Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$223,401
$111 in 24h
Trades
2,487
Unique wallets
564
Liquidity
$33,105
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-15 15:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.2¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $32.2K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $150.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 26 | $217 | $54.4K | $54.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 52 | $1.1K | $54.4K | $53.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 178 | $1.1K | $28.7K | $27.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 308 | $2.3K | $7.8K | $5.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $634 | $31.5K | $30.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $223 | $6.6K | $6.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 20 | $14 | $2.4K | $2.3K |
| Median | 71 | $518 | $5.8K | $5.3K |
| Below median | 188 | $158 | $11.6K | $11.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $117 | $486 | $368 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 19 | $174 | $3.5K | $3.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 11 | $205 | $14.9K | $14.7K |
| unranked | 215 | $2.7K | $68.6K | $65.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aged-Tortoise 0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | +47,247 | $1,786 | $1,786 | 4 | 08-13 09:59 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +30,000 | $28,830 | $28,830 | 1 | 07-22 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +11,512 | $11,120 | $11,120 | 4 | 08-10 22:59 |
| Plush-Robotics 0xe7ef…b402 | No | +9,350 | $9,000 | $9,000 | 2 | 07-01 07:24 |
| Candid-Gig 0x23db…cf1c | Yes | +6,805 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 07-28 20:34 |
| Favorable-Motion 0x152f…a549 | Yes | +5,512 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-22 08:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xafd7…f634 | Yes | +5,000 | $300 | $300 | 17 | 06-08 01:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xe120…283e | No | +5,000 | $4,800 | $4,800 | 9 | 07-28 20:34 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +4,488 | $4,310 | $5,883 | 27 | 07-29 22:55 |
| Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | +4,160 | $3,927 | $47,411 | 65 | 08-13 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cfe…3232 | No | +3,331 | $3,076 | $3,076 | 2 | 06-04 01:59 |
| Artistic-Tire 0xcd6b…68f5 | Yes | +3,000 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 06-17 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x27b3…01bb | No | +3,000 | $2,790 | $2,790 | 21 | 06-08 11:20 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +2,847 | $2,591 | $2,591 | 1 | 06-01 02:57 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +2,635 | $2,545 | $3,767 | 15 | 08-02 16:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x57e7…bc87 | Yes | +2,564 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-09 11:04 |
| Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | +2,504 | $2,367 | $2,367 | 5 | 08-10 09:38 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,658 | $80 | $539 | 97 | 07-29 14:51 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +1,502 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 06-05 08:11 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +1,472 | $1,382 | $2,665 | 41 | 07-28 20:35 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +1,379 | $74 | $74 | 18 | 08-01 23:14 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +1,202 | $1,162 | $1,162 | 3 | 08-02 19:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x36f1…ec06 | No | +1,187 | $1,151 | $1,151 | 1 | 08-03 11:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | +1,131 | $1,089 | $1,089 | 2 | 08-14 10:26 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +1,125 | $1,067 | $1,067 | 25 | 07-28 20:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e6c…e358 | No | +1,034 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-30 14:34 |
| Intrepid-Holder 0x4f31…efa3 | No | +998 | $954 | $954 | 1 | 08-06 15:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +800 | $773 | $773 | 1 | 07-06 10:38 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +800 | $732 | $2,652 | 3 | 06-17 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x9977…78ae | No | +782 | $750 | $750 | 3 | 08-14 08:56 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +706 | $23 | $25 | 6 | 07-05 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b7e…23eb | No | +594 | $528 | $528 | 11 | 05-31 10:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x6209…91bd | Yes | +589 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-15 13:18 |
| Total-Final 0xb071…15cb | No | +583 | $523 | $3,397 | 12 | 08-10 22:59 |
| Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | +500 | $460 | $460 | 1 | 06-02 13:07 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +500 | $481 | $481 | 1 | 08-06 15:02 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +494 | $476 | $476 | 19 | 08-05 19:21 |
| Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | +449 | $419 | $1,407 | 24 | 08-13 09:59 |
| Icy-Right 0x0f5b…6846 | No | +410 | $386 | $1,442 | 6 | 08-07 20:52 |
| Assured-Photo 0x1d43…cf5f | No | +400 | $383 | $383 | 2 | 06-26 13:15 |
