Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$292,030
$32,790 in 24h
Trades
12,045
Unique wallets
1,644
Liquidity
$269,920
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2027-04-19
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-30 09:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.5¢
(top1%: 23% YES on $40.2K
vs crowd: 22% YES on $163.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 100 | $5.2K | $40.9K | $35.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 87 | $18.5K | $3.8K | +$14.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 697 | $7.4K | $54.1K | $46.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 760 | $4.6K | $28.4K | $23.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 97 | $9.4K | $30.8K | $21.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 75 | $3.7K | $3.9K | $134 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 30 | $193 | $2.3K | $2.1K |
| Median | 482 | $1.3K | $30.0K | $28.7K |
| Below median | 815 | $2.8K | $44.3K | $41.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 47 | $3.7K | $5.3K | $1.6K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 34 | $5.6K | $4.1K | +$1.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 27 | $6.8K | $4.8K | +$2.0K |
| unranked | 37 | $2.2K | $1.8K | +$375 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reckless-Hatbox 0x843e…d2f3 | Yes | +272,529 | $4,270 | $4,270 | 45 | 10-14 06:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x03dc…99e1 | Yes | +167,445 | $2,042 | $2,042 | 216 | 10-29 16:05 |
| Gracious-Fame 0xc7e5…2d3a | Yes | +108,383 | $1,922 | $1,922 | 62 | 10-25 23:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb40…174b | Yes | +52,063 | $725 | $725 | 47 | 10-04 21:28 |
| Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | +50,471 | $1,152 | $1,152 | 39 | 10-30 07:48 |
| Honored-Farm 0x79c7…78a6 | Yes | +50,000 | $1,245 | $1,245 | 35 | 08-17 17:26 |
| Legal-Butcher 0x3989…27b1 | Yes | +46,076 | $691 | $691 | 5 | 10-25 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ca4…ab87 | Yes | +32,619 | $440 | $440 | 1 | 10-23 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3f5…5bd2 | Yes | +27,831 | $476 | $476 | 1 | 10-07 09:59 |
| Crowded-Invader 0x8d80…9a42 | Yes | +26,017 | $350 | $350 | 1 | 10-15 20:17 |
| Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | Yes | +21,501 | $635 | $1,199 | 131 | 07-07 18:34 |
| Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | +21,301 | $277 | $277 | 15 | 09-10 17:06 |
| Peaceful-Grassland 0xcd61…0002 | Yes | +21,136 | $449 | $4,502 | 279 | 10-25 05:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x7809…4d1f | Yes | +14,180 | $156 | $156 | 4 | 10-26 17:50 |
| Tall-Pike 0x784f…5df9 | Yes | +12,000 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 10-18 17:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf997…884b | Yes | +11,945 | $131 | $131 | 1 | 10-12 07:37 |
| Pointed-Timeline 0x4079…7126 | Yes | +11,515 | $150 | $150 | 44 | 10-02 20:02 |
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | +10,571 | $126 | $126 | 38 | 10-20 09:51 |
| Spiffy-Win 0x225b…422a | Yes | +10,260 | $152 | $152 | 4 | 10-25 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd470…ea38 | Yes | +10,171 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 09-01 10:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ffb…1b73 | Yes | +9,707 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 09-11 21:10 |
| Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | Yes | +8,125 | $187 | $187 | 40 | 09-06 11:33 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +8,050 | $7,899 | $7,899 | 5 | 10-01 14:25 |
| Impolite-Half 0x82fb…0b6e | Yes | +8,044 | $121 | $121 | 21 | 10-26 13:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x6538…9392 | Yes | +8,029 | $168 | $1,243 | 237 | 10-25 15:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x77fb…266c | Yes | +7,715 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 10-29 01:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x2816…824d | Yes | +7,510 | $88 | $88 | 3 | 10-30 03:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x44aa…d753 | Yes | +6,357 | $95 | $95 | 9 | 09-14 10:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xcdbe…0a87 | Yes | +5,824 | $82 | $82 | 3 | 10-06 16:48 |
| Euphoric-Flan 0x529d…6381 | Yes | +5,659 | $37 | $256 | 29 | 10-14 17:44 |
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | +5,655 | $145 | $145 | 55 | 06-12 23:08 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +3,474 | $3,424 | $3,424 | 20 | 10-29 16:00 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +2,762 | $2,732 | $2,732 | 2 | 10-29 16:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +1,852 | $1,817 | $1,817 | 9 | 10-09 10:20 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +1,816 | $1,775 | $1,775 | 11 | 07-07 12:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 09:19:10 | Little-Ranger 0xfd30…26c8 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x010ae3… |
