Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,587

lifetime

Volume

$1.10M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$693

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-13

last 08-23 12:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

80% 90% +$1,845

Other

14% 59% -$632

Sports

4% 62% +$60

Tech

2% 67% -$81

Crypto

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	168	$257.5K	154,934	110,720	+44,215	Yes	+$752	06-18 00:18
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	133	$179.3K	92,118	88,785	+3,333	Yes	+$659	06-18 00:22
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	16	$55.7K	55,841	0	+55,841	No	+$112	06-18 18:04
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	28	$42.2K	29,945	12,638	+17,307	Yes	+$125	06-14 22:47
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	4	$41.2K	20,626	20,626	+0	No	-$13	06-18 00:41
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	58	$37.5K	35,143	3,204	+31,939	No	+$394	06-24 19:28
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	32	$35.8K	71,827	0	+71,827	No	+$94	06-14 21:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	38	$33.3K	31,025	13,458	+17,567	No	+$57	06-26 13:22
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?	64	$32.6K	29,863	3,069	+26,794	Yes	+$211	06-13 03:54
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	20	$29.5K	29,781	0	+29,781	Yes	+$297	06-21 11:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	8	$27.5K	13,810	13,810	+0	No	-$14	06-16 12:58
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	8	$24.9K	20,523	4,500	+16,023	Yes	+$6	06-14 22:46
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	9	$24.9K	24,925	0	+24,925	Yes	+$54	07-01 20:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	410	$18.3K	134,264	58,429	+75,835	No	-$267	07-29 17:32
will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	16	$17.2K	8,617	8,617	+0	Yes	+$42	06-18 00:02
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$17.0K	17,000	0	+17,000	No	+$17	06-29 19:04
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	12	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	No	+$15	06-24 19:13
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 21 2026	7	$14.8K	14,817	0	+14,817	Yes	+$30	06-14 22:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$14.1K	14,157	0	+14,157	Yes	+$34	06-21 11:30
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 2 2026 20260630182730880	4	$11.1K	11,113	0	+11,113	Yes	+$11	07-02 19:09
us anti cartel operation outside of the us by june 30	6	$9.3K	9,326	0	+9,326	Yes	+$37	06-13 03:53
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	48	$9.1K	5,717	5,617	+100	Yes	-$440	07-07 00:32
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	10	$9.1K	20,318	16,672	+3,646	No	-$4	06-22 04:32
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	22	$8.7K	8,385	517	+7,868	Portugal	-$46	07-03 01:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	17	$8.7K	5,226	5,226	+0	No	+$321	07-03 23:31
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	15	$8.1K	4,358	4,357	+0	No	+$53	07-11 00:20
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	3	$8.0K	8,040	0	+8,040	Yes	+$21	06-21 11:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	12	$7.7K	7,745	0	+7,745	Yes	+$22	06-14 22:07
will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	10	$6.8K	6,814	0	+6,814	Yes	+$59	06-18 00:36
will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	12	$6.6K	6,625	0	+6,625	Yes	+$26	06-18 09:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-23 12:06:09	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x1a5f19…
07-29 18:01:27	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Something	SELL	911	0¢	$1	0x22b043…
07-29 17:38:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	521	100¢	$519	0x8a8003…
07-29 17:32:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,222	24¢	$538	0xfb4f3b…
07-29 16:21:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,034	100¢	$1,030	0x6d7801…
07-29 16:17:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x2e08f4…
07-29 16:17:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x3b6ade…
07-29 16:16:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0x874623…
07-29 16:15:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x40fbf0…
07-29 16:14:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	656	100¢	$653	0xa85644…
07-29 15:38:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	26¢	$260	0x9d37cc…
07-29 15:37:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0xdaaf16…
07-27 14:15:01	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	1,406	23¢	$322	0x040b8d…
07-25 21:01:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	578	21¢	$123	0xb9b887…
07-25 20:58:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xb7f7c6…
07-25 20:53:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	600	22¢	$130	0xaece2d…
07-25 20:53:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$217	0xe82ea0…
07-25 20:43:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,000	22¢	$651	0x4297d5…
07-25 20:38:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9d8e87…
07-25 20:19:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x9281a2…
07-25 20:16:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,484	22¢	$973	0x62b97c…
07-24 17:07:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	21¢	$103	0x72b883…
07-24 17:04:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6,206	21¢	$1,278	0xe15c27…
07-24 17:04:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	49	21¢	$10	0x1a5277…
07-24 16:56:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	99	21¢	$20	0x98932b…
07-24 16:48:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0xbb145b…
