Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$241,841
$2,311 in 24h
Trades
3,318
Unique wallets
648
Liquidity
$90,796
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-02 10:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.3¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $12.0K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $141.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 22 | $238 | $23.3K | $23.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $950 | $38.7K | $37.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 347 | $179 | $51.6K | $51.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 254 | $163 | $26.5K | $26.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $164 | $11.8K | $11.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $470 | $1.3K | $871 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | $22 | $6.0K | $6.0K |
| Median | 68 | $17 | $4.2K | $4.2K |
| Below median | 278 | $91 | $40.3K | $40.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 22 | $16 | $4.0K | $4.0K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 23 | $8 | $3.4K | $3.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $238 | $245 | $7 |
| unranked | 223 | $502 | $69.0K | $68.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +23,843 | $23,181 | $23,181 | 20 | 06-20 03:06 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +10,000 | $234 | $683 | 293 | 07-02 10:09 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +9,916 | $220 | $220 | 2 | 06-06 00:46 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +9,158 | $8,887 | $11,106 | 14 | 06-20 15:35 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +8,019 | $188 | $196 | 46 | 06-06 20:09 |
| Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | +7,415 | $7,236 | $7,236 | 23 | 06-02 19:36 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +6,639 | $6,443 | $7,558 | 6 | 06-09 18:12 |
| Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | +4,616 | $86 | $184 | 6 | 07-01 22:35 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +4,606 | $4,508 | $4,508 | 13 | 06-06 14:38 |
| Distorted-Dude 0xe36f…cd91 | No | +3,167 | $3,057 | $3,057 | 11 | 06-01 15:56 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +2,192 | $49 | $232 | 172 | 07-02 06:28 |
| Potable-Deposition 0x7a82…23c7 | No | +1,398 | $1,350 | $1,350 | 2 | 05-30 08:43 |
| Untidy-Dew 0xa928…e36e | No | +1,312 | $1,292 | $1,292 | 3 | 06-25 09:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a3c…5089 | Yes | +1,300 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-12 02:14 |
| Blushing-Roast 0x7ad0…19e3 | Yes | +1,200 | $24 | $24 | 4 | 06-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4775…d205 | No | +1,000 | $983 | $983 | 1 | 07-02 06:28 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +925 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-06 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x6410…ea31 | No | +918 | $902 | $902 | 2 | 07-02 03:07 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +878 | $869 | $7,627 | 6 | 06-06 00:46 |
| Nice-Sweets 0x6413…556e | Yes | +824 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-18 02:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +790 | $769 | $17,855 | 422 | 07-02 08:54 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +584 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-25 22:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a13…e921 | Yes | +500 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 09:16 |
| Creative-Interferometer 0xe2d7…9fba | Yes | +500 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-01 13:49 |
| Puzzling-Refund 0x3fdf…2bac | Yes | +435 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 14:13 |
| Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | +410 | $400 | $533 | 8 | 06-18 02:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x9879…bc99 | No | +384 | $377 | $1,780 | 4 | 06-12 15:04 |
| Immaculate-Adrenalin 0xe549…7d86 | No | +316 | $305 | $305 | 1 | 05-30 08:46 |
| Harmonious-Mozzarella 0xeda7…e3d5 | No | +307 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-02 10:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb87…fa96 | No | +300 | $294 | $294 | 2 | 06-05 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x97d0…17eb | No | +300 | $293 | $979 | 10 | 06-28 22:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x9fb8…68f8 | No | +300 | $292 | $489 | 6 | 07-01 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x23b0…a7c8 | No | +288 | $281 | $1,820 | 29 | 06-13 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x38e6…e649 | No | +278 | $271 | $497 | 10 | 06-16 11:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc0e…6d8b | No | +272 | $265 | $539 | 8 | 07-01 21:11 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +250 | $245 | $245 | 1 | 06-14 02:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | +250 | $246 | $246 | 7 | 06-27 05:07 |
| Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | +250 | $245 | $441 | 9 | 07-01 21:11 |
