Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$621,622
$1,992 in 24h
Trades
2,664
Unique wallets
406
Liquidity
$34,624
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-20 21:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.4¢
(top1%: 19% YES on $413.1K
vs crowd: 27% YES on $561.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 25 | $100.8K | $382.0K | $281.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 53 | $24.2K | $25.6K | $1.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 96 | $13.9K | $3.9K | +$10.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 232 | $10.3K | $902 | +$9.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $79.1K | $334.0K | $254.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $5.6K | $3.3K | +$2.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 15 | $1.8K | $1.7K | +$154 |
| Median | 38 | $1.7K | $474 | +$1.2K |
| Below median | 77 | $2.5K | $1.1K | +$1.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 18 | $154 | $156 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 15 | $3.2K | $6.1K | $2.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 12 | $21.4K | $46.4K | $25.0K |
| unranked | 209 | $33.7K | $19.2K | +$14.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | +430,310 | $329,665 | $329,665 | 243 | 07-16 00:41 |
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +357,058 | $79,064 | $79,064 | 55 | 07-16 00:41 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | +83,256 | $20,885 | $20,885 | 39 | 07-13 18:11 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | +54,651 | $42,671 | $42,671 | 42 | 07-08 03:02 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | +17,640 | $4,447 | $4,447 | 185 | 06-30 12:56 |
| Murky-Scow 0xfd32…c9c1 | Yes | +12,324 | $3,078 | $3,078 | 5 | 06-06 05:31 |
| Villainous-Inlay 0x8b98…537e | Yes | +10,288 | $2,367 | $2,367 | 12 | 06-16 22:22 |
| Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | +9,773 | $3,834 | $11,343 | 40 | 07-18 13:37 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +8,081 | $1,776 | $1,776 | 119 | 07-19 19:47 |
| Intelligent-Spot 0x3630…5581 | Yes | +8,048 | $1,242 | $1,242 | 43 | 07-18 19:59 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +7,833 | $6,062 | $6,062 | 136 | 07-20 21:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xcff8…0d6c | Yes | +7,315 | $951 | $951 | 1 | 07-18 04:37 |
| Stylish-Pendulum 0xbcf7…b2bd | Yes | +5,247 | $967 | $967 | 9 | 07-06 21:09 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +5,000 | $4,300 | $4,300 | 6 | 07-16 00:40 |
| Unequaled-Review 0x1955…9865 | Yes | +3,475 | $979 | $3,311 | 45 | 07-01 03:55 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +2,891 | $514 | $523 | 7 | 07-17 19:37 |
| Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | +2,704 | $757 | $1,331 | 7 | 07-19 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xc9f6…8890 | Yes | +2,562 | $589 | $589 | 10 | 06-30 12:44 |
| Ideal-Bog 0x22a8…5d12 | Yes | +2,397 | $797 | $1,203 | 2 | 06-20 22:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xbedd…68b7 | Yes | +2,281 | $633 | $633 | 2 | 06-05 07:45 |
| Mundane-Bungalow 0x1405…9db0 | No | +2,224 | $815 | $10,895 | 43 | 07-15 14:07 |
| Bad-Tracksuit 0x2dc8…7a07 | Yes | +1,742 | $333 | $333 | 2 | 07-03 10:56 |
| Intelligent-Sidewalk 0x5806…751f | Yes | +1,731 | $450 | $450 | 1 | 06-02 17:25 |
| Stained-Wrist 0x8c8f…995c | Yes | +1,700 | $203 | $203 | 2 | 07-16 18:35 |
| Cooperative-Thongs 0xa56c…a440 | Yes | +1,657 | $511 | $511 | 5 | 06-25 16:10 |
| Warm-Habitat 0x0049…6034 | No | +1,605 | $1,422 | $1,422 | 5 | 07-19 19:47 |
| General-Gong 0xf499…b5d9 | Yes | +1,598 | $296 | $2,564 | 21 | 06-29 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x47cb…bdba | Yes | +1,412 | $226 | $226 | 1 | 07-13 00:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a4…d97f | Yes | +1,311 | $176 | $176 | 5 | 07-17 22:02 |
