Realized P&L
-$43
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
41.6%
Resolved
30
Trades
3,993
lifetime
Volume
$28.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$851
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
65% 47% $-21
Sports
12%
Politics
12% 33% $-16
Tech
5%
Crypto
3%
Pop-Culture
2% 0% $-5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 215 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +287 $208 80¢ $228 +$20 06-15 18:44
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? No -109 $-100 90¢ $-99 +$2 06-25 04:23
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +90 $72 86¢ $78 +$6 06-18 00:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +116 $65 54¢ $63 $-2 06-26 15:13
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No -90 $-55 66¢ $-59 $-4 06-24 15:53
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +62 $36 68¢ $42 +$6 05-28 22:01
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -40 $-32 81¢ $-32 $-0 06-13 22:57
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +140 $37 19¢ $27 $-11 06-25 07:36
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No -70 $-31 33¢ $-23 +$8 06-24 03:40
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? Yes -121 $83 19¢ $-23 $-106 06-29 08:17
Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-18 98¢ $-20 $-2 06-10 08:45
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $14 78¢ $16 +$2 06-05 20:35
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026? No -15 $-14 100¢ $-15 $-1 05-29 11:19
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? No -15 $-14 97¢ $-15 $-0 06-05 19:26
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes +60 $-57 24¢ $14 +$72 06-29 10:46
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027? No -15 $-13 86¢ $-13 +$1 06-13 22:58
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.? No +16 $12 72¢ $11 $-0 06-16 19:13
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +15 $10 72¢ $11 +$0 06-26 15:15
Kash Patel out by June 30? No -10 $-9 99¢ $-10 $-1 06-13 22:58
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? No -11 $-10 84¢ $-9 +$0 06-13 22:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $8 46¢ $9 +$1 06-20 13:03
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +30 $16 30¢ $9 $-7 06-13 09:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +31 $9 16¢ $5 $-4 06-24 15:52
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No +10 $6 51¢ $5 $-1 06-26 15:18
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +15 $6 30¢ $5 $-2 06-27 12:57
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $6 $4 $-2 06-14 09:45
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +5 $4 68¢ $3 $-0 05-31 11:10
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes -10 $-3 20¢ $-2 +$1 06-14 07:09
Multipli.fi FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1 $1 52¢ $1 $-1 06-25 14:32
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +90 $3 $1 $-2 06-09 08:27