Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$119,025
$319 in 24h
Trades
1,704
Unique wallets
386
Liquidity
$75,587
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-26 22:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $9.9K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $53.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $224 | $19.6K | $19.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 32 | $1.2K | $16.4K | $15.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 111 | $234 | $7.5K | $7.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 226 | $89 | $8.2K | $8.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $12 | $9.9K | $9.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $876 | $6.4K | $5.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $15 | $23 | $7 |
| Median | 48 | $3 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| Below median | 118 | $176 | $9.0K | $8.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $8 | $559 | $551 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $10 | $867 | $857 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $232 | $2.4K | $2.2K |
| unranked | 172 | $433 | $20.4K | $20.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | +13,554 | $249 | $249 | 8 | 07-08 23:10 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +10,002 | $267 | $1,193 | 378 | 07-25 20:15 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +9,085 | $212 | $212 | 3 | 06-06 16:30 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +6,653 | $158 | $158 | 3 | 06-05 08:07 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +2,443 | $2,387 | $2,387 | 8 | 06-19 17:45 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +1,406 | $1,379 | $9,308 | 22 | 07-17 22:56 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +1,088 | $1,065 | $8,419 | 13 | 07-17 22:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 02:09 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | +702 | $686 | $686 | 3 | 06-19 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x722e…51af | No | +700 | $686 | $686 | 2 | 07-10 11:35 |
| Safe-Foot 0x773f…24dd | Yes | +670 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-21 19:54 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +531 | $511 | $1,796 | 8 | 07-23 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x92c1…0586 | No | +500 | $490 | $490 | 1 | 07-02 10:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x04db…c253 | Yes | +419 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-21 06:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x9883…1d31 | Yes | +409 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-23 10:07 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +400 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 02:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | +370 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-13 07:07 |
| Straight-Topsail 0x789d…47e6 | No | +357 | $350 | $350 | 1 | 07-15 06:59 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +331 | $302 | $8,950 | 32 | 07-17 12:04 |
| Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | +319 | $312 | $379 | 41 | 07-26 22:21 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +243 | $-5 | $24 | 2 | 06-14 02:11 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +200 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 16:30 |
| Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | +188 | $184 | $504 | 30 | 07-26 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x2107…8a8a | No | +173 | $169 | $169 | 1 | 07-25 12:50 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +129 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 23:40 |
| Negligible-Reveal 0xd850…b459 | No | +128 | $125 | $125 | 1 | 07-09 23:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xf79f…8387 | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-10 08:08 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 02:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5756…b58e | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 07-01 22:32 |
| Faraway-Insurgence 0x6c16…c29e | No | +78 | $76 | $230 | 3 | 07-08 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5bc…c1e0 | No | +77 | $75 | $227 | 3 | 07-08 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x58d9…23f3 | No | +77 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 07-21 07:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x5cfa…5e8b | No | +76 | $74 | $224 | 5 | 07-08 23:10 |
| Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | +76 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 07-08 23:10 |
| Trustworthy-Kingdom 0xe5ce…7f3f | No | +76 | $74 | $568 | 21 | 06-06 21:10 |
| Rude-Physical 0xfe1c…b021 | No | +75 | $73 | $223 | 3 | 07-08 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xd40c…d5ba | No | +74 | $73 | $220 | 3 | 07-08 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x0bee…488e | No | +74 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 07-08 23:10 |
| Delightful-Intentionality 0x6154…0d8f | No | +73 | $72 | $215 | 3 | 07-08 23:10 |
| Close-Language 0x0aad…6bcb | No | +72 | $71 | $212 | 3 | 07-08 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x10f9…c5f9 | No | +71 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 07-08 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x3661…b162 | No | +69 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 07-08 23:10 |
| Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | +68 | $66 | $517 | 8 | 06-14 02:09 |
| Flustered-Understatement 0x45cf…2801 | No | +66 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 07-08 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xa452…06ef | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-05 17:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 22:23:15 | (anonymous) 0xf606…ceda | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xb783d1… |
| 07-26 22:23:15 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xb783d1… |
| 07-26 22:21:16 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x1747da… |
| 07-26 22:21:16 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x1747da… |
| 07-26 22:18:03 | (anonymous) 0xf606…ceda | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x5b872a… |
| 07-26 22:18:03 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x5b872a… |
| 07-26 22:01:13 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xfc1184… |
| 07-26 22:01:13 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xfc1184… |
| 07-26 21:58:09 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x6c8834… |
| 07-26 21:58:09 | (anonymous) 0xf606…ceda | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x6c8834… |
| 07-26 21:32:57 | Flippant-Cruelty 0xff54…62b5 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x2a6d07… |
| 07-26 21:32:57 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x2a6d07… |
| 07-26 20:48:06 | Downright-Noodle 0x8480…157a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x8cae22… |
| 07-26 20:48:06 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x8cae22… |
| 07-26 20:37:10 | (anonymous) 0x2b9b…cdc4 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xf5353d… |
| 07-26 20:37:10 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xf5353d… |
| 07-26 20:36:45 | (anonymous) 0xf606…ceda | No | SELL | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x5a56d8… |
| 07-26 20:36:45 | (anonymous) 0xc4b0…1b5f | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x5a56d8… |
| 07-26 20:36:45 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x5a56d8… |
