Realized P&L
+$291
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
93.3%
Resolved
21
Trades
4,381
lifetime
Volume
$43.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$173
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-04 07:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
85% 71% +$291
Crypto
14%
Politics
1%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 544 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -92 $-89 98¢ $-91 $-2 06-24 09:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -53 $-51 96¢ $-51 $-0 06-24 09:54
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +20 $14 76¢ $15 +$1 06-26 16:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-6 88¢ $-6 $-0 06-24 09:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-24 09:54
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -5 $-4 94¢ $-5 $-1 06-24 11:48