Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$41,149
$111 in 24h
Trades
556
Unique wallets
164
Liquidity
$33,105
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-14 17:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+20.0¢
(top1%: 25% YES on $769
vs crowd: 5% YES on $25.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $28 | $3.1K | $3.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $333 | $3.8K | $3.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 82 | $622 | $15.8K | $15.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 58 | $279 | $1.2K | $876 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $193 | $576 | $384 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $153 | $574 | $421 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $13 | $845 | $832 |
| Median | 21 | $149 | $3.3K | $3.1K |
| Below median | 62 | $119 | $2.6K | $2.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $35 | $292 | $257 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $50 | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $2.6K | $2.6K |
| unranked | 50 | $550 | $11.3K | $10.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xafd7…f634 | Yes | +5,000 | $300 | $300 | 17 | 06-08 01:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cfe…3232 | No | +3,331 | $3,076 | $3,076 | 2 | 06-04 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x27b3…01bb | No | +3,000 | $2,790 | $2,790 | 21 | 06-08 11:20 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +2,847 | $2,591 | $2,591 | 1 | 06-01 02:57 |
| Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | +2,000 | $1,880 | $1,880 | 3 | 06-07 13:27 |
| Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | No | +1,700 | $1,565 | $1,565 | 2 | 06-05 06:45 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,543 | $100 | $286 | 52 | 06-14 13:21 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +1,502 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 06-05 08:11 |
| Total-Final 0xb071…15cb | No | +1,401 | $1,317 | $1,317 | 1 | 06-08 01:48 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +1,000 | $940 | $940 | 1 | 06-06 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b7e…23eb | No | +594 | $528 | $528 | 11 | 05-31 10:46 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +581 | $40 | $40 | 9 | 06-14 17:28 |
| Exciting-Impropriety 0xc7d5…cced | No | +534 | $506 | $506 | 3 | 06-08 07:48 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | +511 | $475 | $475 | 3 | 06-05 08:11 |
| Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | +500 | $460 | $460 | 1 | 06-02 13:07 |
| Necessary-Scope 0x9d99…4439 | No | +500 | $475 | $475 | 1 | 06-14 15:02 |
| Icy-Right 0x0f5b…6846 | No | +500 | $475 | $475 | 1 | 06-08 03:32 |
| Double-Demand 0x04e3…69d1 | No | +500 | $455 | $455 | 5 | 06-01 12:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x01a4…ac62 | Yes | +307 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 06-05 06:45 |
| Colorless-Engine 0x39c0…1306 | No | +268 | $251 | $251 | 5 | 06-14 15:17 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +222 | $209 | $209 | 8 | 06-12 11:58 |
| Buttery-Major 0xeae5…a3fb | No | +217 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-01 06:58 |
| Virtual-Roommate 0x84a1…2842 | Yes | +214 | $17 | $91 | 8 | 06-08 01:48 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-08 01:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x41d6…01f9 | Yes | +202 | $16 | $40 | 4 | 06-08 01:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +200 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-08 01:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x8197…8752 | Yes | +167 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 04:28 |
| Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | +149 | $135 | $187 | 7 | 06-02 17:29 |
