Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,108
$7 in 24h
Trades
99
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$3,369
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-30 18:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $23 | $247 | $224 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $37 | $78 | $40 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $155 | $341 | $186 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $29 | $127 | $97 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $9 | $119 | $110 |
| unranked | 19 | $155 | $419 | $264 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2474…57c7 | Yes | +755 | $117 | $117 | 9 | 06-30 10:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xec67…c2e8 | No | +350 | $297 | $297 | 4 | 06-25 15:09 |
| Polite-Wingtip 0x7dce…4682 | Yes | +254 | $29 | $29 | 12 | 06-26 15:03 |
| Euphoric-Flan 0x529d…6381 | No | +155 | $127 | $127 | 3 | 06-13 10:56 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-26 08:47 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-26 08:47 |
| Great-Barbeque 0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | +100 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-26 08:47 |
| Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | No | +100 | $83 | $83 | 2 | 06-18 15:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +95 | $5 | $5 | 19 | 06-26 08:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3b…416a | Yes | +84 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-26 08:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +80 | $68 | $68 | 7 | 06-11 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +54 | $0 | $17 | 11 | 06-30 18:42 |
| Dizzy-Strand 0x4934…6d71 | No | +43 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 06-20 14:46 |
| United-Exhaustion 0xd7ae…5aec | No | +23 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-31 20:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-26 08:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x1efa…988f | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-22 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x2fb9…0b37 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-13 10:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-30 18:42 |
| Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-26 11:47 |
| Easy-Going-Reef 0xbfe6…16f6 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 06:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 18:42:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xc88631… |
| 06-30 18:42:35 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 71 | 12¢ | $8 | 0xc88631… |
| 06-30 18:42:35 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xc88631… |
| 06-30 18:42:35 | Embellished-Act 0xbe15…b9c2 | No | SELL | 112 | 88¢ | $99 | 0xc88631… |
| 06-30 10:55:47 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x00fdac… |
| 06-30 10:55:47 | (anonymous) 0x2474…57c7 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 10¢ | $7 | 0x00fdac… |
| 06-30 10:55:47 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x00fdac… |
| 06-30 10:55:47 | Notable-Median 0xf555…b2d5 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x00fdac… |
| 06-26 18:59:35 | Notable-Median 0xf555…b2d5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7a11d4… |
| 06-26 18:59:35 | Adept-Lathe 0x53ac…66b4 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x7a11d4… |
| 06-26 15:03:35 | Notable-Median 0xf555…b2d5 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x62a7f9… |
| 06-26 15:03:35 | Polite-Wingtip 0x7dce…4682 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x62a7f9… |
| 06-26 14:59:23 | Polite-Wingtip 0x7dce…4682 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x41c803… |
| 06-26 14:59:23 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x41c803… |
| 06-26 14:59:11 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x2a9d5e… |
| 06-26 14:59:11 | Polite-Wingtip 0x7dce…4682 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x2a9d5e… |
| 06-26 14:59:11 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2a9d5e… |
| 06-26 14:59:11 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x2a9d5e… |
| 06-26 11:47:44 | Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3ff17c… |
| 06-26 11:47:44 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3ff17c… |
| 06-26 08:47:13 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc069c5… |
| 06-26 08:47:13 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xc069c5… |
| 06-26 08:47:13 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc069c5… |
| 06-26 08:47:13 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc069c5… |
| 06-26 08:47:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 22 | 86¢ | $19 | 0xc069c5… |
| 06-26 08:47:13 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc069c5… |
| 06-26 08:47:13 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc069c5… |
| 06-26 08:47:13 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xc069c5… |
| 06-26 08:47:13 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc069c5… |
| 06-26 08:47:13 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc069c5… |
| 06-26 08:47:13 | Polite-Wingtip 0x7dce…4682 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xc069c5… |
| 06-26 08:47:13 | Notable-Median 0xf555…b2d5 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xc069c5… |
| 06-26 08:47:13 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xc069c5… |
| 06-26 08:47:13 | Great-Barbeque 0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0xc069c5… |
| 06-26 08:47:13 | (anonymous) 0xa44d…df91 | Yes | SELL | 877 | 6¢ | $57 | 0xc069c5… |
| 06-26 08:47:13 | (anonymous) 0x9e3b…416a | Yes | BUY | 84 | 12¢ | $10 | 0xc069c5… |
| 06-25 15:09:38 | Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xcd3494… |
| 06-25 15:09:38 | (anonymous) 0xec67…c2e8 | No | BUY | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0xcd3494… |
