Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,640
$319 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$75,587
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-17 00:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $441 | $441 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $85 | $2 | +$83 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 10 | $81 | $443 | $361 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +1,762 | $76 | $76 | 2 | 05-14 06:20 |
| Broken-Micronutrient 0x3ddc…6f13 | Yes | +95 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 23:12 |
| Somber-Prospect 0x3465…69f2 | Yes | +88 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-16 14:19 |
| Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 11:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 00:41:26 | Gregarious-Vanilla-Termination 0x3793…84ca | Yes | SELL | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9ad1d2… |
| 05-17 00:41:12 | Gregarious-Vanilla-Termination 0x3793…84ca | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x048b9d… |
| 05-16 23:12:44 | Broken-Micronutrient 0x3ddc…6f13 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xf27343… |
| 05-16 14:19:04 | Somber-Prospect 0x3465…69f2 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x11c8fb… |
| 05-16 13:39:31 | Somber-Prospect 0x3465…69f2 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x93a604… |
| 05-15 14:07:04 | Humongous-Settlement 0x17b7…1ecc | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x99d4b7… |
| 05-15 09:29:19 | Admired-Pump 0x22b9…d2a4 | No | SELL | 46 | 96¢ | $44 | 0x5af39a… |
| 05-14 06:20:35 | Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | BUY | 962 | 4¢ | $40 | 0x08ffde… |
| 05-13 03:27:03 | (anonymous) 0xc4a3…81fa | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x6df93c… |
| 05-11 14:22:01 | Easy-Township 0x1bbe…f8b0 | No | SELL | 447 | 96¢ | $427 | 0xc26473… |
| 05-11 14:21:49 | Few-Motel 0xee7a…9d04 | No | SELL | 447 | 96¢ | $427 | 0x0cc1fb… |
| 05-11 14:21:24 | Few-Motel 0xee7a…9d04 | No | SELL | 448 | 96¢ | $428 | 0x083d68… |
| 05-11 14:21:12 | Easy-Township 0x1bbe…f8b0 | No | SELL | 449 | 96¢ | $429 | 0x5841eb… |
| 05-11 14:20:34 | Few-Motel 0xee7a…9d04 | No | SELL | 451 | 96¢ | $431 | 0x5ddb94… |
| 05-11 14:17:46 | Easy-Township 0x1bbe…f8b0 | No | SELL | 458 | 96¢ | $437 | 0xecbcf6… |
| 05-11 14:08:36 | Easy-Township 0x1bbe…f8b0 | No | SELL | 461 | 96¢ | $441 | 0x714121… |
| 05-11 14:08:24 | Easy-Township 0x1bbe…f8b0 | No | BUY | 461 | 96¢ | $441 | 0xba9325… |
| 05-11 11:33:19 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x577aaa… |
| 05-11 02:50:02 | (anonymous) 0xafb5…19a1 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x28c6c9… |
| 05-11 00:23:36 | Agitated-Headlight 0xbe90…7fb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9aa890… |
| 05-08 14:45:27 | Humongous-Settlement 0x17b7…1ecc | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf3ab2e… |
| 05-07 15:34:32 | Humongous-Settlement 0x17b7…1ecc | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x4c9a88… |
| 05-07 06:59:04 | Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | BUY | 800 | 4¢ | $36 | 0x1e8a0f… |
| 05-06 16:52:58 | Humongous-Settlement 0x17b7…1ecc | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x145fa8… |