| 07-26 19:26:58 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x45d20d… |
| 07-26 19:26:58 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x45d20d… |
| 07-26 19:20:48 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x68ff0c… |
| 07-26 19:20:48 | (anonymous) 0xc4b0…1b5f | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x68ff0c… |
| 07-26 18:00:30 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x4df2fc… |
| 07-26 18:00:30 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x4df2fc… |
| 07-26 17:59:21 | (anonymous) 0xc4b0…1b5f | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xb0a4e7… |
| 07-26 17:59:21 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xb0a4e7… |
| 07-26 16:56:55 | Perfect-Likeness 0x888f…9203 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x52503f… |
| 07-26 16:56:55 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x52503f… |
| 07-26 14:32:00 | (anonymous) 0xc4b0…1b5f | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x96c694… |
| 07-26 14:32:00 | Flippant-Cruelty 0xff54…62b5 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x96c694… |
| 07-26 13:26:19 | (anonymous) 0xc4b0…1b5f | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x399f11… |
| 07-26 13:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x2b9b…cdc4 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x399f11… |
| 07-26 12:44:52 | Downright-Noodle 0x8480…157a | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xfa3f78… |
| 07-26 12:44:52 | (anonymous) 0xc4b0…1b5f | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xfa3f78… |
| 07-26 11:01:22 | Determined-Hyphenation 0xbc12…219a | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x0efec4… |
| 07-26 11:01:22 | (anonymous) 0x1657…5d81 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x0efec4… |
| 07-26 09:55:40 | (anonymous) 0xc4b0…1b5f | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xc3426d… |
| 07-26 09:55:40 | Perfect-Likeness 0x888f…9203 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xc3426d… |
| 07-26 05:51:54 | (anonymous) 0xa8a2…763a | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6efe01… |
| 07-26 05:51:54 | (anonymous) 0x1657…5d81 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6efe01… |
| 07-26 03:59:00 | (anonymous) 0xc4b0…1b5f | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6bbb60… |
| 07-26 03:59:00 | Determined-Hyphenation 0xbc12…219a | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6bbb60… |
| 07-26 01:25:15 | (anonymous) 0x81f6…6455 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x20f21e… |
| 07-26 01:25:15 | (anonymous) 0x1657…5d81 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x20f21e… |
| 07-26 00:45:03 | (anonymous) 0xc4b0…1b5f | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe9987f… |
| 07-26 00:45:03 | (anonymous) 0xa8a2…763a | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe9987f… |
| 07-26 00:38:24 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x7446e4… |
| 07-26 00:38:24 | (anonymous) 0x1657…5d81 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x7446e4… |
| 07-26 00:34:09 | (anonymous) 0xc4b0…1b5f | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xcc7c9d… |
| 07-26 00:34:09 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xcc7c9d… |
| 07-25 23:44:25 | (anonymous) 0xf5c5…9472 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x9dcb15… |
| 07-25 23:44:25 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x9dcb15… |
| 07-25 22:54:21 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x82ad5c… |
| 07-25 22:54:21 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x82ad5c… |
| 07-25 22:54:21 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x82ad5c… |
| 07-25 22:50:28 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xda3e2b… |
| 07-25 22:50:28 | (anonymous) 0xc4b0…1b5f | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xda3e2b… |
| 07-25 22:36:45 | (anonymous) 0x1d9a…be9c | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x42473f… |
| 07-25 22:36:45 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x42473f… |
| 07-25 22:28:58 | (anonymous) 0x7f87…eb76 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x92b026… |
| 07-25 22:28:58 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x92b026… |
| 07-25 21:18:52 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x6cfde7… |
| 07-25 21:18:52 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x6cfde7… |
| 07-25 21:18:37 | (anonymous) 0x81f6…6455 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x2dfc78… |
| 07-25 21:18:37 | (anonymous) 0xc4b0…1b5f | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x2dfc78… |
| 07-25 21:13:33 | (anonymous) 0xc4b0…1b5f | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x1ab492… |
| 07-25 21:13:33 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x1ab492… |
| 07-25 21:05:22 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x0acebb… |
| 07-25 21:05:22 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x0acebb… |
| 07-25 21:00:48 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x0997f8… |
| 07-25 21:00:48 | (anonymous) 0xc4b0…1b5f | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x0997f8… |
| 07-25 20:40:55 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x58b868… |
| 07-25 20:40:55 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x58b868… |
| 07-25 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xf524a9… |
| 07-25 20:34:24 | (anonymous) 0xc4b0…1b5f | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xf524a9… |
| 07-25 20:15:33 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x243455… |
| 07-25 20:15:33 | (anonymous) 0x0f68…efca | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x243455… |
| 07-25 19:49:40 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfa10ff… |
| 07-25 19:49:40 | (anonymous) 0x6f39…7a56 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xfa10ff… |
| 07-25 19:03:51 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x8797c9… |
| 07-25 19:03:51 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8797c9… |
| 07-25 19:03:42 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa9d825… |
| 07-25 19:03:42 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xa9d825… |
| 07-25 19:03:33 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x8873f6… |
| 07-25 19:03:33 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8873f6… |
| 07-25 19:03:24 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9404b0… |
| 07-25 19:03:24 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x9404b0… |
| 07-25 19:03:13 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9f6e8e… |
| 07-25 19:03:13 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x9f6e8e… |
| 07-25 19:03:03 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x699e5b… |
| 07-25 19:03:03 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x699e5b… |
| 07-25 19:02:51 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5f450c… |
| 07-25 19:02:51 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x5f450c… |
| 07-25 19:02:42 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x3ba955… |
| 07-25 19:02:42 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3ba955… |
| 07-25 19:02:33 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc750e0… |
| 07-25 19:02:33 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xc750e0… |
| 07-25 19:02:22 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1d6957… |
| 07-25 19:02:22 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x1d6957… |