| Lawful-Faculty 0xb227…77a3 | Yes | +1,220 | $239 | $239 | 15 | 07-03 20:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x38d9…4e32 | Yes | +1,212 | $170 | $170 | 5 | 07-16 18:35 |
| Accurate-Faith 0x8b87…3e8d | No | +1,147 | $924 | $924 | 3 | 07-08 01:41 |
| Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | +1,102 | $311 | $1,089 | 20 | 07-01 14:48 |
| Weary-Duplexer 0x2f64…9138 | Yes | +1,100 | $198 | $198 | 4 | 07-03 10:43 |
| Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | +982 | $723 | $723 | 2 | 06-18 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x98f6…4e6e | Yes | +909 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-05 18:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | Yes | +876 | $271 | $271 | 3 | 06-06 21:32 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +782 | $97 | $863 | 76 | 07-20 21:07 |
| Lustrous-Bachelor 0x5f57…fd0e | No | +700 | $518 | $518 | 2 | 06-04 10:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +661 | $558 | $558 | 2 | 07-14 12:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7e6…4f99 | No | +562 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-17 22:02 |
| Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | +505 | $439 | $439 | 2 | 07-16 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | No | +500 | $330 | $330 | 1 | 06-07 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd31…97a4 | No | +500 | $410 | $410 | 2 | 07-03 02:06 |
| Vengeful-Netsuke 0x5cd5…ac33 | No | +433 | $290 | $290 | 1 | 06-05 22:52 |
| Lanky-Frock 0x88fc…900e | No | +356 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 06-06 12:56 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +293 | $242 | $1,092 | 120 | 07-20 03:11 |
| Reflecting-Marker 0xd2fa…ed3e | No | +270 | $204 | $204 | 2 | 06-18 16:11 |
| Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | +249 | $189 | $189 | 1 | 05-30 00:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 21:07:28 | (anonymous) 0xbf80…27a4 | Yes | BUY | 154 | 13¢ | $20 | 0x62b796… |
| 07-20 21:07:28 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x62b796… |
| 07-20 21:07:28 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 54 | 87¢ | $47 | 0x62b796… |
| 07-20 17:05:55 | (anonymous) 0x292b…7e04 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xaaf116… |
| 07-20 17:05:55 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 46 | 87¢ | $40 | 0xaaf116… |
| 07-20 03:11:13 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0x3e5f8d… |
| 07-20 03:11:13 | Old-Fashioned-Turnover 0x2d95…9270 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 12¢ | $15 | 0x3e5f8d… |
| 07-20 03:11:13 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 37 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x3e5f8d… |
| 07-20 03:11:13 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 73 | 88¢ | $64 | 0x3e5f8d… |
| 07-19 21:14:10 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 63 | 88¢ | $56 | 0x448fe7… |
| 07-19 21:14:10 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x448fe7… |
| 07-19 21:14:10 | Medium-Procurement 0x6919…da67 | No | SELL | 75 | 88¢ | $66 | 0x448fe7… |
| 07-19 19:47:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 13 | 88¢ | $11 | 0xf60cd1… |
| 07-19 19:47:07 | Excellent-Withdrawal 0x4ef7…21be | Yes | BUY | 13 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xf60cd1… |
| 07-19 19:47:01 | Warm-Habitat 0x0049…6034 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 89¢ | $890 | 0xd79506… |
| 07-19 19:47:01 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0xd79506… |
| 07-19 19:47:01 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | BUY | 900 | 11¢ | $99 | 0xd79506… |
| 07-18 19:59:01 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0xf8e156… |
| 07-18 19:59:01 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xf8e156… |
| 07-18 19:59:01 | Studious-Vagrant 0xabe8…04e0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xf8e156… |
| 07-18 19:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xd571…d262 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0xf8e156… |
