Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$54,423
$28 in 24h
Trades
969
Unique wallets
283
Liquidity
$56,705
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-13 20:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+15.5¢
(top1%: 29% YES on $1.1K
vs crowd: 14% YES on $26.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $8 | $2.4K | $2.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $962 | $6.1K | $5.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 127 | $1.1K | $12.5K | $11.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 116 | $1.7K | $2.0K | $361 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $313 | $752 | $438 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $583 | $1.8K | $1.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $6 | $31 | $25 |
| Median | 44 | $86 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| Below median | 130 | $51 | $5.6K | $5.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $7 | $117 | $110 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $10 | $3.3K | $3.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| unranked | 70 | $2.6K | $8.6K | $5.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x0eda…fff0 | Yes | +15,085 | $573 | $573 | 3 | 07-09 19:25 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +5,376 | $216 | $924 | 94 | 07-08 18:34 |
| Knowledgeable-Twist 0xb811…5434 | Yes | +3,748 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 06-04 10:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x638e…2540 | Yes | +3,259 | $196 | $196 | 1 | 06-28 16:07 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +2,841 | $109 | $517 | 60 | 07-07 12:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x27b3…01bb | No | +2,000 | $1,880 | $1,880 | 3 | 06-04 10:30 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +1,238 | $1,169 | $1,169 | 5 | 07-09 09:48 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +1,001 | $52 | $52 | 20 | 07-07 12:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x1876…1ad5 | Yes | +1,000 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 06-18 15:58 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +788 | $742 | $742 | 17 | 07-06 04:21 |
| Red-Abnormality 0x3c10…f367 | Yes | +714 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-04 07:59 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +590 | $561 | $561 | 5 | 06-24 10:21 |
| Spiffy-Efficiency 0x9267…0338 | Yes | +500 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-13 08:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xb792…8e7d | Yes | +449 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-24 10:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb299…d48c | Yes | +400 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-24 20:13 |
| Tempting-Rayon 0x14f7…1fab | No | +318 | $298 | $298 | 1 | 06-16 11:02 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +300 | $279 | $279 | 1 | 06-05 07:07 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +261 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-11 18:01 |
| Brown-Prison 0x41ae…51e0 | Yes | +200 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-24 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x1823…8e49 | Yes | +198 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-29 14:56 |
| Pesky-Nickname 0x2a57…1f06 | Yes | +177 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-12 22:31 |
| Wilted-Speaking 0x539b…624c | Yes | +150 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 06-16 11:02 |
| Memorable-Planning 0xadec…3c7b | Yes | +110 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 06-05 20:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1c9…3e2f | No | +104 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-21 09:28 |
| Heavenly-Choice 0x97d4…d66a | Yes | +101 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-02 09:30 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-29 07:47 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-29 07:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x0238…1288 | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 3 | 06-02 21:33 |
| Repentant-Lane 0xbc7f…f922 | Yes | +67 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-20 12:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x796c…5213 | No | +57 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 07-06 04:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | +56 | $54 | $54 | 4 | 07-13 05:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-06 04:21 |
| Verifiable-Macaw 0x1e1a…7690 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-02 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c37…063d | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-10 02:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xad9b…bf11 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-27 17:50 |
| Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 06-04 13:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb7d5…85ce | No | +46 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-28 14:14 |
| Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | +39 | $36 | $157 | 8 | 07-10 12:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | +38 | $1 | $4 | 12 | 07-13 20:12 |
| Total-Sash 0x243c…2240 | Yes | +32 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-25 12:03 |
