Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$437,033
$1,992 in 24h
Trades
1,851
Unique wallets
286
Liquidity
$34,624
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-30 21:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-10.3¢
(top1%: 19% YES on $284.8K
vs crowd: 29% YES on $384.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $73.1K | $250.0K | $177.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 45 | $15.2K | $15.9K | $628 |
| 🐟 Fish | 67 | $15.4K | $6.9K | +$8.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 161 | $7.6K | $731 | +$6.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $53.1K | $231.7K | $178.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $5.1K | $2.1K | +$3.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $1.1K | $1.7K | $572 |
| Median | 26 | $1.2K | $359 | +$860 |
| Below median | 48 | $1.6K | $551 | +$1.0K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 13 | $42 | $20 | +$21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $3.2K | $5.3K | $2.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $19.9K | $20.0K | $49 |
| unranked | 150 | $26.0K | $11.9K | +$14.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | +311,312 | $231,686 | $231,686 | 170 | 06-30 21:28 |
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +208,579 | $53,115 | $53,115 | 35 | 06-27 02:04 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | +76,230 | $19,902 | $19,902 | 35 | 06-25 13:57 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | +23,513 | $17,468 | $17,468 | 26 | 06-26 07:39 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | +17,640 | $4,447 | $4,447 | 185 | 06-30 12:56 |
| Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | +17,025 | $3,916 | $3,916 | 4 | 06-30 18:03 |
| Murky-Scow 0xfd32…c9c1 | Yes | +12,324 | $3,078 | $3,078 | 5 | 06-06 05:31 |
| Thick-Language 0x453a…81d2 | Yes | +11,871 | $3,141 | $3,141 | 26 | 06-30 06:44 |
| Villainous-Inlay 0x8b98…537e | Yes | +10,288 | $2,367 | $2,367 | 12 | 06-16 22:22 |
| Mundane-Bungalow 0x1405…9db0 | No | +7,224 | $5,075 | $5,075 | 29 | 06-06 04:08 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +5,496 | $1,398 | $1,398 | 86 | 06-29 20:57 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +5,169 | $3,822 | $3,822 | 105 | 06-27 02:04 |
| Fresh-Cinema 0x277e…7d32 | Yes | +5,000 | $1,700 | $1,700 | 4 | 06-10 21:22 |
| Pungent-Lot 0xa247…7175 | Yes | +5,000 | $1,150 | $1,150 | 1 | 06-30 21:28 |
| Unequaled-Review 0x1955…9865 | Yes | +3,967 | $1,087 | $3,200 | 43 | 06-30 15:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xc9f6…8890 | Yes | +2,562 | $589 | $589 | 10 | 06-30 12:44 |
| Ideal-Bog 0x22a8…5d12 | Yes | +2,397 | $797 | $1,203 | 2 | 06-20 22:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xbedd…68b7 | Yes | +2,281 | $633 | $633 | 2 | 06-05 07:45 |
| Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | +1,910 | $488 | $912 | 19 | 06-29 15:26 |
| Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | +1,804 | $658 | $1,232 | 6 | 06-28 05:05 |
| Intelligent-Spot 0x3630…5581 | Yes | +1,739 | $435 | $435 | 14 | 06-25 16:10 |
| Intelligent-Sidewalk 0x5806…751f | Yes | +1,731 | $450 | $450 | 1 | 06-02 17:25 |
| Cooperative-Thongs 0xa56c…a440 | Yes | +1,657 | $511 | $511 | 5 | 06-25 16:10 |
| General-Gong 0xf499…b5d9 | Yes | +1,598 | $296 | $2,564 | 21 | 06-29 15:22 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +1,568 | $411 | $411 | 14 | 06-06 04:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | +1,418 | $915 | $3,539 | 29 | 06-29 20:57 |
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | +1,213 | $303 | $303 | 2 | 06-26 13:42 |
| Stylish-Pendulum 0xbcf7…b2bd | Yes | +1,134 | $277 | $277 | 3 | 06-15 23:37 |
| Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | +982 | $723 | $723 | 2 | 06-18 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x98f6…4e6e | Yes | +909 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-05 18:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | Yes | +876 | $271 | $271 | 3 | 06-06 21:32 |
