Realized P&L
+$13.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$465
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
4,658
Trades
15,078
lifetime
Volume
$265.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$2.56K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 14:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 303 days
Categories
Other
48% 65% +$2,544
Politics
35% 63% +$5,954
Sports
17% 55% +$4,870
Tech
0% 83% +$113
Crypto
0% 75% -$9
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,500 -$319 14¢ $632 +$951 11-10 00:02
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $129 12¢ $245 +$116 11-01 06:26
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $176 10¢ $191 +$15 11-09 05:17
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,000 $123 15¢ $145 +$22 11-04 00:39
Will White House post 140-159 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +125 $120 99¢ $125 +$4 11-10 22:16
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,000 $165 1¢ $120 -$45 11-09 03:41
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $140 6¢ $111 -$29 11-01 06:26
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,000 $131 3¢ $104 -$28 11-10 18:57
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +100 -$211 90¢ $89 +$300 11-10 09:07
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,100 $99 5¢ $53 -$45 11-05 17:04
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +56 $88 88¢ $49 -$39 11-11 00:13
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +50 $43 93¢ $46 +$3 11-09 21:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +50 $40 90¢ $45 +$4 11-07 21:38
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +50 $41 88¢ $44 +$3 11-09 21:28
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +100 $53 44¢ $43 -$10 08-02 19:43
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $37 2¢ $41 +$4 10-30 12:23
Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) Florida +77 $40 52¢ $40 $0 11-10 23:28
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +50 $39 78¢ $39 +$1 11-09 21:28
cbb cornel stbon 2026 11 11 spread home 8pt5 Cornell Big Red +78 $40 50¢ $39 -$1 11-11 08:26
Spread: Miami (FL) (-14.5) Duke +69 $40 56¢ $39 -$1 11-10 23:20
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +50 -$49 76¢ $38 +$87 11-11 10:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +100 $35 36¢ $36 +$0 11-07 21:14
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $71 2¢ $35 -$36 11-06 01:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +50 $32 67¢ $33 +$2 11-07 21:14
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +50 $34 66¢ $33 -$1 11-09 22:06
Spread: Kansas City Roos (-6.5) Florida A&M Rattlers +64 $30 49¢ $31 +$1 11-11 08:22
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +200 $135 16¢ $31 -$104 11-10 22:23
Spread: Indiana (-6.5) Indiana +53 $30 56¢ $29 -$1 11-10 23:25
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $734 5¢ $27 -$707 11-07 20:02
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova Karolina Muchova +43 $25 57¢ $25 $0 11-11 13:00