| Blank-Gymnastics 0x70b8…ec6c | No | +24 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-11 05:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x9116…740b | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-18 20:58 |
| Key-Vermicelli 0x2f85…05ff | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-30 12:55 |
| Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | +20 | $19 | $584 | 36 | 07-13 20:12 |
| Nifty-School 0x961e…eff2 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-31 20:39 |
| Naughty-Stab 0xc5ed…9374 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 09:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 20:12:10 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xd5124d… |
| 07-13 20:12:10 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd5124d… |
| 07-13 20:12:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd5124d… |
| 07-13 20:12:10 | Fatherly-Mentor 0xca33…ae35 | No | SELL | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0xd5124d… |
| 07-13 14:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4d2761… |
| 07-13 14:11:22 | Fatherly-Mentor 0xca33…ae35 | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $51 | 0x4d2761… |
| 07-13 14:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4d2761… |
| 07-13 05:31:37 | (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | BUY | 42 | 97¢ | $41 | 0x84d422… |
| 07-13 05:31:37 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x84d422… |
| 07-13 05:31:37 | (anonymous) 0x84b8…ab79 | No | SELL | 55 | 97¢ | $53 | 0x84d422… |
| 07-12 22:31:01 | Pesky-Nickname 0x2a57…1f06 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe5f452… |
| 07-12 22:31:01 | (anonymous) 0x84b8…ab79 | No | BUY | 55 | 97¢ | $54 | 0xe5f452… |
| 07-12 13:22:14 | (anonymous) 0x0616…219e | Yes | SELL | 121 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xe27045… |
| 07-12 13:22:14 | Pesky-Nickname 0x2a57…1f06 | Yes | BUY | 121 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xe27045… |
| 07-11 23:47:40 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x083ec5… |
| 07-11 23:47:40 | (anonymous) 0x87c0…6660 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x083ec5… |
| 07-11 23:02:23 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6fb433… |
| 07-11 23:02:23 | (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6fb433… |
| 07-11 23:02:23 | Messy-Coil 0x623f…c9af | No | SELL | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0x6fb433… |
| 07-11 23:02:23 | (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6fb433… |
| 07-11 20:28:13 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0fa09c… |
| 07-11 20:28:13 | (anonymous) 0xa67b…e56d | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x0fa09c… |
| 07-11 18:18:28 | Meager-Administration 0x6663…bb78 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xf1a403… |
| 07-11 18:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf1a403… |
| 07-11 18:01:50 | Messy-Coil 0x623f…c9af | No | BUY | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0x45c3fe… |
| 07-11 18:01:50 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x45c3fe… |
| 07-11 13:47:25 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xad2c14… |
| 07-11 13:47:25 | (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xad2c14… |
| 07-11 13:47:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 238 | 3¢ | $8 | 0xad2c14… |
| 07-11 13:47:25 | Misguided-Bedrock 0xffef…6328 | Yes | SELL | 291 | 3¢ | $9 | 0xad2c14… |
| 07-11 11:53:19 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xd1337d… |
| 07-11 11:53:19 | (anonymous) 0x4acd…3209 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xd1337d… |
| 07-11 10:13:47 | (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8786a6… |
| 07-11 10:13:47 | Meager-Administration 0x6663…bb78 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x8786a6… |
| 07-11 06:49:25 | (anonymous) 0x4acd…3209 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x2cb0c4… |
| 07-11 06:49:25 | (anonymous) 0x09e7…f753 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x2cb0c4… |
| 07-11 05:57:19 | Blank-Gymnastics 0x70b8…ec6c | No | BUY | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0xe26c19… |
| 07-11 05:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x09e7…f753 | No | SELL | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0xe26c19… |
| 07-10 22:31:14 | Disastrous-Copy 0x1039…801a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf1580d… |
| 07-10 22:31:14 | (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf1580d… |
| 07-10 22:24:59 | Wrathful-Velodrome 0x2979…ed8e | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xa3c58e… |
| 07-10 22:24:59 | (anonymous) 0x6c9a…877b | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xa3c58e… |
| 07-10 18:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x09e7…f753 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xcfc990… |
| 07-10 18:16:22 | (anonymous) 0xa67b…e56d | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xcfc990… |
| 07-10 17:22:10 | Wrathful-Velodrome 0x2979…ed8e | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xb796e3… |
| 07-10 17:22:10 | (anonymous) 0x09e7…f753 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xb796e3… |
