Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$561,458
$2,357 in 24h
Trades
1,373
Unique wallets
322
Liquidity
$18,335
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-11 20:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.9¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $301.8K
vs crowd: 18% YES on $498.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $67.6K | $348.8K | $281.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 44 | $2.6K | $35.4K | $32.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 93 | $14.1K | $19.7K | $5.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 170 | $7.0K | $2.7K | +$4.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $52.6K | $249.2K | $196.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $1.4K | $1.1K | +$292 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | $107 | $12.5K | $12.4K |
| Median | 28 | $57 | $2.8K | $2.8K |
| Below median | 29 | $511 | $2.2K | $1.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 13 | $11 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 30 | $1.2K | $12.4K | $11.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $15.6K | $47.2K | $31.6K |
| unranked | 180 | $19.9K | $77.9K | $58.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | +304,921 | $249,199 | $249,199 | 86 | 07-02 21:44 |
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +275,253 | $52,092 | $52,092 | 93 | 06-23 18:02 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | +81,444 | $15,515 | $15,515 | 20 | 07-11 06:54 |
| Juicy-Inlaws 0xf12d…0272 | Yes | +63,537 | $10,642 | $14,834 | 9 | 07-01 22:17 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | +55,945 | $45,338 | $45,338 | 44 | 06-20 07:29 |
| Frightened-Trouble 0x7f3c…5613 | No | +32,939 | $26,022 | $26,022 | 1 | 06-01 17:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x94d0…4177 | Yes | +29,241 | $6,000 | $6,000 | 2 | 06-26 06:12 |
| Runny-Silly 0x7bc7…3976 | No | +13,642 | $11,000 | $11,000 | 4 | 06-26 06:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x2158…fe65 | No | +10,359 | $8,076 | $8,076 | 2 | 06-19 08:00 |
| Villainous-Inlay 0x8b98…537e | Yes | +6,778 | $1,155 | $1,155 | 8 | 06-10 21:48 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +5,161 | $565 | $2,103 | 51 | 07-10 23:36 |
| Mundane-Bungalow 0x1405…9db0 | No | +4,214 | $3,219 | $6,802 | 16 | 07-10 20:11 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +3,311 | $463 | $463 | 51 | 07-11 06:54 |
| Accurate-Faith 0x8b87…3e8d | No | +3,285 | $2,911 | $2,911 | 2 | 07-07 03:28 |
| Jittery-Crayfish 0x56ff…96ba | Yes | +3,000 | $210 | $210 | 1 | 07-10 20:11 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +2,405 | $1,988 | $1,988 | 2 | 07-04 23:02 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +1,981 | $1,637 | $1,637 | 27 | 07-06 01:28 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +1,947 | $1,667 | $1,667 | 2 | 07-02 11:48 |
| Soft-Fork 0xfdba…36c4 | No | +1,620 | $1,313 | $1,313 | 7 | 07-06 09:21 |
| Better-Treat 0x95b1…4565 | No | +1,094 | $993 | $993 | 2 | 07-09 21:16 |
| Sociable-Fibre 0xea79…e4b5 | No | +1,000 | $800 | $800 | 1 | 06-05 05:13 |
| Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | No | +1,000 | $800 | $800 | 6 | 06-20 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xca22…2ee7 | No | +950 | $779 | $779 | 1 | 06-07 04:15 |
| Uncomfortable-Sightseeing 0x1c45…fbda | Yes | +942 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 06-13 20:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +908 | $39 | $161 | 5 | 07-11 20:29 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +853 | $80 | $863 | 87 | 07-11 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x98f6…4e6e | Yes | +833 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 06-05 18:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f2c…35ee | No | +750 | $608 | $608 | 2 | 06-03 20:55 |
| Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | +672 | $561 | $561 | 2 | 06-27 00:30 |
| Liquid-Head 0xc6e1…3b95 | No | +506 | $425 | $425 | 1 | 06-15 12:31 |
| Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | +500 | $395 | $395 | 1 | 05-31 01:54 |
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | +500 | $395 | $395 | 1 | 05-31 01:54 |
| Trusting-Theft 0x64ea…363d | Yes | +478 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-05 07:09 |
| Bad-Tracksuit 0x2dc8…7a07 | Yes | +465 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 07-03 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xff01…73cc | No | +400 | $324 | $324 | 1 | 06-05 06:16 |
| Stale-Cartilage 0xbd5c…8408 | No | +389 | $342 | $342 | 2 | 07-03 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x4427…ccf4 | No | +370 | $296 | $296 | 1 | 05-28 06:53 |
| Exhausted-Top 0x30f8…b824 | No | +354 | $290 | $910 | 4 | 06-25 13:34 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +330 | $66 | $66 | 3 | 06-04 01:08 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +302 | $268 | $268 | 3 | 07-06 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb87…fa96 | No | +300 | $248 | $248 | 3 | 06-14 20:12 |
| Vigilant-Thistle 0x264b…cf7f | Yes | +278 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-06 07:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x2620…61c5 | No | +200 | $164 | $500 | 3 | 06-25 05:14 |
| Dark-Clan 0x6dc4…6770 | No | +200 | $172 | $172 | 1 | 07-02 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd053…a385 | No | +150 | $120 | $788 | 10 | 06-25 05:14 |
| Sorrowful-Whale 0x03ed…4927 | No | +147 | $125 | $125 | 1 | 06-12 18:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 20:29:01 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x124f02… |
| 07-11 20:29:01 | (anonymous) 0xa67b…e56d | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x124f02… |
| 07-11 06:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x9fb8…68f8 | No | SELL | 200 | 95¢ | $190 | 0xc22059… |
| 07-11 06:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x8685…7ad9 | No | SELL | 261 | 95¢ | $248 | 0xc22059… |
| 07-11 06:54:43 | Grown-Exposure 0xcfca…9722 | No | SELL | 71 | 95¢ | $68 | 0xc22059… |
| 07-11 06:54:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xc22059… |
| 07-11 06:54:43 | (anonymous) 0xd66d…b64a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc22059… |
| 07-11 06:54:43 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | BUY | 3,000 | 6¢ | $180 | 0xc22059… |
| 07-11 06:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x9ad6…fbb0 | Yes | SELL | 3,689 | 6¢ | $216 | 0xc22059… |
| 07-11 06:54:43 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xc22059… |
| 07-11 03:59:32 | (anonymous) 0x9d05…7223 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa70ae2… |
| 07-11 03:59:32 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa70ae2… |
| 07-11 03:59:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1677b5… |
| 07-11 03:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x8656…7695 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1677b5… |
| 07-11 03:59:31 | (anonymous) 0xa61b…83f5 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x55fc50… |
| 07-11 03:59:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x55fc50… |
| 07-11 03:09:49 | Lumbering-Conspirator 0xc129…c6c2 | No | SELL | 22 | 92¢ | $20 | 0xec2a6d… |
| 07-11 03:09:49 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 22 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xec2a6d… |
| 07-11 00:29:22 | (anonymous) 0xdad3…dbcb | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x5c2b72… |
| 07-11 00:29:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x5c2b72… |
| 07-10 23:36:17 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 652 | 8¢ | $52 | 0x489828… |
