Velvety-Rutabaga 0x9ddfa4…862c83
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$539
Unrealized P&L
+$839
Hit rate
96.7%
Resolved
21
Trades
20,162
lifetime
Volume
$2.50M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$124
Open exposure
$28.5K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 17:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
72% 50% +$40
Other
27% 100% +$353
Crypto
0% — —
Sports
0% 50% +$146
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 426 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +12,707 $10,705 86¢ $11.0K +$287 06-30 07:27
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes -5,800 $-6,004 100¢ $-5794 +$210 06-30 00:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3,490 $-2,843 86¢ $-2984 $-141 06-12 13:01
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -3,179 $-2,671 86¢ $-2750 $-79 06-10 16:30
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2,000 $-1,921 94¢ $-1870 +$51 06-26 11:29
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1,519 $-1,445 96¢ $-1451 $-6 06-24 15:25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,374 $-1,143 90¢ $-1243 $-100 06-29 14:05
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +592 $436 85¢ $503 +$68 06-30 16:20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -327 $-242 74¢ $-241 +$2 05-30 19:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +267 $49 82¢ $220 +$171 06-12 18:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +370 $-34 32¢ $120 +$154 06-30 15:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -181 $-87 57¢ $-103 $-16 06-04 19:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +100 $92 100¢ $100 +$8 06-21 08:19
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +575 $276 15¢ $86 $-190 06-30 11:42
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +23 $11 70¢ $16 +$5 06-30 22:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +1,094 $156 0¢ $3 $-154 06-29 19:53
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +994 $27 0¢ $2 $-25 06-27 14:01
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +874 $17 0¢ $1 $-15 06-18 17:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -1,064 $-185 0¢ $-1 +$184 06-12 16:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +164 $-411 0¢ $1 +$411 06-26 20:34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +0 $-12 99¢ $0 +$12 06-24 20:37
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No -0 $-4 32¢ $-0 +$4 06-29 09:55