Realized P&L
+$23.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.64K
Hit rate
74.7%
Resolved
1,148
Trades
33,031
lifetime
Volume
$3.97M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$120
Open exposure
$90.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 20:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 239 days
Categories
Politics
70% 50% +$17,212
Other
29% 37% +$5,186
Sports
1% 44% +$626
Crypto
0% 42% +$271
Tech
0% 29% +$150
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 456 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +21,390 $14,982 97¢ $20.7K +$5,766 10-25 02:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +19,273 $9,825 64¢ $12.3K +$2,500 10-26 18:35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +9,500 $7,737 98¢ $9.3K +$1,582 10-23 07:22
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +7,615 $6,631 96¢ $7.3K +$718 10-16 10:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +7,178 $6,368 98¢ $7.1K +$685 05-27 18:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +16,365 $8,769 36¢ $5.9K -$2,869 10-23 03:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +7,116 $4,204 79¢ $5.6K +$1,421 10-26 17:42
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +3,700 $3,034 84¢ $3.1K +$56 10-26 08:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +3,000 $1,563 88¢ $2.7K +$1,092 09-09 06:13
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +3,092 $1,663 82¢ $2.6K +$888 10-02 14:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +3,746 $2,137 60¢ $2.2K +$92 10-25 07:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,354 -$1,944 82¢ $-1930 +$14 10-13 19:20
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +7,483 $3,158 18¢ $1.3K -$1,848 10-27 15:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,100 $542 70¢ $776 +$233 10-27 06:44
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $620 68¢ $675 +$55 10-09 17:12
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +750 $398 79¢ $592 +$195 10-16 15:01
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +594 $168 94¢ $555 +$387 08-03 22:53
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $483 68¢ $540 +$57 10-09 17:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +17,772 $4,376 3¢ $533 -$3,843 10-27 07:38
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,475 $1,233 21¢ $519 -$715 09-21 21:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +4,501 $1,077 12¢ $518 -$559 10-26 19:20
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +600 $510 86¢ $513 +$3 10-22 12:00
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +1,765 $479 28¢ $494 +$15 10-25 01:12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -803 -$548 60¢ $-478 +$71 05-30 19:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +585 $401 76¢ $448 +$47 10-23 09:10
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026 Yes +1,647 $367 24¢ $387 +$20 10-25 03:47
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +341 $153 98¢ $334 +$181 10-23 19:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,100 -$603 30¢ $325 +$928 10-27 19:59
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +8,758 $922 4¢ $307 -$616 10-27 18:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,525 -$359 18¢ $-275 +$85 10-18 08:47