Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$137,933
$319 in 24h
Trades
3,113
Unique wallets
441
Liquidity
$75,587
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-16 15:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $9.9K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $60.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $231 | $23.2K | $23.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 40 | $1.3K | $18.4K | $17.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 122 | $234 | $7.9K | $7.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 259 | $108 | $8.7K | $8.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $12 | $9.9K | $9.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $905 | $6.6K | $5.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $15 | $23 | $7 |
| Median | 66 | $3 | $3.4K | $3.4K |
| Below median | 133 | $176 | $9.1K | $8.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 13 | $23 | $621 | $598 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $10 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $239 | $2.4K | $2.1K |
| unranked | 194 | $452 | $25.1K | $24.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +9,808 | $260 | $1,259 | 653 | 08-12 08:17 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +9,085 | $212 | $212 | 3 | 06-06 16:30 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +6,653 | $158 | $158 | 3 | 06-05 08:07 |
| Focused-Rostrum 0x7383…bd0b | No | +2,454 | $2,400 | $2,400 | 8 | 08-16 15:16 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +2,443 | $2,387 | $2,387 | 8 | 06-19 17:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | +1,110 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 08-07 13:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 02:09 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +900 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 08-01 23:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +891 | $869 | $869 | 93 | 08-01 19:56 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | +702 | $686 | $686 | 3 | 06-19 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x722e…51af | No | +700 | $686 | $686 | 2 | 07-10 11:35 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +531 | $511 | $1,796 | 8 | 07-23 16:26 |
| Unnatural-Expansion 0x64ad…ca63 | No | +453 | $442 | $442 | 14 | 08-03 09:15 |
| Aromatic-Grid 0xaa0d…c48c | No | +424 | $414 | $414 | 2 | 08-14 01:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x04db…c253 | Yes | +419 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-21 06:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x9883…1d31 | Yes | +409 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-23 10:07 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +243 | $-5 | $24 | 2 | 06-14 02:11 |
| Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | +231 | $226 | $945 | 76 | 08-14 01:50 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +200 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x2107…8a8a | No | +173 | $169 | $169 | 1 | 07-25 12:50 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +129 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 23:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xf79f…8387 | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-10 08:08 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 02:31 |
| Paltry-Sentiment 0x091e…84bc | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 6 | 07-31 01:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x5756…b58e | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 07-01 22:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x3507…b9b1 | Yes | +87 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-02 16:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x58d9…23f3 | No | +77 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 07-21 07:42 |
| Trustworthy-Kingdom 0xe5ce…7f3f | No | +76 | $74 | $568 | 21 | 06-06 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x0bee…488e | No | +74 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 07-08 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x10f9…c5f9 | No | +68 | $67 | $72 | 2 | 07-27 22:49 |
| Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | +68 | $66 | $517 | 8 | 06-14 02:09 |
| Flustered-Understatement 0x45cf…2801 | No | +66 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 07-08 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x04ef…a23d | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 06-30 12:40 |
| Plump-Fright 0x27de…a5c9 | No | +56 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 06-13 08:25 |
| Qualified-Citizen 0xa80e…b94b | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 2 | 06-06 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x71a7…e738 | No | +52 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 08-07 13:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xa452…06ef | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-05 17:00 |