| Everlasting-Subsection 0xaa36…a4b4 | No | +131 | $118 | $118 | 1 | 05-28 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x04e0…f4a1 | No | +131 | $124 | $440 | 11 | 06-13 17:41 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | No | +129 | $119 | $119 | 6 | 06-03 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xea13…8b60 | No | +123 | $111 | $253 | 7 | 06-04 01:45 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +116 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-01 12:09 |
| Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-31 17:15 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-04 01:59 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-04 01:59 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-08 01:48 |
| Political-Revelation 0x21a8…1aec | No | +100 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 05-30 17:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xf34c…320b | Yes | +93 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 06-02 01:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x9fcb…bf3d | No | +90 | $84 | $84 | 2 | 06-14 04:28 |
| Insidious-Woodshed 0x5d6d…0510 | No | +90 | $76 | $1,614 | 12 | 06-13 13:39 |
| Weak-Planet 0x7b6d…b382 | No | +72 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 06-13 12:33 |
| Improbable-Hook 0x3962…170a | No | +65 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 06-14 13:21 |
| Happy-Sprat 0x9ad1…0151 | No | +60 | $59 | $174 | 3 | 06-12 17:47 |
| Jumpy-Saint 0xa893…cca2 | No | +52 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-14 17:28 |
| Modern-Vase-Questionnaire 0xc6e4…3267 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 15:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0af…1fc9 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 10:36 |
| These-Blouse 0x790b…0050 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 21:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 17:28:57 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 52 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x9f89e9… |
| 06-14 17:28:57 | Jumpy-Saint 0xa893…cca2 | No | BUY | 52 | 95¢ | $49 | 0x9f89e9… |
| 06-14 15:17:46 | Colorless-Engine 0x39c0…1306 | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xc0c94b… |
| 06-14 15:17:46 | Feisty-Observation 0x117e…ddbe | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xc0c94b… |
| 06-14 15:02:03 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf96148… |
| 06-14 15:02:03 | Necessary-Scope 0x9d99…4439 | No | BUY | 500 | 95¢ | $475 | 0xf96148… |
| 06-14 15:02:03 | (anonymous) 0x2a81…4b7e | No | SELL | 38 | 95¢ | $36 | 0xf96148… |
| 06-14 15:02:03 | (anonymous) 0xa8ce…8595 | No | SELL | 432 | 95¢ | $411 | 0xf96148… |
| 06-14 13:52:48 | Supportive-Airfield 0xd3ac…82f1 | No | SELL | 53 | 94¢ | $49 | 0x8160dd… |
| 06-14 13:52:48 | Colorless-Engine 0x39c0…1306 | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $49 | 0x8160dd… |
| 06-14 13:21:06 | (anonymous) 0xbcd1…ee93 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x291333… |
| 06-14 13:21:06 | Improbable-Hook 0x3962…170a | No | BUY | 65 | 95¢ | $62 | 0x291333… |
| 06-14 13:21:06 | (anonymous) 0x2a81…4b7e | No | SELL | 34 | 95¢ | $32 | 0x291333… |
| 06-14 13:21:06 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x291333… |
| 06-14 12:38:30 | Colorless-Engine 0x39c0…1306 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x5a1e92… |
| 06-14 12:38:30 | (anonymous) 0x55f5…3827 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x5a1e92… |
| 06-14 09:45:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 53 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x0a9e58… |
| 06-14 09:45:55 | Supportive-Airfield 0xd3ac…82f1 | No | BUY | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0x0a9e58… |
| 06-14 07:12:34 | Feisty-Observation 0x117e…ddbe | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x062bbe… |
| 06-14 07:12:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x062bbe… |
| 06-14 04:28:12 | (anonymous) 0x8197…8752 | Yes | BUY | 167 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x79f0de… |