| Puny-Husband 0x7e47…ecf7 | Yes | +386 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-15 16:25 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +346 | $329 | $329 | 56 | 07-28 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x01a4…ac62 | Yes | +307 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 06-05 06:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x04db…c253 | Yes | +286 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-21 06:35 |
| Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | +259 | $8 | $117 | 23 | 08-14 10:26 |
| Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | +230 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 07-01 07:23 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-08 01:48 |
| Willing-Rainy 0x09ae…004e | Yes | +200 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 06-20 16:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +200 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-08 01:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xd658…e518 | Yes | +129 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-21 16:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 15:35:15 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x8c255a… |
| 08-15 15:35:15 | (anonymous) 0xb41c…2726 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x8c255a… |
| 08-15 15:16:15 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x5afd59… |
| 08-15 15:16:15 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x5afd59… |
| 08-15 12:10:04 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | No | SELL | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xd5cf2b… |
| 08-15 12:10:04 | Glum-Reconsideration 0x21fb…1f4e | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xd5cf2b… |
| 08-14 15:54:15 | Glum-Reconsideration 0x21fb…1f4e | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xf4bfab… |
| 08-14 15:54:15 | (anonymous) 0xba00…527b | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xf4bfab… |
| 08-14 15:43:18 | (anonymous) 0xba00…527b | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x212d82… |
| 08-14 15:43:18 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x212d82… |
| 08-14 11:59:18 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xec9922… |
| 08-14 11:59:18 | (anonymous) 0xba00…527b | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xec9922… |
| 08-14 10:26:24 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x29909a… |
| 08-14 10:26:24 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x29909a… |
| 08-14 10:26:24 | (anonymous) 0xb6fa…53cb | No | SELL | 67 | 96¢ | $65 | 0x29909a… |
| 08-14 08:56:13 | (anonymous) 0x9977…78ae | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x6671d4… |
| 08-14 08:56:13 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x6671d4… |
| 08-14 08:54:57 | (anonymous) 0x9977…78ae | No | BUY | 207 | 96¢ | $200 | 0xc1ac61… |
| 08-14 08:54:57 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 207 | 4¢ | $7 | 0xc1ac61… |
| 08-13 17:27:46 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc68cd8… |
| 08-13 17:27:46 | (anonymous) 0xb6fa…53cb | No | BUY | 41 | 96¢ | $40 | 0xc68cd8… |
| 08-13 17:15:39 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xaed549… |
| 08-13 17:15:39 | (anonymous) 0xb6fa…53cb | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xaed549… |
| 08-13 17:15:25 | Vibrant-Gelding 0x27ec…e521 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xf91431… |
| 08-13 17:15:25 | (anonymous) 0xb6fa…53cb | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xf91431… |
| 08-13 17:15:18 | (anonymous) 0xb6fa…53cb | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6a3c1c… |
| 08-13 17:15:18 | Vibrant-Gelding 0x27ec…e521 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6a3c1c… |
| 08-13 09:59:57 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | BUY | 1,115 | 96¢ | $1,074 | 0x027ce2… |
| 08-13 09:59:57 | Vibrant-Gelding 0x27ec…e521 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x027ce2… |
| 08-13 09:59:57 | Aged-Tortoise 0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | BUY | 1,280 | 4¢ | $47 | 0x027ce2… |
| 08-13 09:59:57 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 145 | 96¢ | $140 | 0x027ce2… |
| 08-13 02:11:13 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 981 | 96¢ | $942 | 0x40dbf5… |
| 08-13 02:11:13 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 155 | 96¢ | $150 | 0x40dbf5… |
| 08-13 02:11:13 | (anonymous) 0x771a…3659 | No | SELL | 1,864 | 96¢ | $1,795 | 0x40dbf5… |
| 08-13 02:11:13 | (anonymous) 0x3e03…3fdd | No | BUY | 41 | 97¢ | $40 | 0x40dbf5… |
| 08-13 02:11:13 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 4¢ | $11 | 0x40dbf5… |
| 08-13 02:11:13 | (anonymous) 0xf243…b022 | No | BUY | 37 | 97¢ | $36 | 0x40dbf5… |
| 08-13 02:11:13 | (anonymous) 0xee1a…e579 | No | BUY | 150 | 96¢ | $145 | 0x40dbf5… |
| 08-13 02:11:13 | (anonymous) 0xea13…8b60 | No | BUY | 200 | 96¢ | $193 | 0x40dbf5… |
| 08-12 06:03:30 | Hot-Pliers 0xc4b6…965c | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xd02214… |
| 08-12 06:03:30 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xd02214… |
| 08-12 01:51:43 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | SELL | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x37a362… |
| 08-12 01:51:43 | (anonymous) 0xc112…cfaa | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x37a362… |
| 08-11 03:58:10 | Pungent-Comfortable 0x0ff2…f1a7 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xf59389… |
