Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
223
lifetime
Volume
$931
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$89
17 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 06-12 12:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
58%
Tech
23%
Other
19%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 700 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-12 15:14
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? No +11 $10 93¢ $10 $-0 06-12 14:42
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +11 $10 91¢ $10 +$0 06-12 14:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +11 $10 93¢ $10 $-0 06-12 13:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $-0 06-12 14:56
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +11 $9 88¢ $10 +$1 06-12 15:17
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +11 $9 80¢ $9 +$0 06-12 14:51
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +11 $4 61¢ $7 +$3 06-12 15:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +11 $6 55¢ $6 +$0 06-12 13:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +11 $3 34¢ $4 +$0 06-12 14:57
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-12 14:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +10 $1 13¢ $1 +$0 06-12 15:16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +10 $0 $0 +$0 06-12 15:15
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? No +11 $0 $0 $-0 06-12 14:48
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +11 $0 $0 $-0 06-12 15:12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +6 $-0 $0 +$0 06-12 15:07
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? No +4 $-0 $0 +$0 06-12 12:33