Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
open
Total volume
$1,730
$404,651 in 24h
Trades
51
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$361,817
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-06-17
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 42 | $576 | $539 | +$37 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 41 | $574 | $539 | +$35 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best-Wont 0x88ba…598f | Yes | +15,385 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 05-05 13:07 |
| Indolent-Coincidence 0x1958…310b | Yes | +3,550 | $78 | $78 | 2 | 05-04 21:54 |
| Round-Maintenance 0x9369…6de9 | Yes | +2,400 | $66 | $66 | 3 | 05-05 13:20 |
| Repentant-Shackle 0xaa9f…0df3 | Yes | +401 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 04:50 |
| Gargantuan-Middleman 0xdb8a…4d20 | Yes | +226 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 14:24 |
| Trusting-Till 0x490a…9fc9 | Yes | +172 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 20:44 |
| Golden-Corporatism 0x6839…86b1 | Yes | +120 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 08:30 |
| Rare-Complication 0x6feb…0293 | Yes | +103 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 19:34 |
| Bare-Solidity 0x91f4…d725 | Yes | +83 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 00:29 |
| Wrathful-Con 0x59f7…2b21 | No | +67 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 05-04 23:39 |
| Enormous-Mallet 0x0705…0f55 | No | +65 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 05-05 13:45 |
| Modern-Stain 0x600c…de0c | No | +63 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 05-05 13:45 |
| Wealthy-Misreading 0x4f1c…01aa | No | +55 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 05-05 19:42 |
| Misty-Dynamics 0x7cb5…2b60 | No | +48 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-04 23:09 |
| Reflecting-Cloud 0x3ef7…064c | No | +47 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-05 19:34 |
| Poor-Standardization 0xfe6c…e7af | No | +45 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 05-05 19:18 |
| Well-Documented-Suburb 0x4353…6b02 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 05:35 |
| Pointed-Behest 0x575f…5b78 | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 12:56 |
| These-Physiology 0x6640…3125 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-05 05:55 |
| Big-Hearted-Longitude 0x3a70…f6a7 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-05 18:48 |
| Heavy-Nail 0x01d1…bfdc | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-05 14:17 |
| Tinted-Dew 0x0c4f…07a0 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-05 06:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:50:08 | Belated-Nightgown 0x40d7…1218 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x21d7d5… |
| 05-05 21:00:08 | Shameful-Grabbag 0x8ee1…78ee | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd0acec… |
| 05-05 20:44:44 | Trusting-Till 0x490a…9fc9 | Yes | BUY | 172 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x1cfacf… |
| 05-05 19:42:58 | Wealthy-Misreading 0x4f1c…01aa | No | BUY | 55 | 97¢ | $53 | 0xd54d3b… |
| 05-05 19:34:34 | Rare-Complication 0x6feb…0293 | Yes | BUY | 103 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x207fd1… |
| 05-05 19:34:22 | Reflecting-Cloud 0x3ef7…064c | No | BUY | 47 | 97¢ | $46 | 0x612e5e… |
| 05-05 19:18:12 | Poor-Standardization 0xfe6c…e7af | No | BUY | 45 | 97¢ | $44 | 0xb7902e… |
| 05-05 19:01:36 | Partial-Safeguard 0xc820…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 1,106 | 3¢ | $31 | 0x71e74c… |
| 05-05 18:48:00 | Big-Hearted-Longitude 0x3a70…f6a7 | No | BUY | 25 | 97¢ | $25 | 0x3ceea9… |
| 05-05 16:54:54 | (anonymous) 0x65ac…c6c1 | No | SELL | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0xad0ac4… |
| 05-05 16:49:48 | Buttery-Predecessor 0x000d…8c9b | Yes | SELL | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x55f578… |
| 05-05 15:47:36 | Incompatible-Kick 0x2778…cbae | No | SELL | 23 | 97¢ | $23 | 0x5727cc… |
| 05-05 15:44:50 | False-Skull 0x8c2b…da1c | No | SELL | 205 | 97¢ | $199 | 0xceebcd… |
