Trim-Pumpkinseed-Profit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

10.6%

Resolved

Trades

269

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-13 23:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

41% 0% $-0

Other

34% 50% $-0

Crypto

16% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No		+20	$20	94¢	$19	$-1	06-13 23:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	12	$992	512	512	+0	No	$-0	04-03 10:54
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	11	$643	330	330	+0	open	—	02-11 19:53
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	8	$613	319	319	-0	open	—	03-17 23:07
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	13	$507	263	263	+0	open	—	01-29 22:52
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	7	$427	223	223	+0	open	—	04-15 01:05
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$420	223	223	+0	open	—	03-08 05:09
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$417	220	220	+0	Yes	$-0	04-05 20:24
Netanyahu out by April 30?	6	$412	213	213	+0	open	—	03-31 18:48
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	13	$407	223	223	-0	open	—	01-29 22:56
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	6	$389	199	199	+0	open	—	04-17 08:15
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$329	170	170	+0	open	—	02-25 20:38
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$316	163	163	+0	open	—	03-13 18:59
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$309	162	162	-0	open	—	03-18 21:03
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	3	$284	146	146	+0	open	—	01-25 19:33
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$263	137	137	+0	open	—	02-03 07:48
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$248	130	130	+0	open	—	04-27 19:00
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$209	111	111	+0	open	—	01-13 09:45
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$181	93	93	+0	open	—	02-25 21:03
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	2	$175	95	95	+0	open	—	03-06 11:18
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	2	$174	91	91	+0	open	—	03-02 08:36
will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$173	89	89	+0	open	—	03-11 15:33
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	3	$169	87	87	+0	open	—	03-12 14:31
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$167	85	85	+0	No	+$0	03-11 22:24
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$158	83	83	+0	open	—	04-15 05:20
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	3	$157	84	84	+0	open	—	03-02 08:47
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$156	80	80	+0	open	—	01-27 06:25
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$154	79	79	+0	open	—	03-18 06:51
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$153	80	80	+0	open	—	03-21 10:26
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	3	$151	78	78	+0	open	—	03-11 00:17
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$150	79	79	+0	open	—	03-22 19:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 23:57:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xdbe2be…
06-13 10:54:51	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0xd05f4c…
06-13 10:23:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0xbf8ff8…
06-13 04:22:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xa734f7…
06-11 09:10:01	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x868e47…
06-11 03:08:45	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xceb05f…
06-10 12:34:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0xfe42c9…
06-10 04:33:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x5ddb4c…
06-08 12:56:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xeaacce…
06-08 06:55:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7ee707…
06-06 19:45:33	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x9d78c5…
06-06 12:43:25	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xb06a7c…
06-06 07:41:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x2c1f25…
06-06 01:41:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x1589b7…
06-06 01:10:31	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	SELL	31	89¢	$27	0xf78e24…
06-05 21:10:22	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	31	92¢	$28	0x1df314…
06-05 20:40:16	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xac6e77…
06-05 16:39:49	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x196dfa…
05-24 15:34:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	36	91¢	$33	0x4b7790…
05-24 07:32:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0xeead80…
05-23 05:27:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	41	91¢	$37	0x1fce55…
05-23 00:27:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x3df241…
05-18 02:31:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xb72316…
05-17 20:30:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x966fa1…
05-16 10:22:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x696742…
05-16 10:21:22	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x82a1b0…
05-15 07:25:28	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x1d7f86…
05-14 20:54:22	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$46	0x6cf1ea…
05-09 19:05:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	48	91¢	$43	0x8b134a…
05-09 12:04:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x65e4e3…
05-06 06:19:16	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$60	0xff5ad8…
05-06 00:07:12	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x2a7faa…
05-04 03:48:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	61	96¢	$59	0x74f9ca…
05-03 20:46:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0x057476…
05-03 11:39:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$51	0x9968aa…
05-03 06:38:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x425fe8…
04-27 19:00:16	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x347201…
04-27 10:59:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	65	94¢	$61	0xf4022b…
04-19 15:24:40	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	61	96¢	$59	0x9c8a81…
04-19 08:22:04	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0xf7c63e…
04-19 03:09:50	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	65	94¢	$62	0xbbe8bf…
04-18 20:07:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$61	0xd51072…
04-18 15:13:56	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	56	93¢	$52	0xb0ee26…
04-18 07:59:58	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x0accf3…
04-17 16:52:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	67	98¢	$66	0xe1d7af…
04-17 08:45:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xacbf25…
04-17 08:44:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x02d362…
04-17 08:15:14	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$53	0xb83016…
04-17 00:09:22	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x5ff44c…
04-16 23:33:32	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x1c980f…
04-16 18:33:00	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$64	0x924197…
04-15 21:12:02	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$59	0xc46b50…
04-15 13:11:56	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xee32db…
04-15 05:20:52	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	69	96¢	$66	0x377fd1…
04-15 01:17:46	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	69	96¢	$66	0x55b67b…
04-15 01:05:46	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	63	97¢	$62	0xffe747…
04-14 18:04:42	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0x69326c…
04-14 02:30:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x5f82fc…
04-13 21:29:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x73ce7d…
04-13 17:18:19	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	66	98¢	$64	0xa5a1e9…
04-13 09:17:53	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0x4a0c59…
04-12 17:35:05	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0x1d78d0…
04-12 09:13:53	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	63	98¢	$61	0x08a1fa…
04-11 05:09:21	will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x733afb…
04-10 23:01:59	will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	56	97¢	$55	0xdc2373…
04-10 22:56:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$61	0x0a634d…
04-10 17:53:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0xfe659b…
04-08 19:46:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	61	94¢	$57	0x5d349e…
04-08 11:42:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0xf7e0d2…
04-07 14:34:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	72	95¢	$69	0xb77d4d…
04-07 07:24:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	73	95¢	$69	0x21698b…
04-05 20:24:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	62	96¢	$60	0xb259d2…
04-05 14:10:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xaa43b5…
04-03 10:54:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	71	96¢	$69	0x1f5abb…
04-03 05:55:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	71	97¢	$69	0xac03e8…
04-02 13:18:29	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x7dc07d…
04-02 01:19:29	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x567f12…
04-01 17:38:05	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	66	95¢	$62	0xe7c1f2…
04-01 07:09:09	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	66	95¢	$62	0x1f34ee…
03-31 18:48:37	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x972662…
03-31 10:47:33	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x224202…
03-30 17:41:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x59213f…
03-30 11:36:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xd3f666…
03-29 16:04:08	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	SELL	72	98¢	$70	0xe0bc9d…
03-29 10:02:54	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xa6fa2f…
03-28 07:18:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$59	0x699396…
03-28 02:13:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$59	0x0f26aa…
03-26 20:55:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	70	97¢	$68	0x0d4bb2…
03-26 15:54:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0xc573e0…
03-25 16:50:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	74	97¢	$71	0xad980e…
03-25 08:47:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	74	97¢	$71	0xe92916…
03-25 08:43:13	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	75	96¢	$72	0x384e61…
03-25 04:38:41	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x9b1e9a…
03-24 16:13:15	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	77	96¢	$74	0xe8fcf6…
03-24 16:04:23	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	77	96¢	$74	0xa5306c…
03-24 15:41:49	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	70	93¢	$65	0x5ad482…
03-24 10:32:33	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0xf54af5…
03-23 10:37:23	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0x9a53e8…
03-23 02:07:59	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	78	95¢	$74	0xbdfd80…
03-23 01:44:33	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	73	98¢	$72	0x7334b6…