0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29efb1…0dddda
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$43
Unrealized P&L
-$99
Hit rate
41.6%
Resolved
30
Trades
3,197
lifetime
Volume
$22.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$454
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 17:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
70% 47% $-21
Politics
15% 33% $-16
Sports
7% — —
Tech
5% — —
Pop-Culture
2% 0% $-5
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 215 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? Yes +377 $153 27¢ $102 $-51 06-08 21:44
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026? Yes +208 $92 23¢ $48 $-44 06-07 18:46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes -46 $-45 95¢ $-44 +$1 05-29 11:20
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +50 $41 84¢ $42 +$1 06-05 20:39
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +62 $36 63¢ $39 +$3 05-28 22:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +45 $26 56¢ $26 $-0 06-09 09:01
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes +110 $24 23¢ $25 +$1 06-05 20:07
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +70 $22 27¢ $19 $-3 06-07 15:58
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $14 75¢ $15 +$1 06-05 20:35
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026? No -15 $-14 99¢ $-15 $-1 05-29 11:19
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? No -15 $-14 96¢ $-14 $-0 06-05 19:26
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes -21 $-5 66¢ $-14 $-8 05-28 23:38
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +15 $9 71¢ $11 +$1 05-31 14:52
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +90 $3 11¢ $10 +$7 06-09 08:27
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +10 $8 74¢ $7 $-0 06-01 16:45
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $0 66¢ $-7 $-7 06-01 10:24
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 05-31 11:10
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +5 $1 72¢ $4 +$2 05-31 14:43
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +34 $5 8¢ $3 $-2 06-07 15:57
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +10 $2 24¢ $2 $-0 05-31 14:21
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +5 $2 46¢ $2 $-0 05-28 18:57
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? No +15 $2 11¢ $2 $-0 05-28 18:56
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? Yes +2 $0 4¢ $0 $-0 05-29 13:32