Runny-Silly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$13.5K

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

100

Trades

1,711

lifetime

Volume

$892.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$521

Open exposure

$82.0K

12 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 10-27 09:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 94% +$10,388

Other

10% 80% +$123

Politics

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	+37,203	$32,669	98¢	$36.4K	+$3,771	10-27 09:20
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	+17,652	$14,318	97¢	$17.1K	+$2,830	06-26 06:12
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	-9,970	-$9,069	98¢	$-9750	-$681	09-29 15:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+8,655	$4,477	96¢	$8.3K	+$3,862	06-28 22:13
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	+4,205	$2,185	96¢	$4.0K	+$1,835	06-10 22:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,761	$2,374	97¢	$3.7K	+$1,283	06-15 08:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,086	$786	98¢	$1.1K	+$281	06-06 08:54
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	+1,288	$667	72¢	$928	+$261	08-06 10:10
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	+238	$231	99¢	$235	+$4	09-06 12:36
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$146	96¢	$192	+$46	06-23 15:26
will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	+100	$4	94¢	$94	+$90	07-02 03:23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	-100	-$20	90¢	$-89	-$70	06-07 22:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 72k on march 13	4	$95.8K	96,000	0	+96,000	No	+$215	03-13 16:00
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$87.8K	87,900	0	+87,900	Yes	+$88	03-23 14:50
bitcoin above 66k on march 27	2	$80.0K	80,100	0	+80,100	Yes	+$120	03-27 16:00
bitcoin up or down on march 16 2026	1	$50.0K	50,000	0	+50,000	Up	+$50	03-16 16:04
bitcoin up or down on march 11	26	$46.7K	46,831	0	+46,831	Down	+$38	03-11 18:08
bitcoin up or down on march 10	35	$44.1K	44,136	0	+44,136	Up	+$44	03-10 19:35
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	34	$36.7K	39,263	2,060	+37,203	open	—	10-27 09:20
bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	15	$34.5K	34,530	0	+34,530	Up	+$35	03-25 19:32
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 2 8	8	$33.6K	33,683	0	+33,683	No	+$34	03-09 05:55
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 2	21	$30.9K	30,976	0	+30,976	No	+$31	03-02 19:39
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	30	$27.6K	30,000	0	+30,000	No	+$2,370	05-05 13:10
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	87	$24.2K	23,157	16,625	+6,532	No	+$1,470	05-19 09:36
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	22	$20.9K	7,030	17,000	-9,970	open	—	09-29 15:58
bitcoin above 70k on march 20	68	$20.8K	20,785	0	+20,785	No	+$21	03-20 18:50
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	6	$20.7K	25	22,025	-22,000	No	-$1,264	06-22 04:41
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	21	$19.7K	20,847	0	+20,847	No	+$1,191	04-19 16:33
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	17	$14.3K	17,652	0	+17,652	open	—	06-26 06:12
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	7	$11.6K	11,754	0	+11,754	No	+$200	09-15 02:19
bitcoin up or down on march 9	24	$10.8K	10,800	0	+10,800	Up	+$11	03-09 18:31
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	4	$9.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$200	05-05 23:55
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	21	$9.7K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$310	09-03 14:27
will bitcoin dip to 62k march 2 8	1	$9.6K	9,588	0	+9,588	No	+$10	03-09 06:13
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	10	$9.1K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$850	04-22 20:52
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	3	$8.8K	9,008	0	+9,008	No	+$216	04-17 16:17
will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	7	$8.3K	8,390	0	+8,390	No	+$88	08-04 00:46
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	9	$7.8K	9,038	0	+9,038	No	+$1,199	07-29 15:43
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	22	$7.6K	7,990	0	+7,990	No	+$432	09-04 05:39
will bitcoin dip to 45k in july 2026	10	$7.1K	7,310	0	+7,310	No	+$232	07-06 10:45
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	14	$6.8K	7,000	0	+7,000	No	+$237	05-06 09:41
will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	13	$6.4K	6,777	0	+6,777	No	+$388	08-05 03:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:20:39	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	83	98¢	$82	0x594979…
10-26 23:51:11	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0x5ff125…
10-25 09:18:14	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0xb05b59…
10-23 04:42:32	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x630283…
10-10 08:51:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	739	99¢	$729	0x20de94…
10-10 08:02:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x51c9ea…
10-08 16:01:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x799070…
10-08 16:00:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	SELL	172	98¢	$168	0xd43f34…
10-08 15:20:44	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x460bb2…
10-08 12:31:26	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2bcc7f…
10-08 10:56:59	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0xc25b67…
10-08 10:31:48	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3eef1a…
10-07 17:30:17	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xa42f49…
10-07 13:25:05	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x3887a1…
10-07 13:14:40	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x4ae8dd…
10-07 13:13:46	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xb0abd9…
10-07 13:12:38	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xa28762…
10-07 13:09:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x5b2cf7…
10-07 13:05:14	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x3a75d1…
10-07 13:04:44	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x627551…
10-07 13:02:55	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x17b100…
10-07 09:32:44	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	SELL	505	97¢	$492	0x3a7d82…
10-06 10:08:18	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	575	99¢	$568	0x3a10e4…
10-02 14:40:12	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x27a965…
10-02 11:07:29	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x5cbd1d…
