Realized P&L (7d)
+$196
Unrealized P&L
+$7.91K
Hit rate
40.6%
Resolved (7d)
11
Trades (7d)
422
34,553 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$41.9K
$4.19M lifetime
Avg / trade
$121
Open exposure
$95.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 04:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 251 days
Categories
Politics
69% 49% +$17,920
Other
30% 37% +$7,769
Sports
1% 44% +$626
Tech
0% 31% -$102
Crypto
0% 42% +$271
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 456 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +23,233 $12,155 77¢ $18.0K +$5,839 11-09 19:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +15,600 $14,611 97¢ $15.2K +$592 11-04 11:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +9,500 $7,737 98¢ $9.3K +$1,606 10-23 07:22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +7,178 $6,368 99¢ $7.1K +$735 05-27 18:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +6,821 $4,888 94¢ $6.4K +$1,490 11-09 19:52
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,528 $5,205 100¢ $5.5K +$309 11-12 02:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +22,590 $10,887 23¢ $5.1K -$5,793 11-12 19:04
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +4,161 $3,443 90¢ $3.7K +$281 11-04 21:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +3,346 $2,709 99¢ $3.3K +$599 10-31 17:01
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +3,092 $1,663 93¢ $2.9K +$1,212 10-02 14:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +3,000 $1,563 94¢ $2.8K +$1,272 09-09 06:13
Will Tim Cook be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +2,348 $2,211 96¢ $2.2K +$32 11-13 12:29
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2,475 -$24 90¢ $2.2K +$2,259 11-12 02:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,354 -$1,944 92¢ $-2154 -$210 10-13 19:20
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +1,752 $1,559 98¢ $1.7K +$152 10-29 22:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +3,699 $1,188 42¢ $1.6K +$384 11-09 21:19
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,100 $913 94¢ $1.0K +$116 10-29 17:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? No +1,000 $800 91¢ $910 +$110 11-01 06:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,100 $539 79¢ $871 +$333 10-28 20:00
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +594 $168 96¢ $573 +$405 08-03 22:53
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? No +591 $531 92¢ $541 +$10 11-13 21:04
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026 Yes +6,396 $983 6¢ $416 -$567 11-14 04:04
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +397 $225 82¢ $328 +$103 11-10 23:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5,800 $1,097 6¢ $319 -$778 11-14 04:50
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +2,475 $1,233 10¢ $240 -$993 09-21 21:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,100 -$586 21¢ $229 +$815 10-29 10:34
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +3,092 $2,800 7¢ $216 -$2,583 11-10 22:38
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +1,200 $324 18¢ $210 -$114 11-10 18:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -2,403 -$404 8¢ $-204 +$200 11-12 20:33
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? Yes +500 $99 40¢ $198 +$99 11-13 20:53