| 07-10 16:25:16 | Disastrous-Copy 0x1039…801a | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe22a30… |
| 07-10 16:25:16 | (anonymous) 0x09e7…f753 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe22a30… |
| 07-10 12:48:10 | (anonymous) 0x09e7…f753 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xc8c6b9… |
| 07-10 12:48:10 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xc8c6b9… |
| 07-10 12:33:59 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x1b8381… |
| 07-10 12:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x09e7…f753 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x1b8381… |
| 07-10 12:24:11 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xc48ab7… |
| 07-10 12:24:11 | (anonymous) 0x09e7…f753 | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xc48ab7… |
| 07-10 02:31:01 | Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa9990e… |
| 07-10 02:31:01 | Overlooked-Darn 0xf5bb…f212 | No | SELL | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0xa9990e… |
| 07-10 02:31:01 | (anonymous) 0x0c37…063d | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xa9990e… |
| 07-09 19:25:38 | (anonymous) 0x0eda…fff0 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xd44c33… |
| 07-09 19:25:38 | Overlooked-Darn 0xf5bb…f212 | No | BUY | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0xd44c33… |
| 07-09 14:28:37 | Jittery-Crayfish 0x56ff…96ba | Yes | SELL | 15,000 | 4¢ | $570 | 0xa7675b… |
| 07-09 14:28:37 | (anonymous) 0x0eda…fff0 | Yes | BUY | 15,000 | 4¢ | $570 | 0xa7675b… |
| 07-09 09:48:47 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 13 | 96¢ | $13 | 0xb7f827… |
| 07-09 09:48:47 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xb7f827… |
| 07-09 09:48:47 | (anonymous) 0xa9d0…530b | No | SELL | 34 | 96¢ | $33 | 0xb7f827… |
| 07-09 09:17:50 | Shameful-Id 0x26fc…53e4 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x0452f1… |
| 07-09 09:17:50 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x0452f1… |
| 07-09 08:08:43 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9d8e1c… |
| 07-09 08:08:43 | (anonymous) 0x0eda…fff0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9d8e1c… |
| 07-09 08:08:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9d8e1c… |
| 07-09 01:45:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6097e0… |
| 07-09 01:45:01 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6097e0… |
| 07-09 01:45:01 | (anonymous) 0xa9d0…530b | No | BUY | 34 | 97¢ | $33 | 0x6097e0… |
| 07-08 18:34:49 | (anonymous) 0xf8c4…6f33 | No | SELL | 65 | 96¢ | $62 | 0xfc8eb0… |
| 07-08 18:34:49 | Humming-Ram 0x372f…3b19 | No | SELL | 57 | 96¢ | $54 | 0xfc8eb0… |
| 07-08 18:34:49 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 198 | 96¢ | $190 | 0xfc8eb0… |
| 07-08 18:34:49 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 71 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xfc8eb0… |
| 07-08 18:34:49 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfc8eb0… |
| 07-08 17:12:43 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x258409… |
| 07-08 17:12:43 | (anonymous) 0xa2a9…7b8c | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x258409… |
| 07-08 14:41:55 | Husky-Angel 0x9e6d…1015 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xfd70bf… |
| 07-08 14:41:55 | Impressionable-Set 0xd6c2…a53d | No | SELL | 23 | 95¢ | $22 | 0xfd70bf… |
| 07-08 14:39:44 | Concerned-Attraction 0x327f…cb2e | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xb18675… |
| 07-08 14:39:44 | Husky-Angel 0x9e6d…1015 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb18675… |
| 07-08 11:26:23 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x132f53… |
| 07-08 11:26:23 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x132f53… |
| 07-08 00:57:26 | Glittering-Sprinter 0x7335…c234 | No | SELL | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0x4baa4f… |
| 07-08 00:57:26 | Husky-Angel 0x9e6d…1015 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4baa4f… |
| 07-07 20:52:40 | Glittering-Sprinter 0x7335…c234 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $28 | 0x74f3ca… |
| 07-07 20:52:40 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x74f3ca… |
| 07-07 13:27:47 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x67e215… |
| 07-07 13:27:47 | (anonymous) 0xd078…0090 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x67e215… |
| 07-07 12:46:10 | (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | SELL | 4,955 | 96¢ | $4,757 | 0xef8f01… |
| 07-07 12:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 195 | 96¢ | $187 | 0xef8f01… |
| 07-07 12:46:10 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xef8f01… |
| 07-07 12:46:10 | Husky-Angel 0x9e6d…1015 | Yes | SELL | 10,171 | 4¢ | $407 | 0xef8f01… |
| 07-07 12:46:10 | Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | SELL | 544 | 96¢ | $522 | 0xef8f01… |
| 07-07 12:46:10 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 1,572 | 4¢ | $63 | 0xef8f01… |
| 07-07 12:46:10 | Doting-Email 0xec85…8ba8 | No | SELL | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0xef8f01… |
| 07-07 12:46:10 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | SELL | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xef8f01… |
| 07-07 12:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xef8f01… |