Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
open
Total volume
$55,108
$2,419 in 24h
Trades
1,265
Unique wallets
331
Liquidity
$27,537
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-03 12:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+84.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1.5K
vs crowd: 16% YES on $30.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $479 | $5.7K | $5.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $1.7K | $7.8K | $6.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 78 | $2.4K | $6.8K | $4.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 209 | $267 | $5.4K | $5.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $1.5K | — | +$1.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 20 | $1.0K | $485 | +$536 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $68 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| Median | 90 | $12 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| Below median | 53 | $37 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 20 | $21 | $2.1K | $2.0K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 26 | $223 | $2.3K | $2.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 12 | $332 | $7.6K | $7.3K |
| unranked | 91 | $1.6K | $7.3K | $5.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly-Mat 0x2970…e1c9 | Yes | +5,590 | $894 | $894 | 1 | 06-24 06:05 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +3,728 | $509 | $509 | 39 | 07-27 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | +3,333 | $2,733 | $2,733 | 6 | 06-07 10:46 |
| Starry-Residence 0xfc9d…9d68 | Yes | +3,098 | $430 | $430 | 2 | 07-24 12:56 |
| cr7 0xa28e…b220 | Yes | +3,000 | $540 | $540 | 18 | 06-07 19:48 |
| Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | +2,887 | $2,358 | $2,358 | 4 | 06-08 07:44 |
| Powerful-Burning 0xaf46…8c1d | No | +2,433 | $2,107 | $2,278 | 17 | 07-27 04:07 |
| Mediocre-Coalition 0xf18f…294c | Yes | +2,250 | $402 | $404 | 60 | 06-16 22:54 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +1,903 | $1,642 | $1,642 | 37 | 07-30 22:44 |
| Zbinik 0xa9f3…4bce | No | +1,834 | $1,587 | $1,587 | 2 | 07-12 04:47 |
| Monumental-Injustice 0xf6cb…3f69 | Yes | +1,538 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-04 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xbdf4…2454 | No | +1,131 | $995 | $995 | 1 | 07-04 21:31 |
| Honorable-Statistics 0x5ca7…6149 | No | +1,100 | $904 | $904 | 2 | 06-07 10:46 |
| Splendid-Spill 0x4304…ac42 | No | +610 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-07 15:09 |
| Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | +527 | $463 | $463 | 2 | 07-05 10:01 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +515 | $75 | $211 | 22 | 06-14 02:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1e8…27b1 | Yes | +444 | $71 | $71 | 1 | 06-15 15:37 |
| Aged-Drum 0xdc70…cc56 | No | +392 | $326 | $326 | 4 | 06-08 07:44 |
| Tan-Pursuit 0xb91a…29dd | Yes | +357 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-08 14:42 |
| Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | +299 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-14 02:06 |
| Soggy-Twig 0x1dd1…a156 | Yes | +288 | $46 | $254 | 4 | 07-24 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ce8…fa08 | No | +287 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 07-03 10:46 |
| Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | Yes | +253 | $23 | $23 | 6 | 08-02 17:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xc572…66fd | No | +238 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-14 17:42 |
| Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | +192 | $171 | $171 | 3 | 08-03 12:11 |
| Dull-Smith 0x30db…33c0 | Yes | +154 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-15 11:30 |
| Full-Extent 0x828e…c21b | Yes | +145 | $23 | $23 | 16 | 06-14 23:11 |
| Lighthearted-Sick 0x5c5b…1a6d | No | +142 | $117 | $117 | 3 | 06-08 07:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | Yes | +136 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 07-07 00:40 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +121 | $15 | $122 | 22 | 07-30 15:02 |
| Irritating-Valley 0x5c9f…fa1c | No | +121 | $100 | $100 | 3 | 06-08 07:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xea07…c982 | No | +119 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-11 12:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x9675…e252 | No | +116 | $96 | $96 | 3 | 06-08 07:44 |
| Inferior-Cheer 0x08ff…ba79 | No | +114 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-08 16:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x81b5…7b7b | No | +112 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-15 10:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9b2…ba2b | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-30 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xd11c…0d06 | No | +90 | $75 | $75 | 4 | 06-08 21:01 |
