Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$298,922
$2,311 in 24h
Trades
4,586
Unique wallets
833
Liquidity
$90,796
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-22 11:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.3¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $7.6K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $172.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 23 | $238 | $26.4K | $26.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 35 | $1.2K | $64.9K | $63.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 461 | $192 | $51.3K | $51.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 314 | $182 | $27.7K | $27.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $180 | $7.4K | $7.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 19 | $545 | $8.8K | $8.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $26 | $6.0K | $6.0K |
| Median | 91 | $17 | $8.0K | $8.0K |
| Below median | 368 | $91 | $47.9K | $47.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 24 | $16 | $5.0K | $5.0K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 25 | $8 | $5.3K | $5.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $238 | $245 | $7 |
| unranked | 284 | $642 | $81.6K | $81.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +21,273 | $20,652 | $25,710 | 61 | 07-14 15:39 |
| Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | +10,743 | $199 | $297 | 8 | 07-08 23:09 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +9,916 | $220 | $220 | 2 | 06-06 00:46 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +8,019 | $188 | $196 | 46 | 06-06 20:09 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +7,415 | $7,236 | $7,236 | 23 | 06-02 19:36 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +6,756 | $163 | $851 | 382 | 07-19 08:46 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +4,606 | $4,508 | $4,508 | 13 | 06-06 14:38 |
| Distorted-Dude 0xe36f…cd91 | No | +3,167 | $3,057 | $3,057 | 11 | 06-01 15:56 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +2,676 | $2,538 | $17,454 | 58 | 07-22 11:03 |
| Passionate-Nationality 0xab81…5ecd | No | +2,400 | $2,355 | $2,355 | 13 | 07-18 19:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +2,332 | $2,278 | $27,452 | 680 | 07-15 15:34 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +2,213 | $2,164 | $10,985 | 45 | 07-19 17:16 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +2,109 | $2,001 | $12,000 | 11 | 07-17 22:06 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,570 | $34 | $325 | 250 | 07-19 08:46 |
| Potable-Deposition 0x7a82…23c7 | No | +1,398 | $1,350 | $1,350 | 2 | 05-30 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +1,384 | $1,357 | $2,760 | 5 | 07-13 14:34 |
| Untidy-Dew 0xa928…e36e | No | +1,312 | $1,292 | $1,292 | 3 | 06-25 09:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a3c…5089 | Yes | +1,300 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-12 02:14 |
| Blushing-Roast 0x7ad0…19e3 | Yes | +1,200 | $24 | $24 | 4 | 06-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4775…d205 | No | +1,000 | $983 | $983 | 1 | 07-02 06:28 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +925 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-06 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x6410…ea31 | No | +918 | $902 | $902 | 2 | 07-02 03:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbb1…2f98 | No | +911 | $893 | $893 | 1 | 07-08 23:09 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +878 | $869 | $7,627 | 6 | 06-06 00:46 |
| Nice-Sweets 0x6413…556e | Yes | +824 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-18 02:07 |
| Straight-Topsail 0x789d…47e6 | No | +714 | $700 | $700 | 2 | 07-15 07:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x97d0…17eb | No | +650 | $637 | $1,359 | 15 | 07-06 04:21 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +584 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-25 22:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a13…e921 | Yes | +500 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 09:16 |
| Creative-Interferometer 0xe2d7…9fba | Yes | +500 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-01 13:49 |
| Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | +484 | $473 | $473 | 3 | 07-21 06:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc0e…6d8b | No | +472 | $462 | $1,248 | 38 | 07-08 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x04db…c253 | Yes | +435 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-21 06:32 |
| Puzzling-Refund 0x3fdf…2bac | Yes | +435 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 14:13 |
| Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | +410 | $400 | $533 | 8 | 06-18 02:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd34…de18 | No | +400 | $393 | $393 | 9 | 07-10 11:34 |
| Dual-Ashram 0xaafb…fc37 | No | +400 | $392 | $392 | 5 | 07-13 20:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3aa…2efc | No | +350 | $341 | $920 | 19 | 07-14 15:39 |
| Infatuated-Bafflement 0x8f25…0341 | No | +350 | $343 | $690 | 17 | 07-04 12:24 |
| Immaculate-Adrenalin 0xe549…7d86 | No | +316 | $305 | $305 | 1 | 05-30 08:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x1bcb…ec5d | No | +314 | $307 | $2,024 | 43 | 07-06 10:25 |
