Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
158
lifetime
Volume
$4.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$1.63K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 06-09 16:41
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
69%
Crypto
21%
Other
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +462 $411 89¢ $411 $-0 06-09 21:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +321 $260 88¢ $281 +$21 05-28 21:10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -266 $-242 92¢ $-244 $-1 06-06 09:40
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -246 $-248 98¢ $-241 +$8 06-09 16:41
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -163 $-136 80¢ $-132 +$4 06-03 07:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +94 $82 88¢ $82 +$0 06-05 12:07
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +77 $67 90¢ $69 +$2 06-03 11:43
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +65 $50 77¢ $50 $-0 06-06 09:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +47 $39 82¢ $38 $-1 06-09 02:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +40 $35 86¢ $34 $-0 06-09 07:00
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +29 $21 72¢ $21 $-0 06-09 21:18
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026? No +13 $8 81¢ $11 +$2 06-04 06:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 56¢ $6 +$0 06-07 08:55
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 06-07 08:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 06-05 15:42
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +10 $3 28¢ $3 $-0 06-07 07:19
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026? Yes +10 $4 19¢ $2 $-2 06-03 07:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +10 $1 13¢ $1 +$0 06-09 19:11