Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,273
$7 in 24h
Trades
295
Unique wallets
93
Liquidity
$3,369
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-12 17:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $33 | $161 | $129 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $47 | $667 | $621 |
| 🐟 Fish | 19 | $118 | $251 | $133 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 50 | $381 | $1.1K | $720 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $25 | $145 | $120 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $41 | $39 | +$2 |
| Median | 8 | $8 | $51 | $43 |
| Below median | 11 | $1 | $33 | $32 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $47 | $127 | $80 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $25 | $203 | $177 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $5 | $409 | $405 |
| unranked | 43 | $426 | $1.2K | $748 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2474…57c7 | Yes | +758 | $117 | $117 | 11 | 07-04 11:19 |
| Female-Snarl 0x8c2a…38d0 | No | +581 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 08-12 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d4d…baba | Yes | +510 | $79 | $79 | 6 | 07-18 05:58 |
| Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | +376 | $313 | $313 | 3 | 07-23 20:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xec67…c2e8 | No | +350 | $297 | $297 | 4 | 06-25 15:09 |
| Polite-Wingtip 0x7dce…4682 | Yes | +323 | $42 | $42 | 15 | 07-26 21:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xabff…6b73 | Yes | +300 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 08-12 17:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | +286 | $40 | $40 | 16 | 08-12 17:07 |
| Euphoric-Flan 0x529d…6381 | No | +155 | $127 | $127 | 3 | 06-13 10:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +142 | $123 | $123 | 8 | 07-13 14:32 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +119 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 08-12 17:07 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +113 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-12 15:18 |
| Dizzy-Strand 0x4934…6d71 | No | +101 | $83 | $83 | 7 | 07-24 08:05 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-26 08:47 |
| Great-Barbeque 0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | +100 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-26 08:47 |
| Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | No | +100 | $83 | $83 | 2 | 06-18 15:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x94fc…42d2 | No | +95 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 07-24 23:39 |
| Violent-Ballet 0xc5cf…c503 | Yes | +92 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-24 23:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3b…416a | Yes | +84 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-26 08:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd38…46e0 | Yes | +73 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-04 18:28 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +70 | $-0 | $8 | 3 | 07-27 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x45d3…069a | No | +64 | $54 | $54 | 3 | 07-30 22:30 |
| Insubstantial-Hurry-Bronchitis 0x897a…4194 | No | +58 | $44 | $44 | 10 | 07-23 23:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x6825…735c | No | +50 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 08-01 16:51 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +44 | $8 | $11 | 15 | 07-24 23:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | Yes | +42 | $7 | $21 | 7 | 08-07 18:30 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +41 | $9 | $9 | 8 | 07-23 02:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b8b…2183 | No | +39 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 08-07 18:30 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +37 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-12 17:17 |
| Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | +37 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 08-12 17:15 |
| Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | +37 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 08-12 17:15 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +31 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-30 22:47 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $4 | $14 | 4 | 07-23 13:20 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +28 | $23 | $26 | 3 | 07-28 21:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xe196…5d47 | Yes | +28 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-19 09:11 |
| United-Exhaustion 0xd7ae…5aec | No | +23 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-31 20:01 |
| Yummy-Cloak 0xa64b…12f8 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-26 05:47 |
| Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-08 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 08-10 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x1efa…988f | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-22 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3df…5a43 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-09 05:46 |
| Wilted-Airfield-Diaphragm 0x6779…2ff6 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-12 16:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x483a…8e08 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 07:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x2fb9…0b37 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-13 10:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-30 18:42 |
| Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $13 | 10 | 08-12 17:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-23 13:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x0306…428e | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-27 13:10 |
| Frail-Put 0x50f9…c3c4 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-26 20:30 |
| Orderly-Dentist 0xe4ca…1383 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-26 11:47 |
| Quarterly-Goddess 0xe22c…7baf | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-24 06:13 |
| Easy-Going-Reef 0xbfe6…16f6 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x67df…7e00 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-05 12:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb8c…3363 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $10 | 3 | 07-17 06:09 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-23 13:20 |
| Flat-Gadget 0xd278…0e08 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-09 10:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +2 | $2 | $15 | 4 | 07-26 05:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 17:17:49 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x7bb9d4… |
| 08-12 17:17:49 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 37 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x7bb9d4… |
| 08-12 17:15:58 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x0af899… |
| 08-12 17:15:58 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x0af899… |
| 08-12 17:15:57 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x49e049… |
| 08-12 17:15:57 | (anonymous) 0xabff…6b73 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 14¢ | $42 | 0x49e049… |
| 08-12 17:15:57 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x098e17… |
| 08-12 17:15:57 | (anonymous) 0x45ac…d2bb | Yes | SELL | 373 | 14¢ | $52 | 0x49e049… |
| 08-12 17:15:57 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | BUY | 37 | 86¢ | $32 | 0x098e17… |
| 08-12 17:15:57 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x49e049… |
| 08-12 17:07:18 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0xdc31ae… |
| 08-12 17:07:18 | (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | BUY | 109 | 14¢ | $15 | 0xdc31ae… |
| 08-12 17:07:18 | (anonymous) 0x45ac…d2bb | Yes | BUY | 373 | 14¢ | $52 | 0xdc31ae… |
| 08-12 17:07:18 | Female-Snarl 0x8c2a…38d0 | No | BUY | 581 | 86¢ | $500 | 0xdc31ae… |
| 08-12 16:20:52 | (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x013673… |
| 08-12 16:20:52 | Wilted-Airfield-Diaphragm 0x6779…2ff6 | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x013673… |
| 08-10 16:30:36 | (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x1d4c0d… |
| 08-10 16:30:36 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x1d4c0d… |
| 08-09 10:57:04 | (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x67011d… |
| 08-09 10:57:04 | Flat-Gadget 0xd278…0e08 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x67011d… |
| 08-09 05:46:21 | (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x8f6897… |
| 08-09 05:46:21 | (anonymous) 0xb3df…5a43 | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x8f6897… |
| 08-08 04:10:42 | (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x012e3d… |
| 08-08 04:10:42 | (anonymous) 0xe9d5…44c0 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x012e3d… |
| 08-07 20:30:45 | (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xbe6b04… |
| 08-07 20:30:45 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xbe6b04… |
| 08-07 18:30:37 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | Yes | BUY | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x7e41a5… |
| 08-07 18:30:37 | (anonymous) 0x0b8b…2183 | No | BUY | 33 | 85¢ | $28 | 0x7e41a5… |
| 08-06 15:17:36 | (anonymous) 0xe9d5…44c0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x7af1ee… |
| 08-06 15:17:36 | (anonymous) 0x0b8b…2183 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x7af1ee… |
| 08-05 09:32:00 | (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x984439… |
| 08-05 09:32:00 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x984439… |
| 08-01 16:51:36 | (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x21d4cb… |
| 08-01 16:51:36 | (anonymous) 0x6825…735c | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x21d4cb… |
| 07-31 21:30:33 | (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x179c44… |
| 07-31 21:30:33 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x179c44… |
| 07-30 22:47:47 | (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xa88c9b… |
| 07-30 22:47:47 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 31 | 86¢ | $27 | 0xa88c9b… |
| 07-30 22:30:42 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa0d444… |
| 07-30 22:30:42 | (anonymous) 0x45d3…069a | No | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0xa0d444… |
| 07-30 20:30:51 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | Yes | SELL | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x29decc… |
| 07-30 20:30:51 | (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x29decc… |
| 07-30 15:18:51 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xe7f276… |