| Hideous-Toughguy 0x9af0…5816 | No | +90 | $74 | $74 | 4 | 06-08 07:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x562f…b14d | No | +81 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 07-24 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa61a…5560 | No | +80 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 07-24 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9883…1d31 | Yes | +69 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-23 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xef0d…7e94 | No | +63 | $52 | $52 | 3 | 06-08 07:44 |
| Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | +58 | $40 | $626 | 52 | 07-27 11:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x4351…9060 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-03 10:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 12:11:33 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x4478c8… |
| 08-03 12:11:33 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | BUY | 95 | 89¢ | $85 | 0x4478c8… |
| 08-03 12:11:33 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x4478c8… |
| 08-03 12:11:33 | (anonymous) 0x3247…3fcb | No | SELL | 120 | 89¢ | $107 | 0x4478c8… |
| 08-02 17:51:00 | Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | Yes | BUY | 94 | 9¢ | $8 | 0x42b8e3… |
| 08-02 17:51:00 | (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | SELL | 94 | 9¢ | $8 | 0x42b8e3… |
| 08-01 06:48:48 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x5c706b… |
| 08-01 06:48:48 | Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5c706b… |
| 08-01 05:19:00 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | BUY | 21 | 89¢ | $19 | 0x66953e… |
| 08-01 05:19:00 | (anonymous) 0x206b…80c2 | No | SELL | 21 | 89¢ | $19 | 0x66953e… |
| 08-01 05:18:51 | Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x6a9de6… |
| 08-01 05:18:51 | (anonymous) 0x206b…80c2 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x6a9de6… |
| 07-30 22:44:30 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd4216f… |
| 07-30 22:44:30 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 16 | 90¢ | $15 | 0xd4216f… |
| 07-30 16:37:56 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x88c2f1… |
| 07-30 16:37:56 | (anonymous) 0xd9b2…ba2b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x88c2f1… |
| 07-30 15:02:15 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x627202… |
| 07-30 15:02:15 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x627202… |
| 07-30 15:02:15 | (anonymous) 0x2334…abcf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x627202… |
| 07-28 13:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x8f5a…a704 | No | BUY | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0x5e164a… |
| 07-28 13:22:40 | Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x5e164a… |
| 07-27 14:55:00 | Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xae5e64… |
| 07-27 14:55:00 | Sore-Orientation 0xa535…a220 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xae5e64… |
| 07-27 11:17:46 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | SELL | 21 | 91¢ | $19 | 0x8b4448… |
| 07-27 11:17:46 | Disguised-Radar 0x8a08…0eec | Yes | SELL | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x8b4448… |
| 07-27 11:17:46 | Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 9¢ | $7 | 0x8b4448… |
| 07-27 04:07:42 | Powerful-Burning 0xaf46…8c1d | No | SELL | 23 | 90¢ | $21 | 0x0713c2… |
| 07-27 04:07:42 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 23 | 90¢ | $21 | 0x0713c2… |
| 07-27 03:36:21 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x572acf… |
| 07-27 03:36:21 | Powerful-Burning 0xaf46…8c1d | No | SELL | 72 | 90¢ | $65 | 0x572acf… |
| 07-27 03:36:21 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 60 | 90¢ | $54 | 0x572acf… |
| 07-27 00:54:00 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 76 | 11¢ | $8 | 0xde1b73… |
| 07-27 00:54:00 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | BUY | 76 | 89¢ | $68 | 0xde1b73… |
| 07-26 22:08:31 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x370d6c… |
| 07-26 22:08:31 | Unimportant-Venture 0x2e42…0dfe | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x370d6c… |
| 07-26 19:53:25 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 114 | 11¢ | $13 | 0xd29397… |
| 07-26 19:53:25 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 114 | 11¢ | $13 | 0xd29397… |
| 07-26 19:51:52 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x048e33… |
| 07-26 19:51:52 | (anonymous) 0xf81b…048f | No | SELL | 200 | 89¢ | $178 | 0x048e33… |
| 07-26 19:51:52 | Disguised-Radar 0x8a08…0eec | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x048e33… |
| 07-26 19:51:52 | Upset-Raincoat 0xff01…b5db | No | SELL | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x048e33… |
| 07-26 19:51:52 | Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x048e33… |
| 07-26 19:51:52 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x048e33… |
| 07-26 19:51:52 | Unimportant-Venture 0x2e42…0dfe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x048e33… |
| 07-26 19:51:52 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x048e33… |
| 07-26 19:51:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 114 | 10¢ | $11 | 0x048e33… |
| 07-26 19:51:52 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | SELL | 102 | 89¢ | $91 | 0x048e33… |
