Will US annex any territory in 2026?
open
Total volume
$127,999
Trades
928
Unique wallets
316
Liquidity
$11,934
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-05 18:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+92.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $53
vs crowd: 8% YES on $65.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $70 | $104 | $34 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $24 | — | +$24 |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $11 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 278 | $4.9K | $58.4K | $53.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $53 | — | +$53 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $16 | $35 | $19 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 15 | $109 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| Median | 32 | $528 | $3.6K | $3.1K |
| Below median | 25 | $220 | $3.0K | $2.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $54 | $54 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $7 | $62 | $55 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $13 | $8 | +$5 |
| unranked | 227 | $4.1K | $52.0K | $47.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Determined-Workshop 0x256b…cfa6 | Yes | +1,030 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 06-09 02:28 |
| Few-Odyssey 0x29d5…2f00 | Yes | +1,022 | $82 | $83 | 3 | 06-09 05:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x94ab…cf48 | No | +530 | $488 | $488 | 1 | 06-09 02:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b58…37ac | No | +520 | $478 | $478 | 1 | 06-09 02:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x084f…cba3 | No | +510 | $469 | $469 | 1 | 06-09 02:28 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +501 | $474 | $474 | 2 | 07-01 22:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xc676…2ba4 | No | +500 | $460 | $460 | 1 | 06-09 02:27 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +172 | $-12 | $119 | 16 | 07-01 22:16 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +123 | $5 | $18 | 8 | 06-26 15:22 |
| Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | +112 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-09 07:33 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $6 | $8 | 8 | 06-26 14:56 |
| Similar-Brushing 0x862e…75bf | Yes | +91 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-23 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc10…33cc | Yes | +83 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-29 17:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x581d…b2e3 | No | +68 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-29 17:20 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +65 | $62 | $62 | 6 | 07-05 18:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x991d…0044 | No | +62 | $59 | $59 | 4 | 07-05 18:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9710…5dcf | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-23 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f13…3345 | No | +40 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-23 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +38 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 06-23 05:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-23 05:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd121…658b | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-23 18:25 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +29 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-02 16:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x530d…1a75 | Yes | +27 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-05 01:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f15…5fbd | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-05 18:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xa7e1…b4f9 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 09:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e89…cab7 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xe358…e84c | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-23 18:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xe358…e84c | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-23 08:54 |
| Secret-Quota 0x3ee5…febe | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 15:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x6018…2966 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 17:01 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $4 | 3 | 06-23 09:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9a6…22b2 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 17:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-23 20:33 |
| Giant-Console 0x3820…25a8 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-27 05:13 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +2 | $-1 | $9 | 41 | 06-24 16:38 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 20:49 |
