0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.7%

Resolved

Trades

6,346

lifetime

Volume

$49.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 18:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

64% 47% $-21

Politics

14% 33% $-16

Sports

11% — —

Tech

7% — —

Crypto

4% 0% $-28

Pop-Culture

1% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	20	$579	307	407	-100	open	—	08-04 18:02
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?	13	$536	282	282	+0	open	—	04-15 16:47
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	27	$399	289	384	-95	open	—	01-22 21:50
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	23	$383	1,080	364	+716	open	—	08-09 14:41
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	24	$368	310	240	+70	open	—	01-27 15:10
will kanye release bully by march 27	43	$341	360	360	+0	open	—	03-26 22:58
grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883	54	$308	345	335	+10	open	—	07-06 10:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	14	$283	136	291	-155	open	—	07-29 22:26
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	17	$277	240	165	+75	open	—	08-06 17:31
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?	87	$271	399	646	-247	open	—	06-30 21:39
will bytedances valuation hit low 400b by december 31 20260701011753599	12	$267	166	166	+0	open	—	07-04 22:28
will sanders be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 359	9	$261	140	140	+0	open	—	02-01 19:40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	11	$254	180	123	+57	open	—	07-15 01:47
will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	30	$247	223	223	+0	open	—	08-07 18:00
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	6	$238	140	140	+0	open	—	07-16 13:55
grok 4pt20 released by february 28 844	9	$206	170	200	-30	open	—	02-16 20:10
gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	28	$199	225	225	+0	open	—	08-09 01:05
will amen be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 1	14	$188	127	127	+0	open	—	02-24 20:32
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	22	$180	164	142	+22	open	—	07-24 21:44
will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	17	$178	230	230	+0	open	—	03-30 08:59
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	8	$161	80	170	-90	open	—	07-29 22:26
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	21	$160	144	144	+0	open	—	07-09 20:56
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	79	$158	208	309	-102	open	—	06-25 07:39
will waymo launch in san diego ca by december 31 2026 20260626203025661	4	$157	148	40	+108	open	—	07-14 16:20
iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 2026	23	$157	162	162	+0	open	—	08-06 10:38
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	7	$153	92	92	+0	open	—	04-07 18:48
will ashlyn krueger advance to the semifinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193806975	9	$151	100	100	+0	open	—	06-30 07:39
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?	6	$150	0	164	-164	open	—	07-16 13:51
will jordan bardella leave the national rally by december 31 2026 20260709012217844	9	$148	109	109	+0	open	—	07-10 16:38
will david bailey be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	15	$143	120	120	+0	open	—	04-24 00:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 19:08:07	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 12 1786098036076	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x04204b…
08-09 19:08:04	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 12 1786098036076	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb60ed1…
08-09 18:40:13	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 12 1786098036076	No	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x15c1e5…
08-09 18:40:10	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 12 1786098036076	No	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0xb4397f…
08-09 18:08:18	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x973358…
08-09 18:08:16	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x670476…
08-09 18:02:39	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x454a4e…
08-09 18:02:37	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x3cc125…
08-09 14:41:24	Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x1873fd…
08-09 11:18:55	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 11 1786098036075	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x2c9cdb…
08-09 11:18:54	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 11 1786098036075	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x89ffbd…
08-09 11:12:54	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 11 1786098036075	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x503114…
08-09 11:12:51	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 11 1786098036075	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0a1be2…
08-09 09:33:03	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 15 1786098036079	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xc73454…
08-09 08:37:21	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xa1d62e…
08-09 08:22:06	will timothe chalamet be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x5f5fe0…
08-09 04:45:57	russia strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 15 2026 20260805160021492	No	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x39bee9…
08-09 04:45:55	russia strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 15 2026 20260805160021492	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xccdc04…
08-09 03:11:31	russia strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 15 2026 20260805160021492	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x45130b…
08-09 03:10:42	russia strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 15 2026 20260805160021492	No	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0x864bff…
08-09 02:02:18	wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 19 2026 0pt36	Yes	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0x25e709…
08-09 02:02:16	wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 19 2026 0pt36	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x97b6a2…
08-09 01:05:30	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0xd0bea1…
08-09 01:04:12	wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 19 2026 0pt36	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xa8da79…
08-09 01:04:09	wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 19 2026 0pt36	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xee9540…
08-08 22:23:46	will danny devito attend the us open finals 20260807052019167	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xa0278b…
08-08 22:11:13	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 15 1786098036079	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xcaca3b…
08-08 22:08:57	colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers 20260717184712607	Yes	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x4e881e…
08-08 22:08:54	colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers 20260717184712607	Yes	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x21fd75…
08-08 22:07:46	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 10 1786098036074	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x6f2588…
08-08 22:06:31	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 10 1786098036074	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xf2b8fb…
08-08 22:05:46	colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers 20260717184712607	Yes	SELL	18	81¢	$15	0xfe189d…
08-08 22:05:43	colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers 20260717184712607	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x738231…
