Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$446,893
$2,357 in 24h
Trades
921
Unique wallets
239
Liquidity
$18,335
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-20 19:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.5¢
(top1%: 20% YES on $230.7K
vs crowd: 19% YES on $401.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $60.6K | $281.8K | $221.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 36 | $1.1K | $17.1K | $16.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 62 | $9.4K | $21.1K | $11.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 130 | $4.6K | $5.4K | $829 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $47.0K | $183.7K | $136.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $610 | $1.3K | $716 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $107 | $4.1K | $4.0K |
| Median | 24 | $7 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| Below median | 25 | $479 | $1.8K | $1.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | $11 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 19 | $1.2K | $10.1K | $9.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $14.0K | $48.0K | $34.1K |
| unranked | 126 | $12.4K | $73.0K | $60.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +244,934 | $46,634 | $46,634 | 92 | 06-18 18:54 |
| Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | +226,268 | $183,749 | $183,749 | 47 | 06-20 19:49 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | +69,811 | $13,954 | $13,954 | 16 | 06-05 16:02 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | +55,945 | $45,338 | $45,338 | 44 | 06-20 07:29 |
| Juicy-Inlaws 0xf12d…0272 | Yes | +33,430 | $5,788 | $9,981 | 5 | 06-16 13:54 |
| Frightened-Trouble 0x7f3c…5613 | No | +32,939 | $26,022 | $26,022 | 1 | 06-01 17:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x94d0…4177 | Yes | +18,623 | $4,000 | $4,000 | 1 | 06-19 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x2158…fe65 | No | +10,359 | $8,076 | $8,076 | 2 | 06-19 08:00 |
| Villainous-Inlay 0x8b98…537e | Yes | +6,778 | $1,155 | $1,155 | 8 | 06-10 21:48 |
| Mundane-Bungalow 0x1405…9db0 | No | +6,216 | $5,011 | $5,011 | 10 | 06-20 07:28 |
| Runny-Silly 0x7bc7…3976 | No | +4,000 | $3,190 | $3,190 | 3 | 05-31 01:54 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +1,906 | $1,544 | $1,544 | 1 | 06-01 22:57 |
| Soft-Fork 0xfdba…36c4 | No | +1,550 | $1,251 | $1,251 | 4 | 05-31 01:54 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +1,500 | $1,231 | $1,231 | 16 | 06-19 08:00 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +1,282 | $216 | $216 | 24 | 06-20 19:16 |
| Sociable-Fibre 0xea79…e4b5 | No | +1,000 | $800 | $800 | 1 | 06-05 05:13 |
| Nice-Darkness 0x09df…5ca9 | No | +1,000 | $790 | $790 | 1 | 06-01 11:22 |
| Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | No | +1,000 | $800 | $800 | 6 | 06-20 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xca22…2ee7 | No | +950 | $779 | $779 | 1 | 06-07 04:15 |
| Uncomfortable-Sightseeing 0x1c45…fbda | Yes | +942 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 06-13 20:40 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +918 | $771 | $771 | 1 | 06-16 22:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x98f6…4e6e | Yes | +833 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 06-05 18:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f2c…35ee | No | +750 | $608 | $608 | 2 | 06-03 20:55 |
| Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | +570 | $107 | $107 | 3 | 06-10 00:20 |
| Liquid-Head 0xc6e1…3b95 | No | +506 | $425 | $425 | 1 | 06-15 12:31 |
| Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | +500 | $395 | $395 | 1 | 05-31 01:54 |
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | +500 | $395 | $395 | 1 | 05-31 01:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | +500 | $385 | $385 | 1 | 06-19 08:00 |
| Trusting-Theft 0x64ea…363d | Yes | +478 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-05 07:09 |
| Satisfied-Harmonize 0xaabd…f562 | Yes | +450 | $81 | $81 | 2 | 06-10 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x2620…61c5 | No | +400 | $332 | $332 | 2 | 06-18 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xff01…73cc | No | +400 | $324 | $324 | 1 | 06-05 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc0e…6d8b | No | +400 | $330 | $330 | 2 | 06-19 08:00 |
| Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | +386 | $320 | $320 | 1 | 06-16 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x4427…ccf4 | No | +370 | $296 | $296 | 1 | 05-28 06:53 |
| Exhausted-Top 0x30f8…b824 | No | +361 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-06 03:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xd053…a385 | No | +350 | $288 | $620 | 8 | 06-19 08:00 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +330 | $66 | $66 | 3 | 06-04 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x4593…9d77 | No | +300 | $248 | $248 | 2 | 06-19 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdbd…9a73 | No | +300 | $247 | $247 | 2 | 06-19 08:00 |
| Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | +300 | $254 | $254 | 2 | 06-12 04:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb87…fa96 | No | +300 | $248 | $248 | 3 | 06-14 20:12 |
| Vigilant-Thistle 0x264b…cf7f | Yes | +278 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-06 07:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b3f…0fa5 | Yes | +56 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 19:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 19:49:04 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 56 | 82¢ | $46 | 0x2d80dc… |
| 06-20 19:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x9b3f…0fa5 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 18¢ | $10 | 0x2d80dc… |
| 06-20 19:28:02 | (anonymous) 0xf0c6…2c63 | No | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0xeca669… |
| 06-20 19:28:02 | (anonymous) 0xb3aa…2efc | No | SELL | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0xeca669… |
| 06-20 19:16:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 18¢ | $15 | 0xea0294… |
| 06-20 19:16:43 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xea0294… |
| 06-20 19:16:43 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 1,194 | 82¢ | $979 | 0xea0294… |
| 06-20 19:16:43 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xea0294… |
| 06-20 19:16:43 | Beneficial-Limit 0xb2cd…c187 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 82¢ | $820 | 0xea0294… |
| 06-20 19:16:43 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 18¢ | $18 | 0xea0294… |
| 06-20 15:11:53 | Finished-Freelance 0x799f…271c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xe4494d… |
| 06-20 15:11:53 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xe4494d… |
| 06-20 08:35:25 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xb6c8a4… |
| 06-20 08:35:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 19¢ | $16 | 0xb6c8a4… |
| 06-20 08:35:25 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xb6c8a4… |
| 06-20 08:35:25 | Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | SELL | 219 | 19¢ | $42 | 0xb6c8a4… |
| 06-20 08:35:25 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 25 | 81¢ | $20 | 0xb6c8a4… |
| 06-20 07:29:29 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 80¢ | $800 | 0x58df0b… |
| 06-20 07:29:29 | Beneficial-Limit 0xb2cd…c187 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 80¢ | $800 | 0x58df0b… |
| 06-20 07:29:04 | Beneficial-Limit 0xb2cd…c187 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 80¢ | $800 | 0x292e3b… |
| 06-20 07:29:04 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 998 | 80¢ | $798 | 0x292e3b… |
| 06-20 07:29:04 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x292e3b… |
| 06-20 07:28:56 | (anonymous) 0x71ac…e8e5 | No | BUY | 65 | 80¢ | $52 | 0x50698d… |
| 06-20 07:28:56 | Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 20¢ | $100 | 0x50698d… |
| 06-20 07:28:56 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 84 | 20¢ | $17 | 0x50698d… |
| 06-20 07:28:56 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 23 | 80¢ | $18 | 0x50698d… |
| 06-20 07:28:56 | Elated-Vegetarian 0x7957…ddbc | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x50698d… |
| 06-20 07:28:56 | Mundane-Bungalow 0x1405…9db0 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 80¢ | $800 | 0x50698d… |
| 06-20 07:28:56 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | No | BUY | 929 | 80¢ | $743 | 0x50698d… |
| 06-20 07:28:56 | Beneficial-Limit 0xb2cd…c187 | No | SELL | 2,611 | 80¢ | $2,089 | 0x50698d… |
| 06-20 07:11:16 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | No | BUY | 14 | 80¢ | $11 | 0xcd2888… |
| 06-20 07:11:16 | Numb-Beancurd 0xbd31…8eba | No | SELL | 14 | 80¢ | $11 | 0xcd2888… |
| 06-20 00:26:04 | (anonymous) 0x17a6…a1b8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xdf8550… |
| 06-20 00:26:04 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xdf8550… |
| 06-19 21:56:59 | (anonymous) 0x17a6…a1b8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x1699f8… |
| 06-19 21:56:59 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x1699f8… |
| 06-19 21:41:59 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 19¢ | $16 | 0xfeb8a4… |
| 06-19 21:41:59 | Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | SELL | 289 | 19¢ | $55 | 0xfeb8a4… |
| 06-19 21:41:59 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xfeb8a4… |
| 06-19 21:41:59 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 200 | 19¢ | $38 | 0xfeb8a4… |
| 06-19 21:01:04 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xbf692e… |
| 06-19 21:01:04 | Stylish-Courthouse 0xd6b7…24d0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xbf692e… |
| 06-19 13:45:17 | (anonymous) 0xa106…8281 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x5ee379… |
| 06-19 13:45:17 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x5ee379… |
| 06-19 13:36:04 | (anonymous) 0x5c77…8d9c | No | SELL | 37 | 80¢ | $30 | 0x43a681… |