| 0xdd52274BC6cF1EB642AE3d852B87038A67c5A779 0x9b21…d050 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 04:52 |
| Physical-Sunbeam 0x82e7…0c8f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 22:42 |
| Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 05:50 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $9 | 2 | 05-29 14:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 18:28:08 | (anonymous) 0x991d…0044 | No | BUY | 53 | 95¢ | $51 | 0x71e37f… |
| 07-05 18:28:08 | (anonymous) 0x5439…991a | No | SELL | 79 | 95¢ | $75 | 0x71e37f… |
| 07-05 18:28:08 | (anonymous) 0x8f15…5fbd | No | BUY | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x71e37f… |
| 07-05 18:26:16 | (anonymous) 0x5439…991a | No | SELL | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x01b38d… |
| 07-05 18:26:16 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x01b38d… |
| 07-05 01:44:28 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xa13edb… |
| 07-05 01:44:28 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa13edb… |
| 07-05 01:44:28 | (anonymous) 0x530d…1a75 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa13edb… |
| 07-04 23:02:55 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x10a8db… |
| 07-04 23:02:55 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x10a8db… |
| 07-04 20:54:11 | Keen-Former 0xba63…972d | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x8ea27d… |
| 07-04 20:54:11 | (anonymous) 0x991d…0044 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x8ea27d… |
| 07-04 16:17:04 | (anonymous) 0x47c7…b476 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9af206… |
| 07-04 16:17:04 | (anonymous) 0x991d…0044 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9af206… |
| 07-04 13:07:29 | Arctic-Seafood 0x7397…3ef8 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd6bf88… |
| 07-04 13:07:29 | (anonymous) 0x991d…0044 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd6bf88… |
| 07-03 02:28:38 | Past-Polish 0x3c30…d8ab | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xd24ebf… |
| 07-03 02:28:38 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd24ebf… |
| 07-02 16:40:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x17d9fa… |
| 07-02 16:40:50 | Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x17d9fa… |
| 07-02 11:56:23 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x28d829… |
| 07-02 11:56:23 | Hot-Kale 0xe5a5…a6e0 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x28d829… |
| 07-02 11:55:04 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3d45b5… |
| 07-02 11:55:04 | Gaseous-Offence 0x5b3e…d06a | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3d45b5… |
| 07-02 11:50:55 | Icy-Storyboard 0xc8c6…fdd0 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x035b3a… |
| 07-02 11:50:55 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x035b3a… |
| 07-02 11:46:46 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x244a21… |
| 07-02 11:46:46 | Dark-Handover 0x7f7e…9ab1 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x244a21… |
| 07-01 22:16:28 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x95c9eb… |
| 07-01 22:16:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x95c9eb… |
| 07-01 22:16:28 | Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | BUY | 74 | 95¢ | $70 | 0x95c9eb… |
| 07-01 22:16:07 | (anonymous) 0x9e29…a4a0 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x8bf8cc… |
| 07-01 22:16:07 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x8bf8cc… |
| 07-01 22:16:07 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x8bf8cc… |
| 07-01 22:16:07 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 338 | 5¢ | $17 | 0x8bf8cc… |
| 07-01 22:16:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 39 | 94¢ | $36 | 0x8bf8cc… |
| 07-01 22:16:07 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x8bf8cc… |
| 07-01 22:16:07 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x8bf8cc… |
| 07-01 22:16:07 | Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | BUY | 427 | 95¢ | $404 | 0x8bf8cc… |
| 07-01 19:35:46 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xc4dca2… |
| 07-01 19:35:46 | Conscious-Coincidence 0x6f17…af1d | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xc4dca2… |
| 06-28 05:09:55 | (anonymous) 0xef78…6f15 | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x2860ed… |
| 06-28 05:09:55 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x2860ed… |
| 06-27 05:15:10 | Well-Off-Activist 0x7c46…d8be | No | SELL | 57 | 89¢ | $51 | 0xe2ddf2… |
| 06-27 05:15:10 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xe2ddf2… |
| 06-27 05:13:07 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xd8272e… |
| 06-27 05:13:07 | (anonymous) 0x9e29…a4a0 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xd8272e… |
| 06-27 05:13:07 | Bad-Surface 0x76fd…ab71 | No | SELL | 67 | 89¢ | $60 | 0xd8272e… |