| Infatuated-Bafflement 0x8f25…0341 | No | +207 | $203 | $203 | 1 | 06-17 20:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xc409…4d2a | Yes | +200 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-20 15:35 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +200 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-03 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x76cc…48d1 | No | +200 | $196 | $196 | 4 | 06-13 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc90…ab10 | No | +200 | $196 | $196 | 4 | 06-13 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x2620…61c5 | No | +200 | $197 | $197 | 5 | 06-27 05:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x25ed…69cf | No | +200 | $197 | $335 | 11 | 06-29 01:00 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +130 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 23:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 10:09:13 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 44 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x03e368… |
| 07-02 10:09:13 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Reception 0x6fb9…e0d3 | No | SELL | 44 | 98¢ | $43 | 0x03e368… |
| 07-02 08:54:05 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xdd9a5c… |
| 07-02 08:54:05 | Infamous-Nobody 0xa54c…d63a | No | BUY | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0xdd9a5c… |
| 07-02 08:44:01 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Reception 0x6fb9…e0d3 | No | BUY | 44 | 98¢ | $43 | 0x0115cd… |
| 07-02 08:44:01 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x0115cd… |
| 07-02 07:19:19 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 49 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1437dc… |
| 07-02 07:19:19 | Rude-Cereal 0xf877…b5b2 | No | SELL | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0x1437dc… |
| 07-02 07:15:55 | Flippant-Alpaca 0x788f…6db8 | No | SELL | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0x6d705d… |
| 07-02 07:15:55 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6d705d… |
| 07-02 07:15:55 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 33 | 98¢ | $32 | 0x6d705d… |
| 07-02 06:59:43 | Vacant-Hemp 0xd998…7819 | No | SELL | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0xb240a5… |
| 07-02 06:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0xb240a5… |
| 07-02 06:54:14 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0xeb37fb… |
| 07-02 06:54:14 | Horrible-Final 0xdf81…cc6f | No | SELL | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0xeb37fb… |
| 07-02 06:32:16 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 18 | 98¢ | $17 | 0x769dda… |
| 07-02 06:32:16 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x769dda… |
| 07-02 06:28:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 169 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x5f57d5… |
| 07-02 06:28:43 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 36 | 98¢ | $35 | 0x5f57d5… |
| 07-02 06:28:43 | (anonymous) 0x4775…d205 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 98¢ | $983 | 0x5f57d5… |
| 07-02 06:28:43 | (anonymous) 0x1a46…34cf | No | SELL | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0x5f57d5… |
| 07-02 06:28:43 | (anonymous) 0x3374…99dd | No | SELL | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x5f57d5… |
| 07-02 06:28:43 | (anonymous) 0xddd1…02b9 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x5f57d5… |
| 07-02 06:28:43 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5f57d5… |
| 07-02 06:21:52 | Stimulating-Candle 0x8817…aaa5 | No | SELL | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0xdc1b73… |
| 07-02 06:21:52 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0xdc1b73… |
| 07-02 06:15:28 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 19 | 98¢ | $19 | 0x7befd9… |
| 07-02 06:15:28 | Rude-Cereal 0xf877…b5b2 | No | BUY | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0x7befd9… |
| 07-02 06:07:58 | Flippant-Alpaca 0x788f…6db8 | No | BUY | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0xa70801… |
| 07-02 06:07:58 | (anonymous) 0x0e46…0602 | No | SELL | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0xa70801… |
| 07-02 06:07:58 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xa70801… |
| 07-02 05:32:35 | Vacant-Hemp 0xd998…7819 | No | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0x801c23… |
| 07-02 05:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x0e46…0602 | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x801c23… |
| 07-02 05:32:35 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x801c23… |
| 07-02 05:21:41 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4b510e… |
| 07-02 05:21:41 | Horrible-Final 0xdf81…cc6f | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x4b510e… |
| 07-02 04:14:58 | Stimulating-Candle 0x8817…aaa5 | No | BUY | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0x359a49… |
| 07-02 04:14:58 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 47 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x359a49… |
| 07-02 04:14:13 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 36 | 98¢ | $35 | 0x59de5f… |
| 07-02 04:14:13 | Belated-Minimum 0xe8d3…04b9 | No | SELL | 36 | 98¢ | $35 | 0x59de5f… |
| 07-02 03:54:31 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 511 | 2¢ | $9 | 0x9b0bb2… |
| 07-02 03:54:31 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9b0bb2… |
| 07-02 03:54:31 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x9b0bb2… |
| 07-02 03:54:31 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 2,568 | 98¢ | $2,521 | 0x9b0bb2… |
| 07-02 03:54:31 | (anonymous) 0x30dd…bb80 | No | BUY | 3,182 | 98¢ | $3,125 | 0x9b0bb2… |
| 07-02 03:44:49 | Flickering-Buddy 0x0f1b…7253 | No | SELL | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x07d0b1… |
| 07-02 03:44:49 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x07d0b1… |
| 07-02 03:23:31 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2569bb… |
