Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$105,774
$111 in 24h
Trades
1,319
Unique wallets
337
Liquidity
$33,105
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-06 11:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+18.1¢
(top1%: 22% YES on $3.3K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $61.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $197 | $8.7K | $8.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 33 | $1.1K | $21.6K | $20.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 144 | $730 | $24.7K | $23.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 143 | $312 | $4.2K | $3.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $730 | $2.6K | $1.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $57 | $3.9K | $3.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 15 | $13 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| Median | 39 | $150 | $5.2K | $5.0K |
| Below median | 121 | $159 | $9.5K | $9.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $108 | $486 | $378 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 17 | $154 | $2.6K | $2.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $205 | $3.2K | $3.0K |
| unranked | 109 | $736 | $30.4K | $29.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plush-Robotics 0xe7ef…b402 | No | +9,350 | $9,000 | $9,000 | 2 | 07-01 07:24 |
| Favorable-Motion 0x152f…a549 | Yes | +5,512 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-22 08:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xafd7…f634 | Yes | +5,000 | $300 | $300 | 17 | 06-08 01:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cfe…3232 | No | +3,331 | $3,076 | $3,076 | 2 | 06-04 01:59 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +3,114 | $2,984 | $4,557 | 17 | 07-05 03:30 |
| Artistic-Tire 0xcd6b…68f5 | Yes | +3,000 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 06-17 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x27b3…01bb | No | +3,000 | $2,790 | $2,790 | 21 | 06-08 11:20 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +2,847 | $2,591 | $2,591 | 1 | 06-01 02:57 |
| Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | +2,373 | $2,240 | $2,240 | 4 | 07-05 07:49 |
| Total-Final 0xb071…15cb | No | +2,074 | $1,960 | $1,960 | 3 | 06-30 15:57 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,734 | $92 | $450 | 84 | 07-01 07:23 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +1,594 | $1,535 | $3,963 | 29 | 07-06 11:10 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +1,502 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 06-05 08:11 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +1,423 | $1,334 | $2,520 | 39 | 07-04 15:31 |
| Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | +1,292 | $53 | $107 | 4 | 07-02 22:45 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +1,261 | $1,212 | $1,212 | 13 | 07-04 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +1,141 | $25 | $142 | 8 | 07-02 19:30 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +962 | $57 | $57 | 13 | 07-01 07:23 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +840 | $799 | $799 | 21 | 06-30 16:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +800 | $773 | $773 | 1 | 07-06 10:38 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +800 | $732 | $2,652 | 3 | 06-17 23:58 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +706 | $23 | $25 | 6 | 07-05 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b7e…23eb | No | +594 | $528 | $528 | 11 | 05-31 10:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x9977…78ae | No | +523 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-26 04:20 |
| Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | +500 | $460 | $460 | 1 | 06-02 13:07 |
| Colorless-Engine 0x39c0…1306 | No | +495 | $464 | $464 | 10 | 06-16 02:37 |
| Icy-Right 0x0f5b…6846 | No | +460 | $434 | $1,394 | 5 | 06-30 22:55 |
| Assured-Photo 0x1d43…cf5f | No | +400 | $383 | $383 | 2 | 06-26 13:15 |
| Puny-Husband 0x7e47…ecf7 | Yes | +386 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-15 16:25 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +328 | $-7 | $190 | 33 | 07-06 00:03 |
| Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | +320 | $296 | $951 | 19 | 07-02 02:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x01a4…ac62 | Yes | +307 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 06-05 06:45 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +253 | $236 | $236 | 5 | 06-30 16:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9fcb…bf3d | No | +242 | $233 | $801 | 15 | 07-02 07:31 |
| Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | +230 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 07-01 07:23 |
| Buttery-Major 0xeae5…a3fb | No | +217 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-01 06:58 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-08 01:48 |
| Willing-Rainy 0x09ae…004e | Yes | +200 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 06-20 16:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +200 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-08 01:48 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +200 | $190 | $190 | 2 | 06-29 17:43 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +188 | $177 | $177 | 30 | 06-30 16:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8197…8752 | Yes | +167 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 04:28 |