10-02 10:09:56	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x680c9a…
10-02 09:10:14	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x59a4ec…
10-02 08:19:23	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xf28bba…
10-02 08:19:02	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf575d6…
10-02 08:17:41	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xccc892…
10-02 08:16:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	BUY	464	92¢	$426	0xaa637d…
10-02 07:53:54	will ethereum reach 3500 in october 2026	No	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0x24c609…
10-02 05:11:26	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xeb5d8d…
10-02 04:41:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	99	95¢	$94	0xd88a99…
10-02 04:29:57	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x37b6ef…
10-02 02:30:14	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xf5f56c…
10-01 14:50:41	will ethereum reach 3500 in october 2026	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xb23913…
10-01 09:17:14	will ethereum reach 3500 in october 2026	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xd7a57a…
10-01 03:40:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x66a574…
10-01 02:23:59	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	No	BUY	2,700	100¢	$2,697	0xaee6c8…
10-01 00:49:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x607154…
09-29 15:58:05	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	92¢	$83	0xfe494f…
09-27 11:44:47	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	No	SELL	555	99¢	$549	0xdc3d1d…
09-27 03:24:30	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$198	0x26b4d7…
09-24 12:50:45	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	No	SELL	705	99¢	$698	0x63df38…
09-15 08:05:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	SELL	1,200	83¢	$996	0xe37839…
09-15 02:19:07	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,775	98¢	$1,741	0x18b732…
09-14 01:59:28	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	927	98¢	$909	0xcf5d3d…
09-14 01:59:03	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,053	98¢	$1,033	0xf8a369…
09-08 13:36:19	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	No	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0xbfd99b…
09-06 23:39:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	No	BUY	96	62¢	$60	0x8a2294…
09-06 22:41:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x2d2baf…
09-06 12:36:51	Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0xc41391…
09-05 02:20:24	Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	97¢	$69	0x3bf679…
09-04 14:21:27	Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x7d8c56…
09-04 09:18:58	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	No	BUY	70	88¢	$62	0xd0a649…
09-04 09:18:22	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	No	BUY	695	86¢	$597	0x61f8da…
09-04 05:39:58	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	No	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0xd627f9…
09-04 05:29:18	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	No	BUY	305	86¢	$262	0x688002…
09-04 05:28:27	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	4,895	98¢	$4,802	0x1ad95e…
09-04 05:19:09	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	No	BUY	52	91¢	$48	0x59be9c…
09-04 05:18:51	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	No	BUY	90	88¢	$79	0x2c790c…
09-04 03:19:54	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0x0a65eb…
09-03 15:24:42	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x02b124…
09-03 15:24:15	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	No	BUY	833	94¢	$783	0xf65de0…
09-03 15:12:04	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	No	BUY	130	94¢	$122	0xdc3244…
09-03 15:11:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	No	BUY	167	94¢	$157	0x2f71c1…
09-03 15:02:36	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0xa34406…
09-03 15:01:28	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xff43bb…
09-03 14:59:24	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x495cf5…
09-03 14:40:16	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	No	BUY	783	94¢	$739	0xdd8dcb…
09-03 14:27:27	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	224	97¢	$217	0x94612a…
09-03 14:27:27	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0x2719b5…
09-03 14:27:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0xdad2c4…
09-03 14:27:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0x17dc6f…
09-03 14:27:19	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0x964623…
09-03 14:27:19	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0x684123…
09-03 14:27:19	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0x216c58…
09-03 14:27:16	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	119	97¢	$116	0xc38703…
09-03 14:27:16	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0x261235…
09-03 14:27:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0xf294c4…
09-03 14:27:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0x42382a…
09-03 14:27:13	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0x9503f5…
09-03 14:27:10	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	3,000	97¢	$2,907	0xec168a…
09-03 14:27:10	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0xe8a954…
09-03 14:27:10	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0x735dde…
09-03 14:27:10	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0x6a3fe8…
09-03 14:27:07	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0x1f1303…
09-03 14:27:04	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0x2a5baa…
09-03 14:27:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0xfdf3f3…
09-03 14:27:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	2,577	97¢	$2,497	0x2c8aa7…
09-03 14:27:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0x11b0ef…
09-03 14:18:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	74	82¢	$61	0x5d2380…
09-03 14:17:03	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	181	82¢	$148	0x0149c6…
09-03 14:11:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	181	82¢	$148	0xd3cb55…
09-03 13:41:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	180	82¢	$148	0x484c90…
09-03 12:55:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xdd5d45…
09-03 12:42:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x903895…
09-03 12:32:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	181	82¢	$148	0xe7e138…
09-03 12:32:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	No	BUY	181	82¢	$148	0xd2cb9e…