Hearty-Sprat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$284

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

1,776

Trades

5,747

lifetime

Volume

$1.33M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$231

Open exposure

$20.0K

17 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-27 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 253 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 64% +$13,564

Other

46% 83% +$3,292

Politics

5% 61% -$1,850

Sports

2% 82% +$46

Tech

1% 73% +$237

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No		+4,000	$3,988	100¢	$4.0K	-$6	10-27 06:19
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No		+3,004	$2,923	98¢	$3.0K	+$37	10-25 16:54
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No		+2,697	$2,635	98¢	$2.6K	-$1	10-22 03:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+2,118	$2,082	100¢	$2.1K	+$26	08-15 19:23
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No		+2,130	$2,078	99¢	$2.1K	+$24	09-27 07:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+1,442	$1,401	99¢	$1.4K	+$27	08-18 19:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+1,199	$1,159	98¢	$1.2K	+$19	09-18 18:01
will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No		+1,205	$1,100	90¢	$1.1K	-$10	08-22 23:24
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No		+1,000	$910	90¢	$905	-$5	10-04 09:04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No		+931	$785	97¢	$903	+$118	10-21 09:39
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+314	$194	75¢	$235	+$41	10-15 19:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No		+200	$196	100¢	$200	+$4	10-09 00:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		+200	$170	82¢	$163	-$7	10-17 13:22
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No		+50	$37	96¢	$48	+$11	08-04 13:00
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes		+70	$33	58¢	$41	+$8	09-23 20:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	No	—	+27	$26	99¢	$27	+$1	10-27 16:49
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+50	$6	4¢	$2	-$4	10-05 10:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	116	$26.5K	25,588	24,134	+1,453	Yes	+$2,070	07-31 14:10
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	31	$21.9K	17,380	17,380	-0	open	—	10-25 02:39
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	24	$14.6K	9,044	6,544	+2,500	No	+$297	08-01 03:00
will aapl dip to 328 in august 2026	23	$13.8K	13,819	0	+13,819	Yes	+$33	08-03 13:02
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?	52	$12.3K	13,668	3,417	+10,251	Yes	+$3,770	09-18 13:40
wti closes above 77 on july 9 2026	4	$11.3K	5,662	5,662	-0	No	+$3	07-09 21:32
wti up or down on august 3 2026	1	$10.7K	10,678	0	+10,678	Down	+$11	08-03 20:19
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	22	$10.4K	11,160	0	+11,160	Yes	-$418	09-21 09:50
lol fur dk 2026 07 15	2	$10.4K	10,402	0	+10,402	Dplus KIA	+$41	07-15 18:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	6	$10.1K	10,177	0	+10,177	No	+$74	10-05 15:30
lol th g2 2026 08 09	10	$10.0K	10,020	20	+10,000	G2 Esports	+$10	08-09 16:37
wti closes above 71 on august 6 2026	2	$10.0K	10,010	0	+10,010	Yes	+$10	08-06 18:22
lol g2 ly 2026 07 10	16	$10.0K	6,746	3,423	+3,323	LYON	+$7	07-10 10:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	56	$9.4K	8,881	7,361	+1,520	Yes	-$2,636	04-28 10:22
will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	7	$9.3K	9,404	0	+9,404	Yes	+$56	07-26 21:52
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15?	8	$8.8K	6,302	2,652	+3,650	No	+$58	10-16 03:50
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	6	$8.8K	6,000	3,000	+3,000	England	+$102	07-18 23:00
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$8.7K	8,800	0	+8,800	No	+$9	07-07 18:00
lol sr jdg 2026 10 05	3	$8.5K	8,517	0	+8,517	JD Gaming	+$49	10-05 11:55
bitcoin up or down on july 6 2026	5	$8.4K	8,462	0	+8,462	Up	+$30	07-06 15:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	12	$8.3K	6,302	3,302	+3,001	No	+$66	04-30 07:15
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	11	$8.2K	7,917	456	+7,461	Yes	+$15	05-01 10:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	20	$8.1K	5,268	4,546	+722	Yes	+$305	10-08 04:19
will bitcoin reach 85k on october 13 2026	1	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$8	10-14 03:40
wti closes above 88 on august 13 2026	1	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$8	08-13 18:51
will bitcoin dip to 56k on july 6	1	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$8	07-06 20:31
will bitcoin dip to 77k on october 16 2026	2	$8.0K	8,003	0	+8,003	No	+$16	10-16 23:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	22	$7.9K	5,946	5,926	+21	Yes	-$1,954	04-29 19:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	11	$7.2K	7,686	0	+7,686	Yes	+$485	04-14 13:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	5	$7.1K	7,269	0	+7,269	Yes	+$142	04-07 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 17:24:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8bd4a7…
10-27 16:49:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x0e4614…
10-27 06:19:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,988	0x85c38b…
10-26 17:30:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,000	91¢	$1,827	0x67b8f5…
10-26 08:34:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,433	100¢	$1,432	0x7aa33e…
10-26 08:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb5998…
10-26 08:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 26?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x203dbb…
10-26 08:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 26?	No	BUY	583	100¢	$582	0x11fefc…
10-26 07:59:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,900	0xa0dfe6…
10-26 01:19:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	2,407	88¢	$2,118	0xa07b6a…
10-26 01:14:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	47	91¢	$43	0xb18f0d…
10-26 01:02:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x9f78ca…
10-26 01:02:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	76	92¢	$70	0x12f750…
10-26 01:00:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0x9384c3…
10-26 01:00:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	297	92¢	$273	0x44b816…
10-26 01:00:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	330	92¢	$303	0x334afb…
10-26 00:59:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	94	92¢	$86	0xd96f38…
10-26 00:56:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xd73bde…
10-26 00:49:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x3b72b5…
10-25 23:55:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	3,000	87¢	$2,609	0x1963b7…
10-25 23:54:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	428	82¢	$351	0x3add06…
