Hideous-Register — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$233

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.4%

Resolved

Trades

71,843

lifetime

Volume

$2.61M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 05:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

46% 89% +$5

Politics

21% 100% +$216

Crypto

18% — —

Sports

13% 67% +$12

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 314 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	344	$24.1K	12,681	12,593	+88	open	—	03-24 12:06
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	423	$21.1K	10,776	10,925	-148	open	—	04-18 04:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	307	$20.0K	10,749	9,759	+990	open	—	04-14 15:41
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	247	$19.5K	10,162	10,338	-176	open	—	03-24 20:22
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	728	$17.0K	9,181	8,584	+597	open	—	04-18 21:56
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	158	$16.9K	8,857	8,521	+336	open	—	01-24 17:27
trump out as president by march 31	231	$16.0K	8,375	8,026	+349	open	—	03-23 17:47
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	183	$15.9K	8,456	8,028	+428	open	—	03-04 16:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	247	$15.4K	7,896	8,231	-336	open	—	05-24 15:17
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	229	$15.4K	8,276	8,070	+206	open	—	03-24 00:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	182	$14.8K	7,703	7,902	-199	Yes	+$201	05-08 07:34
Netanyahu out by April 30?	226	$14.4K	7,464	7,311	+153	open	—	04-24 20:49
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	189	$14.3K	7,432	7,360	+72	open	—	04-30 14:46
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	192	$13.8K	7,109	7,003	+106	open	—	02-22 08:28
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	150	$13.0K	6,893	6,411	+483	open	—	03-11 04:25
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	238	$12.8K	6,524	6,574	-50	open	—	07-13 13:15
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	194	$12.1K	6,379	5,966	+413	open	—	03-23 11:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	188	$11.7K	6,332	5,702	+630	open	—	04-23 11:02
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	128	$11.7K	5,906	5,921	-15	open	—	04-24 08:43
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	321	$11.6K	6,585	5,523	+1,062	open	—	05-06 14:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	122	$10.1K	5,410	5,410	+0	open	—	06-23 19:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	114	$9.8K	5,197	5,281	-84	open	—	05-24 06:35
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	87	$9.8K	5,219	5,219	+0	open	—	07-24 14:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	176	$9.5K	4,888	4,851	+36	open	—	07-24 16:21
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	574	$9.4K	4,987	4,757	+230	open	—	04-16 15:18
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	193	$9.4K	4,714	4,914	-199	open	—	03-24 00:53
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	126	$9.3K	5,002	4,644	+358	open	—	03-01 01:43
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	150	$9.2K	4,793	4,743	+50	open	—	07-21 20:57
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	195	$9.0K	4,359	4,802	-443	open	—	03-08 17:30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	109	$8.4K	4,415	4,505	-90	open	—	03-03 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 09:43:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x16ea32…
08-10 09:40:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x9cc674…
08-10 09:24:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xc18e86…
08-10 09:21:40	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x2bf705…
08-10 09:08:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x3c7fe2…
08-10 09:07:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xb9b558…
08-10 09:07:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	149	96¢	$143	0xaab522…
08-10 09:05:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xf2564f…
08-10 09:02:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xe12581…
08-10 08:57:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x915259…
08-10 08:51:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xdf3b75…
08-10 08:43:33	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	19	91¢	$18	0xfff426…
08-10 08:12:01	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x091106…
08-10 07:36:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x1fa374…
08-10 07:35:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x55a022…
08-10 07:31:45	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x865111…
08-10 07:28:54	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	76	96¢	$73	0xef9b40…
08-10 07:19:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x565837…
08-10 06:56:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x3d3c14…
08-10 05:57:57	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x5ddcfa…
08-10 05:55:28	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xad70a2…
08-10 05:51:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x8dc49d…
08-10 05:48:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0xbb89b7…
08-10 05:40:37	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xf77518…
08-10 05:40:37	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x2d4ae3…
08-10 05:40:36	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xf460d9…
08-10 05:40:36	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0xa9fa03…
08-10 05:40:36	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x9d2dea…
08-10 05:40:36	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x6a6051…
08-10 05:40:36	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x2d97a4…
08-10 05:40:36	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x2392c1…
08-10 05:37:40	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0xb69dc6…
08-10 05:37:33	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x199561…
08-10 03:38:24	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	20	87¢	$18	0x00a301…
08-10 03:28:58	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x2d6333…
08-10 03:22:39	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	165	97¢	$160	0xf17540…
08-10 03:16:16	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0xe25adf…
08-10 02:56:42	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe844ee…
08-10 02:54:28	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xa26221…
08-10 02:34:07	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe343d1…
08-10 02:09:43	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9cab6c…
08-10 01:53:28	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaecc6e…
08-10 01:50:27	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x798dc9…
08-10 01:24:19	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3b5702…
08-10 01:13:15	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	68	91¢	$62	0xa2ccf8…
08-10 00:52:30	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x99f9e4…
08-10 00:40:54	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x27dc2b…
08-10 00:16:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xaf1706…
08-09 23:32:18	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0xd209dc…
08-09 23:32:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0xd369a9…
08-09 23:02:55	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x76935f…
08-09 22:42:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xd1f4f9…
08-09 21:47:39	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xe5bbc7…
08-09 21:17:06	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x73afe6…
08-09 20:54:22	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	165	97¢	$160	0x3b43be…
08-09 20:20:13	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x4dbf0f…
08-09 20:18:06	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x099c72…
08-09 19:48:00	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	46	87¢	$40	0xe33aab…
08-09 18:08:13	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x505303…
08-09 17:31:01	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	87¢	$8	0x4bd5e7…
08-09 17:28:10	will bitcoin dip to 45k in august 2026	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x89f931…
08-09 16:29:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0xaba6e1…
08-09 16:23:48	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x1af515…
08-09 15:37:18	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x128bc6…
08-09 15:21:16	will bitcoin dip to 45k in august 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc93e48…
08-09 14:36:16	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x690a86…
08-09 14:36:07	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x7fe2fb…
08-09 14:36:07	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x082732…
08-09 14:36:06	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xf8640a…
08-09 14:36:06	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xe3207d…
08-09 14:36:06	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xd7e22b…
08-09 14:36:06	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xa900c6…
08-09 14:36:06	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x6f0785…
08-09 14:36:06	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x49a2c4…
08-09 14:36:06	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x474d60…
08-09 14:36:06	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x00c9f7…
08-09 14:17:16	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xac3882…
08-09 14:12:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x5ccb6a…
08-09 13:23:04	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x443313…
08-09 13:21:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x5e8b9c…
08-09 13:06:00	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4ce759…
08-09 12:56:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xc9e94c…
08-09 11:52:43	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x10374f…
08-09 11:41:30	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0xaff23b…
08-09 11:18:54	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x2b6d7c…
08-09 10:56:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x68d94a…
08-09 10:50:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	16	86¢	$13	0xc8f445…
08-09 10:50:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	34	86¢	$30	0xce47f5…
08-09 09:51:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0x51fbc8…
08-09 09:51:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xba6119…
08-09 09:51:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xb54b70…
08-09 09:51:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa65b25…
08-09 09:51:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x713f2e…
08-09 09:51:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5fb036…
08-09 09:51:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	112	97¢	$108	0x312d08…
08-09 09:51:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2806ac…
08-09 09:51:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x1ddc79…
08-09 09:51:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x16f7d2…
08-09 09:13:22	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x8324aa…
08-09 09:12:18	will bitcoin dip to 45k in august 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa3d284…