Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$176,585
$111 in 24h
Trades
1,744
Unique wallets
447
Liquidity
$33,105
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-26 15:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.3¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $35.9K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $122.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $197 | $48.3K | $48.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 38 | $1.1K | $41.5K | $40.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 163 | $740 | $23.1K | $22.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 226 | $2.1K | $4.9K | $2.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $730 | $35.2K | $34.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $67 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 16 | $14 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| Median | 52 | $152 | $5.2K | $5.0K |
| Below median | 164 | $155 | $11.4K | $11.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | $112 | $486 | $374 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 18 | $154 | $2.8K | $2.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $205 | $12.9K | $12.7K |
| unranked | 154 | $2.5K | $47.3K | $44.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aged-Tortoise 0xbadc…95b3 | Yes | +45,967 | $1,739 | $1,739 | 3 | 07-22 16:27 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +30,000 | $28,830 | $28,830 | 1 | 07-22 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +10,000 | $9,670 | $9,670 | 1 | 07-20 18:57 |
| Plush-Robotics 0xe7ef…b402 | No | +9,350 | $9,000 | $9,000 | 2 | 07-01 07:24 |
| Favorable-Motion 0x152f…a549 | Yes | +5,512 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-22 08:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xafd7…f634 | Yes | +5,000 | $300 | $300 | 17 | 06-08 01:48 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +4,406 | $4,232 | $5,805 | 18 | 07-08 13:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cfe…3232 | No | +3,331 | $3,076 | $3,076 | 2 | 06-04 01:59 |
| Artistic-Tire 0xcd6b…68f5 | Yes | +3,000 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 06-17 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x27b3…01bb | No | +3,000 | $2,790 | $2,790 | 21 | 06-08 11:20 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +2,847 | $2,591 | $2,591 | 1 | 06-01 02:57 |
| Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | +2,373 | $2,240 | $2,240 | 4 | 07-05 07:49 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,734 | $92 | $450 | 84 | 07-01 07:23 |
| Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | +1,689 | $1,620 | $34,601 | 32 | 07-22 16:27 |
| Total-Final 0xb071…15cb | No | +1,555 | $1,459 | $2,461 | 10 | 07-20 18:57 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +1,523 | $1,430 | $2,616 | 40 | 07-22 16:27 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +1,502 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 06-05 08:11 |
| Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | +1,292 | $53 | $107 | 4 | 07-02 22:45 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +1,261 | $1,212 | $1,212 | 13 | 07-04 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +1,141 | $25 | $142 | 8 | 07-02 19:30 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +962 | $57 | $57 | 13 | 07-01 07:23 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +840 | $799 | $799 | 21 | 06-30 16:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +800 | $773 | $773 | 1 | 07-06 10:38 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +800 | $732 | $2,652 | 3 | 06-17 23:58 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +706 | $23 | $25 | 6 | 07-05 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b7e…23eb | No | +594 | $528 | $528 | 11 | 05-31 10:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x6209…91bd | Yes | +589 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-15 13:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x9977…78ae | No | +523 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-26 04:20 |
| Fixed-Evolution 0x66ca…0db6 | No | +500 | $460 | $460 | 1 | 06-02 13:07 |
| Icy-Right 0x0f5b…6846 | No | +460 | $434 | $1,394 | 5 | 06-30 22:55 |
| Assured-Photo 0x1d43…cf5f | No | +400 | $383 | $383 | 2 | 06-26 13:15 |
| Puny-Husband 0x7e47…ecf7 | Yes | +386 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-15 16:25 |
| Straight-Topsail 0x789d…47e6 | No | +362 | $350 | $350 | 1 | 07-15 06:58 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +308 | $293 | $293 | 51 | 07-22 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x01a4…ac62 | Yes | +307 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 06-05 06:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x04db…c253 | Yes | +286 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-21 06:35 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +253 | $236 | $236 | 5 | 06-30 16:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9fcb…bf3d | No | +242 | $233 | $801 | 15 | 07-02 07:31 |
| Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | +235 | $213 | $1,034 | 21 | 07-09 21:07 |
| Kindly-Species 0x6104…62f1 | Yes | +230 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 07-01 07:23 |
