Will US annex any territory in 2026?
open
Total volume
$18,433
Trades
230
Unique wallets
78
Liquidity
$11,934
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-13 02:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+91.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $34
vs crowd: 8% YES on $10.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $47 | $33 | +$13 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $3 | $405 | $403 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 57 | $790 | $8.8K | $8.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $34 | — | +$34 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $8 | $7 | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $97 | — | +$97 |
| Median | 11 | $85 | $963 | $877 |
| Below median | 12 | $83 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $1 | $26 | $25 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| unranked | 34 | $529 | $6.8K | $6.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Determined-Workshop 0x256b…cfa6 | Yes | +1,030 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 06-09 02:28 |
| Few-Odyssey 0x29d5…2f00 | Yes | +1,022 | $82 | $83 | 3 | 06-09 05:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x94ab…cf48 | No | +530 | $488 | $488 | 1 | 06-09 02:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b58…37ac | No | +520 | $478 | $478 | 1 | 06-09 02:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x084f…cba3 | No | +510 | $469 | $469 | 1 | 06-09 02:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xc676…2ba4 | No | +500 | $460 | $460 | 1 | 06-09 02:27 |
| Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | +112 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-09 07:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc10…33cc | Yes | +83 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-29 17:20 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +83 | $4 | $8 | 5 | 06-12 17:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x581d…b2e3 | No | +68 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-29 17:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7b5…f49e | No | +48 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 06-09 07:28 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +28 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 06-03 22:54 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +28 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 17:25 |
| Secret-Quota 0x3ee5…febe | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 15:33 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 21:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6018…2966 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 17:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9a6…22b2 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 17:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-09 07:33 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 20:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x47c7…b476 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 20:49 |
| Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 09:53 |
| Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 05:50 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $9 | 2 | 05-29 14:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 02:19:00 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x4d7a86… |
| 06-13 02:19:00 | Flawed-Judgment 0x9bb9…8aec | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x4d7a86… |
| 06-13 02:18:58 | Long-Strawberry 0x485b…f3b3 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x7600b0… |
| 06-13 02:18:58 | Informal-Futon 0x47ca…f9a8 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xe1a76f… |
| 06-13 02:18:58 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xe1a76f… |
| 06-13 02:18:58 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x7600b0… |
| 06-13 02:18:55 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x77e7cc… |
| 06-13 02:18:55 | Nutty-Pinot 0x9a30…011e | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x77e7cc… |
| 06-13 02:18:54 | Fickle-Fry 0x285b…7669 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x2e11bc… |
| 06-13 02:18:54 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x2e11bc… |
| 06-13 02:13:43 | Fickle-Fry 0x285b…7669 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x98d671… |
| 06-13 02:13:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x98d671… |
| 06-13 02:13:33 | Flawed-Judgment 0x9bb9…8aec | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x73ed68… |
| 06-13 02:13:33 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x73ed68… |
| 06-13 02:13:31 | Long-Strawberry 0x485b…f3b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xfe262c… |
| 06-13 02:13:31 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xfe262c… |
| 06-13 02:13:28 | Nutty-Pinot 0x9a30…011e | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x81122a… |
| 06-13 02:13:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x81122a… |
| 06-13 02:13:28 | Informal-Futon 0x47ca…f9a8 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xd55589… |
| 06-13 02:13:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd55589… |
| 06-12 17:33:42 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xf3d1d8… |
| 06-12 17:33:42 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xf3d1d8… |
| 06-12 17:33:42 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | No | SELL | 16 | 90¢ | $14 | 0xf3d1d8… |
| 06-12 08:25:57 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xcaf265… |
| 06-12 08:25:57 | Truthful-Bouquet 0x2b9c…5714 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xcaf265… |
| 06-12 08:25:55 | Primary-Dog 0xda25…4477 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xc945db… |
| 06-12 08:25:55 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc945db… |
| 06-12 08:25:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x7485dd… |
| 06-12 08:25:52 | Jittery-Shootdown 0x02d6…018c | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x5f8027… |
| 06-12 08:25:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x5f8027… |
| 06-12 08:25:52 | Far-Claim 0x6f34…1dbe | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x7485dd… |
| 06-12 08:24:00 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x674991… |
| 06-12 08:24:00 | Authentic-Ocelot 0xe278…fcfc | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x674991… |
