Realized P&L
+$13.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$450
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
4,707
Trades
15,139
lifetime
Volume
$265.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$2.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 03:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 304 days
Categories
Other
48% 65% +$2,523
Politics
35% 63% +$5,958
Sports
17% 56% +$4,926
Tech
0% 83% +$113
Crypto
0% 75% -$9
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,500 -$319 14¢ $628 +$947 11-10 00:02
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $129 12¢ $247 +$118 11-01 06:26
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $176 10¢ $191 +$15 11-09 05:17
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,000 $123 15¢ $145 +$22 11-04 00:39
Will White House post 140-159 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +125 $120 100¢ $125 +$5 11-10 22:16
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,000 $165 1¢ $105 -$60 11-09 03:41
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $140 5¢ $104 -$36 11-01 06:26
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,000 $131 3¢ $104 -$28 11-10 18:57
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +100 -$211 90¢ $90 +$301 11-10 09:07
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,100 $99 5¢ $53 -$45 11-05 17:04
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +56 $88 86¢ $48 -$40 11-11 00:13
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +50 $43 95¢ $48 +$4 11-09 21:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +50 $40 90¢ $45 +$4 11-07 21:38
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +50 $41 88¢ $44 +$3 11-09 21:28
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +100 $53 44¢ $43 -$10 08-02 19:43
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +200 $135 20¢ $41 -$94 11-10 22:23
Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) Florida +77 $40 52¢ $40 +$0 11-10 23:28
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +50 -$49 80¢ $40 +$89 11-11 10:29
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +50 $39 78¢ $39 +$0 11-09 21:28
Spread: Miami (FL) (-14.5) Duke +69 $40 56¢ $39 -$1 11-10 23:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +100 $35 38¢ $38 +$2 11-07 21:14
Will White House post 160-179 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +38 $35 99¢ $37 +$2 11-12 02:43
Spread: Indiana (-6.5) Indiana +53 $30 64¢ $34 +$4 11-10 23:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +50 $32 67¢ $33 +$2 11-07 21:14
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $71 2¢ $33 -$38 11-06 01:27
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +50 $34 66¢ $33 -$1 11-09 22:06
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,000 $37 2¢ $32 -$5 10-30 12:23
Spread: Ole Miss (-1.5) Ole Miss +62 $30 47¢ $29 -$1 11-11 13:06
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $734 5¢ $27 -$707 11-07 20:02
Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027? No +50 $23 46¢ $23 $0 11-11 00:14