Realized P&L
+$1.05K
Unrealized P&L
+$754
Hit rate
97.7%
Resolved
121
Trades
8,950
lifetime
Volume
$7.39M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$826
Open exposure
$119.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 06-30 13:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
45% 92% +$383
Sports
30% 96% +$652
Politics
21% 75% +$12
Crypto
4%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 436 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +19,406 $19,274 100¢ $19.4K +$112 06-27 21:31
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? No +18,984 $18,929 100¢ $19.0K +$36 06-25 00:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +16,753 $16,509 100¢ $16.7K +$227 06-25 19:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No +12,266 $12,194 100¢ $12.3K +$59 06-16 14:00
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? No +9,589 $9,553 100¢ $9.6K +$26 06-23 18:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No +7,653 $7,619 100¢ $7.6K +$27 06-25 17:23
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No -3,418 $-3,092 94¢ $-3213 $-122 06-26 13:57
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -3,251 $-3,186 98¢ $-3191 $-5 06-18 13:58
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +3,057 $2,904 96¢ $2.9K +$17 06-18 13:38
Human moon landing in 2026? No +2,927 $2,833 97¢ $2.8K +$11 06-30 13:06
Trump out as President by June 30? No +2,500 $2,472 100¢ $2.5K +$25 06-05 17:49
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +1,919 $1,901 100¢ $1.9K +$16 06-26 14:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2,008 $1,800 92¢ $1.8K +$38 06-12 23:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +1,735 $1,691 100¢ $1.7K +$40 06-17 03:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,654 $1,538 95¢ $1.6K +$27 06-09 17:48
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? No +1,518 $1,423 94¢ $1.4K +$11 06-18 13:40
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,360 $1,326 98¢ $1.3K +$5 06-29 12:24
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No +1,315 $1,307 100¢ $1.3K +$7 06-26 16:11
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 $-976 98¢ $-984 $-7 06-22 20:42
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +949 $946 100¢ $946 $-1 06-30 12:50
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,005 $829 88¢ $889 +$60 06-06 13:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +829 $816 100¢ $828 +$13 06-11 03:10
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +950 $806 86¢ $822 +$16 06-08 16:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +796 $671 96¢ $763 +$92 06-14 15:39
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +750 $734 100¢ $749 +$16 06-06 10:07
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +750 $720 94¢ $709 $-11 06-18 15:20
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +750 $705 94¢ $705 +$0 06-07 13:52
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +609 $565 93¢ $568 +$3 06-14 17:07
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No -593 $-579 96¢ $-568 +$12 06-23 19:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No +550 $547 100¢ $550 +$3 06-16 13:57