Realized P&L
+$233
Unrealized P&L
-$60
Hit rate
84.4%
Resolved
32
Trades
67,041
lifetime
Volume
$2.40M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$3.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
47% 89% +$5
Politics
22% 100% +$216
Crypto
18%
Sports
12% 67% +$12
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 387 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +278 $262 94¢ $263 +$1 06-29 20:11
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +251 $229 94¢ $235 +$6 06-26 14:07
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -207 $-209 100¢ $-207 +$2 06-23 17:54
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -200 $-198 100¢ $-200 $-2 06-06 16:03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No -200 $-164 96¢ $-193 $-29 06-20 15:53
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No -199 $-187 96¢ $-191 $-4 05-30 08:32
New pandemic in 2026? No -199 $-181 90¢ $-180 +$0 06-22 12:19
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -150 $-132 89¢ $-134 $-2 06-23 02:36
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +178 $153 68¢ $121 $-33 06-29 21:09
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +138 $118 87¢ $120 +$2 06-28 20:14
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +117 $109 96¢ $112 +$3 06-22 13:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -101 $-145 100¢ $-101 +$44 06-23 19:30
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -100 $-100 100¢ $-100 $-0 06-15 16:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-97 97¢ $-97 +$0 06-14 10:39
Ben Pasternak jailed? No -99 $-89 97¢ $-97 $-7 05-31 13:30
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No +85 $84 100¢ $85 +$1 06-03 22:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -78 $-80 100¢ $-77 +$3 06-24 00:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -78 $-74 96¢ $-75 $-0 06-17 11:39
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +79 $74 94¢ $74 +$0 06-23 16:23
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +78 $69 91¢ $71 +$3 06-28 00:16
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +58 $58 100¢ $58 +$0 06-20 04:15
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +65 $56 88¢ $57 +$0 06-29 01:34
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +59 $49 91¢ $54 +$5 06-18 19:34
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +54 $47 100¢ $54 +$7 06-19 13:08
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No +53 $109 99¢ $53 $-56 06-22 10:36
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -50 $-49 100¢ $-50 $-1 06-04 18:22
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -50 $-49 100¢ $-50 $-1 06-17 15:27
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -50 $-50 100¢ $-50 $-0 06-03 07:25
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -50 $-49 100¢ $-50 $-1 05-29 06:57
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $-0 06-21 07:28