Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$119,499
$319 in 24h
Trades
1,924
Unique wallets
387
Liquidity
$75,587
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-27 03:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $9.9K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $53.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $224 | $19.6K | $19.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 32 | $1.2K | $16.6K | $15.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 111 | $234 | $7.6K | $7.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 226 | $89 | $8.2K | $8.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $12 | $9.9K | $9.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $876 | $6.3K | $5.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $15 | $74 | $59 |
| Median | 44 | $3 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| Below median | 122 | $176 | $9.0K | $8.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $8 | $559 | $551 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $10 | $867 | $857 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $232 | $2.4K | $2.2K |
| unranked | 172 | $433 | $20.6K | $20.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | +13,554 | $249 | $249 | 8 | 07-08 23:10 |
| Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | +9,915 | $264 | $1,196 | 412 | 07-27 03:02 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +9,085 | $212 | $212 | 3 | 06-06 16:30 |
| Sophisticated-Turn 0xbe52…32c5 | Yes | +6,653 | $158 | $158 | 3 | 06-05 08:07 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +2,443 | $2,387 | $2,387 | 8 | 06-19 17:45 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +1,406 | $1,379 | $9,308 | 22 | 07-17 22:56 |
| Expensive-Manatee 0x09c0…305a | No | +1,088 | $1,065 | $8,419 | 13 | 07-17 22:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 02:09 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | +702 | $686 | $686 | 3 | 06-19 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x722e…51af | No | +700 | $686 | $686 | 2 | 07-10 11:35 |
| Safe-Foot 0x773f…24dd | Yes | +670 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-21 19:54 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +531 | $511 | $1,796 | 8 | 07-23 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x92c1…0586 | No | +500 | $490 | $490 | 1 | 07-02 10:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x04db…c253 | Yes | +419 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-21 06:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x9883…1d31 | Yes | +409 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-23 10:07 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +400 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 02:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x33af…675e | Yes | +370 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-13 07:07 |
| Straight-Topsail 0x789d…47e6 | No | +357 | $350 | $350 | 1 | 07-15 06:59 |
| Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | +339 | $331 | $398 | 49 | 07-27 00:35 |
| Rough-Dimple 0x18ab…bae4 | No | +331 | $302 | $8,950 | 32 | 07-17 12:04 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +243 | $-5 | $24 | 2 | 06-14 02:11 |
| Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | +219 | $214 | $535 | 43 | 07-27 00:38 |
| Internal-Hospitality 0x535f…9667 | Yes | +205 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x659c…d142 | Yes | +200 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x2107…8a8a | No | +173 | $169 | $169 | 1 | 07-25 12:50 |
| Soggy-Culvert 0x43e8…5ba4 | Yes | +129 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 23:40 |
| Negligible-Reveal 0xd850…b459 | No | +128 | $125 | $125 | 1 | 07-09 23:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xf79f…8387 | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-10 08:08 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 02:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5756…b58e | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 07-01 22:32 |
| Faraway-Insurgence 0x6c16…c29e | No | +78 | $76 | $230 | 3 | 07-08 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5bc…c1e0 | No | +77 | $75 | $227 | 3 | 07-08 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x58d9…23f3 | No | +77 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 07-21 07:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x5cfa…5e8b | No | +76 | $74 | $224 | 5 | 07-08 23:10 |
| Trustworthy-Kingdom 0xe5ce…7f3f | No | +76 | $74 | $568 | 21 | 06-06 21:10 |
| Rude-Physical 0xfe1c…b021 | No | +75 | $73 | $223 | 3 | 07-08 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xd40c…d5ba | No | +74 | $73 | $220 | 3 | 07-08 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x0bee…488e | No | +74 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 07-08 23:10 |
| Delightful-Intentionality 0x6154…0d8f | No | +73 | $72 | $215 | 3 | 07-08 23:10 |
| Close-Language 0x0aad…6bcb | No | +72 | $71 | $212 | 3 | 07-08 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x10f9…c5f9 | No | +71 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 07-08 23:10 |
| Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19 | No | +68 | $66 | $517 | 8 | 06-14 02:09 |
| Flustered-Understatement 0x45cf…2801 | No | +66 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 07-08 23:10 |
| Close-Grocery 0xc7b5…6761 | No | +63 | $62 | $186 | 3 | 07-08 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x04ef…a23d | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 06-30 12:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xa452…06ef | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-05 17:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 03:02:04 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x6d5311… |
| 07-27 03:02:04 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6d5311… |
| 07-27 02:57:04 | (anonymous) 0x3661…b162 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x87d7c5… |
| 07-27 02:57:04 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x87d7c5… |
| 07-27 01:54:49 | (anonymous) 0x2b9b…cdc4 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x09cd11… |
| 07-27 01:54:49 | (anonymous) 0x3661…b162 | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x09cd11… |
| 07-27 01:40:19 | (anonymous) 0x3661…b162 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x0997cb… |
| 07-27 01:40:19 | (anonymous) 0x3698…8fbe | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x0997cb… |
| 07-27 01:38:46 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbe38e3… |
| 07-27 01:38:46 | (anonymous) 0x0f4e…a26c | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xbe38e3… |
| 07-27 00:51:28 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe5495e… |
| 07-27 00:51:28 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xe5495e… |
| 07-27 00:48:07 | (anonymous) 0x3661…b162 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x1043dc… |
| 07-27 00:48:07 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x1043dc… |