| 06-27 05:13:07 | Giant-Console 0x3820…25a8 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xd8272e… |
| 06-27 04:47:46 | Able-Culvert 0x5605…5962 | No | SELL | 65 | 91¢ | $59 | 0x25d347… |
| 06-27 04:47:46 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x25d347… |
| 06-27 04:47:46 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x25d347… |
| 06-27 04:47:46 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x25d347… |
| 06-27 04:47:46 | (anonymous) 0x2ab3…07bc | Yes | SELL | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x25d347… |
| 06-27 04:47:46 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 39 | 91¢ | $35 | 0x25d347… |
| 06-27 04:46:35 | Baggy-Magazine 0x4204…d93d | No | SELL | 16 | 92¢ | $15 | 0x5eff92… |
| 06-27 04:46:35 | (anonymous) 0x2ab3…07bc | Yes | SELL | 16 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x5eff92… |
| 06-27 04:45:22 | Hairy-Clef 0x967d…ddd4 | No | SELL | 60 | 92¢ | $55 | 0x8da6d6… |
| 06-27 04:45:22 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x8da6d6… |
| 06-27 04:45:22 | (anonymous) 0x2ab3…07bc | Yes | SELL | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x8da6d6… |
| 06-26 19:42:13 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf3d57c… |
| 06-26 19:42:13 | Gaseous-Offence 0x5b3e…d06a | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf3d57c… |
| 06-26 19:20:49 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x749812… |
| 06-26 19:20:49 | Hot-Kale 0xe5a5…a6e0 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x749812… |
| 06-26 18:58:20 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc1717b… |
| 06-26 18:58:20 | Icy-Storyboard 0xc8c6…fdd0 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xc1717b… |
| 06-26 18:18:32 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa2b9b8… |
| 06-26 18:18:32 | Dark-Handover 0x7f7e…9ab1 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa2b9b8… |
| 06-26 15:40:46 | (anonymous) 0x2ab3…07bc | Yes | BUY | 67 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x5a6405… |
| 06-26 15:40:46 | Bad-Surface 0x76fd…ab71 | No | BUY | 67 | 94¢ | $63 | 0x5a6405… |
| 06-26 15:22:04 | Well-Off-Activist 0x7c46…d8be | No | BUY | 57 | 94¢ | $54 | 0xbddaad… |
| 06-26 15:22:04 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 57 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xbddaad… |
| 06-26 14:56:16 | Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x36ecff… |
| 06-26 14:56:16 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 31 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x36ecff… |
| 06-26 14:56:16 | Able-Culvert 0x5605…5962 | No | BUY | 65 | 94¢ | $61 | 0x36ecff… |
| 06-26 14:56:16 | Hard-Guestbook 0x6d7e…ae5c | No | SELL | 26 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x36ecff… |
| 06-26 14:56:16 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x36ecff… |
| 06-26 14:45:35 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x4ff95f… |
| 06-26 14:45:35 | Hairy-Clef 0x967d…ddd4 | No | BUY | 60 | 94¢ | $56 | 0x4ff95f… |
| 06-26 14:45:35 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x4ff95f… |
| 06-26 13:02:38 | Conscious-Coincidence 0x6f17…af1d | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xb5c4a5… |
| 06-26 13:02:38 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xb5c4a5… |
| 06-26 07:51:52 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x95da79… |
| 06-26 07:51:52 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x95da79… |
| 06-26 07:51:52 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x95da79… |
| 06-26 06:32:25 | (anonymous) 0x9e29…a4a0 | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x416eb4… |
| 06-26 06:32:25 | (anonymous) 0x5d8c…33c3 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x416eb4… |
| 06-26 06:32:04 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | BUY | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x03f358… |
| 06-26 06:32:04 | (anonymous) 0xe5d8…d3e5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x03f358… |
| 06-26 05:50:44 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x8bdf1a… |
| 06-26 05:50:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x8bdf1a… |
| 06-26 05:50:44 | (anonymous) 0x71cf…a364 | No | SELL | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0x8bdf1a… |
| 06-26 05:50:10 | (anonymous) 0xc9ca…bb58 | No | SELL | 22 | 92¢ | $20 | 0xb3a5d8… |
| 06-26 05:50:10 | (anonymous) 0xe514…3b48 | No | SELL | 374 | 92¢ | $344 | 0xb3a5d8… |
| 06-26 05:50:10 | (anonymous) 0x1a27…5b51 | Yes | SELL | 727 | 8¢ | $58 | 0xb3a5d8… |
| 06-26 05:50:10 | (anonymous) 0x71cf…a364 | No | SELL | 331 | 92¢ | $305 | 0xb3a5d8… |
| 06-26 05:50:05 | (anonymous) 0xc9ca…bb58 | No | SELL | 354 | 92¢ | $325 | 0x816695… |
| 06-26 05:50:05 | (anonymous) 0x8d47…1e2b | No | SELL | 353 | 92¢ | $325 | 0x816695… |
| 06-26 05:50:05 | (anonymous) 0xe74e…505c | Yes | SELL | 728 | 8¢ | $58 | 0x816695… |
| 06-26 05:50:05 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x816695… |