Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$71,351
$319 in 24h
Trades
692
Unique wallets
186
Liquidity
$75,587
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-14 06:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $9.9K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $32.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $222 | $12.3K | $12.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $178 | $5.0K | $4.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 68 | $671 | $12.6K | $11.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 85 | $49 | $1.7K | $1.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $10 | $9.9K | $9.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $604 | $1.0K | $426 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| Median | 28 | $3 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| Below median | 62 | $175 | $7.3K | $7.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | — | $332 | $332 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $10 | $27 | $17 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $232 | $656 | $424 |
| unranked | 64 | $73 | $11.4K | $11.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +13,495 | $356 | $754 | 193 | 06-14 06:49 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +9,085 | $212 | $212 | 3 | 06-06 16:30 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +6,653 | $158 | $158 | 3 | 06-05 08:07 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +2,931 | $2,849 | $5,151 | 12 | 06-05 14:09 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +2,840 | $2,758 | $5,670 | 10 | 06-14 02:09 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +2,570 | $2,514 | $6,970 | 11 | 06-09 18:12 |
| Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | +1,600 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 06-14 02:09 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +1,182 | $1,146 | $1,161 | 7 | 06-03 02:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 02:09 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +673 | $656 | $656 | 5 | 06-08 16:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | +545 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-14 02:09 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +400 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 02:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | +370 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-13 07:07 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +243 | $-5 | $24 | 2 | 06-14 02:11 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x41d6…01f9 | Yes | +200 | $4 | $14 | 4 | 06-09 18:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +200 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 16:30 |
| Virtual-Roommate 0x84a1…2842 | Yes | +200 | $4 | $33 | 6 | 06-09 18:12 |
| Likable-Bijou 0x6d54…45eb | Yes | +138 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-14 02:09 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +129 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 23:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x4401…f195 | No | +88 | $86 | $86 | 2 | 06-14 00:11 |
| Trustworthy-Kingdom 0xe5ce…7f3f | No | +76 | $74 | $568 | 21 | 06-06 21:10 |
| Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | +68 | $66 | $517 | 8 | 06-14 02:09 |
| Plump-Fright 0x27de…a5c9 | No | +56 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 06-13 08:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x5408…df65 | No | +55 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 06-10 23:40 |
| Qualified-Citizen 0xa80e…b94b | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 2 | 06-06 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xeef3…fb40 | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-09 08:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5246…84d9 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-10 13:18 |
| Front-Decadence 0xe031…d12d | No | +48 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-11 12:06 |
| Alarming-Consent 0xa5a0…2220 | No | +47 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-09 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d74…2ff4 | No | +41 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-10 23:40 |
| Dark-Passage 0x7173…0550 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 03:55 |
| Yellowish-Hovel 0x4fd1…43c8 | No | +36 | $35 | $219 | 5 | 06-13 22:02 |
| Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | +34 | $-5 | $15 | 2 | 06-14 06:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x05fe…7990 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-07 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9002…b95b | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-31 10:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd0c…827e | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-04 05:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f68…2812 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-09 10:59 |
| Variable-Lemon 0x8630…343e | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-06 16:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-14 06:48 |
| Nifty-School 0x961e…eff2 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-01 13:35 |
| Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | +18 | $17 | $46 | 6 | 06-06 13:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x239c…94d9 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-09 11:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1c4…b73c | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-04 05:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x8460…fa17 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-09 10:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd66a…5584 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-08 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xdead…e7e9 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-08 11:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c7a…3de0 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-04 03:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 06:49:12 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 104 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xcca400… |
| 06-14 06:49:12 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 104 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xcca400… |
| 06-14 06:48:16 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3cbdf9… |
| 06-14 06:48:16 | (anonymous) 0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3cbdf9… |
| 06-14 06:47:31 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 466 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x141f73… |
| 06-14 06:47:31 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | SELL | 466 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x141f73… |
| 06-14 02:11:04 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 709 | 2¢ | $14 | 0xd0d6e2… |
| 06-14 02:11:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 709 | 2¢ | $14 | 0xd0d6e2… |
| 06-14 02:09:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 952 | 1¢ | $10 | 0xf7b207… |
| 06-14 02:09:12 | (anonymous) 0xd7f8…89e4 | Yes | SELL | 2,452 | 1¢ | $25 | 0xf7b207… |
| 06-14 02:09:12 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 1¢ | $10 | 0xf7b207… |
| 06-14 02:09:12 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xf7b207… |
| 06-14 02:09:06 | (anonymous) 0xbcd1…ee93 | No | SELL | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x95741e… |
| 06-14 02:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x37f4…f1d4 | No | SELL | 681 | 98¢ | $666 | 0x95741e… |
| 06-14 02:09:06 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 2¢ | $21 | 0x95741e… |
| 06-14 02:09:06 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x95741e… |
| 06-14 02:09:06 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 124 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x95741e… |
| 06-14 02:09:06 | (anonymous) 0xd7f8…89e4 | Yes | SELL | 26,503 | 1¢ | $342 | 0x95741e… |
| 06-14 02:09:06 | Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x95741e… |
| 06-14 02:09:06 | Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x95741e… |
| 06-14 02:09:06 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 653 | 2¢ | $13 | 0x95741e… |
| 06-14 02:09:06 | Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | SELL | 500 | 98¢ | $492 | 0x95741e… |
| 06-14 02:09:06 | Likable-Bijou 0x6d54…45eb | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x95741e… |
| 06-14 02:09:06 | (anonymous) 0xe9e8…7b51 | Yes | BUY | 545 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x95741e… |
| 06-14 02:09:06 | (anonymous) 0xa552…2e67 | No | SELL | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0x95741e… |
| 06-14 02:09:06 | Tinted-Consciousness 0xfea3…d227 | No | SELL | 20,488 | 99¢ | $20,263 | 0x95741e… |
| 06-14 02:09:06 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x95741e… |
| 06-14 00:11:54 | Monthly-Property 0xf303…bd35 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x86a95b… |
| 06-14 00:11:54 | (anonymous) 0x4401…f195 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x86a95b… |
| 06-13 22:05:30 | Strict-Tonic 0x237c…d7ed | No | SELL | 44 | 98¢ | $43 | 0x1199f7… |
| 06-13 22:05:30 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1199f7… |
| 06-13 22:05:30 | (anonymous) 0x4401…f195 | No | BUY | 38 | 98¢ | $37 | 0x1199f7… |
| 06-13 22:02:58 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3013d9… |
| 06-13 22:02:58 | Yellowish-Hovel 0x4fd1…43c8 | No | BUY | 36 | 98¢ | $35 | 0x3013d9… |
| 06-13 20:11:33 | Monthly-Property 0xf303…bd35 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x8aa143… |
| 06-13 20:11:33 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8aa143… |
| 06-13 16:00:36 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 44 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x91e464… |
| 06-13 16:00:36 | Strict-Tonic 0x237c…d7ed | No | BUY | 44 | 98¢ | $43 | 0x91e464… |
| 06-13 09:13:30 | Weak-Decongestant 0xfdb4…6e6a | No | SELL | 53 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x11f1c3… |
| 06-13 09:13:30 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x11f1c3… |
| 06-13 08:25:25 | Plump-Fright 0x27de…a5c9 | No | BUY | 56 | 98¢ | $54 | 0x981a51… |
| 06-13 08:25:25 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x981a51… |
| 06-13 07:07:40 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 170 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x344f1a… |
| 06-13 07:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | BUY | 289 | 2¢ | $7 | 0x344f1a… |
| 06-13 07:07:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 118 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x344f1a… |
| 06-13 07:07:34 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 81 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xc71e60… |
| 06-13 07:07:34 | (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | BUY | 81 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xc71e60… |
| 06-13 06:33:48 | Rusty-Buggy 0x8de2…195a | No | SELL | 59 | 98¢ | $57 | 0xc318f9… |
