Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$597,575
$2,357 in 24h
Trades
1,701
Unique wallets
376
Liquidity
$18,335
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-04 15:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.1¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $313.7K
vs crowd: 18% YES on $531.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 25 | $68.2K | $365.5K | $297.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 46 | $3.1K | $45.5K | $42.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 111 | $16.2K | $23.6K | $7.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 194 | $7.3K | $2.2K | +$5.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $52.6K | $261.0K | $208.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 17 | $1.8K | $1.1K | +$627 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $107 | $14.4K | $14.3K |
| Median | 35 | $170 | $2.9K | $2.7K |
| Below median | 42 | $677 | $2.4K | $1.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 18 | $47 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 29 | $1.2K | $12.6K | $11.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 13 | $16.1K | $51.0K | $34.9K |
| unranked | 203 | $22.3K | $90.1K | $67.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | +309,757 | $253,596 | $263,201 | 95 | 08-04 15:26 |
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +275,253 | $52,092 | $52,092 | 93 | 06-23 18:02 |
| Juicy-Inlaws 0xf12d…0272 | Yes | +86,598 | $12,642 | $16,834 | 11 | 07-28 03:43 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | +81,444 | $15,515 | $15,515 | 20 | 07-11 06:54 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | +55,945 | $45,338 | $45,338 | 44 | 06-20 07:29 |
| Frightened-Trouble 0x7f3c…5613 | No | +32,939 | $26,022 | $26,022 | 1 | 06-01 17:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x94d0…4177 | Yes | +29,241 | $6,000 | $6,000 | 2 | 06-26 06:12 |
| Runny-Silly 0x7bc7…3976 | No | +13,642 | $11,000 | $11,000 | 4 | 06-26 06:12 |
| Mundane-Bungalow 0x1405…9db0 | No | +11,759 | $10,131 | $13,714 | 33 | 07-28 03:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x2158…fe65 | No | +10,359 | $8,076 | $8,076 | 2 | 06-19 08:00 |
| Villainous-Inlay 0x8b98…537e | Yes | +6,778 | $1,155 | $1,155 | 8 | 06-10 21:48 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +4,676 | $464 | $2,945 | 80 | 07-31 01:23 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +4,221 | $537 | $537 | 62 | 08-02 19:49 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +4,054 | $3,523 | $3,523 | 46 | 07-29 11:09 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +3,296 | $2,799 | $2,799 | 5 | 07-31 20:26 |
| Accurate-Faith 0x8b87…3e8d | No | +3,285 | $2,911 | $2,911 | 2 | 07-07 03:28 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +2,859 | $2,631 | $2,631 | 4 | 07-16 07:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +2,821 | $2,538 | $2,538 | 5 | 07-29 18:01 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +1,947 | $1,667 | $1,667 | 2 | 07-02 11:48 |
| Soft-Fork 0xfdba…36c4 | No | +1,620 | $1,313 | $1,313 | 7 | 07-06 09:21 |
| Warm-Habitat 0x0049…6034 | No | +1,500 | $1,365 | $1,365 | 2 | 07-29 11:09 |
| Better-Treat 0x95b1…4565 | No | +1,094 | $993 | $993 | 2 | 07-09 21:16 |
| Sociable-Fibre 0xea79…e4b5 | No | +1,000 | $800 | $800 | 1 | 06-05 05:13 |
| Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | No | +1,000 | $800 | $800 | 6 | 06-20 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xca22…2ee7 | No | +950 | $779 | $779 | 1 | 06-07 04:15 |
| Uncomfortable-Sightseeing 0x1c45…fbda | Yes | +942 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 06-13 20:40 |
| Jittery-Crayfish 0x56ff…96ba | Yes | +924 | $62 | $359 | 5 | 07-28 11:23 |
| Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | +924 | $-59 | $403 | 18 | 08-02 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c65…d60d | No | +900 | $828 | $828 | 4 | 07-28 03:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a4…d97f | Yes | +835 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 07-13 23:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x98f6…4e6e | Yes | +833 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 06-05 18:08 |
