Realized P&L
+$1.05K
Unrealized P&L
+$344
Hit rate
97.7%
Resolved
121
Trades
9,629
lifetime
Volume
$7.60M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$790
Open exposure
$30.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 07-20 19:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
44%
92%
+$383
Sports
31%
96%
+$652
Politics
20%
75%
+$12
Crypto
5%
—
—
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk
• peak 436 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | No | -3,418 | $-3,092 | 96¢ | $-3297 | $-205 | 06-26 13:57 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | -3,251 | $-3,186 | 98¢ | $-3187 | $-2 | 06-18 13:58 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | +3,308 | $3,143 | 96¢ | $3.2K | +$20 | 07-07 11:47 | |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | No | +2,268 | $2,140 | 97¢ | $2.2K | +$59 | 07-08 00:53 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | +2,008 | $1,800 | 94¢ | $1.9K | +$98 | 06-12 23:23 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,800 | $-1,620 | 92¢ | $-1647 | $-27 | 07-05 12:57 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | +1,654 | $1,538 | 96¢ | $1.6K | +$44 | 06-09 17:48 | |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,500 | $1,425 | 96¢ | $1.4K | +$8 | 07-20 13:50 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | +1,454 | $1,304 | 98¢ | $1.4K | +$116 | 07-10 13:17 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,380 | $-1,346 | 97¢ | $-1344 | +$2 | 07-20 19:46 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,255 | $1,231 | 98¢ | $1.2K | $-4 | 07-17 22:56 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,005 | $991 | 99¢ | $992 | +$0 | 07-20 11:09 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | +1,005 | $829 | 87¢ | $874 | +$45 | 06-06 13:39 | |
| Human moon landing in 2026? | No | +749 | $715 | 98¢ | $731 | +$15 | 07-18 04:27 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | +750 | $705 | 95¢ | $712 | +$8 | 06-07 13:52 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +713 | $691 | 98¢ | $697 | +$6 | 07-19 17:16 | |
| Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? | No | +647 | $542 | 90¢ | $585 | +$44 | 07-16 15:33 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | +609 | $565 | 94¢ | $575 | +$10 | 06-14 17:07 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +500 | $489 | 99¢ | $493 | +$3 | 07-19 15:33 | |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | +491 | $474 | 97¢ | $478 | +$4 | 07-03 14:36 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | -547 | $-512 | 86¢ | $-468 | +$44 | 07-19 10:36 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -452 | $-443 | 97¢ | $-436 | +$6 | 07-20 18:57 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +412 | $395 | 96¢ | $396 | +$0 | 07-20 10:34 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +395 | $379 | 98¢ | $387 | +$9 | 07-21 05:04 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +134 | $127 | 99¢ | $133 | +$6 | 07-20 17:48 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | +138 | $133 | 96¢ | $132 | $-1 | 07-03 14:33 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +127 | $100 | 98¢ | $124 | +$25 | 07-20 02:11 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | +106 | $105 | 99¢ | $104 | $-0 | 07-03 14:29 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +104 | $89 | 97¢ | $101 | +$12 | 07-20 10:46 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | No | +58 | $55 | 96¢ | $56 | +$1 | 06-07 13:51 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 14 | $279.3K | 229,650 | 50,100 | +179,550 | open | — | 05-01 00:33 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026 | 14 | $250.1K | 183,718 | 66,718 | +117,000 | open | — | 04-20 16:42 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 27 | $246.8K | 247,568 | 0 | +247,568 | open | — | 06-04 00:35 |
| will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | 4 | $130.8K | 130,900 | 0 | +130,900 | open | — | 07-09 08:23 |
| Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev | 11 | $116.8K | 117,095 | 0 | +117,095 | open | — | 04-28 23:32 |
| Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondar | 20 | $115.1K | 115,174 | 25 | +115,149 | open | — | 04-27 16:02 |
| nba gsw phx 2026 04 17 | 20 | $111.7K | 111,825 | 0 | +111,825 | open | — | 04-18 10:32 |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | 24 | $111.5K | 76,191 | 35,500 | +40,691 | open | — | 04-30 12:18 |
| mlb lad pit 2026 06 11 | 3 | $102.9K | 103,000 | 0 | +103,000 | open | — | 06-12 02:07 |
| will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855 | 7 | $99.9K | 50,000 | 50,000 | +0 | open | — | 04-06 02:31 |
| ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11 | 58 | $99.8K | 99,944 | 0 | +99,944 | open | — | 04-12 03:30 |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx | 126 | $95.5K | 95,638 | 0 | +95,638 | Alexander Blockx | +$96 | 05-07 15:43 |
| nba tor uta 2026 03 23 | 6 | $91.8K | 45,956 | 45,956 | -0 | open | — | 03-24 03:33 |
| Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs | 3 | $85.2K | 85,241 | 0 | +85,241 | open | — | 04-24 19:01 |
| cs2 vit fal2 2026 04 15 | 23 | $78.7K | 78,764 | 10 | +78,754 | open | — | 04-15 21:20 |
| nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 | 79 | $78.3K | 78,411 | 0 | +78,411 | open | — | 02-09 04:01 |
| atp nava shelton 2026 04 13 | 2 | $74.9K | 75,012 | 0 | +75,012 | open | — | 04-13 15:32 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 49 | $72.7K | 72,897 | 0 | +72,897 | open | — | 03-03 21:46 |
| LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | 124 | $70.4K | 70,431 | 0 | +70,431 | open | — | 04-26 20:18 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 38 | $68.8K | 68,893 | 300 | +68,593 | open | — | 04-08 23:22 |
| UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card) | 191 | $65.8K | 65,831 | 0 | +65,831 | Sean Brady | +$67 | 05-10 03:07 |
| cs2 vit g2 2026 04 14 | 109 | $65.3K | 65,401 | 0 | +65,401 | open | — | 04-14 17:10 |
| Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx | 8 | $60.4K | 60,717 | 0 | +60,717 | open | — | 04-30 13:00 |
| nba chi phi 2026 03 25 | 18 | $59.9K | 30,006 | 30,006 | +0 | open | — | 03-26 00:53 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | 8 | $59.9K | 59,996 | 0 | +59,996 | open | — | 06-01 18:26 |
| Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovic | 19 | $57.9K | 58,000 | 0 | +58,000 | open | — | 04-18 16:56 |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | 7 | $54.3K | 29,400 | 25,000 | +4,400 | open | — | 04-16 15:38 |
| cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22 | 1 | $52.9K | 53,001 | 0 | +53,001 | open | — | 03-22 20:43 |
| nba mia was 2026 04 10 spread away 15pt5 | 5 | $52.0K | 52,036 | 0 | +52,036 | open | — | 04-11 02:03 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 49 | $51.8K | 52,548 | 1,243 | +51,305 | open | — | 04-08 23:22 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||