Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
18,709
lifetime
Volume
$84.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$137
14 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 07-03 14:45
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
64%
Other
28%
Tech
7%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 2203 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -38 $-36 96¢ $-36 $-1 06-17 03:10
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -33 $-29 91¢ $-30 $-1 06-14 08:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -30 $-14 78¢ $-23 $-9 06-18 08:12
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $9 $-0 07-01 11:19
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -9 $-9 98¢ $-9 $-0 06-16 09:32
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -11 $-9 66¢ $-7 +$2 06-15 20:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -10 $-5 66¢ $-7 $-2 06-29 04:46
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -11 $-3 56¢ $-6 $-3 06-16 11:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -11 $-2 50¢ $-6 $-4 06-14 21:22
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +11 $8 30¢ $3 $-5 06-17 21:24
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 06-30 19:01
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +0 $-0 97¢ $0 +$0 07-03 03:09
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +0 $0 26¢ $0 +$0 06-14 14:45
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +6 $1 $0 $-1 06-21 13:35