Realized P&L
+$13.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$411
Hit rate
59.3%
Resolved
4,861
Trades
15,337
lifetime
Volume
$268.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$2.37K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 03:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 306 days
Categories
Other
48% 65% +$2,387
Politics
35% 63% +$5,959
Sports
17% 55% +$4,775
Tech
0% 83% +$113
Crypto
0% 63% -$34
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,500 -$319 14¢ $632 +$951 11-10 00:02
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $129 12¢ $249 +$120 11-01 06:26
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $176 9¢ $189 +$13 11-09 05:17
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,000 $123 15¢ $145 +$22 11-04 00:39
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,000 $131 3¢ $104 -$28 11-10 18:57
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $140 5¢ $94 -$46 11-01 06:26
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,000 $165 1¢ $75 -$90 11-09 03:41
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,100 $99 5¢ $57 -$42 11-05 17:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +50 $40 94¢ $47 +$6 11-07 21:38
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +56 $88 82¢ $46 -$42 11-11 00:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +100 $35 46¢ $46 +$10 11-07 21:14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +50 -$49 90¢ $45 +$94 11-11 10:29
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +50 $41 88¢ $44 +$3 11-09 21:28
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +50 -$255 88¢ $44 +$299 11-12 15:22
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +100 $53 44¢ $43 -$10 08-02 19:43
Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) Florida +77 $40 56¢ $43 +$3 11-10 23:28
Will White House post 140-159 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +45 $45 94¢ $43 -$2 11-13 14:57
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +50 $39 78¢ $39 +$1 11-09 21:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +50 $32 78¢ $39 +$7 11-07 21:14
Spread: Miami (FL) (-14.5) Duke +69 $40 55¢ $38 -$2 11-10 23:20
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $71 2¢ $35 -$36 11-06 01:27
Spread: Penn State (-13.5) Minnesota — +63 $40 55¢ $34 -$5 11-11 13:05
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +50 $34 66¢ $33 -$1 11-09 22:06
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $37 2¢ $32 -$5 10-30 12:23
Spread: Indiana (-6.5) Indiana +53 $30 60¢ $32 +$2 11-10 23:25
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +200 $135 16¢ $31 -$104 11-10 22:23
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) South Carolina +59 $30 52¢ $30 +$0 11-11 13:04
Spread: Ole Miss (-1.5) Ole Miss +62 $30 46¢ $29 -$2 11-11 13:06
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $734 5¢ $27 -$707 11-07 20:02
Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027? No +50 $23 50¢ $25 +$2 11-11 00:14