Velvety-Rutabaga 0x9ddfa4…862c83
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$539
Unrealized P&L
+$535
Hit rate
96.7%
Resolved
21
Trades
17,979
lifetime
Volume
$2.20M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$122
Open exposure
$6.46K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
73% 50% +$40
Other
26% 100% +$353
Crypto
0% — —
Sports
0% 50% +$146
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 426 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,842 $1,441 82¢ $1.5K +$78 06-09 17:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,374 $-1,146 88¢ $-1202 $-56 05-30 10:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1,012 $891 90¢ $906 +$15 05-30 18:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +1,290 $734 62¢ $794 +$59 06-09 22:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,682 $-1,068 18¢ $-311 +$757 06-09 16:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +400 $300 76¢ $302 +$2 06-09 13:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +2,721 $246 10¢ $259 +$13 06-09 17:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -392 $-44 64¢ $-253 $-210 06-09 23:48
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -327 $-242 73¢ $-239 +$3 05-30 19:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +4,571 $167 3¢ $146 $-21 06-09 17:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -338 $-71 32¢ $-110 $-39 05-27 21:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -181 $-87 55¢ $-99 $-11 06-04 19:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -226 $-57 36¢ $-80 $-23 06-07 10:01
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -59 $-20 100¢ $-59 $-39 06-04 15:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +600 $57 10¢ $57 +$0 06-09 16:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +300 $27 14¢ $40 +$13 06-07 20:04
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +200 $34 20¢ $39 +$5 06-07 19:03
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +439 $35 5¢ $20 $-15 06-05 12:57
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? Yes +100 $11 13¢ $13 +$2 06-10 00:00
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -10 $-9 84¢ $-8 +$0 06-01 13:07