| Harmonious-Mozzarella 0xeda7…e3d5 | No | +307 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-02 10:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb87…fa96 | No | +300 | $294 | $294 | 2 | 06-05 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x59b2…a9ac | No | +300 | $295 | $295 | 2 | 07-10 11:34 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +200 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-03 14:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 11:03:48 | (anonymous) 0x35fa…f0d8 | No | BUY | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x5a8fdc… |
| 07-22 11:03:48 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x5a8fdc… |
| 07-22 10:31:40 | Bruised-Mango 0x6bcd…06b9 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x240b9c… |
| 07-22 10:31:40 | Meager-Duplexer 0xcfc0…1f82 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x240b9c… |
| 07-22 10:07:46 | Bruised-Mango 0x6bcd…06b9 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xd5f24d… |
| 07-22 10:07:46 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xd5f24d… |
| 07-22 10:05:31 | Bruised-Mango 0x6bcd…06b9 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x62146d… |
| 07-22 10:05:31 | (anonymous) 0xec6e…29c5 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x62146d… |
| 07-22 09:39:43 | Uncommon-Standardisation 0x8c69…2ddf | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x0207a6… |
| 07-22 09:39:43 | Bruised-Mango 0x6bcd…06b9 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x0207a6… |
| 07-22 04:33:16 | Uncommon-Standardisation 0x8c69…2ddf | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x7de018… |
| 07-22 04:33:16 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x7de018… |
| 07-22 04:15:30 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x1a203c… |
| 07-22 04:15:30 | Pastel-Rehospitalisation 0xcdfa…f79a | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x1a203c… |
| 07-22 04:01:46 | (anonymous) 0xec6e…29c5 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x4c3687… |
| 07-22 04:01:46 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x4c3687… |
| 07-22 02:31:31 | Meager-Duplexer 0xcfc0…1f82 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x5cf174… |
| 07-22 02:31:31 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x5cf174… |
| 07-22 02:02:06 | Bruised-Mango 0x6bcd…06b9 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xc7b746… |
| 07-22 02:02:06 | (anonymous) 0xcb27…4687 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xc7b746… |
| 07-22 01:46:01 | Bruised-Mango 0x6bcd…06b9 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x8b4513… |
| 07-22 01:46:01 | Dearest-Abnormality 0x81da…976b | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x8b4513… |
| 07-21 23:18:15 | (anonymous) 0xe992…dabd | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x5157d3… |
| 07-21 23:18:15 | Bruised-Mango 0x6bcd…06b9 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x5157d3… |
| 07-21 21:44:37 | Dearest-Abnormality 0x81da…976b | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xb8b87a… |
| 07-21 21:44:37 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xb8b87a… |
| 07-21 17:59:34 | (anonymous) 0xcb27…4687 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xf6e17d… |
| 07-21 17:59:34 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xf6e17d… |
| 07-21 14:35:58 | Bruised-Mango 0x6bcd…06b9 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xbdb136… |
| 07-21 14:35:58 | (anonymous) 0x89b4…4280 | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xbdb136… |
| 07-21 06:32:51 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 435 | 98¢ | $425 | 0x24c43c… |
| 07-21 06:32:51 | (anonymous) 0x04db…c253 | Yes | BUY | 435 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x24c43c… |
| 07-21 05:04:13 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x776102… |
| 07-21 05:04:13 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0x776102… |
| 07-20 09:59:46 | Impish-Hurry 0x7c07…f95d | No | BUY | 184 | 98¢ | $180 | 0x4595f0… |
| 07-20 09:59:46 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 184 | 98¢ | $180 | 0x4595f0… |
| 07-20 09:59:36 | Odd-Cannon 0x6e2c…b7f8 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x2e8069… |
| 07-20 09:59:36 | (anonymous) 0x402e…76c6 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x2e8069… |
| 07-20 07:58:04 | (anonymous) 0xfb90…d09c | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x64f512… |
| 07-20 07:58:04 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x64f512… |
| 07-20 06:54:52 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x0ee01e… |
| 07-20 06:54:52 | High-Bathhouse 0xc73f…d646 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x0ee01e… |
| 07-20 06:32:18 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x74c446… |
| 07-20 06:32:18 | (anonymous) 0x0166…e087 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x74c446… |
| 07-20 06:30:10 | Rare-Linguistics 0x5c93…0f11 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf46966… |
| 07-20 06:30:10 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xf46966… |
| 07-20 02:50:42 | (anonymous) 0x402e…76c6 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xd164a4… |
| 07-20 02:50:42 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xd164a4… |
| 07-19 19:26:34 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x2de72d… |
