Crowded-Invader — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

-$79

Hit rate

0.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$746

Open exposure

$776

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 10-16 14:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

53% 50% $0

Other

44% 0% -$23

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+26,017	$350	1¢	$273	-$77	10-15 20:17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+260	$255	98¢	$254	-$1	10-15 20:17
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	+260	$250	96¢	$249	-$1	10-09 18:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$4.4K	2,316	2,316	+0	No	-$23	02-13 14:18
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2.2K	1,128	1,128	+0	open	—	10-16 14:29
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$1.6K	821	821	+0	No	-$1	05-31 10:36
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.3K	684	684	+0	open	—	10-15 20:16
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$350	26,017	0	+26,017	open	—	10-15 20:17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$255	260	0	+260	open	—	10-15 20:17
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$250	260	0	+260	open	—	10-09 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	Up	+$4	10-15 20:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-30 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	-$3	05-30 11:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 14:29:33	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,128	98¢	$1,109	0x1d3a08…
10-15 20:17:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	260	98¢	$255	0x1023ae…
10-15 20:17:12	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26,017	1¢	$350	0xaf076f…
10-15 20:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xa54721…
10-15 20:16:22	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	684	98¢	$673	0xed57aa…
10-09 18:30:08	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	260	96¢	$250	0xb8515b…
10-05 16:05:23	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	684	98¢	$670	0xb438f3…
10-05 16:05:02	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,128	98¢	$1,111	0xa74bc4…
05-31 10:36:16	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	821	97¢	$799	0x2ceb7e…
05-30 11:52:24	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	821	97¢	$800	0x9b67da…
05-30 11:51:35	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc09ac5…
05-30 11:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x28ee71…
02-13 14:18:29	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	2,316	94¢	$2,177	0xba73ea…
02-12 11:11:53	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2,316	95¢	$2,200	0xd0a993…