| 06-14 04:28:12 | (anonymous) 0x9fcb…bf3d | No | BUY | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x79f0de… |
| 06-14 04:28:12 | Colorless-Engine 0x39c0…1306 | No | BUY | 135 | 94¢ | $127 | 0x79f0de… |
| 06-13 22:46:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x09e1f4… |
| 06-13 22:46:16 | (anonymous) 0x1cb7…1d85 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x09e1f4… |
| 06-13 21:56:07 | (anonymous) 0x9fcb…bf3d | No | BUY | 58 | 94¢ | $55 | 0x23ec3d… |
| 06-13 21:56:07 | Scarce-Auction 0x3745…d860 | No | SELL | 58 | 94¢ | $55 | 0x23ec3d… |
| 06-13 20:22:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 111 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x1ab78b… |
| 06-13 20:22:52 | Ornate-Kitten-Verve 0xda94…461c | Yes | SELL | 111 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x1ab78b… |
| 06-13 17:41:42 | (anonymous) 0xec62…bb5f | No | SELL | 34 | 94¢ | $32 | 0x619307… |
| 06-13 17:41:42 | (anonymous) 0x04e0…f4a1 | No | BUY | 34 | 94¢ | $32 | 0x619307… |
| 06-13 13:39:39 | (anonymous) 0xec62…bb5f | No | BUY | 34 | 95¢ | $32 | 0xce98c6… |
| 06-13 13:39:39 | Insidious-Woodshed 0x5d6d…0510 | No | SELL | 34 | 95¢ | $32 | 0xce98c6… |
| 06-13 12:33:55 | Insidious-Woodshed 0x5d6d…0510 | No | SELL | 72 | 95¢ | $68 | 0xbe33fb… |
| 06-13 12:33:55 | Weak-Planet 0x7b6d…b382 | No | BUY | 72 | 95¢ | $68 | 0xbe33fb… |
| 06-13 11:26:54 | Probable-Stot 0xa439…6327 | No | SELL | 53 | 94¢ | $49 | 0x84d2bf… |
| 06-13 11:26:54 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | No | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $12 | 0x84d2bf… |
| 06-13 11:26:54 | (anonymous) 0x04e0…f4a1 | No | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0x84d2bf… |
| 06-13 10:23:00 | Thankful-Restriction 0xe3e0…4c3f | No | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $12 | 0xa59641… |
| 06-13 10:23:00 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $12 | 0xa59641… |
| 06-13 04:21:01 | Probable-Stot 0xa439…6327 | No | BUY | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0xdcbfee… |
| 06-13 04:21:01 | Insidious-Woodshed 0x5d6d…0510 | No | SELL | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0xdcbfee… |
| 06-13 02:07:30 | Adept-Rotation 0x9cfe…134c | No | SELL | 43 | 93¢ | $40 | 0x5f0a85… |
| 06-13 02:07:30 | Useless-Hydrofoil 0xb065…60cc | No | BUY | 43 | 93¢ | $40 | 0x5f0a85… |
| 06-12 23:55:46 | Thick-Tassel 0xf969…1528 | No | SELL | 54 | 93¢ | $50 | 0x053652… |
| 06-12 23:55:46 | Useless-Hydrofoil 0xb065…60cc | No | BUY | 54 | 93¢ | $50 | 0x053652… |
| 06-12 22:01:15 | Insidious-Woodshed 0x5d6d…0510 | No | SELL | 43 | 95¢ | $41 | 0x63060d… |
| 06-12 22:01:15 | Adept-Rotation 0x9cfe…134c | No | BUY | 43 | 95¢ | $41 | 0x63060d… |
| 06-12 21:37:18 | (anonymous) 0xa8ce…8595 | No | BUY | 21 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x4e6909… |
| 06-12 21:37:18 | Useless-Hydrofoil 0xb065…60cc | No | BUY | 17 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x4e6909… |
| 06-12 21:37:18 | Back-Atmosphere 0x999b…6436 | No | SELL | 39 | 93¢ | $36 | 0x4e6909… |
| 06-12 21:01:21 | Optimistic-Townhouse 0xd808…5437 | No | BUY | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0xecb79f… |
| 06-12 21:01:21 | Insidious-Woodshed 0x5d6d…0510 | No | SELL | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0xecb79f… |
| 06-12 17:47:03 | Happy-Sprat 0x9ad1…0151 | No | BUY | 60 | 95¢ | $57 | 0xc0fe34… |
| 06-12 17:47:03 | Insidious-Woodshed 0x5d6d…0510 | No | SELL | 60 | 95¢ | $57 | 0xc0fe34… |
| 06-12 15:49:07 | Thick-Tassel 0xf969…1528 | No | BUY | 54 | 95¢ | $51 | 0x393c4c… |
| 06-12 15:49:07 | Insidious-Woodshed 0x5d6d…0510 | No | SELL | 54 | 95¢ | $51 | 0x393c4c… |
| 06-12 15:22:06 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 39 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x544f2c… |
| 06-12 15:22:06 | Back-Atmosphere 0x999b…6436 | No | BUY | 39 | 94¢ | $37 | 0x544f2c… |
| 06-12 15:19:48 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6b7e0e… |