| 06-13 06:33:48 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 59 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc318f9… |
| 06-13 03:10:39 | Weak-Decongestant 0xfdb4…6e6a | No | BUY | 53 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x74b970… |
| 06-13 03:10:39 | (anonymous) 0x37f4…f1d4 | No | SELL | 53 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x74b970… |
| 06-13 02:21:13 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 47 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x31d8cf… |
| 06-13 02:21:13 | Well-Groomed-Leaver 0x1228…4662 | No | SELL | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0x31d8cf… |
| 06-13 01:26:58 | Rusty-Buggy 0x8de2…195a | No | BUY | 59 | 98¢ | $57 | 0x163e2f… |
| 06-13 01:26:58 | (anonymous) 0x37f4…f1d4 | No | SELL | 59 | 98¢ | $57 | 0x163e2f… |
| 06-13 01:10:43 | Amazing-Maternity 0x7ab3…b236 | No | SELL | 21 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x3a1d04… |
| 06-13 01:10:43 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3a1d04… |
| 06-12 22:33:09 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xfeba4f… |
| 06-12 22:33:09 | Deserted-Odometer 0x06bb…914c | No | SELL | 56 | 98¢ | $55 | 0xfeba4f… |
| 06-12 21:07:37 | (anonymous) 0x37f4…f1d4 | No | SELL | 21 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x87be88… |
| 06-12 21:07:37 | Amazing-Maternity 0x7ab3…b236 | No | BUY | 21 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x87be88… |
| 06-12 19:11:09 | Well-Groomed-Leaver 0x1228…4662 | No | BUY | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0xcefc08… |
| 06-12 19:11:09 | (anonymous) 0x37f4…f1d4 | No | SELL | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0xcefc08… |
| 06-12 17:32:40 | (anonymous) 0x37f4…f1d4 | No | SELL | 56 | 98¢ | $55 | 0x8ea4b7… |
| 06-12 17:32:40 | Deserted-Odometer 0x06bb…914c | No | BUY | 56 | 98¢ | $55 | 0x8ea4b7… |
| 06-12 12:51:06 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa6090a… |
| 06-12 12:51:06 | Pungent-Crab 0x7f41…c4f9 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xa6090a… |
| 06-12 12:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x4021…b0f4 | No | SELL | 338 | 98¢ | $330 | 0xce0955… |
| 06-12 12:19:46 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 338 | 2¢ | $8 | 0xce0955… |
| 06-12 09:04:24 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcc422d… |
| 06-12 09:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x23d3…922b | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xcc422d… |
| 06-12 08:50:39 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 58 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc9e91c… |
| 06-12 08:50:39 | Immaterial-Ereader 0xe3df…e846 | No | SELL | 58 | 98¢ | $56 | 0xc9e91c… |
| 06-12 07:26:36 | (anonymous) 0x37f4…f1d4 | No | SELL | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0xa74c41… |
| 06-12 07:26:36 | (anonymous) 0x28c0…b220 | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0xa74c41… |
| 06-12 06:48:49 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa1e2a2… |
| 06-12 06:48:49 | Pungent-Crab 0x7f41…c4f9 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xa1e2a2… |
| 06-12 06:48:49 | (anonymous) 0x37f4…f1d4 | No | SELL | 38 | 98¢ | $37 | 0xa1e2a2… |
| 06-12 02:03:55 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 55 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x269bea… |
| 06-12 02:03:55 | Miniature-Gang 0x5024…a196 | No | SELL | 55 | 98¢ | $54 | 0x269bea… |
| 06-12 01:49:09 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 58 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4b186c… |
| 06-12 01:49:09 | Immaterial-Ereader 0xe3df…e846 | No | BUY | 58 | 98¢ | $56 | 0x4b186c… |
| 06-11 18:00:37 | Miniature-Gang 0x5024…a196 | No | BUY | 55 | 98¢ | $54 | 0xee11e1… |
| 06-11 18:00:37 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 55 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xee11e1… |
| 06-11 17:32:55 | Idolized-Mailbox 0xa68b…5581 | No | SELL | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0x5c68db… |
| 06-11 17:32:55 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5c68db… |
| 06-11 16:31:36 | Gifted-Temporariness 0x3f0b…3c1e | No | SELL | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x08782e… |
| 06-11 16:31:36 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x08782e… |
| 06-11 14:12:16 | Defenseless-Badger 0xf2a7…197a | No | SELL | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0xc1222f… |
| 06-11 14:12:16 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc1222f… |
| 06-11 12:53:07 | (anonymous) 0xd1ff…763b | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xe9c625… |
| 06-11 12:53:07 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe9c625… |
| 06-11 12:37:06 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x250f81… |
| 06-11 12:37:06 | (anonymous) 0xd694…334d | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x250f81… |
| 06-11 12:31:09 | Idolized-Mailbox 0xa68b…5581 | No | BUY | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0x9d9142… |
| 06-11 12:31:09 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9d9142… |
| 06-11 12:26:03 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7c679c… |
| 06-11 12:26:03 | (anonymous) 0x225c…ed59 | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x7c679c… |
| 06-11 12:06:45 | Evil-Advertisement 0x335e…6bdf | No | SELL | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x4a65b6… |
| 06-11 12:06:45 | Front-Decadence 0xe031…d12d | No | BUY | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0x4a65b6… |