Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$328,425
$2,311 in 24h
Trades
5,387
Unique wallets
951
Liquidity
$90,796
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-12 05:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.7¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $7.6K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $180.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 25 | $238 | $30.2K | $30.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 40 | $1.2K | $66.6K | $65.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 481 | $203 | $53.2K | $53.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 405 | $203 | $28.8K | $28.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $207 | $7.4K | $7.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 17 | $579 | $9.0K | $8.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 15 | $26 | $6.3K | $6.3K |
| Median | 111 | $17 | $12.0K | $11.9K |
| Below median | 400 | $93 | $48.7K | $48.6K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 27 | $16 | $5.4K | $5.4K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 28 | $18 | $5.7K | $5.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $238 | $736 | $498 |
| unranked | 343 | $661 | $83.7K | $83.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +18,573 | $18,006 | $28,356 | 65 | 08-06 01:06 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +9,916 | $220 | $220 | 2 | 06-06 00:46 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +7,577 | $177 | $207 | 66 | 07-28 22:56 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +7,415 | $7,236 | $7,236 | 23 | 06-02 19:36 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +7,104 | $169 | $914 | 433 | 08-08 05:31 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +4,606 | $4,508 | $4,508 | 13 | 06-06 14:38 |
| Distorted-Dude 0xe36f…cd91 | No | +3,167 | $3,057 | $3,057 | 11 | 06-01 15:56 |
| Passionate-Nationality 0xab81…5ecd | No | +3,000 | $2,942 | $2,942 | 19 | 08-04 19:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +2,901 | $2,834 | $2,834 | 12 | 08-09 22:22 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,574 | $33 | $381 | 356 | 08-12 05:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +1,484 | $1,454 | $2,858 | 6 | 07-30 14:45 |
| Potable-Deposition 0x7a82…23c7 | No | +1,398 | $1,350 | $1,350 | 2 | 05-30 08:43 |
| Untidy-Dew 0xa928…e36e | No | +1,312 | $1,292 | $1,292 | 3 | 06-25 09:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a3c…5089 | Yes | +1,300 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-12 02:14 |
| Blushing-Roast 0x7ad0…19e3 | Yes | +1,200 | $24 | $24 | 4 | 06-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4775…d205 | No | +1,000 | $983 | $983 | 1 | 07-02 06:28 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +963 | $939 | $12,699 | 48 | 08-01 23:06 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +925 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-06 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x6410…ea31 | No | +918 | $902 | $902 | 2 | 07-02 03:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbb1…2f98 | No | +911 | $893 | $893 | 1 | 07-08 23:09 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +750 | $736 | $736 | 2 | 08-01 23:07 |
| Straight-Topsail 0x789d…47e6 | No | +714 | $700 | $700 | 2 | 07-15 07:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x97d0…17eb | No | +650 | $637 | $1,359 | 15 | 07-06 04:21 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +584 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-25 22:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a13…e921 | Yes | +500 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 09:16 |
| Creative-Interferometer 0xe2d7…9fba | Yes | +500 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-01 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc0e…6d8b | No | +472 | $462 | $1,248 | 38 | 07-08 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x04db…c253 | Yes | +435 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-21 06:32 |
| Puzzling-Refund 0x3fdf…2bac | Yes | +435 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 14:13 |
| Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | +410 | $400 | $533 | 8 | 06-18 02:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd34…de18 | No | +400 | $393 | $393 | 9 | 07-10 11:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | +356 | $7 | $13 | 8 | 08-11 19:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3aa…2efc | No | +350 | $341 | $920 | 19 | 07-14 15:39 |
| Infatuated-Bafflement 0x8f25…0341 | No | +350 | $343 | $690 | 17 | 07-04 12:24 |
| Immaculate-Adrenalin 0xe549…7d86 | No | +316 | $305 | $305 | 1 | 05-30 08:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x1bcb…ec5d | No | +314 | $307 | $2,024 | 43 | 07-06 10:25 |
