Realized P&L
-$647
Unrealized P&L
+$229
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved
90
Trades
319
lifetime
Volume
$5.38K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1.13K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 10-17 21:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
60% 63% -$130
Politics
28% 84% -$443
Crypto
8% 0% -$30
Tech
3% 33% -$57
Pop-Culture
1% 67% +$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +135 $30 94¢ $127 +$98 07-07 00:56
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +304 $24 22¢ $67 +$42 09-28 13:31
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +55 $30 88¢ $48 +$18 07-08 09:11
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +63 $30 73¢ $46 +$16 07-16 16:58
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +43 $30 84¢ $36 +$6 09-21 11:18
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +39 $31 92¢ $36 +$5 09-22 14:20
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +37 $31 92¢ $34 +$3 09-22 14:54
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +34 $30 97¢ $33 +$3 07-08 12:06
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +35 $30 96¢ $33 +$3 10-02 02:10
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +45 $30 74¢ $33 +$3 07-08 03:44
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +36 $30 92¢ $33 +$2 09-23 02:37
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? No +37 $30 88¢ $33 +$3 09-18 22:27
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +35 $30 94¢ $33 +$2 09-22 11:04
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +33 $30 96¢ $32 +$2 09-23 08:57
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +33 $30 96¢ $32 +$2 10-01 15:29
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +33 $31 97¢ $32 +$1 10-03 23:07
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +34 $30 93¢ $32 +$2 07-20 00:08
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +33 $30 97¢ $32 +$2 10-01 11:49
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +34 $30 95¢ $32 +$2 07-18 18:54
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +33 $31 97¢ $32 +$1 09-05 00:34
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +40 $30 80¢ $32 +$2 07-06 05:11
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No +34 $31 95¢ $32 +$1 09-22 15:16
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +33 $30 97¢ $32 +$2 07-07 13:24
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +32 $30 97¢ $32 +$2 07-07 10:09
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +35 $30 90¢ $32 +$2 07-05 18:30
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +33 $30 96¢ $32 +$1 10-01 18:48
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +33 $31 96¢ $31 +$1 09-22 16:26
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +34 $31 91¢ $31 +$0 09-23 20:36
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +34 $30 92¢ $31 +$1 09-21 16:09
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +33 $31 95¢ $31 +$1 09-22 02:07