| 07-26 19:51:52 | Infatuated-Bafflement 0x8f25…0341 | No | SELL | 288 | 89¢ | $256 | 0x048e33… |
| 07-26 19:51:52 | cheng 0xfb66…5e13 | No | SELL | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0x048e33… |
| 07-26 19:51:52 | Breakable-Bottomline 0x51de…9e4a | Yes | SELL | 1,825 | 10¢ | $190 | 0x048e33… |
| 07-26 19:51:52 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0x048e33… |
| 07-26 19:51:33 | Minor-Tuition 0xe1a8…2045 | No | SELL | 200 | 89¢ | $178 | 0x54bf81… |
| 07-26 19:51:33 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | SELL | 121 | 89¢ | $108 | 0x54bf81… |
| 07-26 19:51:33 | Upset-Raincoat 0xff01…b5db | No | SELL | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x54bf81… |
| 07-26 19:51:33 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | SELL | 17 | 89¢ | $15 | 0x54bf81… |
| 07-26 19:51:33 | (anonymous) 0x25ed…69cf | No | SELL | 200 | 89¢ | $178 | 0x54bf81… |
| 07-26 19:51:33 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 28 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x54bf81… |
| 07-26 19:51:33 | (anonymous) 0x59b2…a9ac | No | SELL | 24 | 89¢ | $21 | 0x54bf81… |
| 07-26 19:51:33 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x54bf81… |
| 07-26 19:51:33 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x54bf81… |
| 07-26 19:51:33 | (anonymous) 0xddd1…02b9 | No | SELL | 150 | 89¢ | $134 | 0x54bf81… |
| 07-26 19:51:33 | Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | SELL | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x54bf81… |
| 07-26 19:51:33 | Circular-Coverage 0x07e0…e1e8 | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x54bf81… |
| 07-26 19:51:33 | Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x54bf81… |
| 07-26 19:51:33 | (anonymous) 0x2710…03cb | No | SELL | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x54bf81… |
| 07-26 19:51:33 | Breakable-Bottomline 0x51de…9e4a | Yes | SELL | 1,825 | 11¢ | $205 | 0x54bf81… |
| 07-26 07:17:10 | Careless-Vegetarian 0xd6aa…4f26 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x2318da… |
| 07-26 07:17:10 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x2318da… |
| 07-25 17:03:33 | Buzzing-Keyboarding 0xb839…33e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xfeacc9… |
| 07-25 17:03:33 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xfeacc9… |
| 07-25 15:35:48 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x9b63d7… |
| 07-25 15:35:48 | (anonymous) 0xb839…1722 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x9b63d7… |
| 07-25 10:08:39 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x0c5ab3… |
| 07-25 10:08:39 | (anonymous) 0x4e0e…37d6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x0c5ab3… |
| 07-24 22:42:37 | Powerful-Burning 0xaf46…8c1d | No | BUY | 132 | 87¢ | $115 | 0x8d371c… |
| 07-24 22:42:37 | Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | SELL | 226 | 87¢ | $197 | 0x8d371c… |
| 07-24 22:42:37 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 94 | 87¢ | $82 | 0x8d371c… |
| 07-24 20:12:00 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x823a06… |
| 07-24 20:12:00 | Careless-Vegetarian 0xd6aa…4f26 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x823a06… |
| 07-24 20:03:18 | Powerful-Burning 0xaf46…8c1d | No | BUY | 432 | 87¢ | $374 | 0x674114… |
| 07-24 20:03:18 | Grounded-Pillbox 0xdef0…e1b7 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x674114… |
| 07-24 20:03:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x674114… |
| 07-24 20:03:18 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 200 | 13¢ | $26 | 0x674114… |
| 07-24 20:03:18 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x674114… |
| 07-24 13:14:31 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x7fd507… |
| 07-24 13:14:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x7fd507… |
| 07-24 13:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x28c8…a343 | No | BUY | 35 | 85¢ | $30 | 0xccd4a7… |
| 07-24 13:04:24 | Baggy-Magazine 0x4204…d93d | No | SELL | 14 | 84¢ | $11 | 0xccd4a7… |
| 07-24 13:04:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 22 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xccd4a7… |
| 07-24 12:56:07 | Soggy-Twig 0x1dd1…a156 | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x330741… |
| 07-24 12:56:07 | Motionless-Boxspring 0x97d3…3f3c | No | BUY | 200 | 82¢ | $164 | 0x330741… |
| 07-24 12:56:07 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | BUY | 13 | 84¢ | $11 | 0x330741… |
| 07-24 12:56:07 | (anonymous) 0x2710…03cb | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x330741… |
| 07-24 12:56:07 | Upset-Raincoat 0xff01…b5db | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x330741… |
| 07-24 12:56:07 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x330741… |
| 07-24 12:56:07 | Soggy-Twig 0x1dd1…a156 | Yes | SELL | 131 | 16¢ | $21 | 0x330741… |
| 07-24 12:56:07 | Velvety-Rutabaga 0x9ddf…2c83 | Yes | SELL | 92 | 13¢ | $12 | 0x330741… |
| 07-24 12:56:07 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x330741… |
| 07-24 12:56:07 | Infatuated-Bafflement 0x8f25…0341 | No | BUY | 288 | 88¢ | $253 | 0x330741… |
| 07-24 12:56:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 28 | 87¢ | $24 | 0x330741… |