| Harmonious-Mozzarella 0xeda7…e3d5 | No | +307 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-02 10:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb87…fa96 | No | +300 | $294 | $294 | 2 | 06-05 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x9fb8…68f8 | No | +300 | $292 | $489 | 6 | 07-01 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x59b2…a9ac | No | +300 | $295 | $295 | 2 | 07-10 11:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x23b0…a7c8 | No | +288 | $281 | $1,820 | 29 | 06-13 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a31…dd3d | No | +280 | $275 | $915 | 11 | 07-10 11:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x38e6…e649 | No | +278 | $271 | $497 | 10 | 06-16 11:47 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +200 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-03 14:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 05:27:24 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 127 | 98¢ | $124 | 0x7613df… |
| 08-12 05:27:24 | (anonymous) 0x1d7e…63e7 | No | BUY | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x7613df… |
| 08-12 05:27:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 67 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7613df… |
| 08-12 05:27:24 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x7613df… |
| 08-11 20:48:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5d0fd5… |
| 08-11 20:48:48 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x5d0fd5… |
| 08-11 20:29:51 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xb34500… |
| 08-11 20:29:51 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xb34500… |
| 08-11 20:02:06 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 89 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x5832c8… |
| 08-11 20:02:06 | (anonymous) 0x60a8…d335 | No | SELL | 89 | 98¢ | $87 | 0x5832c8… |
| 08-11 19:28:51 | (anonymous) 0xeaf2…c60a | No | SELL | 365 | 98¢ | $358 | 0x8740c8… |
| 08-11 19:28:51 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | SELL | 125 | 98¢ | $123 | 0x8740c8… |
| 08-11 19:28:51 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | BUY | 356 | 2¢ | $7 | 0x8740c8… |
| 08-11 19:28:51 | Instructive-Patriarch 0x4e64…fc32 | Yes | SELL | 2,326 | 2¢ | $48 | 0x8740c8… |
| 08-11 19:28:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 169 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x8740c8… |
| 08-11 19:28:51 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 777 | 98¢ | $762 | 0x8740c8… |
| 08-11 19:28:51 | (anonymous) 0xa44a…98b1 | No | SELL | 464 | 98¢ | $454 | 0x8740c8… |
| 08-11 12:29:42 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x9e106a… |
| 08-11 12:29:42 | Clear-Bear 0x8095…d7ab | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x9e106a… |
| 08-11 12:29:15 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x28baef… |
| 08-11 12:29:15 | Clear-Bear 0x8095…d7ab | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x28baef… |
| 08-11 12:25:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0ec454… |
| 08-11 12:25:31 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x0ec454… |
| 08-11 12:11:36 | Clear-Bear 0x8095…d7ab | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x1e1398… |
| 08-11 12:11:36 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x1e1398… |
| 08-11 11:10:51 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x91c893… |
| 08-11 11:10:51 | Clear-Bear 0x8095…d7ab | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x91c893… |
| 08-11 10:20:48 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x83fa8f… |
| 08-11 10:20:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x83fa8f… |
| 08-11 10:06:06 | (anonymous) 0x57c2…a643 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x815fcd… |
| 08-11 10:06:06 | Clear-Bear 0x8095…d7ab | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x815fcd… |
| 08-11 06:39:52 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x006ae2… |
| 08-11 06:39:52 | Clear-Bear 0x8095…d7ab | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x006ae2… |
| 08-11 06:38:51 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x4e86a2… |
| 08-11 06:38:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4e86a2… |
| 08-11 06:36:21 | Clear-Bear 0x8095…d7ab | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe3a5f7… |
| 08-11 06:36:21 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe3a5f7… |
| 08-11 06:35:16 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xa2e158… |
| 08-11 06:35:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa2e158… |
| 08-11 04:26:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x27d406… |
| 08-11 04:26:46 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x27d406… |
| 08-10 21:55:22 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x3f844f… |
| 08-10 21:55:22 | Clear-Bear 0x8095…d7ab | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x3f844f… |
| 08-10 10:01:25 | Clear-Bear 0x8095…d7ab | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x2d4347… |
| 08-10 10:01:25 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x2d4347… |