| 08-11 03:58:10 | Hot-Pliers 0xc4b6…965c | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xf59389… |
| 08-10 23:44:19 | (anonymous) 0xe416…6286 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x5e5708… |
| 08-10 23:44:19 | Hot-Pliers 0xc4b6…965c | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x5e5708… |
| 08-10 22:59:34 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 49 | 97¢ | $47 | 0x1b5666… |
| 08-10 22:59:34 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x1b5666… |
| 08-10 22:59:34 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 4¢ | $11 | 0x1b5666… |
| 08-10 22:59:34 | Total-Final 0xb071…15cb | No | SELL | 583 | 96¢ | $562 | 0x1b5666… |
| 08-10 22:59:34 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x1b5666… |
| 08-10 22:59:34 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 1,028 | 96¢ | $992 | 0x1b5666… |
| 08-10 22:59:34 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x1b5666… |
| 08-10 22:59:34 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | SELL | 18 | 96¢ | $17 | 0x1b5666… |
| 08-10 21:56:15 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x0693f4… |
| 08-10 21:56:15 | Pungent-Comfortable 0x0ff2…f1a7 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x0693f4… |
| 08-10 19:12:04 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 19 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xf94c98… |
| 08-10 19:12:04 | Plaintive-Booster 0xb452…7924 | No | SELL | 19 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xf94c98… |
| 08-10 19:10:09 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x8debe6… |
| 08-10 19:10:09 | (anonymous) 0xfbb0…776f | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x8debe6… |
| 08-10 19:09:16 | Old-Model 0x3e4f…56ec | No | SELL | 44 | 96¢ | $42 | 0x9336f7… |
| 08-10 19:09:16 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x9336f7… |
| 08-10 19:09:16 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x9336f7… |
| 08-10 19:09:16 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x9336f7… |
| 08-10 19:01:49 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xba5e43… |
| 08-10 19:01:49 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xba5e43… |
| 08-10 19:01:49 | Simplistic-Farmer 0x7b5b…19fe | No | SELL | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0xba5e43… |
| 08-10 17:39:49 | (anonymous) 0xe416…6286 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x5d4368… |
| 08-10 17:39:49 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x5d4368… |
| 08-10 17:30:28 | (anonymous) 0x5688…6112 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x96bb83… |
| 08-10 17:30:28 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 22 | 97¢ | $21 | 0x96bb83… |
| 08-10 09:38:54 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x5f3d3a… |
| 08-10 09:38:54 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x5f3d3a… |
| 08-10 09:38:54 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | SELL | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x5f3d3a… |
| 08-10 09:38:54 | (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x5f3d3a… |
| 08-10 09:38:54 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5f3d3a… |
| 08-10 09:38:54 | (anonymous) 0xeaba…a214 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x5f3d3a… |
| 08-10 09:38:54 | Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | BUY | 131 | 96¢ | $126 | 0x5f3d3a… |
| 08-10 08:39:48 | Starchy-Wilderness 0xc67e…f180 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x5e5ce0… |
| 08-10 08:39:48 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x5e5ce0… |
| 08-10 05:07:12 | (anonymous) 0xeb16…249b | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x851d54… |
| 08-10 05:07:12 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x851d54… |
| 08-10 03:36:28 | Starchy-Wilderness 0xc67e…f180 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xb6c6a2… |
| 08-10 03:36:28 | (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xb6c6a2… |
| 08-09 22:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x75f7f1… |
| 08-09 22:05:33 | (anonymous) 0xeb16…249b | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x75f7f1… |
| 08-09 18:17:31 | Flat-Divine 0x5232…b981 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x779c92… |
| 08-09 18:17:31 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x779c92… |
| 08-09 14:15:25 | Flat-Divine 0x5232…b981 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x905193… |
| 08-09 14:15:25 | (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x905193… |
| 08-09 11:04:22 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 2,564 | 96¢ | $2,464 | 0x605b07… |
| 08-09 11:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x57e7…bc87 | Yes | BUY | 2,564 | 4¢ | $100 | 0x605b07… |
| 08-09 04:04:07 | Calculating-Sourwood 0x022a…2857 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x36c59a… |
| 08-09 04:04:07 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x36c59a… |
| 08-09 02:32:58 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | BUY | 272 | 96¢ | $261 | 0x48f04b… |
| 08-09 02:32:58 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x48f04b… |
| 08-09 02:32:58 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | BUY | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x48f04b… |
| 08-09 02:32:58 | Total-Final 0xb071…15cb | No | SELL | 389 | 96¢ | $374 | 0x48f04b… |
| 08-09 02:32:58 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x48f04b… |