Realized P&L (90d)
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
95.4%
Resolved (90d)
12
Trades (90d)
121
121 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$542
$542 lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$11
15 positions
First seen
2026-08-18
last 11-04 06:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
48% 100% +$0
Other
34% 67% +$0
Crypto
18% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6 $5 98¢ $5 $0 11-01 11:27
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 09-08 22:51
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-25 21:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 09-05 17:12
will ethereum dip to 500 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-20 10:18
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 09-08 15:51
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-18 23:18
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-26 12:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-22 19:01
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 08-21 05:12
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-15 22:56
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 10-14 14:42
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-03 12:47
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 09-13 14:12
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 08-21 16:42