Internal-Hail 0x2884f9…e1d0c3
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$190
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,066
lifetime
Volume
$41.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$2.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 06-30 11:32
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
47% — —
Politics
46% — —
Other
7% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,214 $615 55¢ $668 +$52 06-30 03:17
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +638 $570 92¢ $583 +$13 06-28 14:06
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -246 $-248 100¢ $-246 +$2 06-09 16:41
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -163 $-141 82¢ $-133 +$8 06-27 12:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +131 $114 88¢ $116 +$2 06-17 14:11
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +139 $106 76¢ $106 $-1 06-25 10:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +114 $99 90¢ $103 +$4 06-11 14:22
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -108 $-98 92¢ $-99 $-1 06-10 02:29
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -83 $-104 90¢ $-74 +$30 06-30 03:14
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -95 $-70 69¢ $-65 +$4 06-30 00:42
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +146 $46 31¢ $45 $-1 06-27 15:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -51 $-105 86¢ $-44 +$61 06-30 14:49
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No +28 $26 92¢ $26 +$0 06-27 16:50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +30 $24 75¢ $22 $-2 06-27 02:52
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -20 $-18 92¢ $-18 $-0 06-27 01:30
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +26 $17 61¢ $16 $-1 06-24 11:15
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No -16 $-15 90¢ $-14 +$1 06-22 10:01
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +14 $12 83¢ $12 $-0 06-26 06:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +20 $12 59¢ $12 $-1 06-27 12:59
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +60 $3 19¢ $11 +$8 06-29 19:56
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -10 $-10 97¢ $-10 $-0 06-14 14:22
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-15 07:18
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +6 $5 89¢ $5 $-0 06-28 17:28
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +30 $5 15¢ $4 $-0 06-28 12:04
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-6 50¢ $-3 +$3 06-20 04:57
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 18¢ $2 +$2 06-27 15:00
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +20 $2 8¢ $2 $-0 06-22 22:35
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -6 $-7 16¢ $-1 +$6 06-17 13:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +10 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-29 03:56
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +8 $-0 11¢ $1 +$1 06-28 17:26