| 06-12 08:09:33 | Authentic-Ocelot 0xe278…fcfc | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa7cd92… |
| 06-12 08:09:33 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa7cd92… |
| 06-12 08:09:30 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x4af4ac… |
| 06-12 08:09:30 | Primary-Dog 0xda25…4477 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x4af4ac… |
| 06-12 08:09:25 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x604c2e… |
| 06-12 08:09:25 | Jittery-Shootdown 0x02d6…018c | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x604c2e… |
| 06-12 08:09:22 | Far-Claim 0x6f34…1dbe | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xfb2c6a… |
| 06-12 08:09:22 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xfb2c6a… |
| 06-12 08:09:19 | Truthful-Bouquet 0x2b9c…5714 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x2ded7a… |
| 06-12 08:09:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x2ded7a… |
| 06-11 20:49:28 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x4b0075… |
| 06-11 20:49:28 | (anonymous) 0x47c7…b476 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x4b0075… |
| 06-11 03:39:27 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x1babde… |
| 06-11 03:39:27 | Long-Strawberry 0x485b…f3b3 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x1babde… |
| 06-11 03:39:24 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x9f8046… |
| 06-11 03:39:24 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd24874… |
| 06-11 03:39:24 | Fickle-Fry 0x285b…7669 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd24874… |
| 06-11 03:39:24 | Nutty-Pinot 0x9a30…011e | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x9f8046… |
| 06-11 03:39:24 | Flawed-Judgment 0x9bb9…8aec | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x49c0b2… |
| 06-11 03:39:24 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x49c0b2… |
| 06-11 03:39:22 | Informal-Futon 0x47ca…f9a8 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xe5043f… |
| 06-11 03:39:22 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xe5043f… |
| 06-11 03:25:57 | Informal-Futon 0x47ca…f9a8 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x9d8972… |
| 06-11 03:25:57 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xea746b… |
| 06-11 03:25:57 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x9d8972… |
| 06-11 03:25:57 | Long-Strawberry 0x485b…f3b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xea746b… |
| 06-11 03:25:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x12da4f… |
| 06-11 03:25:19 | Flawed-Judgment 0x9bb9…8aec | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x12da4f… |
| 06-11 03:25:18 | Fickle-Fry 0x285b…7669 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x566fe0… |
| 06-11 03:25:18 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x566fe0… |
| 06-11 03:25:15 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x845a23… |
| 06-11 03:25:15 | Nutty-Pinot 0x9a30…011e | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x845a23… |
| 06-10 17:01:40 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc395bd… |
| 06-10 17:01:40 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc395bd… |
| 06-10 17:01:40 | (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc395bd… |
| 06-10 17:01:40 | (anonymous) 0x6018…2966 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc395bd… |
| 06-10 03:44:51 | (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xe55355… |
| 06-10 03:44:51 | Long-Strawberry 0x485b…f3b3 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xe55355… |
| 06-10 03:44:48 | Flawed-Judgment 0x9bb9…8aec | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x488082… |
| 06-10 03:44:48 | (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x488082… |
| 06-10 03:44:45 | (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc52b78… |
| 06-10 03:44:45 | Fickle-Fry 0x285b…7669 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xc52b78… |
| 06-10 03:44:39 | Nutty-Pinot 0x9a30…011e | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x962638… |
| 06-10 03:44:39 | (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x962638… |
| 06-10 03:44:36 | Informal-Futon 0x47ca…f9a8 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x972c71… |
| 06-10 03:44:36 | (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x972c71… |
| 06-10 03:33:12 | Long-Strawberry 0x485b…f3b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xcd9a9b… |
| 06-10 03:33:12 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xcd9a9b… |
| 06-10 03:33:09 | Flawed-Judgment 0x9bb9…8aec | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x1813fe… |
| 06-10 03:33:09 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x1813fe… |
| 06-10 03:33:06 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xf3b73b… |
| 06-10 03:33:06 | Fickle-Fry 0x285b…7669 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xf3b73b… |
| 06-10 03:33:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe9b746… |
| 06-10 03:33:04 | Informal-Futon 0x47ca…f9a8 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xe9b746… |
| 06-10 03:33:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xf8ce10… |
| 06-10 03:33:04 | Nutty-Pinot 0x9a30…011e | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xf8ce10… |
| 06-09 21:24:16 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9cbd4f… |
| 06-09 21:24:16 | Defiant-Door 0xac72…07c1 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9cbd4f… |
| 06-09 21:05:22 | Defiant-Door 0xac72…07c1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe930a5… |
| 06-09 21:05:22 | (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe930a5… |
| 06-09 19:05:51 | Raw-Turkey 0x2559…2ef4 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x37b6be… |
| 06-09 19:05:51 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x37b6be… |
| 06-09 17:25:54 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x6c329c… |
| 06-09 17:25:54 | (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x6c329c… |
| 06-09 17:25:54 | (anonymous) 0x27fd…d0b4 | Yes | SELL | 142 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x6c329c… |
| 06-09 17:25:54 | (anonymous) 0xd9a6…22b2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6c329c… |
| 06-09 17:25:54 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 84 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x6c329c… |