| 07-30 15:18:51 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xe7f276… |
| 07-30 15:18:51 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xe7f276… |
| 07-30 14:34:48 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | Yes | BUY | 26 | 16¢ | $4 | 0xb79f46… |
| 07-30 14:34:48 | (anonymous) 0x45d3…069a | No | BUY | 26 | 84¢ | $22 | 0xb79f46… |
| 07-29 22:27:00 | (anonymous) 0x45d3…069a | No | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0xf91dcf… |
| 07-29 22:27:00 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0xf91dcf… |
| 07-28 23:09:34 | (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x91c97f… |
| 07-28 23:09:34 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x91c97f… |
| 07-28 22:53:20 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | Yes | SELL | 23 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x15f123… |
| 07-28 22:53:20 | (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x15f123… |
| 07-28 21:04:19 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 23 | 84¢ | $20 | 0xa4d468… |
| 07-28 21:04:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 23 | 84¢ | $20 | 0xa4d468… |
| 07-28 21:04:16 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 23 | 84¢ | $20 | 0x50bdd6… |
| 07-28 21:04:16 | (anonymous) 0x806e…164f | Yes | BUY | 23 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x50bdd6… |
| 07-28 11:24:58 | (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xa97d63… |
| 07-28 11:24:58 | (anonymous) 0x6825…735c | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xa97d63… |
| 07-27 21:55:28 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0c9094… |
| 07-27 21:55:28 | (anonymous) 0x82ca…44c8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0c9094… |
| 07-27 13:10:58 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x42a7f9… |
| 07-27 13:10:58 | (anonymous) 0x0306…428e | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x42a7f9… |
| 07-27 10:57:07 | Leading-Tenor 0x8057…b732 | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xf05f0d… |
| 07-27 10:57:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xf05f0d… |
| 07-27 09:05:31 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xdb1618… |
| 07-27 09:05:31 | Leading-Tenor 0x8057…b732 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xdb1618… |
| 07-27 04:29:28 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x84338e… |
| 07-27 04:29:28 | (anonymous) 0xc465…185c | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x84338e… |
| 07-26 21:34:58 | Polite-Wingtip 0x7dce…4682 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x16a13f… |
| 07-26 21:34:58 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x16a13f… |
| 07-26 21:34:58 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x16a13f… |
| 07-26 20:30:01 | Frail-Put 0x50f9…c3c4 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xfbdf21… |
| 07-26 20:30:01 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xfbdf21… |
| 07-26 13:27:42 | Frail-Put 0x50f9…c3c4 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x2b24a1… |
| 07-26 13:27:42 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x2b24a1… |
| 07-26 05:47:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x7c1b08… |
| 07-26 05:47:01 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x7c1b08… |
| 07-26 05:47:01 | Yummy-Cloak 0xa64b…12f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x7c1b08… |
| 07-24 23:39:03 | (anonymous) 0x94fc…42d2 | No | BUY | 95 | 84¢ | $80 | 0x638c40… |
| 07-24 23:39:03 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x638c40… |
| 07-24 23:39:03 | Violent-Ballet 0xc5cf…c503 | Yes | BUY | 92 | 16¢ | $15 | 0x638c40… |
| 07-24 08:05:45 | Dizzy-Strand 0x4934…6d71 | No | BUY | 25 | 81¢ | $20 | 0x706592… |
| 07-24 08:05:45 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x706592… |
| 07-24 06:13:22 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xd26efb… |
| 07-24 06:13:22 | Quarterly-Goddess 0xe22c…7baf | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xd26efb… |
| 07-23 23:15:43 | Insubstantial-Hurry-Bronchitis 0x897a…4194 | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x4a680a… |
| 07-23 23:15:43 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x4a680a… |
| 07-23 22:34:49 | (anonymous) 0xe0c1…ee06 | No | SELL | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xd052ac… |
| 07-23 22:34:49 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0xd052ac… |
| 07-23 22:32:48 | (anonymous) 0xe0c1…ee06 | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x1a0986… |
| 07-23 22:32:48 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x1a0986… |
| 07-23 22:28:33 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x8b0615… |
| 07-23 22:28:33 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x8b0615… |
| 07-23 22:28:33 | (anonymous) 0xe0c1…ee06 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x8b0615… |
| 07-23 20:37:49 | Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | BUY | 27 | 81¢ | $22 | 0xc963e0… |
| 07-23 20:37:49 | Polite-Wingtip 0x7dce…4682 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xc963e0… |
| 07-23 17:53:01 | (anonymous) 0x6a00…5906 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 17¢ | $8 | 0xb212d1… |
| 07-23 17:53:01 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 39 | 82¢ | $32 | 0xb212d1… |
| 07-23 17:53:01 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xb212d1… |