(anonymous) 0x9e29af…4ca4a0
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
18,704
lifetime
Volume
$84.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$160
18 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 07-02 16:37
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
64% — —
Other
28% — —
Tech
7% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 2203 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -38 $-36 94¢ $-36 $-0 06-17 03:10
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -33 $-29 91¢ $-30 $-1 06-14 08:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -30 $-14 70¢ $-21 $-7 06-18 08:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -11 $-14 100¢ $-11 +$3 07-02 12:55
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-1 06-25 09:59
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 07-01 11:19
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -9 $-9 97¢ $-9 $-0 06-16 09:32
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -11 $-9 66¢ $-7 +$2 06-15 20:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -10 $-5 60¢ $-6 $-1 06-29 04:46
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -11 $-3 54¢ $-6 $-3 06-16 11:14
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +11 $8 52¢ $6 $-2 06-17 21:24
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +6 $6 95¢ $6 $-0 07-02 16:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -11 $-2 18¢ $-2 $-0 06-14 21:22
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-01 03:37
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 06-30 19:01
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-16 08:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +0 $0 31¢ $0 +$0 06-14 14:45
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +6 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-21 13:35