07-24 16:47:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0xc2a49d…
07-24 16:44:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xa68bc6…
07-24 16:44:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x4e7fa7…
07-24 16:40:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x6f9171…
07-24 16:35:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xbbfb72…
07-24 16:34:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xb3aea3…
07-24 16:34:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x9367c6…
07-24 16:34:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x7e59d8…
07-24 16:34:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x85f118…
07-24 16:34:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xcfa259…
07-24 16:33:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xf62f19…
07-24 16:33:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xd388ff…
07-24 16:33:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x8f0c2e…
07-24 16:33:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x8bc686…
07-24 16:33:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x1cc6e7…
07-24 16:33:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xfe8408…
07-24 16:33:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xa79636…
07-24 16:33:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x9f74ba…
07-24 16:33:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8e7055…
07-24 16:33:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x703548…
07-24 16:33:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x58f65f…
07-24 16:33:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x3855a0…
07-24 16:33:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2e1037…
07-24 16:33:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x21e7ca…
07-24 16:33:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x11d358…
07-24 16:33:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x00bab1…
07-24 16:33:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9,904	21¢	$2,040	0x2c2f58…
07-21 16:44:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	18,127	12¢	$2,175	0xc869ec…
07-21 16:35:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	13,466	12¢	$1,656	0x28e711…
07-21 15:25:19	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	749	12¢	$90	0x02a2d5…
07-21 15:18:09	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Something	BUY	542	10¢	$53	0x68843e…
07-21 02:48:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	22	7¢	$1	0x283249…
07-21 02:47:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	22	7¢	$1	0x932f84…
07-21 02:46:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	22	7¢	$1	0x647d95…
07-21 02:45:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	22	7¢	$1	0xc3f822…
07-21 02:44:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0xf267a2…
07-21 02:43:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0x6b957f…
07-21 02:42:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0xe2c9a3…
07-21 02:41:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	34	7¢	$2	0x58dcc2…
07-21 02:40:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	66	7¢	$5	0xeeca33…
07-21 02:40:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	244	7¢	$17	0x5a76a5…
07-19 20:26:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xadf8fd…
07-19 20:26:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xfeba2c…
07-19 20:26:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x3137bb…
07-19 20:26:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xa5d85b…
07-19 20:26:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x73be62…
07-19 20:26:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xc7ddf8…
07-19 20:25:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x07f2da…
07-19 20:25:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xf5ca29…
07-19 20:25:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x5c4776…
07-19 20:25:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xa30db0…
07-19 20:22:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0xcc5af0…
07-19 20:14:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x1648f3…
07-19 20:07:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1feaef…
07-19 20:05:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xabf969…
07-19 19:50:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x828b95…
07-19 19:45:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	207	5¢	$10	0x5fc47d…
07-19 19:13:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd35d6e…
07-19 18:47:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,225	5¢	$501	0xa4717f…
07-19 12:31:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x6e75ce…
07-19 12:13:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,125	5¢	$52	0x3b36f5…
07-19 12:03:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xca991f…
07-19 09:51:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x062027…
07-19 09:50:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd4e98f…
07-19 09:44:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe10f29…
07-19 09:43:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x79c3ac…
07-19 09:32:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4a9c78…
07-19 09:31:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3125a2…
07-19 09:22:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x45c9df…
07-19 09:22:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x919bc7…
07-19 09:15:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf63806…
07-19 09:14:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc39cbb…
07-19 09:08:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb3a425…
07-19 09:08:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa057db…