Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
15
119 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$71
$532 lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$22
18 positions
First seen
2026-08-18
last 11-03 05:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
47% 100% +$0
Other
35% 67% +$0
Crypto
18% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +6 $5 98¢ $5 $0 11-02 22:02
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6 $5 98¢ $5 $0 11-01 11:27
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 09-08 22:51
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 11-03 05:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 09-05 17:12
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-25 21:35
will ethereum dip to 500 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-20 10:18
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-18 23:18
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-08 15:51
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-22 19:01
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-26 12:52
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-12 22:46
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 08-21 05:12
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 10-14 14:42
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-15 22:56
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-03 12:47
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-20 06:26
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 09-13 14:12