| Grumpy-Urn 0x0845…6b6f | No | +787 | $540 | $540 | 2 | 06-06 19:55 |
| Agile-Selfesteem 0xb779…ab22 | Yes | +750 | $195 | $195 | 3 | 06-15 03:51 |
| Lustrous-Bachelor 0x5f57…fd0e | No | +700 | $518 | $518 | 2 | 06-04 10:51 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Silo 0x7bec…0884 | Yes | +640 | $179 | $179 | 3 | 06-26 04:13 |
| Sneaky-Chair 0x040d…1a5e | Yes | +524 | $137 | $279 | 23 | 06-26 13:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | No | +500 | $330 | $330 | 1 | 06-07 01:08 |
| Lawful-Faculty 0xb227…77a3 | Yes | +461 | $121 | $121 | 13 | 06-08 00:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | Yes | +454 | $150 | $150 | 3 | 06-06 00:02 |
| Vengeful-Netsuke 0x5cd5…ac33 | No | +433 | $290 | $290 | 1 | 06-05 22:52 |
| Lanky-Frock 0x88fc…900e | No | +356 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 06-06 12:56 |
| Reflecting-Marker 0xd2fa…ed3e | No | +270 | $204 | $204 | 2 | 06-18 16:11 |
| Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | +249 | $189 | $189 | 1 | 05-30 00:09 |
| Runny-Silly 0x7bc7…3976 | No | +200 | $146 | $146 | 2 | 06-23 15:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x85c3…08fa | No | +196 | $145 | $145 | 2 | 06-26 08:15 |
| Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | +146 | $110 | $110 | 5 | 06-29 22:47 |
| Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | +133 | $99 | $259 | 14 | 06-05 02:16 |
| Colorful-Catalyst 0xb96d…4fac | No | +100 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 06-25 13:57 |
| Medium-Procurement 0x6919…da67 | No | +75 | $53 | $53 | 2 | 06-24 12:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 21:28:02 | Pungent-Lot 0xa247…7175 | Yes | BUY | 5,000 | 23¢ | $1,150 | 0x8ad690… |
| 06-30 21:28:02 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 5,000 | 77¢ | $3,850 | 0x8ad690… |
| 06-30 18:03:50 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 1,410 | 77¢ | $1,086 | 0x4c0268… |
| 06-30 18:03:50 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | BUY | 1,410 | 23¢ | $324 | 0x4c0268… |
| 06-30 15:37:59 | Unequaled-Review 0x1955…9865 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 23¢ | $23 | 0xf79f5b… |
| 06-30 15:37:59 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 102 | 77¢ | $78 | 0xf79f5b… |
| 06-30 15:02:23 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | BUY | 10,000 | 23¢ | $2,300 | 0xaf10bb… |
| 06-30 15:02:23 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 10,000 | 77¢ | $7,700 | 0xaf10bb… |
| 06-30 15:01:17 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0x9c5732… |
| 06-30 15:01:17 | Unequaled-Review 0x1955…9865 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x9c5732… |
| 06-30 15:00:58 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 217 | 77¢ | $167 | 0xf7b53b… |
| 06-30 15:00:58 | Unequaled-Review 0x1955…9865 | Yes | BUY | 217 | 23¢ | $50 | 0xf7b53b… |
| 06-30 14:53:16 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 25 | 77¢ | $19 | 0xfb7c40… |
| 06-30 14:53:16 | Unequaled-Review 0x1955…9865 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 23¢ | $6 | 0xfb7c40… |
| 06-30 14:52:40 | Unequaled-Review 0x1955…9865 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xbe3a29… |
| 06-30 14:52:40 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xbe3a29… |
| 06-30 14:51:56 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 174 | 77¢ | $134 | 0x1598cc… |
| 06-30 14:51:56 | Unequaled-Review 0x1955…9865 | Yes | BUY | 174 | 23¢ | $40 | 0x1598cc… |
| 06-30 12:56:26 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 699 | 23¢ | $161 | 0x99c2ec… |
| 06-30 12:56:26 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 699 | 77¢ | $538 | 0x99c2ec… |
