Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$57,086
$893 in 24h
Trades
682
Unique wallets
166
Liquidity
$17,829
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-21 22:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $4.3K
vs crowd: 9% YES on $36.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $70 | $3.9K | $3.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 33 | $302 | $25.5K | $25.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 41 | $2.9K | $3.3K | $413 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 79 | $73 | $836 | $763 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $20 | $4.3K | $4.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $3 | $13.4K | $13.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $134 | $2.2K | $2.1K |
| Median | 16 | $34 | $624 | $590 |
| Below median | 22 | $58 | $201 | $143 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $6 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $68 | $2.1K | $2.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 88 | $3.0K | $9.5K | $6.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Short-Term-Chopsticks 0x0749…6de9 | Yes | +29,294 | $2,673 | $2,673 | 58 | 08-02 22:23 |
| Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | +13,458 | $11,896 | $11,896 | 18 | 06-30 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b7e…23eb | No | +4,820 | $4,338 | $4,338 | 12 | 06-04 11:08 |
| Thorough-Rainbow 0x3057…7a96 | No | +4,199 | $3,863 | $3,863 | 2 | 06-04 22:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cd4…5b25 | No | +1,875 | $1,700 | $1,700 | 1 | 06-16 10:20 |
| Inborn-Proof 0x4512…c4a9 | Yes | +1,636 | $79 | $79 | 4 | 07-04 12:25 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +1,326 | $1,233 | $1,233 | 17 | 08-21 21:53 |
| Naughty-Stab 0xc5ed…9374 | Yes | +1,258 | $97 | $97 | 36 | 07-04 12:25 |
| Impartial-Shot 0x05c6…d823 | No | +1,152 | $1,101 | $1,101 | 4 | 08-15 14:35 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +892 | $813 | $1,176 | 12 | 08-19 20:13 |
| Shameful-Wholesale 0x95b3…9989 | Yes | +729 | $4 | $34 | 8 | 07-30 11:19 |
| Peaceful-Roadway 0x9c41…d446 | Yes | +620 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-19 10:12 |
| Modest-Incandescence 0xe47c…642a | Yes | +323 | $29 | $29 | 7 | 07-01 23:11 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +308 | $-4 | $76 | 24 | 07-05 05:17 |
| Immaculate-Browser 0xd96b…46df | Yes | +300 | $18 | $18 | 5 | 08-01 13:56 |
| Somber-Merit 0x10e1…aa05 | Yes | +200 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-03 23:43 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +196 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 06-06 04:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | +187 | $179 | $189 | 13 | 08-21 22:01 |
| Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | +150 | $141 | $141 | 1 | 08-01 13:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xc4e5…fb30 | No | +130 | $109 | $109 | 2 | 06-12 22:03 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +114 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-05 04:23 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +102 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 07-09 18:17 |
| Altruistic-Wellbeing 0x1e5a…d56e | Yes | +100 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-07 04:31 |
| Oblong-Revascularisation 0x7dd0…2b4b | No | +100 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 06-20 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +83 | $-2 | $97 | 110 | 08-20 18:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x0139…ecb1 | No | +80 | $76 | $76 | 2 | 08-09 08:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2952…245e | Yes | +69 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-26 05:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xb7d0…2cc2 | No | +59 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 08-17 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e7b…179e | No | +57 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 08-15 13:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2d2…c66a | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 07-05 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x002d…c2a5 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-04 16:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xd3b3…d547 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-04 16:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3f0…5958 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-04 16:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x8320…2114 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 07-04 16:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c1f…20c8 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-04 16:56 |
| Villainous-Puffin 0xa245…bf9e | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-20 16:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xc603…3220 | No | +51 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-02 16:04 |
| Blond-Substitution 0x5935…5e9b | No | +51 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-11 07:01 |
| Terrible-Anxiety 0x965f…50de | No | +47 | $43 | $43 | 5 | 06-02 16:04 |
| Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | +40 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-30 00:16 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic 0x476c…ce52 | Yes | +28 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 15:43 |