| Grumpy-Urn 0x0845…6b6f | No | +800 | $714 | $1,272 | 11 | 07-28 03:43 |
| Clean-Condor-Coverall 0x1464…3fb7 | Yes | +800 | $66 | $66 | 8 | 07-18 18:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f2c…35ee | No | +750 | $608 | $608 | 2 | 06-03 20:55 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +726 | $62 | $1,017 | 115 | 07-31 01:23 |
| Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | +672 | $561 | $561 | 2 | 06-27 00:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c39…f73a | Yes | +570 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-12 02:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7e6…4f99 | No | +538 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-17 22:02 |
| Liquid-Head 0xc6e1…3b95 | No | +506 | $425 | $425 | 1 | 06-15 12:31 |
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | +500 | $395 | $395 | 1 | 05-31 01:54 |
| Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | No | +500 | $395 | $395 | 1 | 05-31 01:54 |
| Trusting-Theft 0x64ea…363d | Yes | +478 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-05 07:09 |
| Bad-Tracksuit 0x2dc8…7a07 | Yes | +465 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 07-03 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd04e…41b8 | No | +415 | $378 | $378 | 7 | 08-04 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xff01…73cc | No | +400 | $324 | $324 | 1 | 06-05 06:16 |
| Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | +400 | $368 | $368 | 2 | 07-17 19:41 |
| Dim-Underwriting 0x91e5…0947 | No | +400 | $372 | $372 | 1 | 07-16 04:46 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +330 | $66 | $66 | 3 | 06-04 01:08 |
| Dark-Raffle 0xbe8d…b980 | Yes | +261 | $21 | $21 | 4 | 07-15 05:41 |
| Staid-Chinchilla 0xbee4…25f7 | Yes | +260 | $22 | $22 | 4 | 07-17 22:02 |
| Splendid-Curtailment 0x5221…bd4d | Yes | +236 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 07-12 17:19 |
| Trivial-Beak 0xbef7…8db8 | Yes | +200 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 07-17 22:02 |
| Evergreen-Booster 0x7db6…16bb | Yes | +200 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 07-15 05:41 |
| Naive-Climb 0xe0a8…a9d3 | Yes | +200 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 07-17 22:02 |
| Leafy-Backbone 0x1b1c…5cca | Yes | +200 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 07-16 04:46 |
| Hopeful-Restriction 0x67e1…ed97 | Yes | +200 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 07-17 22:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:26:17 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | SELL | 16 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x6ed696… |
| 08-04 15:26:17 | Sugary-Passport 0x4fa2…c7b7 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x6ed696… |
| 08-04 13:43:14 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | SELL | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x1e107d… |
| 08-04 13:43:14 | Sugary-Passport 0x4fa2…c7b7 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1e107d… |
| 08-04 08:28:36 | (anonymous) 0xd04e…41b8 | No | BUY | 18 | 91¢ | $16 | 0x2b97c4… |
| 08-04 08:28:36 | (anonymous) 0x755c…ba9f | No | SELL | 18 | 91¢ | $16 | 0x2b97c4… |
| 08-04 08:10:02 | (anonymous) 0x74f6…0773 | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0xd9e9a9… |
| 08-04 08:10:02 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0xd9e9a9… |
| 08-03 14:29:21 | (anonymous) 0xd04e…41b8 | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xc5ada8… |
| 08-03 14:29:21 | (anonymous) 0x5629…f2a3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xc5ada8… |
| 08-03 04:42:38 | (anonymous) 0xd04e…41b8 | No | BUY | 41 | 91¢ | $37 | 0xc1c480… |
| 08-03 04:42:38 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | SELL | 41 | 91¢ | $37 | 0xc1c480… |
| 08-02 19:49:59 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x8b861d… |
| 08-02 19:49:59 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x8b861d… |
