Realized P&L
-$27
Unrealized P&L
+$98
Hit rate
25.7%
Resolved
3
Trades
167
lifetime
Volume
$2.72K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$990
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 07-21 07:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
49% 0% $-19
Politics
45% 100% +$2
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +135 $30 62¢ $83 +$53 07-07 00:56
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +444 $30 10¢ $46 +$16 07-04 22:50
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +55 $30 78¢ $43 +$13 07-08 09:11
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No +36 $30 96¢ $34 +$4 07-03 00:26
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? No +79 $30 42¢ $33 +$3 07-02 17:07
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +44 $30 74¢ $32 +$3 07-07 02:21
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +376 $30 $31 +$2 07-08 22:11
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? No +35 $29 89¢ $31 +$1 07-09 01:26
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +35 $30 88¢ $31 +$1 07-07 22:29
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +40 $30 77¢ $31 +$1 07-06 05:11
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +35 $30 87¢ $30 +$1 07-05 18:30
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +34 $30 88¢ $30 +$1 07-06 06:53
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +34 $30 88¢ $30 +$1 07-08 12:06
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +32 $30 96¢ $30 +$0 07-13 15:09
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? No +36 $30 84¢ $30 +$0 07-10 13:18
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +34 $30 90¢ $30 $-0 07-18 18:54
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +32 $29 92¢ $30 +$0 07-05 02:48
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +31 $30 96¢ $30 +$0 07-12 15:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +32 $30 94¢ $30 +$0 07-05 11:20
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +33 $30 91¢ $30 +$0 07-07 13:24
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +32 $30 92¢ $30 +$0 07-07 10:09
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No +49 $30 61¢ $30 $-0 07-05 09:47
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +32 $30 92¢ $30 +$0 07-05 18:28
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No +35 $30 84¢ $30 $-0 07-12 11:14
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +34 $30 86¢ $29 $-1 07-20 00:08
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? No +34 $30 88¢ $29 $-0 07-08 21:18
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +45 $30 66¢ $29 $-1 07-08 03:44
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +42 $30 70¢ $29 $-0 07-12 15:04
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? No +303 $30 10¢ $29 $-1 07-15 03:39
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +32 $30 91¢ $29 $-1 07-11 08:30