| 10-30 09:19:10 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x010ae3… |
| 10-30 08:44:27 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf3ef47… |
| 10-30 08:44:27 | Little-Ranger 0xfd30…26c8 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf3ef47… |
| 10-30 07:48:01 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 510 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x589ff0… |
| 10-30 07:48:01 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | BUY | 1,627 | 1¢ | $20 | 0x589ff0… |
| 10-30 07:46:39 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x9cd2a4… |
| 10-30 07:46:39 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x9cd2a4… |
| 10-30 07:45:39 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x1a46db… |
| 10-30 07:45:39 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x1a46db… |
| 10-30 03:04:39 | (anonymous) 0x2816…824d | Yes | BUY | 1,700 | 1¢ | $19 | 0x9c9cbb… |
| 10-30 03:04:39 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 1,700 | 1¢ | $19 | 0x9c9cbb… |
| 10-29 22:57:34 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x8e141d… |
| 10-29 22:57:34 | Few-Persimmon 0x7ae8…5a42 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x8e141d… |
| 10-29 22:01:46 | Few-Persimmon 0x7ae8…5a42 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x613906… |
| 10-29 22:01:46 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x613906… |
| 10-29 19:43:19 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 378 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xf44cbd… |
| 10-29 19:43:19 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 378 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xf44cbd… |
| 10-29 17:49:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x25b94b… |
| 10-29 17:49:38 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x25b94b… |
| 10-29 17:48:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 1¢ | $6 | 0xda7666… |
| 10-29 17:48:38 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $6 | 0xda7666… |
| 10-29 17:40:38 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1e7ea5… |
| 10-29 17:40:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1e7ea5… |
| 10-29 17:36:38 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7373e4… |
| 10-29 17:36:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7373e4… |
| 10-29 17:28:43 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xdb12ba… |
| 10-29 17:28:43 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 130 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xdb12ba… |
| 10-29 17:27:38 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x380fcd… |
| 10-29 17:27:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x380fcd… |
| 10-29 17:26:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 473 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xb1dbae… |
| 10-29 17:26:38 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 473 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xb1dbae… |
| 10-29 16:52:08 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1ae6a6… |
| 10-29 16:52:08 | (anonymous) 0x38a0…9755 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1ae6a6… |
| 10-29 16:51:49 | (anonymous) 0x4dfe…a910 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x050f4f… |
| 10-29 16:51:49 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x050f4f… |
| 10-29 16:51:41 | (anonymous) 0x38a0…9755 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x61c2a2… |
| 10-29 16:51:41 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x61c2a2… |
| 10-29 16:51:04 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcfa554… |
| 10-29 16:51:04 | (anonymous) 0x4dfe…a910 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcfa554… |
| 10-29 16:35:52 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 573 | 1¢ | $7 | 0x8fb5a0… |
| 10-29 16:35:52 | (anonymous) 0x2816…824d | Yes | BUY | 2,470 | 1¢ | $30 | 0x8fb5a0… |
| 10-29 16:32:59 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 1,207 | 1¢ | $13 | 0x256a93… |
| 10-29 16:32:59 | Fluid-Clan 0xbbae…13f8 | Yes | SELL | 1,207 | 1¢ | $13 | 0x256a93… |
| 10-29 16:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | SELL | 42 | 99¢ | $42 | 0x9327b5… |
| 10-29 16:28:22 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9327b5… |
| 10-29 16:28:02 | (anonymous) 0x4dfe…a910 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x78337c… |
| 10-29 16:28:02 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x78337c… |
| 10-29 16:27:26 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x23f84a… |
| 10-29 16:27:26 | (anonymous) 0x4dfe…a910 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x23f84a… |
| 10-29 16:27:20 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd67536… |
| 10-29 16:27:20 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | BUY | 42 | 99¢ | $42 | 0xd67536… |
