Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$105,920
$319 in 24h
Trades
1,103
Unique wallets
294
Liquidity
$75,587
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-05 17:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $9.9K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $47.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $224 | $18.0K | $17.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $1.2K | $11.5K | $10.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 95 | $234 | $10.2K | $10.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 155 | $75 | $5.7K | $5.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $12 | $9.9K | $9.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $872 | $4.8K | $3.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $14 | $23 | $8 |
| Median | 40 | $3 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| Below median | 83 | $176 | $8.6K | $8.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $8 | $551 | $543 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $10 | $794 | $785 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $232 | $2.4K | $2.2K |
| unranked | 125 | $370 | $16.1K | $15.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +13,157 | $339 | $1,113 | 284 | 07-03 20:31 |
| Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | +10,985 | $199 | $199 | 6 | 07-02 22:45 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +9,085 | $212 | $212 | 3 | 06-06 16:30 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +6,653 | $158 | $158 | 3 | 06-05 08:07 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +3,260 | $3,170 | $6,082 | 11 | 06-20 15:34 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +2,570 | $2,514 | $6,970 | 11 | 06-09 18:12 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +2,443 | $2,387 | $2,387 | 8 | 06-19 17:45 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +1,182 | $1,146 | $1,161 | 7 | 06-03 02:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 02:09 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | +702 | $686 | $686 | 3 | 06-19 14:17 |
| Safe-Foot 0x773f…24dd | Yes | +670 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-21 19:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x92c1…0586 | No | +500 | $490 | $490 | 1 | 07-02 10:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x9883…1d31 | Yes | +409 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-23 10:07 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +400 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 02:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | +370 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-13 07:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | +273 | $1 | $11 | 3 | 07-01 22:35 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +243 | $-5 | $24 | 2 | 06-14 02:11 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +200 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 16:30 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +129 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 23:40 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 02:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5756…b58e | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 07-01 22:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1c1…be55 | No | +76 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 06-27 08:43 |
| Trustworthy-Kingdom 0xe5ce…7f3f | No | +76 | $74 | $568 | 21 | 06-06 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xcaaa…d9d9 | No | +75 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 06-27 08:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xf606…ceda | No | +74 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 06-27 08:49 |
| Scaly-Monkey 0x241b…edbf | No | +74 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 06-27 08:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xc4b0…1b5f | No | +74 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 06-27 08:49 |
| Wavy-Seeder 0x7461…2cd0 | No | +72 | $71 | $71 | 1 | 06-27 08:42 |
| Verifiable-Oboe 0xd607…9243 | No | +72 | $71 | $71 | 1 | 06-27 08:40 |
| Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | +68 | $66 | $517 | 8 | 06-14 02:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x04ef…a23d | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 06-30 12:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5a7…6fe2 | No | +56 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 07-01 22:32 |
| Plump-Fright 0x27de…a5c9 | No | +56 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 06-13 08:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd9b…5124 | No | +54 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-30 12:40 |
| Qualified-Citizen 0xa80e…b94b | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 2 | 06-06 14:32 |
| Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | +53 | $52 | $148 | 18 | 07-05 12:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x80a3…10c6 | No | +52 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-02 22:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b88…9dc1 | No | +52 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 06-30 12:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x6330…9a92 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-01 22:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xa452…06ef | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-05 17:00 |