08-08 21:58:39	trump approval up or down this week 1786098036073	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x52c2f0…
08-08 21:58:36	trump approval up or down this week 1786098036073	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc697dc…
08-08 21:41:13	will timothe chalamet be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x04e1c3…
08-08 20:41:04	will danny devito attend the us open finals 20260807052019167	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x5b21e4…
08-08 20:18:48	will sebastian stan be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x6b42ed…
08-08 20:18:45	will sebastian stan be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x6f96bf…
08-08 19:07:57	will aaron judge attend the us open finals 20260807052019171	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x2c1dfc…
08-08 19:07:52	will aaron judge attend the us open finals 20260807052019171	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x3528fd…
08-08 18:46:30	will lionel messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 ballon dor	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x17ae28…
08-08 18:39:58	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 15 1786098036079	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x1e29a3…
08-08 18:35:52	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 15 1786098036079	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x548579…
08-08 18:35:01	will lamine yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x9d0817…
08-08 18:24:34	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 15 1786098036079	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xe656db…
08-08 18:24:31	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 15 1786098036079	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x2184fe…
08-08 18:08:00	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 10 1786098036074	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x8528c9…
08-08 18:05:12	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 10 1786098036074	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x2d0029…
08-08 18:02:57	will roger federer attend the us open finals 20260807052019175	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xde89d2…
08-08 18:02:31	will roger federer attend the us open finals 20260807052019175	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x7c1ceb…
08-08 17:36:16	will brad pitt be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x6a0de4…
08-08 17:36:13	will brad pitt be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x751ed1…
08-08 16:56:31	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x9245c1…
08-08 16:56:28	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x12a420…
08-08 15:40:57	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xac8f64…
08-08 15:40:55	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb9b5b5…
08-08 15:04:58	will roger federer attend the us open finals 20260807052019175	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x7a30d8…
08-08 14:48:16	will roger federer attend the us open finals 20260807052019175	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x0356ce…
08-08 14:44:51	lisa cook out as fed governor by november 30 20260807204638265	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xf4c561…
08-08 14:44:49	lisa cook out as fed governor by november 30 20260807204638265	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x5a991c…
08-08 14:42:30	russia strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 15 2026 20260805160021492	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x138954…
08-08 14:23:43	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x824942…
08-08 13:59:24	trump announces lisa cook termination by august 31 20260807185637359	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x137d5d…
08-08 13:56:28	trump announces lisa cook termination by august 31 20260807185637359	Yes	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x4bd5f4…
08-08 12:54:52	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xd99f6d…
08-08 12:54:49	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9ec74f…
08-08 10:48:49	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x917a87…
08-08 10:48:46	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xfc8e48…
08-08 10:43:49	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x99b674…
08-08 10:37:42	lisa cook out as fed governor by december 31 20260807204638266	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xf97915…
08-08 10:37:39	lisa cook out as fed governor by december 31 20260807204638266	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x88d4d9…
08-08 10:35:18	will lionel messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 ballon dor	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xebb3be…
08-08 10:21:01	will haley thogmartin be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432952	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xfaebef…
08-08 10:20:58	will haley thogmartin be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432952	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xf1d673…
08-08 10:15:45	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	No	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xcf7c0a…
08-08 10:14:55	will lamine yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x4163af…
08-08 10:13:39	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	No	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x8c7f9b…
08-08 10:13:27	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 25 million views this week 20260805171239502	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x03e963…
08-08 10:12:43	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x476c9c…
08-08 09:46:30	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xaa8ca4…
08-08 09:43:54	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xbc9066…
08-08 09:43:52	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x47e1be…
08-08 09:21:07	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x72a9ef…
08-08 09:21:04	will the 1 global netflix show have at least 12 million views this week 20260805171354223	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x1aba05…
08-08 09:06:55	lisa cook out as fed governor by october 31 20260807204638264	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xfd3ad3…
08-08 09:06:52	lisa cook out as fed governor by october 31 20260807204638264	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x19ceec…
08-08 08:56:13	will lionel messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x3d08bb…
08-08 08:56:06	will lionel messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xfd20e0…
08-08 08:55:31	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x2338ba…
08-08 08:52:04	lisa cook out as fed governor by october 31 20260807204638264	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x0fd262…
08-08 08:49:42	lisa cook out as fed governor by october 31 20260807204638264	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x000d8e…
08-08 08:24:12	lisa cook out as fed governor by september 30 20260807204638263	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xf552bf…
08-08 08:21:51	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x0ad09e…
08-08 08:20:09	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$1	0xb7b8fb…
08-08 08:20:03	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xdd184e…
08-08 08:19:46	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x39b405…
08-08 08:19:46	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x35aaac…
08-08 07:23:34	will lamine yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x9c2f42…
08-08 07:19:10	will haley thogmartin be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432952	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x3b0d14…