| 07-10 23:36:17 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 652 | 8¢ | $52 | 0x489828… |
| 07-10 20:18:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x29c8c4… |
| 07-10 20:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x29c8c4… |
| 07-10 20:15:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x634962… |
| 07-10 20:15:49 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 84 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x634962… |
| 07-10 20:11:16 | Mundane-Bungalow 0x1405…9db0 | No | SELL | 322 | 91¢ | $293 | 0x5059d1… |
| 07-10 20:11:16 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 91 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x5059d1… |
| 07-10 20:11:16 | (anonymous) 0x9fcb…bf3d | No | SELL | 300 | 93¢ | $279 | 0x5059d1… |
| 07-10 20:11:16 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 652 | 9¢ | $59 | 0x5059d1… |
| 07-10 20:11:16 | (anonymous) 0x04e0…f4a1 | No | SELL | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x5059d1… |
| 07-10 20:11:16 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 1,667 | 6¢ | $100 | 0x5059d1… |
| 07-10 20:11:16 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x5059d1… |
| 07-10 20:11:16 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | SELL | 300 | 94¢ | $282 | 0x5059d1… |
| 07-10 20:11:16 | Hospitable-Complex 0xde7c…c5d2 | No | SELL | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x5059d1… |
| 07-10 20:11:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 9¢ | $8 | 0x5059d1… |
| 07-10 20:11:16 | (anonymous) 0x23b0…a7c8 | No | SELL | 32 | 92¢ | $30 | 0x5059d1… |
| 07-10 20:11:16 | (anonymous) 0xd951…4de3 | No | SELL | 54 | 94¢ | $50 | 0x5059d1… |
| 07-10 20:11:16 | (anonymous) 0x0de6…ab26 | Yes | SELL | 7,023 | 7¢ | $496 | 0x5059d1… |
| 07-10 20:11:16 | Jittery-Crayfish 0x56ff…96ba | Yes | BUY | 3,000 | 7¢ | $210 | 0x5059d1… |
| 07-10 20:11:16 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x5059d1… |
| 07-10 18:17:16 | (anonymous) 0xa67b…e56d | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x19a8c7… |
| 07-10 18:17:16 | Mundane-Bungalow 0x1405…9db0 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x19a8c7… |
| 07-10 14:57:35 | Mundane-Bungalow 0x1405…9db0 | No | SELL | 27 | 91¢ | $25 | 0x8eea2e… |
| 07-10 14:57:35 | (anonymous) 0xd328…ad6f | Yes | SELL | 27 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x8eea2e… |
| 07-10 04:50:34 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x6001b9… |
| 07-10 04:50:34 | Accomplished-Bath 0x0527…f6d1 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x6001b9… |
| 07-09 21:16:25 | (anonymous) 0x04e0…f4a1 | No | SELL | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xaa2fc1… |
| 07-09 21:16:25 | Mundane-Bungalow 0x1405…9db0 | No | SELL | 579 | 91¢ | $527 | 0xaa2fc1… |
| 07-09 21:16:25 | Better-Treat 0x95b1…4565 | No | BUY | 779 | 91¢ | $709 | 0xaa2fc1… |
| 07-09 21:16:25 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xaa2fc1… |
| 07-09 19:06:59 | Better-Treat 0x95b1…4565 | No | BUY | 315 | 90¢ | $283 | 0x262fde… |
| 07-09 19:06:59 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x262fde… |
| 07-09 19:06:59 | Growling-Styling 0xdf37…8b49 | No | SELL | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0x262fde… |
| 07-09 19:06:59 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x262fde… |
| 07-09 14:46:41 | Frank-Shoes 0x1364…c10c | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x3be373… |
| 07-09 14:46:41 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x3be373… |
| 07-09 14:46:41 | (anonymous) 0x5a19…2d37 | No | SELL | 31 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x3be373… |
| 07-09 12:06:16 | (anonymous) 0xd7fc…9d0c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb5a1e4… |