| 06-12 15:19:48 | Unhealthy-Spending 0x3fb0…a112 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x6b7e0e… |
| 06-12 13:31:37 | Pungent-Leader 0x9739…159f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x8157f4… |
| 06-12 13:31:37 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x8157f4… |
| 06-12 11:58:34 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | No | BUY | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0xbd65c0… |
| 06-12 11:58:34 | Indolent-Pattern 0xce1a…eaab | No | SELL | 63 | 94¢ | $59 | 0xbd65c0… |
| 06-12 11:58:34 | (anonymous) 0xa8ce…8595 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xbd65c0… |
| 06-12 11:58:34 | (anonymous) 0xbcd1…ee93 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xbd65c0… |
| 06-12 11:58:34 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0xbd65c0… |
| 06-12 04:55:30 | Indolent-Pattern 0xce1a…eaab | No | BUY | 63 | 95¢ | $60 | 0x2a8d75… |
| 06-12 04:55:30 | Insidious-Woodshed 0x5d6d…0510 | No | SELL | 63 | 95¢ | $60 | 0x2a8d75… |
| 06-12 03:54:06 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xfe1f1e… |
| 06-12 03:54:06 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xfe1f1e… |
| 06-12 01:29:27 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xfc95e1… |
| 06-12 01:29:27 | Altruistic-Amenity 0x4cf4…198e | No | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xfc95e1… |
| 06-11 21:08:37 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x260d16… |
| 06-11 21:08:37 | These-Blouse 0x790b…0050 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x260d16… |
| 06-11 20:06:33 | Broken-Thunderhead 0xf0c0…9411 | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x2334b4… |
| 06-11 20:06:33 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $11 | 0x2334b4… |
| 06-11 17:25:25 | Insidious-Woodshed 0x5d6d…0510 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x1ded01… |
| 06-11 17:25:25 | Altruistic-Amenity 0x4cf4…198e | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x1ded01… |
| 06-11 15:04:13 | Insidious-Woodshed 0x5d6d…0510 | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x3c8669… |
| 06-11 15:04:13 | Broken-Thunderhead 0xf0c0…9411 | No | BUY | 12 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x3c8669… |
| 06-11 09:40:39 | (anonymous) 0xa8ce…8595 | No | BUY | 63 | 93¢ | $58 | 0x1c3f44… |
| 06-11 09:40:39 | Probable-Stot 0xa439…6327 | No | SELL | 63 | 93¢ | $58 | 0x1c3f44… |
| 06-11 05:17:25 | (anonymous) 0xa8ce…8595 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x50e082… |
| 06-11 05:17:25 | (anonymous) 0xd514…69db | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x50e082… |
| 06-10 22:54:55 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | SELL | 90 | 93¢ | $84 | 0xdb3785… |
| 06-10 22:54:55 | (anonymous) 0xa8ce…8595 | No | BUY | 90 | 93¢ | $84 | 0xdb3785… |
| 06-10 21:19:01 | (anonymous) 0xa8ce…8595 | No | BUY | 33 | 93¢ | $30 | 0x929ccd… |
| 06-10 21:19:01 | (anonymous) 0x2d9b…52d3 | No | SELL | 33 | 93¢ | $30 | 0x929ccd… |
| 06-10 21:07:30 | Visible-Option 0x3147…5b41 | No | SELL | 49 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xa06edb… |
| 06-10 21:07:30 | (anonymous) 0xa8ce…8595 | No | BUY | 49 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xa06edb… |
| 06-10 17:54:19 | Runny-Proprietor 0xcc57…814e | No | SELL | 46 | 93¢ | $43 | 0xd100c8… |
| 06-10 17:54:19 | (anonymous) 0xa8ce…8595 | No | BUY | 46 | 93¢ | $43 | 0xd100c8… |
| 06-10 17:17:30 | Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | SELL | 2,483 | 95¢ | $2,359 | 0x2e1520… |
| 06-10 17:17:30 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 94 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x2e1520… |
| 06-10 17:17:30 | Dramatic-Survivor 0x80cc…b5a4 | Yes | SELL | 2,904 | 5¢ | $146 | 0x2e1520… |
| 06-10 17:17:30 | Insidious-Woodshed 0x5d6d…0510 | No | SELL | 326 | 95¢ | $310 | 0x2e1520… |
| 06-10 15:17:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xed98c0… |
| 06-10 15:17:36 | (anonymous) 0x2d9b…52d3 | No | BUY | 33 | 94¢ | $31 | 0xed98c0… |