| 07-19 19:26:34 | (anonymous) 0x80b0…9906 | No | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x2de72d… |
| 07-19 17:16:03 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 19 | 98¢ | $18 | 0xb57044… |
| 07-19 17:16:03 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb57044… |
| 07-19 17:16:03 | (anonymous) 0x2139…9df0 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xb57044… |
| 07-19 17:03:57 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xd520f3… |
| 07-19 17:03:57 | (anonymous) 0x547f…d176 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xd520f3… |
| 07-19 16:19:36 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x3da923… |
| 07-19 16:19:36 | (anonymous) 0xbc5a…f78c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x3da923… |
| 07-19 08:46:15 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 183 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x0ce680… |
| 07-19 08:46:15 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 169 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x0ce680… |
| 07-19 08:46:15 | (anonymous) 0x58d9…23f3 | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x0ce680… |
| 07-19 06:40:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 162 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xe69dc6… |
| 07-19 06:40:10 | Outrageous-Agriculture 0x3329…2f5c | Yes | SELL | 251 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xe69dc6… |
| 07-19 06:40:10 | (anonymous) 0x37f4…f1d4 | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe69dc6… |
| 07-19 06:40:10 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 78 | 98¢ | $76 | 0xe69dc6… |
| 07-18 22:37:01 | Courageous-Gateway 0x13a2…5e27 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc27c62… |
| 07-18 22:37:01 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0xc27c62… |
| 07-18 21:48:42 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xd279c2… |
| 07-18 21:48:42 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xd279c2… |
| 07-18 19:49:16 | Passionate-Nationality 0xab81…5ecd | No | BUY | 400 | 98¢ | $391 | 0xc9172c… |
| 07-18 19:49:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 162 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xc9172c… |
| 07-18 19:49:16 | (anonymous) 0x37f4…f1d4 | No | SELL | 217 | 98¢ | $212 | 0xc9172c… |
| 07-18 19:49:16 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | SELL | 21 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xc9172c… |
| 07-18 18:00:13 | (anonymous) 0x82e0…06ad | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x1f4b3f… |
| 07-18 18:00:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1f4b3f… |
| 07-18 16:53:33 | (anonymous) 0x965f…9a46 | No | SELL | 23 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x0f2950… |
| 07-18 16:53:33 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 23 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x0f2950… |
| 07-18 11:54:39 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9f65ff… |
| 07-18 11:54:39 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 98¢ | $977 | 0x9f65ff… |
| 07-18 11:54:39 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 579 | 2¢ | $13 | 0x9f65ff… |
| 07-18 11:54:39 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 408 | 98¢ | $398 | 0x9f65ff… |
| 07-18 11:54:39 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x9f65ff… |
| 07-17 22:06:34 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 500 | 98¢ | $489 | 0x8460ea… |
| 07-17 22:06:34 | (anonymous) 0x7ccf…895f | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x8460ea… |
| 07-17 22:06:34 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x8460ea… |
| 07-17 22:06:34 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 760 | 98¢ | $743 | 0x8460ea… |
| 07-17 22:06:34 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x8460ea… |
| 07-17 22:06:34 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 108 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x8460ea… |
| 07-17 22:06:34 | (anonymous) 0x58d9…23f3 | No | BUY | 26 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x8460ea… |
| 07-17 14:42:55 | (anonymous) 0xa5cc…8a4e | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xe17a37… |
| 07-17 14:42:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe17a37… |
| 07-17 14:02:09 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x75a44a… |
| 07-17 14:02:09 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x75a44a… |
| 07-17 00:49:02 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfc15ca… |
| 07-17 00:49:02 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xfc15ca… |
| 07-17 00:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x337a…eedb | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xbae6cb… |
| 07-17 00:29:29 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 907 | 98¢ | $887 | 0xbae6cb… |
| 07-17 00:29:29 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 459 | 2¢ | $10 | 0xbae6cb… |
| 07-17 00:29:29 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 169 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xbae6cb… |
| 07-17 00:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x37f4…f1d4 | No | BUY | 228 | 98¢ | $223 | 0xbae6cb… |
| 07-16 21:08:05 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 521 | 2¢ | $11 | 0xa249f3… |