Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
open
Total volume
$371
Trades
42
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$1,400
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-23 02:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $0 | $6 | $5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $11 | $101 | $90 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $3 | $25 | $23 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $2 | $40 | $37 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Median | 4 | — | $17 | $17 |
| Below median | 5 | $3 | $33 | $30 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $11 | $100 | $89 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| unranked | 7 | $2 | $16 | $14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | No | +111 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-30 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +31 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 07-16 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb95…611e | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-23 02:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-05 22:43 |
| Quintessential-Cofactor 0xe754…19f4 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-02 18:17 |
| Illiterate-Verification 0xdcfe…b5bf | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-08 00:29 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 18:17 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-16 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $4 | $14 | 3 | 07-11 13:01 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 09:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3f0…71f8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-20 09:43 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-30 01:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 02:37:13 | (anonymous) 0xcb95…611e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x243b46… |
| 07-23 02:37:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x243b46… |
| 07-20 09:43:36 | (anonymous) 0xf3f0…71f8 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x203598… |
| 07-20 09:43:36 | (anonymous) 0x2902…2132 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x203598… |
| 07-16 13:51:11 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x439f55… |
| 07-16 13:51:11 | (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | BUY | 31 | 91¢ | $28 | 0x439f55… |
| 07-16 13:51:11 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 36 | 91¢ | $33 | 0x439f55… |
| 07-14 19:15:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x759eec… |
| 07-14 19:15:28 | (anonymous) 0x3daa…56bd | No | SELL | 7 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x759eec… |
| 07-11 13:01:32 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x6d19ef… |
| 07-11 13:01:32 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x6d19ef… |
| 07-08 00:29:20 | Illiterate-Verification 0xdcfe…b5bf | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x47d70d… |
| 07-08 00:29:20 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x47d70d… |
| 07-07 22:02:02 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x4944cc… |
| 07-07 22:02:02 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x4944cc… |
| 07-05 23:04:46 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 12 | 93¢ | $12 | 0x412c04… |
| 07-05 23:04:46 | (anonymous) 0x5749…c029 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x412c04… |
| 07-05 22:43:41 | (anonymous) 0x5749…c029 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe2e4b4… |
| 07-05 22:43:41 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 12 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xe2e4b4… |
| 07-02 18:17:13 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x5b5b8a… |
| 07-02 18:17:13 | Quintessential-Cofactor 0xe754…19f4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5b5b8a… |
| 07-02 18:17:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x5b5b8a… |
| 06-25 04:23:59 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 66 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xb29087… |
| 06-25 04:23:59 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 66 | 93¢ | $61 | 0xb29087… |
| 06-24 15:56:08 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x24c0c2… |
| 06-24 15:56:08 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x24c0c2… |
| 06-24 15:55:49 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0x0c14fd… |
| 06-24 15:55:49 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x0c14fd… |
| 06-20 14:02:13 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xcbaccb… |
| 06-20 14:02:13 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xcbaccb… |
| 06-17 05:13:31 | Unsteady-Agency 0xb4ee…cc59 | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x59c85c… |
| 06-17 05:13:31 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x59c85c… |
| 06-07 09:45:43 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x886960… |
| 06-07 09:45:43 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x886960… |
| 06-07 09:45:21 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x21228b… |
| 06-07 09:45:21 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x21228b… |
| 05-30 01:32:40 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x167884… |
| 05-30 01:32:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x167884… |
| 05-30 00:12:49 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb65494… |
| 05-30 00:12:49 | Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8 | No | SELL | 0 | 84¢ | $0 | 0xb65494… |
| 05-30 00:12:49 | Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | No | BUY | 111 | 90¢ | $100 | 0xb65494… |
| 05-30 00:12:49 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 10¢ | $11 | 0xb65494… |