| 08-02 19:49:59 | (anonymous) 0xd04e…41b8 | No | BUY | 0 | 91¢ | $0 | 0x4b4eb7… |
| 08-02 19:49:59 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | SELL | 1,854 | 93¢ | $1,724 | 0x8b861d… |
| 08-02 19:49:59 | (anonymous) 0x372e…4ed8 | No | SELL | 0 | 91¢ | $0 | 0x4b4eb7… |
| 08-02 19:49:59 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 22 | 92¢ | $20 | 0x8b861d… |
| 08-02 19:49:59 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | SELL | 2,001 | 7¢ | $142 | 0x8b861d… |
| 08-02 17:48:32 | Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | BUY | 540 | 8¢ | $43 | 0x47ecbd… |
| 08-02 17:48:32 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | SELL | 540 | 8¢ | $43 | 0x47ecbd… |
| 08-02 12:26:29 | Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 8¢ | $24 | 0x9432b4… |
| 08-02 12:26:29 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 8¢ | $24 | 0x9432b4… |
| 08-02 04:51:44 | (anonymous) 0xc504…7a4c | Yes | SELL | 992 | 8¢ | $79 | 0x9fc20a… |
| 08-02 04:51:44 | Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | BUY | 992 | 8¢ | $79 | 0x9fc20a… |
| 08-01 13:59:27 | Beneficial-Employ 0x07d4…f94f | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xfbc95e… |
| 08-01 13:59:27 | Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xfbc95e… |
| 08-01 13:58:23 | Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | BUY | 180 | 8¢ | $14 | 0x53b819… |
| 08-01 13:58:23 | Beneficial-Employ 0x07d4…f94f | No | BUY | 180 | 92¢ | $166 | 0x53b819… |
| 08-01 12:19:29 | (anonymous) 0xd04e…41b8 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x9ac366… |
| 08-01 12:19:29 | (anonymous) 0x0a85…bdfd | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x9ac366… |
| 08-01 07:35:57 | Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc0ceee… |
| 08-01 07:35:57 | (anonymous) 0x0a85…bdfd | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xc0ceee… |
| 08-01 07:35:33 | Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7e4ed5… |
| 08-01 07:35:33 | (anonymous) 0x0a85…bdfd | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x7e4ed5… |
| 08-01 00:42:24 | Selfish-Shampoo 0x45a3…12f0 | No | SELL | 120 | 91¢ | $110 | 0xc4dd13… |
| 08-01 00:42:24 | (anonymous) 0xd04e…41b8 | No | BUY | 120 | 91¢ | $110 | 0xc4dd13… |
| 07-31 20:26:09 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 879 | 91¢ | $800 | 0x78d6e1… |
| 07-31 20:26:09 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x78d6e1… |
| 07-31 20:26:09 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 1,038 | 9¢ | $93 | 0x78d6e1… |
| 07-31 20:26:09 | (anonymous) 0xd04e…41b8 | No | BUY | 135 | 91¢ | $122 | 0x78d6e1… |
| 07-31 18:43:44 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 22 | 92¢ | $20 | 0xd74e68… |
| 07-31 18:43:44 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xd74e68… |
| 07-31 18:43:44 | (anonymous) 0xc504…7a4c | Yes | SELL | 74 | 8¢ | $6 | 0xd74e68… |
| 07-31 18:43:44 | Similar-Format 0x30e4…5102 | Yes | BUY | 116 | 8¢ | $9 | 0xd74e68… |
| 07-31 15:25:18 | (anonymous) 0xc504…7a4c | Yes | SELL | 65 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xc5143e… |
| 07-31 15:25:18 | Tremendous-Brushfire 0x3c64…cb26 | No | SELL | 65 | 92¢ | $60 | 0xc5143e… |
| 07-31 01:23:45 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc36f88… |
| 07-31 01:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xc504…7a4c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9e23ca… |
| 07-31 01:23:45 | (anonymous) 0xc504…7a4c | Yes | SELL | 836 | 8¢ | $67 | 0xc36f88… |
| 07-31 01:23:45 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 8¢ | $7 | 0xc36f88… |
| 07-31 01:23:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9e23ca… |
| 07-31 01:23:45 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 652 | 8¢ | $52 | 0xc36f88… |
| 07-30 12:28:29 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | SELL | 23 | 90¢ | $20 | 0x604c62… |
| 07-30 12:28:29 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 23 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x604c62… |
| 07-30 08:25:21 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x05f464… |
