Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

338

Trades

19,984

lifetime

Volume

$92.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-12

last 07-27 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Politics

65% 64% +$20

Other

27% 55% -$53

Tech

7% 65% +$56

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-27).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No		+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	06-30 19:01
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No		+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	07-03 03:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1,373	$9.1K	5,654	5,654	+0	Yes	+$21	06-14 19:02
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	855	$6.1K	3,656	3,656	+0	No	+$1	06-26 21:46
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	811	$5.5K	3,178	3,178	+0	No	+$4	06-18 09:18
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	540	$3.6K	2,210	2,210	+0	No	-$3	06-22 23:57
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	447	$3.6K	2,025	2,025	+0	No	-$4	06-22 09:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	506	$3.6K	1,959	1,959	+0	No	+$5	07-02 12:55
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	239	$2.0K	1,047	1,043	+4	No	+$3	06-28 20:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	337	$1.9K	1,443	1,432	+11	Yes	-$18	06-26 18:14
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?	265	$1.8K	1,155	1,155	+0	No	+$22	06-14 21:42
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	179	$1.4K	757	757	+0	No	+$3	06-14 18:52
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?	215	$1.3K	930	930	+0	No	+$13	06-14 22:12
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	134	$1.2K	628	628	+0	No	+$3	06-28 20:46
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	129	$1.1K	628	628	+0	No	-$9	06-29 11:03
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	124	$1.0K	550	550	+0	No	+$2	06-14 18:37
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	209	$1.0K	805	805	+0	No	+$13	06-17 21:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	134	$945	496	496	+0	No	+$1	06-18 01:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?	121	$936	550	550	+0	No	-$3	06-16 20:22
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	213	$916	526	526	+0	No	-$3	06-18 13:51
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?	107	$882	540	540	+0	No	+$2	06-23 05:49
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	131	$844	552	552	+0	No	+$2	06-26 18:06
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	166	$835	822	822	+0	Yes	-$7	06-17 20:50
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	124	$834	487	487	+0	No	+$2	06-28 06:38
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	109	$795	425	425	+0	open	—	06-17 03:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	333	$782	1,787	1,787	+0	No	-$15	06-18 09:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	85	$747	391	391	+0	No	+$2	06-23 06:19
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	178	$704	749	749	+0	Yes	+$5	06-15 16:51
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	135	$698	591	591	+0	No	-$3	06-18 09:38
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	156	$629	649	649	+0	Yes	+$7	06-30 14:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	104	$606	400	400	+0	No	+$3	06-23 05:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	135	$604	528	528	+0	No	+$5	06-30 16:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 01:00:06	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xaf4468…
07-03 14:45:31	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x4645fd…
07-03 10:13:23	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x5e79e0…
07-03 03:09:25	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa2f622…
07-02 21:48:04	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x2c9613…
07-02 21:18:47	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	No	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xe3a536…
07-02 16:37:37	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x429531…
07-02 15:20:38	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x6c0911…
07-02 14:51:37	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	No	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x2b38d8…
07-02 14:00:52	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	No	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xed20d4…
07-02 13:34:50	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xdc7ba7…
07-02 13:29:53	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x650570…
07-02 13:22:52	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xab0e46…
07-02 13:21:31	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xc718cd…
07-02 12:56:04	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xa797a8…
07-02 12:56:04	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x0cadff…
07-02 12:55:34	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xfe3213…
07-02 12:55:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf2cf9e…
07-02 12:55:34	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xd7f765…
07-02 12:55:34	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xc688b0…
07-02 12:55:34	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xa19090…
07-02 12:55:34	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x6a6bce…
07-02 12:55:34	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x66878a…
07-02 12:55:34	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x60a568…
07-02 12:55:34	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x359407…
07-02 12:55:34	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x1a950a…
07-02 12:55:34	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x03f7da…
07-02 12:54:02	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x28e045…
07-02 12:50:19	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xb997a7…
07-02 12:44:05	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x1a63e5…
07-02 12:41:13	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x88eec0…
07-02 12:41:04	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x4dcd33…
07-02 12:35:50	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x7a41bd…
07-02 12:33:19	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x571e54…
07-02 12:32:26	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x472a11…
07-02 12:29:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x5702d0…
07-02 12:22:41	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xf6356a…
07-02 12:17:58	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x641d0e…
07-02 12:16:25	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x194743…
07-02 12:15:58	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x4caaaa…
07-02 12:15:13	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	No	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x615275…
07-02 12:14:22	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xdaf674…
07-02 12:06:43	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xe4edbb…
07-02 12:04:32	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x67a5f5…
07-02 12:04:10	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0x63b927…
07-02 12:03:28	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x8b6b4e…
07-02 12:01:52	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0xa53538…
07-02 11:54:07	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x2e02f6…
07-02 11:52:38	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x6596a1…
07-02 11:52:02	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xc2cb4a…
07-02 11:50:19	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xc8d955…
07-02 11:45:49	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x67f439…
07-02 11:41:56	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xf6b120…
07-02 11:37:58	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x87faf9…
07-02 11:35:50	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x02b33a…
07-02 11:33:38	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x22a578…
07-02 11:23:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xab8ffc…
07-02 11:21:55	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xb401ed…
07-02 11:15:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x743f55…
07-02 11:15:50	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	No	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x41f648…
07-02 11:15:07	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xffea8d…
07-02 11:11:43	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0xe6ab14…
07-02 11:11:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x6afab3…
07-02 11:08:28	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xd1612f…
07-02 11:07:55	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x85de4b…
07-02 11:07:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x4286bd…
07-02 11:03:02	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	No	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x6a9777…
07-02 10:58:49	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	No	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xb22c8c…
07-02 10:57:14	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x929e70…
07-02 10:56:17	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2d5077…
07-02 10:51:59	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xe74492…
07-02 10:51:38	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x6cb782…
07-02 10:50:11	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xc240fd…
07-02 10:48:37	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	No	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x0d5cba…
07-02 10:45:19	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xc79cc3…
07-02 10:41:38	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	No	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xbe2abc…
07-02 10:41:17	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x461455…
07-02 10:40:13	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x9618c7…
07-02 10:39:56	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x22c1d6…
07-02 10:34:10	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0xa500d7…
07-02 10:27:14	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xc6af6c…
07-02 10:22:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0xf0f6fb…
07-02 10:21:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	11	78¢	$9	0x5cc4f6…
07-02 10:20:13	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xd3257c…
07-02 10:19:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x8ed647…
07-02 10:16:14	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb2f18d…
07-02 10:15:58	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x4295de…
07-02 10:15:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0xaf49d6…
07-02 10:14:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xb37432…
07-02 10:14:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x943d06…
07-02 10:13:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x39682e…
07-02 10:12:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xe8a421…
07-02 10:04:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xef52a9…
07-02 10:04:17	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x33a635…
07-02 10:00:28	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x12d9fb…
07-02 09:59:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	No	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x659722…
07-02 09:58:20	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xf1fef3…
07-02 09:55:10	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xaaed20…
07-02 09:49:43	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0xd0c2fa…
07-02 09:46:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xd6d46d…