| Inferior-Championship 0xd211…6eaa | Yes | +26 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-09 14:38 |
| Vital-Diversity 0x49c4…bf77 | No | +24 | $21 | $21 | 3 | 06-19 08:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x4eb9…f5cb | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xc46b…5c50 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x7c19…1bca | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-10 16:29 |
| Fruitful-Belt 0x58ff…7e02 | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-11 11:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xc756…0724 | No | +18 | $17 | $117 | 3 | 08-20 16:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xeedc…1312 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 08-13 07:03 |
| Lone-Gravity 0xfda8…9291 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 08-20 11:12 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 08-04 22:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 22:01:54 | (anonymous) 0xe7bc…b688 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1b07db… |
| 08-21 22:01:54 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1b07db… |
| 08-21 21:53:22 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xb2d686… |
| 08-21 21:53:22 | (anonymous) 0xbb65…571c | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xb2d686… |
| 08-21 00:13:00 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x9aebd7… |
| 08-21 00:13:00 | Offensive-Brush 0xeca1…a738 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x9aebd7… |
| 08-20 19:55:27 | (anonymous) 0x1b5f…87b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x80d615… |
| 08-20 19:55:27 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x80d615… |
| 08-20 19:55:21 | (anonymous) 0x1b5f…87b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x196d0e… |
| 08-20 19:55:21 | (anonymous) 0x23cc…f800 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x196d0e… |
| 08-20 19:55:01 | (anonymous) 0xada7…141c | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x67b8d2… |
| 08-20 19:55:01 | (anonymous) 0x23cc…f800 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x67b8d2… |
| 08-20 18:27:46 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1a91dc… |
| 08-20 18:27:46 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x1a91dc… |
| 08-20 16:06:58 | Villainous-Puffin 0xa245…bf9e | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x214d42… |
| 08-20 16:06:58 | (anonymous) 0xc756…0724 | No | SELL | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x214d42… |
| 08-20 11:12:33 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe4e983… |
| 08-20 11:12:33 | (anonymous) 0xada7…141c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe4e983… |
| 08-20 11:12:31 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1ea846… |
| 08-20 11:12:31 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x392773… |
| 08-20 11:12:31 | (anonymous) 0x6728…a070 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1ea846… |
| 08-20 11:12:31 | Lasting-Dessert 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x392773… |
| 08-19 20:13:45 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 405 | 96¢ | $390 | 0xf8b894… |
| 08-19 20:13:45 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xf8b894… |
| 08-19 20:13:45 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | SELL | 300 | 96¢ | $289 | 0xf8b894… |
| 08-19 20:13:45 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 55 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf8b894… |
| 08-19 20:13:45 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xf8b894… |
| 08-19 19:30:03 | (anonymous) 0x1b99…4fa2 | No | SELL | 300 | 96¢ | $287 | 0xcd81d1… |
| 08-19 19:30:03 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 300 | 96¢ | $287 | 0xcd81d1… |
| 08-17 19:55:16 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x35a681… |
| 08-17 19:55:16 | (anonymous) 0xe5bf…4165 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x35a681… |
| 08-17 19:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x6cf8…956b | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x48507e… |
| 08-17 19:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfa5637… |
| 08-17 19:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x48507e… |
| 08-17 19:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x3028…8aca | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xfa5637… |
| 08-17 19:55:10 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x27b472… |
| 08-17 19:55:10 | (anonymous) 0x8f2c…35ee | No | SELL | 950 | 95¢ | $907 | 0x27b472… |
| 08-17 19:55:10 | (anonymous) 0xb7d0…2cc2 | No | BUY | 59 | 96¢ | $57 | 0x27b472… |
| 08-17 19:55:10 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x27b472… |
| 08-17 19:55:10 | Beneficial-Limit 0xb2cd…c187 | No | BUY | 566 | 95¢ | $540 | 0x27b472… |
| 08-17 19:55:10 | (anonymous) 0x1b99…4fa2 | No | BUY | 300 | 96¢ | $286 | 0x27b472… |
| 08-17 11:20:48 | Ambitious-Doubter 0x1f17…a918 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xbf66ec… |
| 08-17 11:20:48 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbf66ec… |
| 08-15 14:35:43 | Subdued-Corporal 0x7ab3…c4a1 | No | SELL | 491 | 96¢ | $469 | 0x1e5252… |
| 08-15 14:35:43 | Impartial-Shot 0x05c6…d823 | No | BUY | 491 | 96¢ | $469 | 0x1e5252… |
