Realized P&L
-$108
Unrealized P&L
-$130
Hit rate
82.7%
Resolved
3,576
Trades
96,847
lifetime
Volume
$3.50M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$2.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-24 07:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 272 days
Categories
Other
45% 76% +$420
Sports
18% 71% +$44
Politics
18% 81% -$422
Crypto
16% 85% -$341
Tech
2% 79% +$168
Pop-Culture
0% 78% +$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 363 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -200 -$180 98¢ $-196 -$16 05-01 08:10
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -200 -$194 97¢ $-195 -$1 09-16 14:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -200 -$164 96¢ $-192 -$28 04-30 05:43
Trump out as President before 2027? No -200 -$168 96¢ $-192 -$24 04-29 23:00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -199 -$155 94¢ $-188 -$33 05-02 00:24
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -100 -$93 97¢ $-97 -$3 05-09 10:13
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -75 -$72 99¢ $-74 -$2 04-29 06:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No -50 -$50 99¢ $-50 $0 06-02 13:50
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -50 -$50 100¢ $-50 $0 08-20 18:11
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No -50 -$43 100¢ $-50 -$7 09-09 10:48
2026 Balance of Power: Other No -50 -$50 100¢ $-50 $0 04-29 06:26
Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No -50 -$50 100¢ $-50 $0 06-09 17:05
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? No -50 -$50 100¢ $-50 $0 05-12 00:21
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? No -50 -$49 100¢ $-50 -$1 04-29 06:26
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? No -50 -$50 100¢ $-50 $0 05-10 01:14
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? No -50 -$50 100¢ $-50 $0 05-11 21:32
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? No -50 -$49 100¢ $-50 -$1 05-02 21:49
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$49 100¢ $-50 -$1 08-27 14:49
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -50 -$47 100¢ $-50 -$3 09-20 21:48
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? No -50 -$49 100¢ $-50 -$1 04-29 14:55
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -50 -$49 100¢ $-50 $0 08-24 05:45
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -50 -$50 99¢ $-50 $0 05-22 16:59
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No -50 -$49 99¢ $-50 -$1 05-09 19:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$47 99¢ $-50 -$2 08-15 20:23
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No -50 -$48 100¢ $-50 -$2 07-04 13:00
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? No -50 -$49 99¢ $-50 $0 05-11 02:22
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -50 -$50 99¢ $-50 $0 09-13 18:21
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -50 -$49 99¢ $-50 $0 09-18 01:03
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No -50 -$50 99¢ $-49 +$0 08-22 03:30
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -50 -$47 99¢ $-49 -$2 09-16 13:09