| Dense-Trustee 0x6d7d…10b4 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-23 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0ff…76fd | No | +50 | $49 | $147 | 3 | 07-16 11:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x0901…389d | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-23 16:26 |
| Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | +49 | $48 | $360 | 23 | 08-05 07:03 |
| Alarming-Consent 0xa5a0…2220 | No | +47 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-09 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xef83…3a5f | No | +46 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-20 07:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +43 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xd925…c9bb | No | +42 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-19 14:53 |
| Courageous-Gateway 0x13a2…5e27 | Yes | +42 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-18 22:36 |
| Dark-Passage 0x7173…0550 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 03:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 15:16:46 | Focused-Rostrum 0x7383…bd0b | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xb77652… |
| 08-16 15:16:46 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xb77652… |
| 08-16 15:10:33 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x941348… |
| 08-16 15:10:33 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x941348… |
| 08-16 12:29:31 | Focused-Rostrum 0x7383…bd0b | No | BUY | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0x96b5bd… |
| 08-16 12:29:31 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0x96b5bd… |
| 08-16 11:39:13 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0x23e0b9… |
| 08-16 11:39:13 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0x23e0b9… |
| 08-15 17:36:34 | Focused-Rostrum 0x7383…bd0b | No | BUY | 250 | 98¢ | $244 | 0xc4310a… |
| 08-15 17:36:34 | (anonymous) 0xd784…b455 | No | SELL | 250 | 98¢ | $244 | 0xc4310a… |
| 08-15 16:59:58 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x412ec1… |
| 08-15 16:59:58 | Focused-Rostrum 0x7383…bd0b | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x412ec1… |
| 08-15 16:40:46 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x2d496a… |
| 08-15 16:40:46 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x2d496a… |
| 08-15 15:30:13 | Focused-Rostrum 0x7383…bd0b | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x3b21e0… |
| 08-15 15:30:13 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x3b21e0… |
| 08-15 15:13:57 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x21ac2f… |
| 08-15 15:13:57 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x21ac2f… |
| 08-15 08:59:55 | Safe-Foot 0x773f…24dd | Yes | SELL | 670 | 2¢ | $15 | 0xdb7d24… |
| 08-15 08:59:55 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 670 | 98¢ | $655 | 0xdb7d24… |
| 08-15 03:32:31 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x863b38… |
| 08-15 03:32:31 | Focused-Rostrum 0x7383…bd0b | No | BUY | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x863b38… |
| 08-15 02:08:12 | Focused-Rostrum 0x7383…bd0b | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xb26c33… |
| 08-15 02:08:12 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xb26c33… |
| 08-15 01:30:12 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x584e41… |
| 08-15 01:30:12 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x584e41… |
| 08-14 16:58:12 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0x6491b5… |
| 08-14 16:58:12 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0x6491b5… |
| 08-14 08:09:28 | Heavy-Nail 0x01d1…bfdc | No | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x620d41… |
| 08-14 08:09:28 | (anonymous) 0x1128…70b9 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x620d41… |
| 08-14 01:51:24 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 273 | 98¢ | $267 | 0x7fd96d… |
| 08-14 01:51:24 | Aromatic-Grid 0xaa0d…c48c | No | BUY | 273 | 98¢ | $267 | 0x7fd96d… |
| 08-14 01:50:33 | (anonymous) 0xc756…0724 | No | SELL | 35 | 98¢ | $34 | 0x42b391… |
| 08-14 01:50:33 | (anonymous) 0x0139…ecb1 | No | SELL | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x42b391… |
| 08-14 01:50:33 | Aromatic-Grid 0xaa0d…c48c | No | BUY | 151 | 98¢ | $147 | 0x42b391… |
| 08-14 01:50:33 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x42b391… |
| 08-14 01:50:33 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | SELL | 60 | 98¢ | $59 | 0x42b391… |
| 08-13 06:30:24 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xd72d93… |
| 08-13 06:30:24 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xd72d93… |
| 08-13 03:47:16 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x52f7c3… |
| 08-13 03:47:16 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x52f7c3… |
| 08-12 08:17:07 | (anonymous) 0x664c…f97b | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x153964… |
| 08-12 08:17:07 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x153964… |
| 08-12 06:53:51 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 80 | 98¢ | $78 | 0xb2919e… |
| 08-12 06:53:51 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 80 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xb2919e… |