| 06-30 12:56:26 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 3,000 | 23¢ | $690 | 0x83ecc1… |
| 06-30 12:56:26 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 3,000 | 77¢ | $2,310 | 0x83ecc1… |
| 06-30 12:44:40 | (anonymous) 0xc9f6…8890 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x242518… |
| 06-30 12:44:40 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x242518… |
| 06-30 12:43:34 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 513 | 77¢ | $395 | 0x6ccf62… |
| 06-30 12:43:34 | (anonymous) 0xc9f6…8890 | Yes | BUY | 513 | 23¢ | $118 | 0x6ccf62… |
| 06-30 12:35:28 | (anonymous) 0xc9f6…8890 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 23¢ | $19 | 0x08da6b… |
| 06-30 12:35:28 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 84 | 77¢ | $65 | 0x08da6b… |
| 06-30 12:27:31 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x9b3432… |
| 06-30 12:27:31 | Acidic-Architecture 0xf8dd…ab18 | No | SELL | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x9b3432… |
| 06-30 12:21:23 | Negligible-Curtain 0x1a76…b26b | No | SELL | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x1f0c81… |
| 06-30 12:21:23 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x1f0c81… |
| 06-30 12:17:16 | Shadowy-Geology 0xb679…0e5e | No | SELL | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x570037… |
| 06-30 12:17:16 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x570037… |
| 06-30 11:51:35 | Dependent-Narrative 0x33fe…d8d0 | No | SELL | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x5fc94d… |
| 06-30 11:51:35 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x5fc94d… |
| 06-30 11:48:52 | Reckless-Entrance 0x584f…2faa | No | SELL | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x25c6e9… |
| 06-30 11:48:52 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x25c6e9… |
| 06-30 11:32:26 | (anonymous) 0xc9f6…8890 | Yes | BUY | 190 | 23¢ | $44 | 0x0206a4… |
| 06-30 11:32:26 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 190 | 77¢ | $146 | 0x0206a4… |
| 06-30 11:30:20 | Unequaled-Review 0x1955…9865 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x74fc70… |
| 06-30 11:30:20 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0x74fc70… |
| 06-30 11:30:02 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 600 | 77¢ | $462 | 0x58dccf… |
| 06-30 11:30:02 | Unequaled-Review 0x1955…9865 | Yes | BUY | 600 | 23¢ | $138 | 0x58dccf… |
| 06-30 11:22:34 | (anonymous) 0xc9f6…8890 | Yes | BUY | 139 | 23¢ | $32 | 0xb5929d… |
| 06-30 11:22:34 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 139 | 77¢ | $107 | 0xb5929d… |
| 06-30 08:59:13 | (anonymous) 0xc9f6…8890 | Yes | BUY | 131 | 23¢ | $30 | 0xf4fb06… |
| 06-30 08:59:13 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 131 | 77¢ | $101 | 0xf4fb06… |
| 06-30 08:58:47 | (anonymous) 0xc9f6…8890 | Yes | BUY | 652 | 23¢ | $150 | 0x62513c… |
| 06-30 08:58:47 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 652 | 77¢ | $502 | 0x62513c… |
| 06-30 06:44:07 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 199 | 77¢ | $153 | 0x7c79be… |
| 06-30 06:44:07 | Thick-Language 0x453a…81d2 | Yes | BUY | 199 | 23¢ | $46 | 0x7c79be… |
| 06-30 06:43:53 | Thick-Language 0x453a…81d2 | Yes | BUY | 350 | 23¢ | $80 | 0x1f0542… |
| 06-30 06:43:53 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 350 | 77¢ | $270 | 0x1f0542… |
| 06-30 05:00:22 | (anonymous) 0xef65…7249 | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xf2aa66… |
| 06-30 05:00:22 | (anonymous) 0x96a5…eb20 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xf2aa66… |
| 06-30 04:46:04 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | BUY | 5,612 | 23¢ | $1,291 | 0x1b2c6f… |
| 06-30 04:46:04 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 5,612 | 77¢ | $4,321 | 0x1b2c6f… |
| 06-30 03:50:14 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 2 | 77¢ | $2 | 0xc33fb7… |
