Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
92.9%
Resolved
7
Trades
104
lifetime
Volume
$461
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$11
16 positions
First seen
2026-08-18
last 10-25 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
43% 100% +$0
Other
36% 67% +$0
Crypto
21% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 09-08 22:51
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 10-23 06:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 09-05 17:12
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-25 21:35
will ethereum dip to 500 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-20 10:18
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 08-18 23:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-22 19:01
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-14 14:42
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-08 15:51
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 10-12 22:46
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-15 22:56
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-03 12:47
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 08-21 05:12
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-26 12:52
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-20 06:26
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 +$0 09-13 14:12