| 07-02 03:23:31 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2569bb… |
| 07-02 03:12:16 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4c1001… |
| 07-02 03:12:16 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4c1001… |
| 07-02 03:12:16 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x4c1001… |
| 07-02 03:12:16 | Belated-Minimum 0xe8d3…04b9 | No | BUY | 36 | 98¢ | $35 | 0x4c1001… |
| 07-02 03:07:29 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 169 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x6c830b… |
| 07-02 03:07:29 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6c830b… |
| 07-02 03:07:29 | (anonymous) 0x6410…ea31 | No | BUY | 617 | 98¢ | $606 | 0x6c830b… |
| 07-02 03:07:29 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 83 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6c830b… |
| 07-02 03:07:29 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 67 | 98¢ | $65 | 0x6c830b… |
| 07-02 03:06:22 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 301 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x9e6746… |
| 07-02 03:06:22 | (anonymous) 0x6410…ea31 | No | BUY | 301 | 98¢ | $296 | 0x9e6746… |
| 07-02 02:10:59 | Flickering-Buddy 0x0f1b…7253 | No | BUY | 41 | 98¢ | $41 | 0xae7a76… |
| 07-02 02:10:59 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 41 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xae7a76… |
| 07-02 01:22:19 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 67 | 98¢ | $65 | 0x368e2a… |
| 07-02 01:22:19 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 236 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x368e2a… |
| 07-02 01:22:19 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 169 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x368e2a… |
| 07-02 00:46:14 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7fa366… |
| 07-02 00:46:14 | (anonymous) 0xc4a3…81fa | Yes | SELL | 133 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x7fa366… |
| 07-02 00:46:14 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x7fa366… |
| 07-02 00:46:07 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0xd0ab24… |
| 07-02 00:46:07 | Triangular-Opera 0xa0fb…e95d | No | SELL | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0xd0ab24… |
| 07-02 00:14:20 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 44 | 98¢ | $44 | 0xf8b1cb… |
| 07-02 00:14:20 | Sweet-Innervation 0x3c0a…c60d | No | SELL | 44 | 98¢ | $44 | 0xf8b1cb… |
| 07-02 00:08:10 | Outstanding-Crow 0x9f9f…0dcd | No | SELL | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x5faf29… |
| 07-02 00:08:10 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x5faf29… |
| 07-01 23:19:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 47 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcbe89e… |
| 07-01 23:19:34 | Triangular-Opera 0xa0fb…e95d | No | BUY | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0xcbe89e… |
| 07-01 22:35:02 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2b03e8… |
| 07-01 22:35:02 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 200 | 98¢ | $196 | 0x2b03e8… |
| 07-01 22:35:02 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 58 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2b03e8… |
| 07-01 22:35:02 | Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | BUY | 260 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x2b03e8… |
| 07-01 22:18:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 44 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb8e8f6… |
| 07-01 22:18:31 | Sweet-Innervation 0x3c0a…c60d | No | BUY | 44 | 98¢ | $44 | 0xb8e8f6… |
| 07-01 22:08:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3614e2… |
| 07-01 22:08:13 | Outstanding-Crow 0x9f9f…0dcd | No | BUY | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x3614e2… |
| 07-01 21:30:35 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 37 | 98¢ | $37 | 0x3604a5… |
| 07-01 21:30:35 | Short-Eyestrain 0xe980…b1ed | No | SELL | 37 | 98¢ | $37 | 0x3604a5… |
| 07-01 21:11:07 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 167 | 98¢ | $164 | 0xc8d057… |
| 07-01 21:11:07 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | BUY | 62 | 98¢ | $61 | 0xc8d057… |
| 07-01 21:11:07 | (anonymous) 0xcc0e…6d8b | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xc8d057… |
| 07-01 21:11:07 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 1,030 | 98¢ | $1,011 | 0xc8d057… |
| 07-01 21:11:07 | (anonymous) 0x9fb8…68f8 | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xc8d057… |
| 07-01 21:11:07 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 400 | 2¢ | $8 | 0xc8d057… |
| 07-01 21:11:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 169 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xc8d057… |
| 07-01 21:11:07 | (anonymous) 0x1f32…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 239 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xc8d057… |
| 07-01 21:11:07 | (anonymous) 0x1a46…34cf | No | BUY | 327 | 98¢ | $322 | 0xc8d057… |
| 07-01 21:11:07 | Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | BUY | 4,356 | 2¢ | $80 | 0xc8d057… |
| 07-01 21:11:07 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 200 | 98¢ | $196 | 0xc8d057… |
| 07-01 21:11:07 | (anonymous) 0xddd1…02b9 | No | BUY | 150 | 98¢ | $147 | 0xc8d057… |
| 07-01 19:59:28 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 37 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0773a3… |
| 07-01 19:59:28 | Short-Eyestrain 0xe980…b1ed | No | BUY | 37 | 98¢ | $37 | 0x0773a3… |