| 07-09 12:06:16 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb5a1e4… |
| 07-09 12:06:08 | (anonymous) 0xd7fc…9d0c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x1c4c52… |
| 07-09 12:06:08 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x1c4c52… |
| 07-08 15:52:10 | Satisfied-Harmonize 0xaabd…f562 | Yes | SELL | 537 | 10¢ | $54 | 0xae7515… |
| 07-08 15:52:10 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 87 | 10¢ | $9 | 0xae7515… |
| 07-08 15:52:10 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 367 | 10¢ | $37 | 0xae7515… |
| 07-08 15:52:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 10¢ | $8 | 0xae7515… |
| 07-08 10:21:44 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5b995a… |
| 07-08 10:21:44 | (anonymous) 0xa106…8281 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5b995a… |
| 07-07 13:49:25 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2a9d86… |
| 07-07 13:49:25 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2a9d86… |
| 07-07 03:28:05 | Visible-Zephyr 0xc8c6…299c | No | SELL | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x72c95e… |
| 07-07 03:28:05 | (anonymous) 0x1bcb…ec5d | No | SELL | 300 | 90¢ | $270 | 0x72c95e… |
| 07-07 03:28:05 | Mundane-Bungalow 0x1405…9db0 | No | SELL | 70 | 90¢ | $63 | 0x72c95e… |
| 07-07 03:28:05 | Accurate-Faith 0x8b87…3e8d | No | BUY | 1,000 | 90¢ | $900 | 0x72c95e… |
| 07-07 03:28:05 | (anonymous) 0xfd34…de18 | No | SELL | 26 | 90¢ | $23 | 0x72c95e… |
| 07-07 03:28:05 | Rubbery-Blight 0x8fb0…ece3 | No | SELL | 44 | 90¢ | $40 | 0x72c95e… |
| 07-07 03:28:05 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x72c95e… |
| 07-07 03:28:05 | (anonymous) 0x38e6…e649 | No | SELL | 134 | 90¢ | $121 | 0x72c95e… |
| 07-07 03:28:05 | Dual-Ashram 0xaafb…fc37 | No | SELL | 88 | 90¢ | $79 | 0x72c95e… |
| 07-07 03:28:05 | (anonymous) 0x2710…03cb | No | SELL | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x72c95e… |
| 07-06 21:14:05 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 23 | 89¢ | $20 | 0xa1256a… |
| 07-06 21:14:05 | First-Smoke 0xd931…6115 | Yes | SELL | 2,649 | 11¢ | $280 | 0xa1256a… |
| 07-06 21:14:05 | Dual-Ashram 0xaafb…fc37 | No | SELL | 312 | 90¢ | $281 | 0xa1256a… |
| 07-06 21:14:05 | (anonymous) 0x25ed…69cf | No | SELL | 55 | 89¢ | $49 | 0xa1256a… |
| 07-06 21:14:05 | Rubbery-Blight 0x8fb0…ece3 | No | SELL | 156 | 90¢ | $140 | 0xa1256a… |
| 07-06 21:14:05 | (anonymous) 0xb308…9a32 | No | SELL | 55 | 89¢ | $49 | 0xa1256a… |
| 07-06 21:14:05 | (anonymous) 0x2710…03cb | No | SELL | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0xa1256a… |
| 07-06 21:14:05 | (anonymous) 0x23b0…a7c8 | No | SELL | 168 | 90¢ | $151 | 0xa1256a… |
| 07-06 21:14:05 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 250 | 89¢ | $222 | 0xa1256a… |
| 07-06 21:14:05 | (anonymous) 0xfd34…de18 | No | SELL | 98 | 90¢ | $88 | 0xa1256a… |
| 07-06 21:14:05 | Frank-Shoes 0x1364…c10c | No | SELL | 23 | 89¢ | $20 | 0xa1256a… |
| 07-06 21:14:05 | Visible-Zephyr 0xc8c6…299c | No | SELL | 18 | 89¢ | $16 | 0xa1256a… |
| 07-06 21:14:05 | (anonymous) 0x6a31…dd3d | No | SELL | 150 | 90¢ | $135 | 0xa1256a… |
| 07-06 21:14:05 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 652 | 11¢ | $72 | 0xa1256a… |
| 07-06 21:14:05 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0xa1256a… |
| 07-06 21:14:05 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 11¢ | $9 | 0xa1256a… |
| 07-06 09:21:10 | Late-Hugger 0x7886…b35e | No | SELL | 12 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x07ac25… |
| 07-06 09:21:10 | Soft-Fork 0xfdba…36c4 | No | BUY | 12 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x07ac25… |
| 07-06 09:01:40 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 101 | 89¢ | $90 | 0xa85c45… |
| 07-06 09:01:40 | (anonymous) 0xb308…9a32 | No | SELL | 101 | 89¢ | $90 | 0xa85c45… |