Realized P&L
-$71
Unrealized P&L
+$88
Hit rate
38.7%
Resolved
34
Trades
4,841
lifetime
Volume
$36.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$996
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 10:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
63% 47% $-21
Sports
13%
Politics
12% 33% $-16
Tech
7%
Crypto
4% 0% $-28
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $-5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +217 $146 82¢ $177 +$32 07-16 13:55
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +215 $151 71¢ $153 +$2 07-13 13:40
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? No -164 $-150 92¢ $-151 $-1 07-16 13:51
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes +706 $78 16¢ $109 +$32 07-13 18:56
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -56 $-45 84¢ $-47 $-2 07-16 14:01
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No -40 $-38 90¢ $-36 +$2 07-16 14:04
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -40 $-35 86¢ $-34 +$0 07-16 17:46
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No -70 $-31 48¢ $-34 $-3 06-24 03:40
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +160 $41 18¢ $28 $-13 07-08 07:29
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -30 $-26 86¢ $-26 +$0 07-16 17:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +35 $13 68¢ $24 +$11 06-30 16:42
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No -30 $-21 71¢ $-21 $-1 07-10 22:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +25 $-2 79¢ $20 +$22 07-15 07:48
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No -18 $-18 97¢ $-17 +$0 07-16 14:00
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? No -15 $-14 98¢ $-15 $-0 06-05 19:26
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027? No -15 $-13 89¢ $-13 +$0 06-13 22:58
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +15 $10 80¢ $12 +$1 06-26 15:15
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? No -11 $-10 99¢ $-11 $-1 06-13 22:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-16 55¢ $-11 +$6 07-15 07:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027? No -10 $-10 95¢ $-10 +$0 07-05 17:43
Will Kash Patel be arrested before 2027? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 07-16 17:43
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +12 $-2 76¢ $9 +$11 07-16 17:46
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before 2027? No -6 $-6 96¢ $-6 +$0 07-15 14:37
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +15 $6 36¢ $5 $-1 06-27 12:57
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -5 $-5 92¢ $-5 $-0 07-16 17:42
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No +10 $6 45¢ $4 $-1 06-26 15:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $8 21¢ $4 $-4 06-20 13:03
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $6 $4 $-2 06-14 09:45
Multipli.fi FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1 $1 52¢ $1 $-1 06-25 14:32