| Bright-Bronco 0x3ef9…297c | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 11:49 |
| Alarming-Consent 0xa5a0…2220 | No | +47 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-09 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xef83…3a5f | No | +46 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-20 07:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x231a…52a7 | No | +46 | $45 | $97 | 5 | 07-01 14:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xd925…c9bb | No | +42 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-19 14:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x3739…0ff8 | No | +41 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 07-02 22:45 |
| Dark-Passage 0x7173…0550 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 03:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 17:00:44 | (anonymous) 0xbfd7…f91d | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x620cd9… |
| 07-05 17:00:44 | (anonymous) 0xa452…06ef | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x620cd9… |
| 07-05 17:00:44 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x620cd9… |
| 07-05 12:48:56 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xb06d31… |
| 07-05 12:48:56 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xb06d31… |
| 07-04 12:15:37 | (anonymous) 0xc409…4d2a | Yes | SELL | 300 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xd80bda… |
| 07-04 12:15:37 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 300 | 98¢ | $295 | 0xd80bda… |
| 07-03 20:31:10 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | SELL | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3780ec… |
| 07-03 20:31:10 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3780ec… |
| 07-02 22:47:22 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x9f5be3… |
| 07-02 22:47:22 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x9f5be3… |
| 07-02 22:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x80a3…10c6 | No | BUY | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x189874… |
| 07-02 22:45:55 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 709 | 2¢ | $14 | 0x189874… |
| 07-02 22:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x3739…0ff8 | No | BUY | 23 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x189874… |
| 07-02 22:45:55 | Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | BUY | 1,952 | 2¢ | $38 | 0x189874… |
| 07-02 22:45:55 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 409 | 98¢ | $401 | 0x189874… |
| 07-02 22:45:55 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x189874… |
| 07-02 13:33:01 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 709 | 2¢ | $13 | 0xd93bf5… |
| 07-02 13:33:01 | (anonymous) 0xd7f8…89e4 | Yes | SELL | 2,880 | 2¢ | $52 | 0xd93bf5… |
| 07-02 13:33:01 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 2,171 | 98¢ | $2,132 | 0xd93bf5… |
| 07-02 10:44:26 | (anonymous) 0x92c1…0586 | No | BUY | 500 | 98¢ | $490 | 0xb91088… |
| 07-02 10:44:26 | Adored-Heartache 0x069b…3b3b | No | SELL | 500 | 98¢ | $490 | 0xb91088… |
| 07-01 22:35:20 | (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2e564e… |
| 07-01 22:35:20 | (anonymous) 0x3739…0ff8 | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0x2e564e… |
| 07-01 22:35:20 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | SELL | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2e564e… |
| 07-01 22:35:20 | Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2e564e… |
| 07-01 22:34:35 | (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | SELL | 256 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xb8e37f… |
| 07-01 22:34:35 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 1,036 | 98¢ | $1,016 | 0xb8e37f… |
| 07-01 22:34:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb8e37f… |
| 07-01 22:34:35 | Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | BUY | 1,317 | 2¢ | $25 | 0xb8e37f… |
| 07-01 22:34:04 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 464 | 98¢ | $455 | 0xa8a865… |
| 07-01 22:34:04 | Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | BUY | 1,324 | 2¢ | $25 | 0xa8a865… |
| 07-01 22:34:04 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 709 | 2¢ | $13 | 0xa8a865… |
| 07-01 22:32:20 | (anonymous) 0x1f32…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xf5b6f1… |
| 07-01 22:32:20 | Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | BUY | 6,047 | 2¢ | $105 | 0xf5b6f1… |
| 07-01 22:32:20 | (anonymous) 0x6330…9a92 | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xf5b6f1… |
| 07-01 22:32:20 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 2,772 | 2¢ | $47 | 0xf5b6f1… |
| 07-01 22:32:20 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 1,349 | 98¢ | $1,325 | 0xf5b6f1… |
| 07-01 22:32:20 | (anonymous) 0x5756…b58e | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xf5b6f1… |
| 07-01 22:32:20 | (anonymous) 0xd5a7…6fe2 | No | BUY | 56 | 98¢ | $55 | 0xf5b6f1… |
| 07-01 22:32:20 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 709 | 2¢ | $13 | 0xf5b6f1… |
| 07-01 21:11:34 | Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | BUY | 294 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x2f22da… |
| 07-01 21:11:34 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 294 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x2f22da… |
| 07-01 14:38:07 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x05f26d… |
| 07-01 14:38:07 | (anonymous) 0x231a…52a7 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x05f26d… |
