Pleasant-Councilor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$19.7K

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,618

lifetime

Volume

$1.26M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$779

Open exposure

$300.6K

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-03 08:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

43% 75% -$1,697

Crypto

28% 70% -$34,823

Politics

25% 57% +$853

Sports

3% 100% +$2,453

Tech

0% 100% +$380

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+62,460	$56,636	97¢	$60.6K	+$3,919	05-23 23:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+48,896	$45,158	98¢	$48.1K	+$2,907	10-15 07:17
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	No	+39,828	$37,667	98¢	$39.2K	+$1,564	07-06 08:41
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	+39,609	$35,177	98¢	$38.9K	+$3,719	06-30 23:00
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	+32,499	$30,139	97¢	$31.5K	+$1,320	08-27 17:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+31,904	$28,275	98¢	$31.3K	+$2,976	10-31 08:53
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No	+18,646	$17,712	99¢	$18.4K	+$700	06-08 07:27
NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	+12,729	$11,907	94¢	$12.0K	+$109	08-31 02:32
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	No	+11,116	$10,266	98¢	$10.9K	+$661	06-30 17:01
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	+8,998	$8,487	98¢	$8.8K	+$327	08-26 17:28
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	+1,004	$926	96¢	$961	+$35	08-02 14:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$1,441	99¢	$0	+$1,442	11-03 08:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	70	$278.3K	209,177	82,000	+127,177	No	+$5,040	03-16 01:00
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 20 million 836	46	$86.8K	59,251	33,298	+25,952	No	+$346	02-16 06:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	82	$72.1K	37,012	37,012	+0	open	—	11-03 08:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	67	$63.1K	57,941	9,045	+48,896	open	—	10-15 07:17
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	48	$58.6K	30,044	30,044	+0	No	+$612	08-22 19:21
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	40	$56.6K	62,460	0	+62,460	open	—	05-23 23:25
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	49	$47.7K	25,000	25,000	+0	No	-$1,242	08-09 14:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	61	$43.2K	39,487	7,583	+31,904	open	—	10-31 08:53
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	76	$37.9K	20,052	19,323	+729	Yes	-$1,087	01-29 15:51
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	36	$37.7K	39,828	0	+39,828	open	—	07-06 08:41
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 5 million	10	$36.0K	36,735	0	+36,735	Yes	+$701	01-23 22:06
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	33	$35.2K	39,609	0	+39,609	open	—	06-30 23:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:30 UTC	10	$34.0K	35,000	0	+35,000	Up	-$34,044	02-17 14:34
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	35	$30.1K	32,499	0	+32,499	open	—	08-27 17:41
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	44	$23.0K	24,700	0	+24,700	No	+$1,652	07-14 20:43
will hyperliquid dip to 16 in february 971	12	$19.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$124	02-16 06:06
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	7	$19.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$40	01-29 19:16
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	25	$18.8K	18,963	0	+18,963	Yes	+$152	02-16 05:18
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	64	$17.7K	18,646	0	+18,646	open	—	06-08 07:27
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1pt4m 416	34	$16.1K	7,858	9,848	-1,990	No	-$849	02-16 05:03
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	16	$14.7K	15,000	0	+15,000	No	+$330	02-20 17:26
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	9	$14.3K	7,300	7,300	+0	No	+$301	05-06 20:59
Macron out by June 30, 2026?	73	$13.8K	13,880	156	+13,723	No	+$210	05-29 20:26
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1pt3m 477	38	$13.5K	7,239	7,239	+0	No	+$93	02-12 06:27
NATO article 5 before 2027?	9	$11.9K	12,729	0	+12,729	open	—	08-31 02:32
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	11	$11.1K	11,485	0	+11,485	Yes	+$345	01-13 10:38
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	41	$10.3K	11,116	0	+11,116	open	—	06-30 17:01
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	13	$10.1K	5,112	5,112	+0	No	+$61	02-22 19:39
french forces seize another oil tanker by feb 28	40	$10.0K	11,554	6,554	+5,000	Yes	-$2,973	03-01 12:17
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	7	$9.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$110	02-20 20:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 08:41:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,020	99¢	$3,996	0x0a8f83…
11-02 09:47:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0x1fefcf…
11-02 09:46:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0x712ba6…
11-01 02:57:42	Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,126	93¢	$2,907	0x6518bc…
10-31 08:53:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7,583	99¢	$7,469	0xa540c9…
10-31 03:15:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x6238c2…
10-31 02:47:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x9eebfb…
10-29 14:47:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x019837…
10-28 16:18:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,811	99¢	$1,800	0x72f6a5…
10-28 10:35:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,811	99¢	$1,800	0x6a97f6…
10-26 13:01:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x71936f…
10-26 12:28:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x77910a…
10-26 11:23:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,416	99¢	$5,383	0x9b2aee…
10-25 15:10:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	99¢	$68	0x3f8dc7…
10-25 14:45:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,596	99¢	$4,569	0x24cbaa…
10-25 14:26:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x902c70…
10-25 08:29:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xfc227a…
10-25 08:13:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xfed26f…
10-25 00:07:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0xb34dbd…
10-25 00:00:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x312a18…
10-24 14:07:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,254	99¢	$1,247	0xd999dc…
10-23 12:05:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xab4606…
10-23 11:50:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x12b9f2…
