Internal-Hail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.78K

Unrealized P&L

+$318

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

311

Trades

6,996

lifetime

Volume

$229.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$5.78K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-29 20:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Politics

44% 63% -$3,262

Other

28% 65% -$261

Crypto

19% 62% +$576

Pop-Culture

7% — —

Tech

1% 86% +$12

Sports

1% 33% +$151

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	+730	$695	96¢	$699	+$4	10-21 13:51
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	+657	$376	97¢	$635	+$260	10-28 23:03
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	+1,014	$473	62¢	$624	+$151	10-29 06:53
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	No	+646	$582	91¢	$587	+$5	10-21 17:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	+525	$388	82¢	$433	+$45	10-29 06:52
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?	No	+419	$404	99¢	$417	+$13	10-26 11:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+481	$371	84¢	$407	+$36	10-22 06:31
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	+890	$495	38¢	$343	-$152	10-22 06:05
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by june 30 2027	Yes	+396	$252	54¢	$212	-$40	09-05 07:45
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+253	$120	84¢	$211	+$91	10-21 16:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	+193	$175	92¢	$178	+$3	10-22 20:47
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	+183	$157	94¢	$173	+$16	10-05 09:28
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	+181	$149	63¢	$114	-$35	10-22 14:41
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+144	$114	63¢	$91	-$23	10-19 18:28
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	No	+91	$49	70¢	$64	+$15	09-09 20:09
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	+59	$62	99¢	$59	-$4	10-21 09:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+369	$103	16¢	$57	-$46	09-05 07:49
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	+106	$68	51¢	$54	-$14	10-13 20:02
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+60	$47	84¢	$50	+$3	09-27 16:57
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+60	$23	80¢	$48	+$24	10-09 19:09
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?	No	+50	$48	94¢	$47	-$1	10-17 12:02
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+80	$50	51¢	$41	-$9	08-17 03:11
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	Yes	+96	$29	41¢	$39	+$11	10-13 14:18
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	No	-40	-$78	94¢	$-38	+$40	09-17 17:56
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	+70	$43	49¢	$34	-$8	09-22 13:45
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	+187	$102	16¢	$31	-$71	08-17 14:10
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	+86	$36	30¢	$25	-$11	09-12 14:58
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	+28	$14	88¢	$25	+$11	10-28 08:25
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	+24	$14	94¢	$22	+$8	09-15 14:42
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+33	$22	58¢	$19	-$3	08-31 20:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	514	$16.3K	9,696	9,686	+10	open	—	10-10 12:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	111	$11.9K	17,333	17,341	-8	No	-$163	06-23 09:57
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	125	$11.6K	8,258	8,258	+0	No	+$624	07-01 01:39
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	55	$10.3K	5,715	5,715	-0	open	—	07-29 13:34
will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	57	$7.5K	7,961	7,961	+0	No	+$408	07-01 02:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	76	$6.2K	4,083	4,073	+10	open	—	09-04 20:58
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?	77	$5.9K	3,482	3,482	+0	open	—	08-27 16:11
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	529	$5.9K	16,697	16,697	+0	No	-$3,465	09-21 01:05
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?	131	$5.7K	4,955	4,330	+625	open	—	10-20 10:28
Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	76	$3.9K	4,268	106	+4,162	Yes	+$452	09-21 21:25
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?	79	$3.9K	4,224	1,295	+2,930	open	—	10-29 15:33
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	149	$3.9K	3,951	3,941	+10	Yes	+$9	07-29 23:38
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	71	$3.4K	2,213	2,213	+0	open	—	08-27 02:19
Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?	66	$3.2K	2,163	1,857	+306	open	—	10-24 03:06
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	77	$3.1K	2,704	2,664	+40	open	—	08-03 10:38
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	102	$2.9K	1,731	1,638	+93	open	—	09-24 16:14
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	96	$2.9K	2,354	2,354	+0	Yes	+$1,711	08-19 11:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	76	$2.8K	1,826	1,801	+25	open	—	10-22 17:54
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	55	$2.8K	3,755	1,982	+1,773	open	—	10-14 18:13
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	51	$2.8K	5,019	2,360	+2,660	Yes	-$322	09-03 16:05
will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	52	$2.5K	3,074	2,855	+219	No	-$164	07-12 12:55
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	37	$2.4K	3,143	1,238	+1,904	open	—	10-29 06:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	53	$2.3K	1,528	1,518	+10	open	—	08-27 10:54
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?	39	$2.3K	3,724	3,724	+0	No	-$233	07-27 17:45
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	22	$2.3K	1,648	1,648	+0	No	+$14	06-23 08:20
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?	54	$2.2K	1,197	1,142	+54	No	+$34	08-20 12:37
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	23	$2.0K	1,141	1,141	+0	open	—	08-27 10:17