| Junior-Bee 0xa39f…01c8 | No | +156 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 06-30 22:59 |
| Everlasting-Subsection 0xaa36…a4b4 | No | +130 | $116 | $367 | 3 | 06-30 23:02 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | No | +129 | $119 | $119 | 6 | 06-03 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd658…e518 | Yes | +129 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-21 16:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xea13…8b60 | No | +123 | $111 | $253 | 7 | 06-04 01:45 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +116 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-01 12:09 |
| Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-31 17:15 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-04 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf34c…320b | Yes | +93 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 06-02 01:48 |
| Whole-Study-Originality 0xfb75…d717 | Yes | +85 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-30 15:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 11:10:47 | Idle-Architecture 0x9406…9223 | No | BUY | 58 | 97¢ | $56 | 0x7d7a7e… |
| 07-06 11:10:47 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 58 | 97¢ | $56 | 0x7d7a7e… |
| 07-06 10:38:41 | (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | BUY | 800 | 97¢ | $773 | 0x98b759… |
| 07-06 10:38:41 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 163 | 97¢ | $157 | 0x98b759… |
| 07-06 00:03:37 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4613e7… |
| 07-06 00:03:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4613e7… |
| 07-06 00:03:37 | Able-Ego 0xffc1…4df4 | No | SELL | 34 | 96¢ | $33 | 0x4613e7… |
| 07-05 16:01:28 | Able-Ego 0xffc1…4df4 | No | BUY | 34 | 96¢ | $33 | 0x30516b… |
| 07-05 16:01:28 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x30516b… |
| 07-05 08:14:34 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1337e7… |
| 07-05 08:14:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1337e7… |
| 07-05 07:49:16 | Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | BUY | 373 | 96¢ | $360 | 0x906558… |
| 07-05 07:49:16 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 342 | 4¢ | $12 | 0x906558… |
| 07-05 07:49:16 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x906558… |
| 07-05 03:30:38 | Exciting-Impropriety 0xc7d5…cced | No | SELL | 392 | 96¢ | $378 | 0x16bb0b… |
| 07-05 03:30:38 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 400 | 96¢ | $386 | 0x16bb0b… |
| 07-05 03:30:38 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x16bb0b… |
| 07-05 02:55:08 | Necessary-Scope 0x9d99…4439 | No | SELL | 625 | 96¢ | $602 | 0x7f8be6… |
| 07-05 02:55:08 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 62 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x7f8be6… |
| 07-05 02:55:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7f8be6… |
| 07-05 02:55:08 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 712 | 96¢ | $687 | 0x7f8be6… |
| 07-04 15:31:10 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x31dee3… |
| 07-04 15:31:10 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x31dee3… |
| 07-04 15:31:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 240 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x31dee3… |
| 07-04 15:31:10 | (anonymous) 0xeac2…18f6 | No | SELL | 347 | 96¢ | $334 | 0x31dee3… |
| 07-04 15:31:10 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | BUY | 38 | 96¢ | $36 | 0x31dee3… |
| 07-04 15:31:10 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x31dee3… |
| 07-04 04:31:55 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $28 | 0x831148… |
| 07-04 04:31:55 | (anonymous) 0x4aa9…01f7 | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $28 | 0x831148… |
| 07-04 04:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xb945…ff36 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x889555… |
| 07-04 04:03:01 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x889555… |
| 07-03 23:00:11 | (anonymous) 0xb945…ff36 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x19ba81… |
| 07-03 23:00:11 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x19ba81… |
| 07-03 20:27:41 | (anonymous) 0x4aa9…01f7 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xc7060a… |
| 07-03 20:27:41 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xc7060a… |
| 07-03 16:22:20 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xec359f… |
| 07-03 16:22:20 | Leading-Drawer 0x9189…0f27 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xec359f… |
| 07-03 15:48:16 | Hopeful-Nose 0xacf0…1497 | No | SELL | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0xb4cc74… |
| 07-03 15:48:16 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | BUY | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0xb4cc74… |
| 07-03 15:30:55 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | BUY | 47 | 96¢ | $46 | 0x4a922d… |
| 07-03 15:30:55 | Humongous-Settlement 0x17b7…1ecc | No | SELL | 47 | 96¢ | $46 | 0x4a922d… |
| 07-03 13:04:08 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x297ae5… |
| 07-03 13:04:08 | (anonymous) 0x57cc…a37d | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x297ae5… |
| 07-03 12:12:04 | (anonymous) 0x7016…d220 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8dd44c… |