| 10-29 16:19:38 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x18f676… |
| 10-29 16:19:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x18f676… |
| 10-29 16:18:38 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3d6f3a… |
| 10-29 16:18:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3d6f3a… |
| 10-29 16:17:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x419aea… |
| 10-29 16:17:38 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x419aea… |
| 10-29 16:16:38 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb4c9d6… |
| 10-29 16:16:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb4c9d6… |
| 10-29 16:15:38 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x29e606… |
| 10-29 16:15:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 110 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x29e606… |
| 10-29 16:14:38 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xeda67f… |
| 10-29 16:14:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 130 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xeda67f… |
| 10-29 16:13:40 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 130 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x83b0ff… |
| 10-29 16:13:40 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x83b0ff… |
| 10-29 16:12:38 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf045c0… |
| 10-29 16:12:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 130 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf045c0… |
| 10-29 16:11:38 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x09217e… |
| 10-29 16:11:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x09217e… |
| 10-29 16:10:32 | (anonymous) 0x09df…8344 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x17b9b5… |
| 10-29 16:10:32 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x17b9b5… |
| 10-29 16:10:32 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x17b9b5… |
| 10-29 16:10:20 | (anonymous) 0x09df…8344 | No | SELL | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0xe1823b… |
| 10-29 16:10:20 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe1823b… |
| 10-29 16:05:38 | (anonymous) 0x03dc…99e1 | Yes | BUY | 529 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x0eff53… |
| 10-29 16:05:38 | Thorough-Flu 0x26f4…e110 | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x0eff53… |
| 10-29 16:05:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 550 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x0eff53… |
| 10-29 16:05:38 | (anonymous) 0x09df…8344 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x0eff53… |
| 10-29 16:03:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 650 | 1¢ | $7 | 0xaaef8a… |
| 10-29 16:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x03dc…99e1 | Yes | BUY | 650 | 1¢ | $7 | 0xaaef8a… |
| 10-29 16:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x03dc…99e1 | Yes | BUY | 650 | 1¢ | $7 | 0xb4b27a… |
| 10-29 16:02:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 650 | 1¢ | $7 | 0xb4b27a… |
| 10-29 16:01:38 | (anonymous) 0x03dc…99e1 | Yes | BUY | 650 | 1¢ | $7 | 0xb5f405… |
| 10-29 16:01:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 650 | 1¢ | $7 | 0xb5f405… |
| 10-29 16:00:38 | (anonymous) 0x03dc…99e1 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $6 | 0xdd59aa… |
| 10-29 16:00:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 1¢ | $6 | 0xdd59aa… |
| 10-29 16:00:08 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 365 | 99¢ | $361 | 0xe320bb… |
| 10-29 16:00:08 | (anonymous) 0x03dc…99e1 | Yes | BUY | 365 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xe320bb… |
| 10-29 16:00:07 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 320 | 99¢ | $316 | 0xe61421… |
| 10-29 16:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x03dc…99e1 | Yes | BUY | 320 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xe61421… |
| 10-29 16:00:07 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 762 | 99¢ | $754 | 0x96fe7b… |
| 10-29 16:00:07 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xac09a0… |
| 10-29 16:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x03dc…99e1 | Yes | BUY | 762 | 1¢ | $8 | 0x96fe7b… |
| 10-29 16:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x03dc…99e1 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xac09a0… |
| 10-29 15:55:38 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 151 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xb7a1a7… |
| 10-29 15:55:38 | (anonymous) 0x03dc…99e1 | Yes | BUY | 151 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xb7a1a7… |
| 10-29 15:55:34 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9a6ef6… |
| 10-29 15:55:34 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x9a6ef6… |
| 10-29 15:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x39fe…3301 | No | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0xd8a50d… |