| Buttery-Major 0xeae5…a3fb | No | +217 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-01 06:58 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-08 01:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +200 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-08 01:48 |
| Willing-Rainy 0x09ae…004e | Yes | +200 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 06-20 16:04 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +200 | $190 | $190 | 2 | 06-29 17:43 |
| Junior-Bee 0xa39f…01c8 | No | +156 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 06-30 22:59 |
| International-Venue 0x7e30…1e50 | No | +154 | $149 | $149 | 5 | 07-21 20:41 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | No | +129 | $119 | $119 | 6 | 06-03 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd658…e518 | Yes | +129 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-21 16:52 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +116 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-01 12:09 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-04 01:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 15:10:46 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xbdfea6… |
| 07-26 15:10:46 | (anonymous) 0xd4dd…d23b | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xbdfea6… |
| 07-26 14:36:15 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x62585b… |
| 07-26 14:36:15 | Rude-Facility 0xdbf3…b1b5 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x62585b… |
| 07-26 13:15:21 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xdc061f… |
| 07-26 13:15:21 | (anonymous) 0xc69c…2e48 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xdc061f… |
| 07-26 12:55:07 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x1c08bf… |
| 07-26 12:55:07 | (anonymous) 0xeb0c…e6fa | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x1c08bf… |
| 07-26 12:47:42 | (anonymous) 0x2b9b…cdc4 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x770148… |
| 07-26 12:47:42 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x770148… |
| 07-26 12:30:07 | Trim-Pumpkinseed-Profit 0x8b33…b817 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x172a70… |
| 07-26 12:30:07 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x172a70… |
| 07-26 11:49:42 | Limited-Jewelry 0x98ef…1d33 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x55bb10… |
| 07-26 11:49:42 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x55bb10… |
| 07-26 11:05:51 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x70f602… |
| 07-26 11:05:51 | (anonymous) 0xdd5b…8574 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x70f602… |
| 07-26 10:09:15 | (anonymous) 0x6021…6c04 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x4e053c… |
| 07-26 10:09:15 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x4e053c… |
| 07-26 09:01:25 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x6e1adc… |
| 07-26 09:01:25 | (anonymous) 0xc69c…2e48 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x6e1adc… |
| 07-26 08:29:46 | Trim-Pumpkinseed-Profit 0x8b33…b817 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xca0787… |
| 07-26 08:29:46 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xca0787… |
| 07-26 07:48:25 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x9aa4d4… |
| 07-26 07:48:25 | Limited-Jewelry 0x98ef…1d33 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x9aa4d4… |
| 07-26 07:43:54 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6bc1b9… |
| 07-26 07:43:54 | (anonymous) 0xd842…df3f | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6bc1b9… |
| 07-26 07:33:27 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7cdda0… |
| 07-26 07:33:27 | (anonymous) 0xf31b…b9c7 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7cdda0… |
| 07-26 06:45:58 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x8f7eb7… |
| 07-26 06:45:58 | (anonymous) 0x2b9b…cdc4 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x8f7eb7… |
| 07-26 05:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x7ed0…a4c6 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xa1aa6f… |
| 07-26 05:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xa1aa6f… |
| 07-26 05:17:06 | (anonymous) 0x9748…30b2 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x0ac5b6… |
| 07-26 05:17:06 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x0ac5b6… |
| 07-26 04:59:28 | (anonymous) 0xdd5b…8574 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x03ec40… |
| 07-26 04:59:28 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x03ec40… |
| 07-26 04:58:07 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xd6e4fe… |
| 07-26 04:58:07 | (anonymous) 0x0fa7…d374 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xd6e4fe… |
| 07-26 01:32:12 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x788c34… |
| 07-26 01:32:12 | (anonymous) 0xd842…df3f | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x788c34… |
| 07-26 00:52:45 | (anonymous) 0x7ed0…a4c6 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xeb92fb… |
| 07-26 00:52:45 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xeb92fb… |
| 07-26 00:52:45 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xeb92fb… |
| 07-26 00:29:19 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x626ee5… |
| 07-26 00:29:19 | (anonymous) 0xf31b…b9c7 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x626ee5… |