| 07-18 19:59:01 | Intelligent-Spot 0x3630…5581 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 9¢ | $45 | 0xf8e156… |
| 07-18 19:59:01 | Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | SELL | 40 | 89¢ | $35 | 0xf8e156… |
| 07-18 19:59:01 | Growing-Genius 0x8e31…4716 | No | SELL | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0xf8e156… |
| 07-18 19:59:01 | Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | SELL | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0xf8e156… |
| 07-18 19:59:01 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Silo 0x7bec…0884 | Yes | SELL | 1,726 | 10¢ | $173 | 0xf8e156… |
| 07-18 18:16:07 | Clean-Condor-Coverall 0x1464…3fb7 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0xb2ecba… |
| 07-18 18:16:07 | Warm-Habitat 0x0049…6034 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0xb2ecba… |
| 07-18 18:15:15 | Clean-Condor-Coverall 0x1464…3fb7 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x2cb00a… |
| 07-18 18:15:15 | Warm-Habitat 0x0049…6034 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x2cb00a… |
| 07-18 18:14:52 | Warm-Habitat 0x0049…6034 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0xaa5a04… |
| 07-18 18:14:52 | Clean-Condor-Coverall 0x1464…3fb7 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0xaa5a04… |
| 07-18 16:30:36 | Warm-Habitat 0x0049…6034 | No | BUY | 305 | 88¢ | $268 | 0x08afa5… |
| 07-18 16:30:36 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x08afa5… |
| 07-18 16:30:36 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 135 | 12¢ | $16 | 0x08afa5… |
| 07-18 13:37:52 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | SELL | 63 | 87¢ | $55 | 0xbf9bc4… |
| 07-18 13:37:52 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 63 | 13¢ | $8 | 0xbf9bc4… |
| 07-18 04:37:39 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 35 | 87¢ | $30 | 0x64b9d4… |
| 07-18 04:37:39 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 159 | 87¢ | $138 | 0x64b9d4… |
| 07-18 04:37:39 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 6,951 | 13¢ | $904 | 0x64b9d4… |
| 07-18 04:37:39 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 122 | 13¢ | $16 | 0x64b9d4… |
| 07-18 04:37:39 | (anonymous) 0xcff8…0d6c | Yes | BUY | 7,315 | 13¢ | $951 | 0x64b9d4… |
| 07-17 22:02:09 | (anonymous) 0xd7e6…4f99 | No | BUY | 562 | 89¢ | $500 | 0xafccdd… |
| 07-17 22:02:09 | Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | SELL | 60 | 89¢ | $54 | 0xafccdd… |
| 07-17 22:02:09 | Intelligent-Spot 0x3630…5581 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0xafccdd… |
| 07-17 22:02:09 | (anonymous) 0x98a4…d97f | Yes | BUY | 311 | 11¢ | $34 | 0xafccdd… |
| 07-17 22:02:09 | (anonymous) 0x40a9…ed78 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 11¢ | $10 | 0xafccdd… |
| 07-17 19:37:00 | Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x07b2fd… |
| 07-17 19:37:00 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 379 | 12¢ | $47 | 0x07b2fd… |
| 07-17 19:37:00 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x07b2fd… |
| 07-17 19:37:00 | Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x07b2fd… |
| 07-17 19:37:00 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 129 | 87¢ | $112 | 0x07b2fd… |
| 07-17 11:51:39 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 135 | 12¢ | $16 | 0x3a13d8… |
| 07-17 11:51:39 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 135 | 12¢ | $16 | 0x3a13d8… |
| 07-17 10:54:06 | Dim-Underwriting 0x91e5…0947 | No | SELL | 325 | 88¢ | $286 | 0x5fa764… |
| 07-17 10:54:06 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 325 | 12¢ | $39 | 0x5fa764… |
| 07-16 19:15:10 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 38 | 87¢ | $33 | 0x287161… |
| 07-16 19:15:10 | (anonymous) 0xef65…7249 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x287161… |
| 07-16 19:01:17 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x67b3af… |