| 05-05 14:24:46 | Gargantuan-Middleman 0xdb8a…4d20 | Yes | BUY | 226 | 3¢ | $7 | 0x32f744… |
| 05-05 14:17:18 | Heavy-Nail 0x01d1…bfdc | No | BUY | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0xb834b1… |
| 05-05 13:45:28 | Enormous-Mallet 0x0705…0f55 | No | BUY | 65 | 97¢ | $63 | 0x646a8f… |
| 05-05 13:45:20 | Modern-Stain 0x600c…de0c | No | BUY | 63 | 97¢ | $61 | 0xc9e80d… |
| 05-05 13:20:30 | Round-Maintenance 0x9369…6de9 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 3¢ | $30 | 0xeecf26… |
| 05-05 13:07:08 | Best-Wont 0x88ba…598f | Yes | BUY | 15,385 | 3¢ | $400 | 0x18e027… |
| 05-05 13:00:24 | Round-Maintenance 0x9369…6de9 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 3¢ | $26 | 0xd66ea4… |
| 05-05 12:56:58 | Pointed-Behest 0x575f…5b78 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x99d3fa… |
| 05-05 12:45:28 | Round-Maintenance 0x9369…6de9 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 2¢ | $10 | 0xd0061c… |
| 05-05 11:00:18 | Trim-Pumpkinseed-Profit 0x8b33…b817 | No | SELL | 58 | 98¢ | $57 | 0x810834… |
| 05-05 10:41:36 | Humming-Weedkiller 0x03ee…ed41 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x32faf2… |
| 05-05 10:36:18 | Incompatible-Kick 0x2778…cbae | No | SELL | 24 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x087771… |
| 05-05 08:46:08 | Dental-Parent 0x5c61…fce1 | Yes | SELL | 450 | 2¢ | $11 | 0x2d0133… |
| 05-05 08:30:18 | Golden-Corporatism 0x6839…86b1 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x4c9d1b… |
| 05-05 07:15:12 | Fearless-Fragrance 0x73ff…dcfd | No | SELL | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x7b61e2… |
| 05-05 06:40:48 | Tinted-Dew 0x0c4f…07a0 | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x1438e8… |
| 05-05 05:55:46 | These-Physiology 0x6640…3125 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xa87cd9… |
| 05-05 05:35:10 | Well-Documented-Suburb 0x4353…6b02 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x34d0db… |
| 05-05 04:50:08 | Repentant-Shackle 0xaa9f…0df3 | Yes | BUY | 401 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x6e09ea… |
| 05-05 04:45:40 | Modern-Saw 0xb474…d6b6 | No | SELL | 26 | 98¢ | $25 | 0xc81d1e… |
| 05-05 03:10:32 | Reflecting-Tongue 0x8223…a06e | No | SELL | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0x9aec3a… |
| 05-05 02:30:04 | Dirty-Philanthropy-Sofa 0x4437…4646 | No | SELL | 54 | 98¢ | $52 | 0x7c8f74… |
| 05-05 02:10:00 | Fearless-Fragrance 0x73ff…dcfd | No | BUY | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x162a58… |
| 05-05 00:29:48 | Bare-Solidity 0x91f4…d725 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x6b02cc… |
| 05-04 23:39:50 | Wrathful-Con 0x59f7…2b21 | No | BUY | 67 | 98¢ | $66 | 0x7c1449… |
| 05-04 23:09:52 | Misty-Dynamics 0x7cb5…2b60 | No | BUY | 48 | 98¢ | $46 | 0xe77996… |
| 05-04 22:19:54 | Deficient-Laughter 0xbe31…b42d | Yes | SELL | 122 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x48afa6… |
| 05-04 21:54:52 | Wooden-Clothes 0xe6ad…a012 | Yes | SELL | 700 | 2¢ | $15 | 0x0934c1… |
| 05-04 21:54:46 | Indolent-Coincidence 0x1958…310b | Yes | BUY | 3,000 | 2¢ | $66 | 0xe592fd… |
| 05-04 21:39:38 | Stunning-Beetle 0x42d9…0211 | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x9cf017… |
| 05-04 21:39:38 | Salty-Strap 0xe4ff…85ba | No | SELL | 26 | 98¢ | $25 | 0xea38f0… |
| 05-04 21:39:38 | Outlying-Tempo 0x6c77…a514 | No | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xd4a7db… |
| 05-04 21:39:38 | Outlying-Tempo 0x6c77…a514 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x234283… |
| 05-04 21:39:36 | Indolent-Coincidence 0x1958…310b | Yes | BUY | 550 | 2¢ | $12 | 0x5c74fe… |
| 05-04 21:04:16 | Pleased-Capital 0xcfb5…21ba | Yes | SELL | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2ed2d8… |
| 05-04 20:39:44 | Pleased-Capital 0xcfb5…21ba | Yes | SELL | 177 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x93aba3… |
| 05-04 20:34:30 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x1ed0b2… |
| 05-04 20:14:38 | Brisk-Proposition 0x16f6…fc9b | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x4d63a3… |