Realized P&L
+$13.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$414
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
4,779
Trades
15,228
lifetime
Volume
$267.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$2.36K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 04:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 305 days
Categories
Other
48% 65% +$2,560
Politics
35% 63% +$5,958
Sports
17% 55% +$4,788
Tech
0% 83% +$113
Crypto
0% 67% -$24
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,500 -$319 14¢ $637 +$956 11-10 00:02
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $129 12¢ $247 +$118 11-01 06:26
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $176 10¢ $191 +$15 11-09 05:17
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,000 $123 15¢ $145 +$22 11-04 00:39
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $140 5¢ $106 -$34 11-01 06:26
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,000 $131 3¢ $104 -$28 11-10 18:57
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,000 $165 1¢ $65 -$100 11-09 03:41
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,100 $99 5¢ $54 -$44 11-05 17:04
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +56 $88 84¢ $48 -$40 11-11 00:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +50 $40 92¢ $46 +$6 11-07 21:38
Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +56 $50 81¢ $45 -$5 11-12 23:01
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +50 -$255 90¢ $45 +$300 11-12 15:22
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +50 $41 89¢ $44 +$3 11-09 21:28
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +100 $53 44¢ $43 -$10 08-02 19:43
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +50 -$49 85¢ $43 +$92 11-11 10:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +100 $35 41¢ $41 +$6 11-07 21:14
Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) Florida +77 $40 53¢ $41 +$1 11-10 23:28
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +50 $39 78¢ $39 +$0 11-09 21:28
Spread: Miami (FL) (-14.5) Duke +69 $40 56¢ $39 -$1 11-10 23:20
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $71 2¢ $38 -$33 11-06 01:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +50 $32 73¢ $36 +$5 11-07 21:14
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +200 $135 17¢ $34 -$101 11-10 22:23
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +50 $34 66¢ $33 -$1 11-09 22:06
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $37 2¢ $32 -$5 10-30 12:23
Spread: Indiana (-6.5) Indiana +53 $30 58¢ $31 +$1 11-10 23:25
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) South Carolina +59 $30 52¢ $30 +$0 11-11 13:04
Spread: Ole Miss (-1.5) Ole Miss +62 $30 47¢ $29 -$1 11-11 13:06
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $734 5¢ $27 -$707 11-07 20:02
Will Mauricio Pochettino be the next permanent manager of Manchester United? Yes +26 $26 100¢ $26 +$0 11-12 11:28
Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027? No +50 $23 50¢ $25 +$2 11-11 00:14