Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
open
Total volume
$429
Trades
39
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$13,749
Latest YES mid
45¢
Latest NO mid
55¢
End date
2026-12-09
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-18 03:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-32.0¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $37
vs crowd: 37% YES on $401)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $2 | $70 | $68 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $6 | $180 | $174 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $2 | $4 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $137 | — | +$137 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $2 | $35 | $33 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $6 | $33 | $27 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $32 | $32 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | $104 | $102 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $5 | $45 | $40 |
| unranked | 5 | $133 | $5 | +$128 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x346b…d70f | Yes | +518 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-04 12:58 |
| Taut-Dogwood 0x8deb…7062 | No | +120 | $104 | $104 | 2 | 06-08 13:37 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-03 00:07 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +82 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-03 00:07 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +79 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-04 12:58 |
| Darling-Itinerary 0xae34…f8bc | Yes | +69 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-08 13:37 |
| Petty-Dealing 0x2158…9198 | Yes | +58 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-29 22:36 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +58 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-11 06:07 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +44 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 06-18 03:38 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +36 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-29 22:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb09…4f83 | Yes | +29 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-09 14:27 |
| Tragic-Limitation 0xe7ec…9dda | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 19:09 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-16 19:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xc8cd…f422 | Yes | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-18 03:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +11 | $9 | $11 | 2 | 06-11 14:54 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-04 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x94da…2bf1 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 20:12 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-04 13:18 |
| Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-08 13:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 03:38:08 | (anonymous) 0xc8cd…f422 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 64¢ | $10 | 0xf2a6b4… |
| 06-18 03:38:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 16 | 36¢ | $6 | 0xf2a6b4… |
| 06-16 19:09:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0x324617… |
| 06-16 19:09:28 | Tragic-Limitation 0xe7ec…9dda | Yes | BUY | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x324617… |
| 06-11 14:54:12 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x836fe0… |
| 06-11 14:54:12 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x836fe0… |
| 06-11 06:07:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x092149… |
| 06-11 06:07:51 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x092149… |
| 06-11 06:07:51 | Rotating-Flanker 0xc677…677a | Yes | SELL | 29 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x092149… |
| 06-09 14:27:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 29 | 90¢ | $26 | 0xbcdcb1… |
| 06-09 14:27:54 | (anonymous) 0xfb09…4f83 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xbcdcb1… |
| 06-08 20:12:07 | (anonymous) 0x94da…2bf1 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x55fb33… |
| 06-08 20:12:07 | True-Highlight 0x8030…7b74 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x55fb33… |
| 06-08 13:37:55 | Darling-Itinerary 0xae34…f8bc | Yes | BUY | 69 | 29¢ | $20 | 0x6f4df3… |
| 06-08 13:37:55 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x6f4df3… |
| 06-08 13:37:55 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 7 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x6f4df3… |
| 06-08 13:37:55 | True-Highlight 0x8030…7b74 | No | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x6f4df3… |
| 06-08 13:37:55 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x6f4df3… |
| 06-08 13:37:55 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x6f4df3… |
| 06-08 13:37:55 | Taut-Dogwood 0x8deb…7062 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x6f4df3… |
| 06-04 13:18:09 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x5cd841… |
| 06-04 13:18:09 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x5cd841… |
| 06-04 13:18:09 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x5cd841… |
| 06-04 12:58:45 | Taut-Dogwood 0x8deb…7062 | No | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0x70a960… |
| 06-04 12:58:45 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x70a960… |
| 06-04 12:58:45 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x70a960… |
| 06-04 12:58:45 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x70a960… |
| 06-04 12:58:45 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x70a960… |
| 06-04 12:58:45 | (anonymous) 0x346b…d70f | Yes | BUY | 518 | 19¢ | $100 | 0x70a960… |
| 06-04 12:58:45 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x70a960… |
| 06-04 12:58:45 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 79 | 41¢ | $32 | 0x70a960… |
| 06-03 00:07:08 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x0f293e… |
| 06-03 00:07:08 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0f293e… |
| 06-03 00:07:08 | Instructive-Completion 0x7f2a…e8a9 | Yes | SELL | 232 | 3¢ | $8 | 0x0f293e… |
| 06-03 00:07:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0f293e… |
| 06-03 00:07:08 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x0f293e… |
| 05-29 22:36:00 | Petty-Dealing 0x2158…9198 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x4e6bba… |
| 05-29 22:36:00 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0x4e6bba… |
| 05-29 22:36:00 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4e6bba… |