Realized P&L
+$13.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$565
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
4,904
Trades
15,418
lifetime
Volume
$269.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$2.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 13:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 307 days
Categories
Other
48% 65% +$2,545
Politics
35% 63% +$5,959
Sports
17% 55% +$4,662
Tech
0% 83% +$113
Crypto
0% 57% -$45
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,500 -$319 14¢ $637 +$956 11-10 00:02
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $129 12¢ $249 +$120 11-01 06:26
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $176 9¢ $172 -$4 11-09 05:17
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,000 $123 15¢ $145 +$22 11-04 00:39
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,000 $167 4¢ $144 -$23 11-15 13:08
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $140 4¢ $86 -$54 11-01 06:26
Will Croatia win on 2026-11-15? Yes +125 $80 66¢ $82 +$2 11-15 12:57
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,000 $165 1¢ $75 -$90 11-09 03:41
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,100 $99 5¢ $57 -$42 11-05 17:04
Hunter Henry: Receptions O/U 3.5 Over +89 $40 60¢ $54 +$14 11-15 03:50
Spain vs. England: Both Teams to Score Yes +78 $50 64¢ $50 $0 11-15 12:58
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +56 $88 84¢ $48 -$40 11-11 00:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +50 $40 94¢ $47 +$6 11-07 21:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +100 $35 46¢ $46 +$10 11-07 21:14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +50 -$49 90¢ $45 +$94 11-11 10:29
Will White House post 140-159 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 +$0 11-13 14:57
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +50 -$255 88¢ $44 +$299 11-12 15:22
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +100 $53 44¢ $43 -$10 08-02 19:43
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +50 $41 86¢ $43 +$2 11-09 21:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +50 $32 81¢ $41 +$9 11-07 21:14
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +50 $39 80¢ $40 +$1 11-09 21:28
Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? Yes +50 $20 67¢ $34 +$14 11-14 02:54
Will White House post 160-179 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +34 $32 98¢ $33 +$1 11-15 11:32
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +50 $34 66¢ $33 -$1 11-09 22:06
Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 Over — +64 $40 48¢ $31 -$9 11-15 03:51
Canucks vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights +38 $30 78¢ $30 $0 11-15 11:49
Spread: Ole Miss (-1.5) Ole Miss +62 $30 46¢ $29 -$2 11-11 13:06
Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027? No +50 $23 50¢ $25 +$2 11-11 00:14
Spread: Bengals (-6.5) Steelers — +42 $25 58¢ $24 -$1 11-15 12:14
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $734 5¢ $23 -$711 11-07 20:02