10-25 23:54:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	214	97¢	$208	0x5b7e3f…
10-25 20:32:30	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	1,627	100¢	$1,625	0xb50cea…
10-25 20:32:20	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	2,273	100¢	$2,271	0x86b5aa…
10-25 18:26:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0x365da1…
10-25 17:56:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	461	70¢	$323	0x918fa5…
10-25 17:54:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x95fd2c…
10-25 17:54:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x3d2ea2…
10-25 16:54:29	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xe37c4d…
10-25 15:33:17	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$34	0x8a9ce6…
10-25 15:33:17	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	455	97¢	$440	0x27b92b…
10-25 13:45:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	300	66¢	$198	0x2f9a75…
10-25 13:45:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	652	64¢	$414	0x2e38ff…
10-25 13:34:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	300	78¢	$235	0xf1e08b…
10-25 13:33:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	496	82¢	$407	0x72ed60…
10-25 13:33:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	156	83¢	$129	0x46ddff…
10-25 13:25:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa104f7…
10-25 12:59:23	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x08ec77…
10-25 12:46:47	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,304	97¢	$2,244	0xc4236e…
10-25 12:03:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	254	5¢	$12	0x3e3a17…
10-25 11:49:29	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	254	29¢	$74	0xcb7d75…
10-25 11:46:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	254	59¢	$150	0x63f0f4…
10-25 11:33:36	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	254	44¢	$111	0x88e0e1…
10-25 11:32:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	254	71¢	$180	0xd8f934…
10-25 11:05:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	447	71¢	$317	0xba9803…
10-25 11:00:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x380f2f…
10-25 10:59:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	51	82¢	$42	0xf45171…
10-25 10:54:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	45	83¢	$38	0xbfa97e…
10-25 10:54:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	51	83¢	$42	0xc734c6…
10-25 10:54:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x662cc2…
10-25 10:48:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	293	85¢	$249	0xcb73c7…
10-25 10:33:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	254	7¢	$18	0x22e218…
10-25 10:24:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	SELL	781	55¢	$430	0x358676…
10-25 06:08:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	781	59¢	$461	0xfc5c5a…
10-25 02:39:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	7,022	67¢	$4,704	0xf2dd53…
10-24 14:16:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	2,341	80¢	$1,873	0xfe7e5e…
10-22 19:22:02	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd98da9…
10-22 18:05:56	Trump goes to space in 2026?	No	BUY	220	98¢	$214	0x06bf75…
10-22 06:34:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	800	97¢	$773	0x0fc652…
10-22 06:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 22?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xed6e42…
10-22 05:46:31	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	135	40¢	$54	0x52fa25…
10-22 05:01:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	3,988	42¢	$1,675	0x214b08…
10-22 05:01:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	214	41¢	$89	0x095012…
10-22 05:01:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	226	42¢	$95	0xf76b7b…
10-22 03:06:21	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe539ef…
10-22 02:27:59	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	4,481	41¢	$1,837	0x576a4f…
10-22 02:27:57	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	87	41¢	$35	0xad42e2…
10-22 02:27:57	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	232	41¢	$95	0xa42b33…
10-22 02:22:47	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	7,190	60¢	$4,337	0xef2ff7…
10-22 02:14:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x8166db…
10-22 02:05:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	274	72¢	$197	0x49d1b7…
10-22 00:38:39	Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$68	0xe97a4f…
10-21 19:25:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	110	89¢	$98	0x5249e3…
10-21 17:23:30	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	555	90¢	$500	0x816021…
10-21 17:14:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	650	89¢	$578	0xbcf9d4…
10-21 15:51:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	282	90¢	$254	0xe8b956…
10-21 15:33:35	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	142	90¢	$127	0x1bad16…
10-21 15:24:39	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	694	90¢	$625	0x4ce809…
10-21 15:24:11	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb6fc1c…
10-21 15:03:29	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,000	90¢	$1,800	0x6e86c6…
10-21 15:02:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	708	91¢	$644	0xd5e481…
10-21 15:02:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	351	91¢	$319	0x86c877…
10-21 15:02:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0x7ab838…
10-21 15:02:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	352	91¢	$320	0xa8b764…
10-21 15:02:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	352	91¢	$320	0x7908fa…
10-21 15:02:09	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	645	91¢	$587	0x79cbd3…
10-21 15:01:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	328	90¢	$295	0x8b55fb…
10-21 13:58:27	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xdc7ce4…
10-21 09:39:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	431	80¢	$345	0x0f24a9…
10-21 09:22:18	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	332	16¢	$53	0x8f9fb9…
10-21 09:20:39	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	247	14¢	$35	0xd3d2ec…
10-21 09:15:03	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xfd36e0…
10-21 09:12:24	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	183	18¢	$33	0xb00f4d…
10-21 09:00:17	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	221	22¢	$49	0xda0328…
10-21 08:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0e37d5…
10-21 08:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x93e780…
10-21 08:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xe49cc5…
10-21 08:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xc1236d…
10-21 08:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xacc872…
10-21 08:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x460fd7…