| 06-25 15:01:52 | Polite-Wingtip 0x7dce…4682 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xc2d1fb… |
| 06-25 15:01:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xc2d1fb… |
| 06-23 08:16:47 | (anonymous) 0xec67…c2e8 | No | BUY | 130 | 85¢ | $110 | 0xb91b39… |
| 06-23 08:16:47 | (anonymous) 0x2474…57c7 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 15¢ | $19 | 0xb91b39… |
| 06-23 01:21:08 | (anonymous) 0x2474…57c7 | Yes | BUY | 205 | 15¢ | $31 | 0x6303b3… |
| 06-23 01:21:08 | (anonymous) 0xec67…c2e8 | No | BUY | 205 | 85¢ | $174 | 0x6303b3… |
| 06-23 00:05:37 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x557230… |
| 06-23 00:05:37 | (anonymous) 0x2474…57c7 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x557230… |
| 06-22 23:59:32 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x7c55c3… |
| 06-22 23:59:32 | (anonymous) 0xec67…c2e8 | No | BUY | 15 | 85¢ | $13 | 0x7c55c3… |
| 06-22 09:30:34 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xa10c1c… |
| 06-22 09:30:34 | (anonymous) 0x1efa…988f | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xa10c1c… |
| 06-20 14:46:14 | Dizzy-Strand 0x4934…6d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xed8138… |
| 06-20 14:46:14 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xed8138… |
| 06-20 14:46:14 | (anonymous) 0x2474…57c7 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 17¢ | $6 | 0xed8138… |
| 06-19 19:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x48a744… |
| 06-19 19:53:16 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x48a744… |
| 06-19 19:53:16 | Dizzy-Strand 0x4934…6d71 | No | BUY | 13 | 83¢ | $11 | 0x48a744… |
| 06-18 15:34:28 | Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | No | BUY | 3 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x1c7cf0… |
| 06-18 15:34:28 | Polite-Wingtip 0x7dce…4682 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x1c7cf0… |
| 06-18 15:34:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x1c7cf0… |
| 06-18 06:00:11 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1d0250… |
| 06-18 06:00:11 | Easy-Going-Reef 0xbfe6…16f6 | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x1d0250… |
| 06-17 00:34:02 | Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | No | BUY | 97 | 83¢ | $81 | 0xfc178d… |
| 06-17 00:34:02 | (anonymous) 0x2474…57c7 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 17¢ | $17 | 0xfc178d… |
| 06-17 00:33:07 | (anonymous) 0x2474…57c7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xf099f6… |
| 06-17 00:33:07 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xf099f6… |
| 06-15 07:40:55 | (anonymous) 0xbb8c…3363 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x2ec8c1… |
| 06-15 07:40:55 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x2ec8c1… |
| 06-13 10:56:13 | (anonymous) 0x2474…57c7 | Yes | BUY | 152 | 18¢ | $27 | 0x46b79d… |
| 06-13 10:56:13 | Euphoric-Flan 0x529d…6381 | No | BUY | 142 | 82¢ | $117 | 0x46b79d… |
| 06-13 10:56:13 | (anonymous) 0x2fb9…0b37 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x46b79d… |
| 06-11 23:10:36 | (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | BUY | 26 | 85¢ | $22 | 0x3929dd… |
| 06-11 23:10:36 | (anonymous) 0x2474…57c7 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x3929dd… |
| 06-11 22:15:58 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x2f6a1a… |
| 06-11 22:15:58 | (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x2f6a1a… |
| 06-11 07:33:46 | (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xdc9b82… |
| 06-11 07:33:46 | Euphoric-Flan 0x529d…6381 | No | BUY | 9 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xdc9b82… |
| 06-11 07:33:46 | (anonymous) 0xbb8c…3363 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xdc9b82… |
| 06-09 15:08:30 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x566c34… |
| 06-09 15:08:30 | Polite-Wingtip 0x7dce…4682 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x566c34… |
| 06-07 05:53:52 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x407a82… |
| 06-07 05:53:52 | (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x407a82… |
| 06-06 19:45:46 | Euphoric-Flan 0x529d…6381 | No | BUY | 3 | 82¢ | $2 | 0xbe10d9… |
| 06-06 19:45:46 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbe10d9… |
| 06-06 19:45:46 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | SELL | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0xbe10d9… |
| 06-05 20:51:42 | Polite-Wingtip 0x7dce…4682 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xeaf4a1… |
| 06-05 20:51:42 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xeaf4a1… |
| 06-05 20:51:34 | Polite-Wingtip 0x7dce…4682 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x5cbb9f… |
| 06-05 20:51:34 | (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | BUY | 19 | 87¢ | $16 | 0x5cbb9f… |
| 06-05 18:10:10 | (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x6e596b… |
| 06-05 18:10:10 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x6e596b… |
| 06-05 18:08:33 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xa3589b… |
| 06-05 18:08:33 | Polite-Wingtip 0x7dce…4682 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xa3589b… |
| 06-04 21:08:10 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x04d450… |
| 06-04 21:08:10 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | SELL | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x04d450… |
| 05-31 20:01:27 | Polite-Wingtip 0x7dce…4682 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x55212c… |
| 05-31 20:01:27 | United-Exhaustion 0xd7ae…5aec | No | BUY | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0x55212c… |
| 05-27 20:22:58 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x47c6d3… |
| 05-27 20:22:58 | Confused-Dragonfruit 0x013b…c3dd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x47c6d3… |
| 05-27 20:22:58 | Polite-Wingtip 0x7dce…4682 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x47c6d3… |