| 08-12 03:11:49 | (anonymous) 0x664c…f97b | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xafcf20… |
| 08-12 03:11:49 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xafcf20… |
| 08-11 20:49:54 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x061f08… |
| 08-11 20:49:54 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x061f08… |
| 08-11 20:31:21 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x5530ba… |
| 08-11 20:31:21 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x5530ba… |
| 08-11 20:31:21 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x5530ba… |
| 08-11 18:06:25 | Confused-Impairment 0xda91…8b20 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x19830e… |
| 08-11 18:06:25 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x19830e… |
| 08-11 12:33:24 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x320b6c… |
| 08-11 12:33:24 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x320b6c… |
| 08-11 12:20:43 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xc27589… |
| 08-11 12:20:43 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xc27589… |
| 08-11 10:04:00 | Confused-Impairment 0xda91…8b20 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x4fc30d… |
| 08-11 10:04:00 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x4fc30d… |
| 08-10 16:18:10 | (anonymous) 0x9eb5…a825 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x910df4… |
| 08-10 16:18:10 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x910df4… |
| 08-10 11:16:25 | (anonymous) 0x9eb5…a825 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x817553… |
| 08-10 11:16:25 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x817553… |
| 08-10 09:58:48 | Informal-Chaise 0xd60f…7d25 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x5196c6… |
| 08-10 09:58:48 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5196c6… |
| 08-10 09:23:00 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x064d72… |
| 08-10 09:23:00 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x064d72… |
| 08-10 01:58:15 | Informal-Chaise 0xd60f…7d25 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x4bff91… |
| 08-10 01:58:15 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x4bff91… |
| 08-09 12:42:46 | Negligible-Reveal 0xd850…b459 | No | SELL | 128 | 98¢ | $125 | 0xa6fa3d… |
| 08-09 12:42:46 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 128 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xa6fa3d… |
| 08-09 11:48:15 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xc77c81… |
| 08-09 11:48:15 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xc77c81… |
| 08-09 11:43:42 | Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | SELL | 150 | 98¢ | $147 | 0x95bcc4… |
| 08-09 11:43:42 | (anonymous) 0x5197…6e04 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x95bcc4… |
| 08-09 11:43:42 | (anonymous) 0x0139…ecb1 | No | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x95bcc4… |
| 08-09 11:43:42 | (anonymous) 0x2f5a…5005 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x95bcc4… |
| 08-09 11:43:42 | (anonymous) 0xc756…0724 | No | BUY | 35 | 98¢ | $34 | 0x95bcc4… |
| 08-09 11:43:42 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x95bcc4… |
| 08-09 06:52:18 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x65eb6e… |
| 08-09 06:52:18 | Minty-Crust 0x2c38…a15a | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x65eb6e… |
| 08-08 19:35:52 | (anonymous) 0xe97d…29db | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x908ca8… |
| 08-08 19:35:52 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x908ca8… |
| 08-08 15:33:03 | (anonymous) 0xe97d…29db | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x80a2d2… |
| 08-08 15:33:03 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x80a2d2… |
| 08-08 01:02:49 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf797d6… |
| 08-08 01:02:49 | (anonymous) 0x21d5…2ab1 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xf797d6… |
| 08-07 18:58:57 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x21db01… |
| 08-07 18:58:57 | (anonymous) 0x21d5…2ab1 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x21db01… |
| 08-07 13:07:40 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 668 | 2¢ | $15 | 0xa5a2bb… |
| 08-07 13:07:40 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xa5a2bb… |
| 08-07 13:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x71a7…e738 | No | BUY | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0xa5a2bb… |
| 08-07 13:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | BUY | 741 | 2¢ | $17 | 0xa5a2bb… |
| 08-06 18:33:03 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8f10fc… |
| 08-06 18:33:03 | Imperturbable-Undertaker 0x23ab…d124 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8f10fc… |
| 08-06 10:30:23 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa71bc1… |
| 08-06 10:30:23 | Imperturbable-Undertaker 0x23ab…d124 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xa71bc1… |
| 08-05 19:32:42 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | SELL | 19 | 98¢ | $19 | 0x586666… |
| 08-05 19:32:42 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x586666… |