| 07-16 19:01:17 | (anonymous) 0xef65…7249 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x67b3af… |
| 07-16 18:35:43 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x6f8699… |
| 07-16 18:35:43 | (anonymous) 0x38d9…4e32 | Yes | BUY | 471 | 12¢ | $56 | 0x6f8699… |
| 07-16 18:35:43 | (anonymous) 0x3cb5…41ab | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x6f8699… |
| 07-16 18:35:43 | Intelligent-Spot 0x3630…5581 | Yes | BUY | 563 | 10¢ | $56 | 0x6f8699… |
| 07-16 18:35:43 | Coarse-Dress 0x72ea…800a | Yes | BUY | 150 | 12¢ | $18 | 0x6f8699… |
| 07-16 18:35:43 | (anonymous) 0x98a4…d97f | Yes | BUY | 95 | 13¢ | $12 | 0x6f8699… |
| 07-16 18:35:43 | Fresh-Cinema 0x277e…7d32 | Yes | SELL | 5,000 | 11¢ | $550 | 0x6f8699… |
| 07-16 18:35:43 | Studious-Vagrant 0xabe8…04e0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x6f8699… |
| 07-16 18:35:43 | Growing-Genius 0x8e31…4716 | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x6f8699… |
| 07-16 18:35:43 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x6f8699… |
| 07-16 18:35:43 | Grumpy-Urn 0x0845…6b6f | No | SELL | 794 | 90¢ | $714 | 0x6f8699… |
| 07-16 18:35:43 | Gleaming-Enemy 0x7171…7af9 | Yes | BUY | 252 | 12¢ | $30 | 0x6f8699… |
| 07-16 18:35:43 | Stained-Wrist 0x8c8f…995c | Yes | BUY | 900 | 11¢ | $99 | 0x6f8699… |
| 07-16 14:51:31 | Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | BUY | 101 | 87¢ | $88 | 0xc843f9… |
| 07-16 14:51:31 | (anonymous) 0x98a4…d97f | Yes | BUY | 101 | 13¢ | $13 | 0xc843f9… |
| 07-16 14:51:26 | Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | BUY | 404 | 87¢ | $351 | 0x124a39… |
| 07-16 14:51:26 | (anonymous) 0x98a4…d97f | Yes | BUY | 404 | 13¢ | $52 | 0x124a39… |
| 07-16 14:00:49 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x9c4ab9… |
| 07-16 14:00:49 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x9c4ab9… |
| 07-16 12:36:31 | (anonymous) 0x6e63…07ae | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x9cb03a… |
| 07-16 12:36:31 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9cb03a… |
| 07-16 12:18:07 | (anonymous) 0x34e1…90ad | Yes | SELL | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x36b866… |
| 07-16 12:18:07 | (anonymous) 0x38d9…4e32 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x36b866… |
| 07-16 11:26:20 | (anonymous) 0x6e63…07ae | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x998a35… |
| 07-16 11:26:20 | (anonymous) 0xa627…1148 | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x998a35… |
| 07-16 07:22:35 | Dark-Clan 0x6dc4…6770 | No | SELL | 1,822 | 86¢ | $1,567 | 0x939da6… |
| 07-16 07:22:35 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 1,817 | 14¢ | $254 | 0x939da6… |
| 07-16 07:22:35 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x939da6… |
| 07-16 03:58:47 | Ordinary-Bird 0x5296…6d7b | Yes | SELL | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf8ac49… |
| 07-16 03:58:47 | (anonymous) 0x38d9…4e32 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf8ac49… |
| 07-16 01:51:50 | Dim-Underwriting 0x91e5…0947 | No | BUY | 325 | 86¢ | $280 | 0xbfdf8b… |
| 07-16 01:51:50 | Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | SELL | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0xbfdf8b… |
| 07-16 01:51:50 | Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | SELL | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0xbfdf8b… |
| 07-16 01:51:50 | (anonymous) 0xd571…d262 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0xbfdf8b… |
| 07-16 01:51:50 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xbfdf8b… |
| 07-16 00:41:11 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xf35ec5… |
| 07-16 00:41:11 | (anonymous) 0xc3f5…6e84 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xf35ec5… |
| 07-16 00:41:10 | (anonymous) 0xde14…ccde | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x932f7a… |
| 07-16 00:41:10 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x932f7a… |
| 07-16 00:40:11 | LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xb360b7… |