1,808 66¢ $1.9K +$75 10-27 20:41
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +3,932 $2,232 48¢ $1.9K -$364 10-26 21:03
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -1,861 -$1,822 98¢ $-1815 +$7 08-21 22:00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +22,574 $1,704 8¢ $1.7K -$11 10-23 08:45
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,633 $489 100¢ $1.6K +$1,136 10-28 05:25
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,446 $1,624 46¢ $1.6K -$56 10-21 17:50