| 08-15 13:54:10 | Impartial-Shot 0x05c6…d823 | No | BUY | 491 | 96¢ | $469 | 0x5931a7… |
| 08-15 13:54:10 | Subdued-Corporal 0x7ab3…c4a1 | No | SELL | 491 | 96¢ | $469 | 0x5931a7… |
| 08-15 13:03:34 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | BUY | 13 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x4530de… |
| 08-15 13:03:34 | Subdued-Corporal 0x7ab3…c4a1 | No | SELL | 345 | 96¢ | $330 | 0x4530de… |
| 08-15 13:03:34 | Impartial-Shot 0x05c6…d823 | No | BUY | 158 | 96¢ | $151 | 0x4530de… |
| 08-15 13:03:34 | (anonymous) 0x2e7b…179e | No | BUY | 57 | 96¢ | $54 | 0x4530de… |
| 08-15 09:01:46 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x88f3c2… |
| 08-15 09:01:46 | (anonymous) 0xe938…cdff | No | SELL | 35 | 96¢ | $33 | 0x88f3c2… |
| 08-13 23:26:07 | Tan-Fraudster 0x7463…d2a6 | No | SELL | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xb67ada… |
| 08-13 23:26:07 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb67ada… |
| 08-13 23:26:07 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xb67ada… |
| 08-13 07:03:39 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x977b7b… |
| 08-13 07:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xeedc…1312 | No | BUY | 17 | 96¢ | $17 | 0x977b7b… |
| 08-09 08:07:36 | (anonymous) 0xc756…0724 | No | BUY | 35 | 96¢ | $33 | 0xb2f9db… |
| 08-09 08:07:36 | Subdued-Corporal 0x7ab3…c4a1 | No | SELL | 419 | 95¢ | $400 | 0xb2f9db… |
| 08-09 08:07:36 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xb2f9db… |
| 08-09 08:07:36 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xb2f9db… |
| 08-09 08:07:36 | (anonymous) 0x0139…ecb1 | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0xb2f9db… |
| 08-09 08:07:36 | Beneficial-Limit 0xb2cd…c187 | No | BUY | 219 | 95¢ | $209 | 0xb2f9db… |
| 08-06 15:44:18 | Subdued-Corporal 0x7ab3…c4a1 | No | SELL | 503 | 95¢ | $479 | 0x29ad1e… |
| 08-06 15:44:18 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 503 | 95¢ | $479 | 0x29ad1e… |
| 08-06 03:10:35 | (anonymous) 0xaf2e…52bc | No | SELL | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0x568baf… |
| 08-06 03:10:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0x568baf… |
| 08-05 18:21:53 | (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | SELL | 47 | 95¢ | $45 | 0xecf4f1… |
| 08-05 18:21:53 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 47 | 95¢ | $45 | 0xecf4f1… |
| 08-05 16:59:20 | (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $12 | 0xafda18… |
| 08-05 16:59:20 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xafda18… |
| 08-05 09:33:32 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4c35b8… |
| 08-05 09:33:32 | Impartial-Shot 0x05c6…d823 | No | BUY | 12 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x4c35b8… |
| 08-04 22:49:48 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd663c4… |
| 08-04 22:49:48 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd663c4… |
| 08-03 21:58:09 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | SELL | 52 | 94¢ | $49 | 0x26cd53… |
| 08-03 21:58:09 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 52 | 94¢ | $49 | 0x26cd53… |
| 08-03 04:33:27 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | SELL | 35 | 94¢ | $33 | 0x557e4e… |
| 08-03 04:33:27 | (anonymous) 0xe938…cdff | No | BUY | 35 | 94¢ | $33 | 0x557e4e… |
| 08-02 22:23:51 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 56 | 94¢ | $52 | 0x837613… |
| 08-02 22:23:51 | Short-Term-Chopsticks 0x0749…6de9 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x837613… |
| 08-02 07:48:09 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdade65… |
| 08-02 07:48:09 | Short-Term-Chopsticks 0x0749…6de9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdade65… |
| 08-01 13:56:15 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | SELL | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0x80540e… |
| 08-01 13:56:15 | (anonymous) 0x6b88…9dc1 | No | SELL | 37 | 94¢ | $34 | 0x80540e… |
| 08-01 13:56:15 | Immaculate-Browser 0xd96b…46df | Yes | BUY | 44 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x80540e… |
| 08-01 13:56:15 | (anonymous) 0x3ec1…94c3 | No | SELL | 56 | 94¢ | $53 | 0x80540e… |
| 08-01 13:56:15 | Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | BUY | 150 | 94¢ | $141 | 0x80540e… |
| 08-01 13:01:36 | Immaculate-Browser 0xd96b…46df | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x299c34… |
| 08-01 13:01:36 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x299c34… |
| 07-31 22:10:57 | Immaculate-Browser 0xd96b…46df | Yes | BUY | 36 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x3cacf0… |
| 07-31 22:10:57 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 36 | 94¢ | $34 | 0x3cacf0… |
| 07-30 12:22:41 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x030948… |
| 07-30 12:22:41 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x030948… |
| 07-30 11:19:15 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8c6094… |
| 07-30 11:19:15 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x8c6094… |
| 07-30 11:19:15 | Shameful-Wholesale 0x95b3…9989 | Yes | SELL | 87 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x8c6094… |
| 07-30 11:19:15 | Soulful-Scenario 0xe657…b24f | No | SELL | 200 | 93¢ | $187 | 0x8c6094… |
| 07-27 01:15:36 | Shameful-Wholesale 0x95b3…9989 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0877a6… |