| 08-10 09:46:00 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x3c9a11… |
| 08-10 09:46:00 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3c9a11… |
| 08-10 07:35:48 | Frightened-Instance 0x2094…bf3c | No | SELL | 114 | 98¢ | $112 | 0x331833… |
| 08-10 07:35:48 | Clear-Bear 0x8095…d7ab | No | BUY | 94 | 98¢ | $92 | 0x331833… |
| 08-10 07:35:48 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x331833… |
| 08-10 03:28:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x806455… |
| 08-10 03:28:16 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x806455… |
| 08-09 22:22:36 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 1,147 | 98¢ | $1,121 | 0x8cd7d5… |
| 08-09 22:22:36 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 1,167 | 98¢ | $1,141 | 0x8cd7d5… |
| 08-09 22:22:36 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x8cd7d5… |
| 08-09 20:30:40 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x22c26d… |
| 08-09 20:30:40 | (anonymous) 0x11c7…f277 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x22c26d… |
| 08-09 14:29:04 | (anonymous) 0x11c7…f277 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x9b8772… |
| 08-09 14:29:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9b8772… |
| 08-09 12:46:48 | Negligible-Reveal 0xd850…b459 | No | SELL | 84 | 98¢ | $82 | 0xcd3b4d… |
| 08-09 12:46:48 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 84 | 98¢ | $82 | 0xcd3b4d… |
| 08-09 12:44:25 | Negligible-Reveal 0xd850…b459 | No | SELL | 29 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x8738e7… |
| 08-09 12:44:25 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x8738e7… |
| 08-09 12:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8738e7… |
| 08-09 09:41:37 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa47738… |
| 08-09 09:41:37 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xa47738… |
| 08-09 09:26:25 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xcac8cd… |
| 08-09 09:26:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcac8cd… |
| 08-09 07:27:21 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xff3eb4… |
| 08-09 07:27:21 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xff3eb4… |
| 08-09 07:26:45 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x038b11… |
| 08-09 07:26:45 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x038b11… |
| 08-09 05:24:51 | (anonymous) 0x4a64…8f69 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6daa92… |
| 08-09 05:24:51 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6daa92… |
| 08-09 05:24:46 | (anonymous) 0x4a64…8f69 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x685954… |
| 08-09 05:24:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x685954… |
| 08-09 03:12:45 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x983ec0… |
| 08-09 03:12:45 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x983ec0… |
| 08-09 03:12:45 | (anonymous) 0x030d…4f0a | No | SELL | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0x983ec0… |
| 08-08 23:43:48 | (anonymous) 0xc756…0724 | No | BUY | 35 | 98¢ | $34 | 0xa547fa… |
| 08-08 23:43:48 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 393 | 98¢ | $385 | 0xa547fa… |
| 08-08 23:43:48 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xa547fa… |
| 08-08 23:43:48 | (anonymous) 0x0139…ecb1 | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0xa547fa… |
| 08-08 23:43:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 138 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xa547fa… |
| 08-08 23:43:48 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa547fa… |
| 08-08 13:56:03 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x4e2831… |
| 08-08 13:56:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4e2831… |
| 08-08 13:50:06 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb74066… |
| 08-08 13:50:06 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xb74066… |
| 08-08 08:20:39 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x90120a… |
| 08-08 08:20:39 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x90120a… |
| 08-08 08:18:57 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x22f8bc… |
| 08-08 08:18:57 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x22f8bc… |
| 08-08 05:31:43 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x1dd011… |
| 08-08 05:31:43 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x1dd011… |
| 08-08 05:31:43 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x1dd011… |
| 08-08 05:31:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 169 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x1dd011… |
| 08-08 05:31:43 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x1dd011… |
| 08-08 05:31:43 | (anonymous) 0xde58…e2b5 | No | SELL | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0x1dd011… |
| 08-08 05:31:43 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | BUY | 113 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x1dd011… |