Realized P&L
+$233
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
84.4%
Resolved
32
Trades
63,554
lifetime
Volume
$2.27M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$2.34K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
48% 89% +$5
Politics
22% 100% +$216
Crypto
17%
Sports
12% 67% +$12
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 679 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -200 $-198 99¢ $-199 $-1 06-06 16:03
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No -199 $-187 96¢ $-190 $-3 05-30 08:32
New pandemic in 2026? No -199 $-177 88¢ $-176 +$1 05-27 22:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +167 $155 94¢ $157 +$2 06-04 19:15
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -127 $-126 94¢ $-120 +$6 06-09 13:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +131 $94 90¢ $118 +$24 06-09 16:27
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 $-0 06-09 19:13
Ben Pasternak jailed? No -99 $-89 99¢ $-98 $-8 05-31 13:30
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No +89 $86 99¢ $88 +$2 06-06 07:09
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No +85 $84 100¢ $85 +$0 06-03 22:26
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -72 $-70 99¢ $-71 $-1 06-05 19:11
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +59 $50 88¢ $52 +$3 06-08 19:12
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 05-29 06:30
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -50 $-50 100¢ $-50 $-0 06-03 07:25
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -50 $-49 99¢ $-50 $-1 06-04 18:22
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -50 $-49 99¢ $-50 $-0 06-10 03:01
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -50 $-49 99¢ $-50 $-1 05-30 11:07
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -50 $-49 99¢ $-50 $-1 05-29 06:57
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -50 $-50 99¢ $-50 $-0 05-31 12:29
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -50 $-49 99¢ $-49 $-0 06-07 23:40
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $50 99¢ $49 $-0 06-05 19:49
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June? No +50 $49 99¢ $49 $-0 06-08 23:18
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $49 98¢ $49 $-0 06-05 06:13
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? No +50 $49 98¢ $49 $-0 06-10 00:46
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No -50 $-48 98¢ $-49 $-0 05-28 10:42
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $49 98¢ $49 $-0 06-06 00:46
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +50 $48 97¢ $49 +$0 05-31 20:51
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No +50 $48 97¢ $49 +$0 06-04 20:05
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +50 $49 97¢ $48 $-1 06-06 21:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-49 96¢ $-48 +$1 06-05 04:46