10-23 06:34:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xe31361…
10-21 20:22:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17,537	99¢	$17,431	0x1f9667…
10-15 07:17:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9,045	99¢	$8,972	0xf608fd…
08-31 02:34:45	Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?	No	BUY	379	93¢	$352	0xb05883…
08-31 02:34:43	Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x6939c4…
08-31 02:34:42	Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?	No	BUY	81	91¢	$74	0x121c2f…
08-31 02:32:42	NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	BUY	9,000	94¢	$8,460	0xc4879c…
08-30 13:26:51	will trump rename an ocean in 2026	No	BUY	140	95¢	$133	0x5da7c0…
08-30 12:54:01	will trump rename an ocean in 2026	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x202e1f…
08-30 12:54:00	will trump rename an ocean in 2026	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0x2db8ae…
08-30 12:38:39	will trump rename an ocean in 2026	No	BUY	1,597	95¢	$1,509	0xe2ac76…
08-27 17:41:30	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	157	92¢	$144	0x227f7a…
08-27 08:44:18	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x164ffc…
08-27 08:32:19	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x01d8b8…
08-27 08:25:04	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$11	0xd924e9…
08-27 08:19:42	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x4c8985…
08-27 08:15:10	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0x42ecc2…
08-27 08:12:12	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x5af562…
08-27 08:04:34	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb0023f…
08-27 08:01:48	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	31	92¢	$29	0x6d246a…
08-27 04:42:42	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc5b2eb…
08-27 02:14:39	Lecornu out as French PM by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe5b466…
08-27 02:14:31	Lecornu out as French PM by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,873	98¢	$1,835	0x909962…
08-27 02:12:37	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	80	92¢	$73	0x952047…
08-27 02:06:42	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$23	0x0edc48…
08-27 02:04:22	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	85	92¢	$78	0xcaea0b…
08-27 02:02:55	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	6,000	93¢	$5,580	0x59387e…
08-26 23:27:45	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	8,000	93¢	$7,440	0x916e66…
08-26 17:28:06	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	206	95¢	$196	0x9397aa…
08-24 16:40:10	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x627055…
08-24 16:36:46	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x606d68…
08-24 04:25:51	Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?	No	BUY	482	90¢	$433	0x3052b1…
08-24 04:25:21	Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xc81657…
08-24 04:25:19	Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xc45de5…
08-24 04:20:37	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,382	95¢	$1,316	0x885567…
08-23 12:50:48	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x099223…
08-23 00:57:01	macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x688c0a…
08-22 19:21:33	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	141	99¢	$139	0x91a0d3…
08-22 19:21:30	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x1f752f…
08-22 19:20:55	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x76d138…
08-22 19:20:51	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	736	99¢	$725	0x47bcee…
08-22 19:20:49	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xedc932…
08-22 19:20:49	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x8df1fc…
08-22 18:23:21	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0x56e361…
08-22 16:36:16	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x44b038…
08-19 01:06:13	macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	No	BUY	1,724	95¢	$1,638	0x08090c…
08-18 17:38:21	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x30a2d4…
08-18 17:14:25	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$246	0x3394cd…
08-16 09:05:40	macron out by december 31 2026 20260728190614227	No	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0xe2422f…
08-16 03:35:34	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	159	99¢	$157	0xd62ebc…
08-16 03:21:57	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x82ace7…
08-16 03:21:55	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0xa2b798…
08-16 02:18:49	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1,679	99¢	$1,655	0x309e71…
08-16 02:14:07	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1,300	99¢	$1,282	0xa71aae…
08-16 02:11:13	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfa8cbe…
08-16 02:07:54	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	135	99¢	$133	0x8c7a19…
08-16 02:07:54	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x03e477…
08-16 02:07:52	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0xcdae21…
08-16 02:07:52	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$394	0x9e6106…
08-16 02:07:52	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x0b7161…
08-16 02:06:07	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	382	99¢	$376	0xc1b8dc…
08-16 02:06:06	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x9c6a89…
08-16 00:16:45	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0xd043bc…
08-15 21:17:25	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	437	99¢	$431	0x9e4f04…
08-15 14:15:46	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10,529	99¢	$10,382	0x4feb21…
08-15 13:29:57	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0xcde9f3…
08-15 13:24:30	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	526	99¢	$518	0xf239ae…
08-14 08:38:15	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	7,119	92¢	$6,549	0x668551…
08-14 07:28:16	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0x6d42bc…
08-14 06:04:33	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x523d80…
08-14 05:00:57	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x83af65…
08-14 04:17:10	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xad3358…
08-14 03:40:16	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2b2fe6…
08-14 03:26:19	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4aa27a…
08-14 00:30:21	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	440	99¢	$434	0xded667…
08-13 20:33:40	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	395	99¢	$389	0xef95b9…
08-13 11:39:19	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xced860…