| 07-03 12:12:04 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8dd44c… |
| 07-03 11:09:17 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | BUY | 106 | 96¢ | $102 | 0xce038d… |
| 07-03 11:09:17 | Wilted-Speaking 0x539b…624c | No | SELL | 106 | 96¢ | $102 | 0xce038d… |
| 07-03 09:43:16 | Hopeful-Nose 0xacf0…1497 | No | BUY | 53 | 97¢ | $51 | 0x666418… |
| 07-03 09:43:16 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 53 | 97¢ | $51 | 0x666418… |
| 07-03 08:17:17 | Leading-Drawer 0x9189…0f27 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x51560a… |
| 07-03 08:17:17 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x51560a… |
| 07-03 06:56:40 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x040c50… |
| 07-03 06:56:40 | (anonymous) 0x57cc…a37d | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x040c50… |
| 07-03 06:30:29 | Memorable-Jet 0xf327…8c52 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xef76c9… |
| 07-03 06:30:29 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xef76c9… |
| 07-03 06:04:28 | (anonymous) 0x7016…d220 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa7ccc9… |
| 07-03 06:04:28 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa7ccc9… |
| 07-03 01:44:37 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4b8c48… |
| 07-03 01:44:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 59 | 96¢ | $56 | 0x4b8c48… |
| 07-03 01:44:37 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | BUY | 65 | 96¢ | $62 | 0x4b8c48… |
| 07-03 00:30:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xbeaaf3… |
| 07-03 00:30:17 | Memorable-Jet 0xf327…8c52 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xbeaaf3… |
| 07-02 22:45:20 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 366 | 4¢ | $15 | 0xc4ce4f… |
| 07-02 22:45:20 | Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | BUY | 366 | 4¢ | $15 | 0xc4ce4f… |
| 07-02 22:13:38 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1af321… |
| 07-02 22:13:38 | Babyish-Legume 0x151d…3dcd | No | SELL | 37 | 96¢ | $36 | 0x1af321… |
| 07-02 22:13:38 | (anonymous) 0xc409…4d2a | Yes | SELL | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1af321… |
| 07-02 19:30:23 | Double-Demand 0x04e3…69d1 | No | SELL | 500 | 96¢ | $480 | 0x8738b1… |
| 07-02 19:30:23 | (anonymous) 0xc409…4d2a | Yes | SELL | 170 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x8738b1… |
| 07-02 19:30:23 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 268 | 4¢ | $11 | 0x8738b1… |
| 07-02 19:30:23 | (anonymous) 0x1f32…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x8738b1… |
| 07-02 18:08:41 | Babyish-Legume 0x151d…3dcd | No | BUY | 37 | 97¢ | $36 | 0x7ca81e… |
| 07-02 18:08:41 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 37 | 97¢ | $36 | 0x7ca81e… |
| 07-02 15:37:43 | Upset-Suede 0x9437…e75f | No | SELL | 2,100 | 96¢ | $2,022 | 0x01b6bc… |
| 07-02 15:37:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x01b6bc… |
| 07-02 15:37:43 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 500 | 96¢ | $482 | 0x01b6bc… |
| 07-02 15:37:43 | Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | BUY | 200 | 97¢ | $193 | 0x01b6bc… |
| 07-02 15:37:43 | (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x01b6bc… |
| 07-02 15:37:43 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 112 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x01b6bc… |
| 07-02 11:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x756f…54cd | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x2066a6… |
| 07-02 11:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2066a6… |
| 07-02 07:31:40 | Unacceptable-Nectarine 0x4de5…e874 | No | SELL | 844 | 97¢ | $815 | 0x609fde… |
| 07-02 07:31:40 | (anonymous) 0x9fcb…bf3d | No | BUY | 109 | 97¢ | $105 | 0x609fde… |
| 07-02 07:31:40 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x609fde… |
| 07-02 07:31:40 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x609fde… |
| 07-02 07:31:40 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 383 | 96¢ | $369 | 0x609fde… |
| 07-02 02:41:40 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x105d01… |
| 07-02 02:41:40 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x105d01… |
| 07-01 22:33:25 | Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | BUY | 927 | 3¢ | $30 | 0x39a56a… |
| 07-01 22:33:25 | (anonymous) 0x9fcb…bf3d | No | BUY | 191 | 97¢ | $185 | 0x39a56a… |
| 07-01 22:33:25 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 348 | 97¢ | $336 | 0x39a56a… |
| 07-01 20:07:07 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 42 | 97¢ | $41 | 0xaeaeb4… |
| 07-01 20:07:07 | (anonymous) 0x66fb…e81d | No | SELL | 42 | 97¢ | $41 | 0xaeaeb4… |
| 07-01 18:31:55 | (anonymous) 0x04e0…f4a1 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x869148… |
| 07-01 18:31:55 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x869148… |
| 07-01 18:31:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x869148… |
| 07-01 18:31:55 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 70 | 97¢ | $67 | 0x869148… |
| 07-01 18:31:55 | Academic-Cap 0x47f0…8dfd | No | SELL | 295 | 97¢ | $285 | 0x869148… |
| 07-01 15:35:28 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 3¢ | $31 | 0xd7993e… |
| 07-01 15:35:28 | (anonymous) 0x9c0c…d6ed | No | SELL | 2,000 | 97¢ | $1,938 | 0xd7993e… |