Velvety-Rutabaga 0x9ddfa4…862c83
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$539
Unrealized P&L
+$268
Hit rate
96.7%
Resolved
21
Trades
21,240
lifetime
Volume
$2.62M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$123
Open exposure
$19.1K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 05:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
71% 50% +$40
Other
28% 100% +$353
Sports
1% 50% +$146
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 352 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +9,547 $7,923 92¢ $8.7K +$812 07-01 20:46
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -3,179 $-2,671 86¢ $-2718 $-47 06-10 16:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3,490 $-2,837 74¢ $-2600 +$237 07-20 15:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2,000 $-1,921 94¢ $-1870 +$51 06-26 11:29
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1,519 $-1,445 96¢ $-1453 $-8 06-24 15:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,500 $885 8¢ $723 $-163 07-08 18:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -327 $-242 80¢ $-260 $-18 05-30 19:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,016 $188 16¢ $168 $-21 07-21 03:02
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +744 $140 22¢ $160 +$20 07-14 16:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -181 $-87 64¢ $-117 $-29 06-04 19:34
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -104 $-124 92¢ $-96 +$28 07-21 03:52
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No -149 $-137 64¢ $-95 +$42 07-07 21:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +67 $-59 56¢ $38 +$96 07-17 16:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +200 $20 11¢ $21 +$1 07-06 06:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -12 $62 90¢ $-11 $-73 07-20 21:20
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +92 $12 12¢ $11 $-1 07-15 16:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -411 $653 1¢ $-5 $-658 07-17 00:30