| 06-30 03:50:14 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xeb1219… |
| 06-30 03:50:14 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x03a6c8… |
| 06-30 03:50:14 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 9 | 77¢ | $7 | 0x03a6c8… |
| 06-30 03:50:14 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 23¢ | $23 | 0x5d95bb… |
| 06-30 03:50:14 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x1bbfbc… |
| 06-30 03:50:14 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x1bbfbc… |
| 06-30 03:50:14 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xc33fb7… |
| 06-30 03:50:14 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xeb1219… |
| 06-30 03:50:14 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 100 | 77¢ | $77 | 0x5d95bb… |
| 06-30 03:41:07 | Unequaled-Review 0x1955…9865 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xdcbc3d… |
| 06-30 03:41:07 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xdcbc3d… |
| 06-30 03:35:47 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 435 | 77¢ | $335 | 0x251de8… |
| 06-30 03:35:47 | (anonymous) 0xc9f6…8890 | Yes | BUY | 435 | 23¢ | $100 | 0x251de8… |
| 06-30 03:30:37 | (anonymous) 0xc9f6…8890 | Yes | BUY | 193 | 23¢ | $44 | 0x85f1b2… |
| 06-30 03:30:37 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 193 | 77¢ | $148 | 0x85f1b2… |
| 06-30 03:21:44 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xb02a2d… |
| 06-30 03:21:44 | Ambitious-Sprag 0x1995…0de9 | No | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xb02a2d… |
| 06-30 02:25:55 | (anonymous) 0xc9f6…8890 | Yes | BUY | 217 | 23¢ | $50 | 0xfb8f0e… |
| 06-30 02:25:55 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 217 | 77¢ | $167 | 0xfb8f0e… |
| 06-29 22:47:35 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | BUY | 26 | 78¢ | $20 | 0xad98c8… |
| 06-29 22:47:35 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xad98c8… |
| 06-29 22:47:35 | (anonymous) 0x96a5…eb20 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xad98c8… |
| 06-29 20:57:14 | (anonymous) 0x954a…575d | No | SELL | 2 | 77¢ | $2 | 0xfc3dd7… |
| 06-29 20:57:14 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 2 | 77¢ | $2 | 0xfc3dd7… |
| 06-29 20:57:11 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 49 | 21¢ | $10 | 0xf26157… |
| 06-29 20:57:11 | (anonymous) 0x6eb4…9776 | Yes | SELL | 1,400 | 22¢ | $305 | 0xf26157… |
| 06-29 20:57:11 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xf26157… |
| 06-29 20:57:11 | (anonymous) 0xb7d3…1676 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xf26157… |
| 06-29 20:57:11 | Smart-Strip 0xff16…7511 | No | SELL | 937 | 78¢ | $731 | 0xf26157… |
| 06-29 20:57:11 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | SELL | 274 | 79¢ | $216 | 0xf26157… |
| 06-29 19:33:37 | Smart-Strip 0xff16…7511 | No | SELL | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x048173… |
| 06-29 19:33:37 | (anonymous) 0x7225…3da7 | No | BUY | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x048173… |
| 06-29 18:38:46 | Smart-Strip 0xff16…7511 | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x02b8a2… |
| 06-29 18:38:46 | (anonymous) 0x494a…273b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x02b8a2… |
| 06-29 18:16:07 | (anonymous) 0x494a…273b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x22ba93… |
| 06-29 18:16:07 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x22ba93… |
| 06-29 17:46:28 | (anonymous) 0x96a5…eb20 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xf0dbe7… |
| 06-29 17:46:28 | Smart-Strip 0xff16…7511 | No | SELL | 22 | 78¢ | $17 | 0xf0dbe7… |
| 06-29 17:26:17 | Smart-Strip 0xff16…7511 | No | SELL | 4 | 78¢ | $3 | 0x848e52… |
| 06-29 17:26:17 | Considerate-Sole 0x3037…a7ce | Yes | SELL | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x848e52… |
| 06-29 17:13:43 | Smart-Strip 0xff16…7511 | No | SELL | 22 | 78¢ | $17 | 0xb2fd4a… |