| 07-26 00:09:57 | (anonymous) 0x9748…30b2 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xe24b90… |
| 07-26 00:09:57 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xe24b90… |
| 07-25 23:56:04 | Bland-Rainmaker 0x6a96…f7cd | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xbe7e59… |
| 07-25 23:56:04 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xbe7e59… |
| 07-25 23:08:06 | (anonymous) 0x933e…0f2c | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xe1fb98… |
| 07-25 23:08:06 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xe1fb98… |
| 07-25 20:56:03 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x7cc236… |
| 07-25 20:56:03 | (anonymous) 0x0fa7…d374 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x7cc236… |
| 07-25 19:37:00 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x2c77e7… |
| 07-25 19:37:00 | (anonymous) 0x306d…b789 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x2c77e7… |
| 07-25 18:58:06 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x37325c… |
| 07-25 18:58:06 | (anonymous) 0x933e…0f2c | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x37325c… |
| 07-25 17:49:10 | Gummy-Love 0xe6ff…e0ff | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x81bcda… |
| 07-25 17:49:10 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x81bcda… |
| 07-25 17:03:12 | Buzzing-Keyboarding 0xb839…33e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x62baa3… |
| 07-25 17:03:12 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x62baa3… |
| 07-25 16:54:13 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x86207f… |
| 07-25 16:54:13 | Bland-Rainmaker 0x6a96…f7cd | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x86207f… |
| 07-25 14:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x3876…dda9 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xd12467… |
| 07-25 14:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x82a0…33a1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd12467… |
| 07-25 13:24:55 | (anonymous) 0x4926…0137 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xb043c1… |
| 07-25 13:24:55 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xb043c1… |
| 07-25 12:47:31 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xcfab51… |
| 07-25 12:47:31 | Gummy-Love 0xe6ff…e0ff | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xcfab51… |
| 07-25 12:36:40 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x8b1a21… |
| 07-25 12:36:40 | (anonymous) 0x306d…b789 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x8b1a21… |
| 07-25 11:04:45 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xe4a83b… |
| 07-25 11:04:45 | (anonymous) 0xd0a7…9f2e | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xe4a83b… |
| 07-25 10:23:12 | (anonymous) 0x293f…6702 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x333fbc… |
| 07-25 10:23:12 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x333fbc… |
| 07-25 06:24:37 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x47b4ee… |
| 07-25 06:24:37 | (anonymous) 0x4926…0137 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x47b4ee… |
| 07-25 06:16:13 | (anonymous) 0xd29d…765c | Yes | SELL | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa25b32… |
| 07-25 06:16:13 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0xa25b32… |
| 07-25 06:15:31 | (anonymous) 0x3876…dda9 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x105bb0… |
| 07-25 06:15:31 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x105bb0… |
| 07-25 06:03:04 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x09c2b5… |
| 07-25 06:03:04 | Dependable-Lout 0xa2be…f232 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x09c2b5… |
| 07-25 05:02:51 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x58fbb7… |
| 07-25 05:02:51 | (anonymous) 0xd0a7…9f2e | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x58fbb7… |
| 07-25 02:54:36 | (anonymous) 0x07ac…1275 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf9e37c… |
| 07-25 02:54:36 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf9e37c… |
| 07-25 02:32:13 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x94c62e… |
| 07-25 02:32:13 | Bouncy-Particle 0x0046…8a76 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x94c62e… |
| 07-25 02:29:31 | (anonymous) 0xb777…dae9 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3bbfc3… |
| 07-25 02:29:31 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3bbfc3… |
| 07-25 02:01:49 | Dependable-Lout 0xa2be…f232 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x3ab100… |
| 07-25 02:01:49 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x3ab100… |
| 07-25 01:39:55 | (anonymous) 0x4346…966d | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x7f49fa… |
| 07-25 01:39:55 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x7f49fa… |
| 07-24 22:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x335d…efec | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x19c504… |
| 07-24 22:59:43 | (anonymous) 0xe775…cf18 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x19c504… |
| 07-24 21:24:27 | (anonymous) 0xb777…dae9 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2508f9… |
| 07-24 21:24:27 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2508f9… |
| 07-24 20:37:06 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xede888… |