Realized P&L
-$27
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
62.5%
Resolved
29
Trades
8,177
lifetime
Volume
$68.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$414
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 02:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
52% 53% $-18
Politics
46% 29% $-7
Sports
1% 29% $-2
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +249 $122 58¢ $144 +$22 06-23 03:57
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +100 $75 74¢ $74 $-1 06-23 03:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -49 $-41 100¢ $-49 $-8 05-27 20:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No -30 $-23 100¢ $-30 $-7 05-27 20:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -20 $-18 100¢ $-20 $-2 05-27 20:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No -20 $-18 100¢ $-20 $-2 05-27 20:20
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +85 $16 14¢ $12 $-4 06-20 13:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 05-27 20:09
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +20 $11 44¢ $9 $-2 06-20 12:58
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +45 $9 17¢ $8 $-1 06-20 13:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +7 $5 90¢ $7 +$2 06-11 00:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-11 00:11
Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-29 23:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-11 00:11
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +4 $3 80¢ $3 +$0 06-20 12:58
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-20 13:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 06-11 00:09
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -3 $-3 100¢ $-3 +$0 06-30 19:08
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +4 $1 42¢ $1 +$0 06-26 03:52
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 $-0 06-11 16:41
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +15 $1 $1 $-0 06-26 03:52
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes -30 $13 $-1 $-14 06-23 03:55
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-0 22¢ $-1 $-0 06-27 01:15
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -6 $-1 11¢ $-1 $-0 06-27 01:17
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? No -7 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-27 01:17
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No -3 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-27 01:17
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-27 01:16