| 07-01 09:56:46 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x3f904e… |
| 07-01 09:56:46 | (anonymous) 0x231a…52a7 | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x3f904e… |
| 07-01 09:44:13 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x247a79… |
| 07-01 09:44:13 | (anonymous) 0x231a…52a7 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x247a79… |
| 07-01 09:43:53 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x48e9cb… |
| 07-01 09:43:53 | Expensive-Enzyme 0x2c6b…fc70 | No | SELL | 24 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x48e9cb… |
| 07-01 09:36:22 | (anonymous) 0x5cfa…5e8b | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x1eb376… |
| 07-01 09:36:22 | (anonymous) 0x231a…52a7 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x1eb376… |
| 07-01 09:36:22 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x1eb376… |
| 07-01 09:30:20 | Expensive-Enzyme 0x2c6b…fc70 | No | BUY | 24 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x157425… |
| 07-01 09:30:20 | (anonymous) 0x5cfa…5e8b | No | SELL | 24 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x157425… |
| 07-01 08:27:05 | (anonymous) 0x5cfa…5e8b | No | SELL | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0x761135… |
| 07-01 08:27:05 | (anonymous) 0xd40c…d5ba | No | SELL | 75 | 98¢ | $74 | 0x761135… |
| 07-01 08:27:05 | Adored-Heartache 0x069b…3b3b | No | BUY | 500 | 98¢ | $492 | 0x761135… |
| 07-01 08:27:05 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 232 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x761135… |
| 07-01 08:27:05 | Foolhardy-Synod 0x1859…4534 | No | SELL | 71 | 98¢ | $70 | 0x761135… |
| 07-01 08:27:05 | (anonymous) 0x4fc1…eccb | No | SELL | 75 | 98¢ | $74 | 0x761135… |
| 06-30 13:08:01 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 766 | 98¢ | $753 | 0xdf75fe… |
| 06-30 13:08:01 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 766 | 2¢ | $13 | 0xdf75fe… |
| 06-30 13:07:05 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 1,362 | 98¢ | $1,339 | 0x1f8aaf… |
| 06-30 13:07:05 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 1,362 | 2¢ | $23 | 0x1f8aaf… |
| 06-30 12:40:26 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 1,658 | 2¢ | $28 | 0x906c49… |
| 06-30 12:40:26 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 1,816 | 98¢ | $1,786 | 0x906c49… |
| 06-30 12:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x04ef…a23d | No | BUY | 60 | 98¢ | $59 | 0x906c49… |
| 06-30 12:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x6b88…9dc1 | No | BUY | 44 | 98¢ | $43 | 0x906c49… |
| 06-30 12:40:26 | (anonymous) 0xdd9b…5124 | No | BUY | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x906c49… |
| 06-30 07:06:01 | Pleasant-Anatomy 0x077f…d93b | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x33e007… |
| 06-30 07:06:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b88…9dc1 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x33e007… |
| 06-30 01:47:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4f4871… |
| 06-30 01:47:19 | Livid-Anarchy 0x0c9e…352a | Yes | SELL | 190 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x4f4871… |
| 06-30 01:47:19 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 269 | 98¢ | $264 | 0x4f4871… |
| 06-30 01:47:19 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4f4871… |
| 06-29 19:06:35 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x7b09c2… |
| 06-29 19:06:35 | Livid-Anarchy 0x0c9e…352a | Yes | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7b09c2… |
| 06-29 18:47:58 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe3a245… |
| 06-29 18:47:58 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xe3a245… |
| 06-29 16:58:01 | Unwritten-Logistics 0xbcbc…61ec | No | SELL | 1,163 | 98¢ | $1,143 | 0x24874b… |
| 06-29 16:58:01 | Livid-Anarchy 0x0c9e…352a | Yes | SELL | 1,163 | 2¢ | $20 | 0x24874b… |
| 06-29 16:33:08 | Faraway-Insurgence 0x6c16…c29e | No | SELL | 78 | 98¢ | $77 | 0x873ecd… |
| 06-29 16:33:08 | Unwritten-Logistics 0xbcbc…61ec | No | BUY | 1,145 | 98¢ | $1,127 | 0x873ecd… |
| 06-29 16:33:08 | (anonymous) 0x0687…a5f7 | No | SELL | 58 | 98¢ | $57 | 0x873ecd… |
| 06-29 16:33:08 | Delayed-Nourishment 0x228c…b6f7 | No | SELL | 76 | 98¢ | $74 | 0x873ecd… |
| 06-29 16:33:08 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 466 | 2¢ | $7 | 0x873ecd… |
| 06-29 16:33:08 | Close-Language 0x0aad…6bcb | No | SELL | 72 | 98¢ | $71 | 0x873ecd… |
| 06-29 16:33:08 | Delightful-Intentionality 0x6154…0d8f | No | SELL | 73 | 98¢ | $72 | 0x873ecd… |
| 06-29 16:33:08 | Close-Grocery 0xc7b5…6761 | No | SELL | 63 | 98¢ | $62 | 0x873ecd… |
| 06-29 16:33:08 | (anonymous) 0x79e4…2841 | No | SELL | 107 | 98¢ | $105 | 0x873ecd… |
| 06-29 16:33:08 | Rude-Physical 0xfe1c…b021 | No | SELL | 76 | 98¢ | $75 | 0x873ecd… |
| 06-29 16:33:08 | (anonymous) 0xd5bc…c1e0 | No | SELL | 77 | 98¢ | $76 | 0x873ecd… |
| 06-29 16:16:16 | Unwritten-Logistics 0xbcbc…61ec | No | BUY | 17 | 98¢ | $17 | 0x1399d2… |
| 06-29 16:16:16 | Delayed-Nourishment 0x228c…b6f7 | No | SELL | 17 | 98¢ | $17 | 0x1399d2… |
| 06-29 13:42:05 | (anonymous) 0xa278…3369 | No | SELL | 1,226 | 98¢ | $1,205 | 0x977801… |
| 06-29 13:42:05 | Livid-Anarchy 0x0c9e…352a | Yes | SELL | 1,226 | 2¢ | $21 | 0x977801… |
| 06-29 10:55:17 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x550120… |
| 06-29 10:55:17 | Experienced-Burnout 0x3064…dd7e | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x550120… |