| 07-30 08:25:21 | (anonymous) 0x58bc…4011 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x05f464… |
| 07-30 05:31:44 | (anonymous) 0x58bc…4011 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x037e62… |
| 07-30 05:31:44 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x037e62… |
| 07-30 05:02:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x1de02c… |
| 07-30 05:02:51 | (anonymous) 0x292c…a010 | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x1de02c… |
| 07-29 18:01:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 9¢ | $8 | 0xd83128… |
| 07-29 18:01:36 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xd83128… |
| 07-29 18:01:36 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 631 | 91¢ | $573 | 0xd83128… |
| 07-29 18:01:36 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 185 | 9¢ | $17 | 0xd83128… |
| 07-29 18:01:36 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xd83128… |
| 07-29 18:01:36 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xd83128… |
| 07-29 12:38:29 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x064fb7… |
| 07-29 12:38:29 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x064fb7… |
| 07-29 12:38:29 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 147 | 90¢ | $132 | 0x064fb7… |
| 07-29 12:38:29 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x064fb7… |
| 07-29 11:10:35 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 659 | 90¢ | $593 | 0x58eddd… |
| 07-29 11:10:35 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x58eddd… |
| 07-29 11:09:53 | Warm-Habitat 0x0049…6034 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 90¢ | $900 | 0x5b8f64… |
| 07-29 11:09:53 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x5b8f64… |
| 07-29 11:09:53 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0x5b8f64… |
| 07-29 11:09:53 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 652 | 11¢ | $72 | 0x5b8f64… |
| 07-29 11:09:53 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 1,803 | 10¢ | $187 | 0x5b8f64… |
| 07-29 11:09:53 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x5b8f64… |
| 07-28 21:55:08 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x7416ec… |
| 07-28 21:55:08 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x7416ec… |
| 07-28 11:23:20 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x74cada… |
| 07-28 11:23:20 | Jittery-Crayfish 0x56ff…96ba | Yes | SELL | 84 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x74cada… |
| 07-28 03:46:04 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7f7d3f… |
| 07-28 03:46:04 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 563 | 89¢ | $501 | 0x7f7d3f… |
| 07-28 03:46:04 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x7f7d3f… |
| 07-28 03:46:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 84 | 11¢ | $9 | 0x0622cc… |
| 07-28 03:46:01 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 106 | 11¢ | $12 | 0x0622cc… |
| 07-28 03:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 22 | 89¢ | $20 | 0x0622cc… |
| 07-28 03:45:19 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 84 | 10¢ | $8 | 0xdf66f9… |
| 07-28 03:45:19 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 821 | 90¢ | $738 | 0xdf66f9… |
| 07-28 03:45:19 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 649 | 10¢ | $65 | 0xdf66f9… |
| 07-28 03:45:16 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | BUY | 41 | 88¢ | $36 | 0x4da969… |
| 07-28 03:45:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 41 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x4da969… |
| 07-28 03:45:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xf908da… |
| 07-28 03:45:16 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | No | BUY | 17 | 88¢ | $15 | 0xf908da… |
| 07-28 03:45:16 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0xf908da… |
| 07-28 03:44:00 | (anonymous) 0x655e…e0cc | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x66fa01… |
| 07-28 03:44:00 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x66fa01… |
| 07-28 03:43:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 84 | 13¢ | $11 | 0x0a259d… |