| 06-19 13:36:04 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | No | BUY | 37 | 80¢ | $30 | 0x43a681… |
| 06-19 09:45:17 | Idle-Vagrant 0xb163…6062 | No | BUY | 99 | 82¢ | $81 | 0x8921f5… |
| 06-19 09:45:17 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 99 | 82¢ | $81 | 0x8921f5… |
| 06-19 09:45:07 | Idle-Vagrant 0xb163…6062 | No | BUY | 38 | 80¢ | $31 | 0x24648b… |
| 06-19 09:45:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 33 | 20¢ | $7 | 0x24648b… |
| 06-19 09:45:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x24648b… |
| 06-19 09:12:38 | (anonymous) 0xa01a…8215 | No | SELL | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x78deb3… |
| 06-19 09:12:38 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x78deb3… |
| 06-19 08:48:52 | Boiling-Word 0x56ec…5f73 | No | SELL | 54 | 79¢ | $42 | 0x32552b… |
| 06-19 08:48:52 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 54 | 79¢ | $42 | 0x32552b… |
| 06-19 08:21:26 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 85 | 79¢ | $67 | 0x8f9820… |
| 06-19 08:21:26 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | SELL | 85 | 79¢ | $67 | 0x8f9820… |
| 06-19 08:18:50 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0xe3ba20… |
| 06-19 08:18:50 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 51 | 20¢ | $10 | 0xe3ba20… |
| 06-19 08:18:50 | Boiling-Word 0x56ec…5f73 | No | BUY | 26 | 80¢ | $21 | 0xe3ba20… |
| 06-19 08:17:41 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 89 | 79¢ | $70 | 0x0faa07… |
| 06-19 08:17:41 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x0faa07… |
| 06-19 08:17:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 21¢ | $18 | 0x0faa07… |
| 06-19 08:09:22 | (anonymous) 0x683b…c863 | No | SELL | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x85f116… |
| 06-19 08:09:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 78¢ | $3 | 0x85f116… |
| 06-19 08:09:22 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 26 | 78¢ | $20 | 0x85f116… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x2158…fe65 | No | BUY | 359 | 77¢ | $276 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 100 | 78¢ | $78 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | (anonymous) 0xfdbd…9a73 | No | BUY | 150 | 82¢ | $123 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | BUY | 500 | 77¢ | $385 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | (anonymous) 0xb3aa…2efc | No | BUY | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 24 | 82¢ | $20 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | Mundane-Bungalow 0x1405…9db0 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 78¢ | $780 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | Boiling-Word 0x56ec…5f73 | No | BUY | 9 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x94d0…4177 | Yes | BUY | 18,623 | 21¢ | $4,000 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 70 | 22¢ | $15 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | (anonymous) 0xd053…a385 | No | BUY | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x1d7e…63e7 | No | BUY | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | BUY | 100 | 78¢ | $78 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | (anonymous) 0xcc0e…6d8b | No | BUY | 200 | 82¢ | $164 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 3,000 | 80¢ | $2,400 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x4593…9d77 | No | BUY | 74 | 82¢ | $61 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | Beneficial-Limit 0xb2cd…c187 | No | BUY | 2,111 | 78¢ | $1,647 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | Deserted-Shopping 0xbcba…223f | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 08:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x5c5e…1354 | No | BUY | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0x1873ef… |
| 06-19 03:26:10 | Demanding-Spectacles 0x96db…305f | No | SELL | 22 | 82¢ | $18 | 0xf2dea3… |
| 06-19 03:26:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 22 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xf2dea3… |
| 06-18 18:54:22 | (anonymous) 0x4593…9d77 | No | BUY | 226 | 83¢ | $188 | 0xf6e685… |
| 06-18 18:54:22 | (anonymous) 0xd053…a385 | No | BUY | 150 | 83¢ | $124 | 0xf6e685… |
| 06-18 18:54:22 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 55,501 | 17¢ | $9,435 | 0xf6e685… |
| 06-18 18:54:22 | (anonymous) 0x9116…740b | No | BUY | 22 | 83¢ | $18 | 0xf6e685… |
| 06-18 18:54:22 | Beneficial-Limit 0xb2cd…c187 | No | BUY | 4,000 | 83¢ | $3,320 | 0xf6e685… |
| 06-18 18:54:22 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 50,000 | 83¢ | $41,500 | 0xf6e685… |
| 06-18 18:54:22 | (anonymous) 0x1d7e…63e7 | No | BUY | 200 | 83¢ | $166 | 0xf6e685… |
| 06-18 18:54:22 | (anonymous) 0x5c5e…1354 | No | BUY | 100 | 83¢ | $83 | 0xf6e685… |
| 06-18 18:54:22 | (anonymous) 0x2620…61c5 | No | BUY | 200 | 83¢ | $166 | 0xf6e685… |
| 06-18 18:54:22 | (anonymous) 0xfdbd…9a73 | No | BUY | 150 | 83¢ | $124 | 0xf6e685… |