| 07-27 00:48:00 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5507fb… |
| 07-27 00:48:00 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xed527b… |
| 07-27 00:48:00 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xed527b… |
| 07-27 00:48:00 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x509a28… |
| 07-27 00:48:00 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x509a28… |
| 07-27 00:48:00 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x5507fb… |
| 07-27 00:47:58 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4de23e… |
| 07-27 00:47:58 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x74d1b4… |
| 07-27 00:47:58 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x4330d0… |
| 07-27 00:47:58 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x014f97… |
| 07-27 00:47:58 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x4de23e… |
| 07-27 00:47:58 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4330d0… |
| 07-27 00:47:58 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x74d1b4… |
| 07-27 00:47:58 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x014f97… |
| 07-27 00:47:57 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa3f4b2… |
| 07-27 00:47:57 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x797179… |
| 07-27 00:47:57 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xa3f4b2… |
| 07-27 00:47:57 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x797179… |
| 07-27 00:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x373374… |
| 07-27 00:47:55 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x373374… |
| 07-27 00:47:19 | (anonymous) 0x3661…b162 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x2b56e5… |
| 07-27 00:47:19 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x2b56e5… |
| 07-27 00:47:18 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x21cdc6… |
| 07-27 00:47:18 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x50ace9… |
| 07-27 00:47:18 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x8d263c… |
| 07-27 00:47:18 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xcbe11c… |
| 07-27 00:47:18 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xcbe11c… |
| 07-27 00:47:18 | (anonymous) 0x3661…b162 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x8d263c… |
| 07-27 00:47:18 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x50ace9… |
| 07-27 00:47:18 | (anonymous) 0x3661…b162 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x21cdc6… |
| 07-27 00:47:18 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x8d263c… |
| 07-27 00:47:16 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xd60989… |
| 07-27 00:47:16 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x473a1f… |
| 07-27 00:47:16 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x4a60d9… |
| 07-27 00:47:16 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xd60989… |
| 07-27 00:47:16 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x4a60d9… |
| 07-27 00:47:16 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x473a1f… |
| 07-27 00:47:15 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xc6b4e6… |
| 07-27 00:47:15 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xcd74ea… |
| 07-27 00:47:15 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xcd74ea… |
| 07-27 00:47:15 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xc6b4e6… |
| 07-27 00:45:13 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x012c5d… |
| 07-27 00:45:13 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x23564a… |
| 07-27 00:45:13 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x23564a… |
| 07-27 00:45:13 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x012c5d… |
| 07-27 00:45:12 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x3800bf… |
| 07-27 00:45:12 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x9df8b8… |
| 07-27 00:45:12 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9df8b8… |
| 07-27 00:45:12 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xaba7ce… |
| 07-27 00:45:12 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xaba7ce… |
| 07-27 00:45:12 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3800bf… |
| 07-27 00:45:10 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xe299c2… |
| 07-27 00:45:10 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe299c2… |
| 07-27 00:45:10 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8e22f4… |
| 07-27 00:45:10 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x9f7b21… |
| 07-27 00:45:10 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9f7b21… |
| 07-27 00:45:10 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x8e22f4… |
| 07-27 00:45:09 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x2caca1… |
| 07-27 00:45:09 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x3beb72… |
| 07-27 00:45:09 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3beb72… |
| 07-27 00:45:09 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2caca1… |
| 07-27 00:44:33 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xe421f6… |
| 07-27 00:44:33 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xe421f6… |
| 07-27 00:44:31 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x145dfb… |
| 07-27 00:44:31 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xa263c9… |
| 07-27 00:44:31 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x145dfb… |
| 07-27 00:44:31 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xa263c9… |
| 07-27 00:44:28 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xb09f68… |
| 07-27 00:44:28 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xb09f68… |
| 07-27 00:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xd51753… |
| 07-27 00:44:27 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x97a704… |
| 07-27 00:44:27 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x97a704… |
| 07-27 00:44:27 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xd51753… |
| 07-27 00:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x96f6d8… |
| 07-27 00:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xa009ce… |
| 07-27 00:44:25 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x96f6d8… |
| 07-27 00:44:25 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xa009ce… |
| 07-27 00:44:24 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xdcbb2a… |
| 07-27 00:44:24 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x520d35… |
| 07-27 00:44:24 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xdcbb2a… |
| 07-27 00:44:24 | Gigantic-Tourism 0xc786…3c4b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x520d35… |
| 07-27 00:41:04 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xf79533… |
| 07-27 00:41:04 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf79533… |
| 07-27 00:41:04 | Ignorant-Sponsorship 0xe821…b27e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xac3636… |
| 07-27 00:41:04 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xac3636… |
| 07-27 00:41:03 | (anonymous) 0x870f…6da1 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x15ab59… |