will bitcoin reach 68k july 6 12 2026	3	$1.9K	969	969	+0	No	+$1	07-10 13:25
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	53	$1.8K	2,033	1,270	+763	Yes	-$537	10-23 07:06
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?	43	$1.7K	1,991	136	+1,854	open	—	10-21 07:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:27:49	Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0xe2b45c…
10-29 17:27:08	NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x5127b6…
10-29 16:47:08	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x107044…
10-29 15:33:19	Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	11¢	$2	0x27f520…
10-29 14:00:17	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x709222…
10-29 11:49:02	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x9d924f…
10-29 06:53:13	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x5d5ed9…
10-29 06:52:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	29	88¢	$26	0x55a8a8…
10-29 06:38:44	Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	11¢	$9	0x0d49bc…
10-29 06:38:19	Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x0554db…
10-29 06:01:22	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x12b843…
10-29 05:06:34	Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x48ddec…
10-29 04:06:52	US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x567c5b…
10-28 23:03:53	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x350445…
10-28 22:22:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x25e244…
10-28 22:09:49	US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x5a606b…
10-28 22:08:01	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x899fd0…
10-28 22:04:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	19	51¢	$9	0x042186…
10-28 22:01:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x1214ad…
10-28 20:13:52	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x2f12fe…
10-28 19:49:47	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xefcd8b…
10-28 15:55:41	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	44	79¢	$35	0x3ff13b…
10-28 13:41:55	Will Waymo launch in Minneapolis, MN by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0xc2b6fb…
10-28 13:37:02	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	245	99¢	$243	0xe3996d…
10-28 13:31:22	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	SELL	79	91¢	$72	0xba88d4…
10-28 08:25:47	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0xa6f891…
10-28 08:16:13	China ballistic missile launch by December 31?	No	SELL	48	79¢	$38	0xb9de3b…
10-28 07:14:46	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x0dbf2e…
10-28 06:56:19	NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?	No	BUY	137	62¢	$85	0x45228e…
10-28 06:21:53	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x4b6e8f…
10-27 23:11:33	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xd39544…
10-27 20:56:36	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0x5a72bc…
10-27 19:21:05	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	21¢	$19	0x5af921…
10-27 19:01:41	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x03b043…
10-27 17:48:29	Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x10af1c…
10-27 09:46:12	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x43879e…
10-27 07:31:44	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	260	16¢	$42	0x5b249e…
10-27 00:22:38	Ukraine lowers conscription age by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$13	0xaa4004…
10-26 18:33:57	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xee3221…
10-26 18:03:18	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x5674b5…
10-26 12:05:09	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	1¢	$0	0x73b073…
10-26 11:18:15	Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	399	96¢	$385	0x581a07…
10-26 11:18:06	Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x83adeb…
10-26 07:30:51	Ukraine lowers conscription age by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x33cc34…
10-26 07:17:27	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	994	47¢	$467	0x85f296…
10-26 07:11:03	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xabd980…
10-26 06:19:45	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x9bf776…
10-26 03:36:12	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd0710c…
10-26 02:22:23	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x7c4443…
10-25 21:04:05	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3b617c…
10-24 23:20:44	Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	46¢	$15	0x3b818a…
10-24 21:06:14	Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x73cc6e…
10-24 18:50:21	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x308f8f…
10-24 15:45:44	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x367d34…
10-24 15:44:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	82¢	$52	0x5e503f…
10-24 15:43:41	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x317401…
10-24 14:42:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0x903514…
10-24 11:34:47	Ukraine lowers conscription age by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x00d8bb…
10-24 03:06:08	Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$0	0x61fa71…
10-24 02:31:09	Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0xb1759b…
10-23 23:43:48	Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x033d71…
10-23 18:42:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x037bcd…
10-23 17:32:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x63e5ca…
10-23 16:50:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x77af6e…
10-23 11:51:35	Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x0d82b0…
10-23 10:59:29	Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x24fd3d…
10-23 08:43:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xad34fb…
10-23 07:15:38	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xca2659…
10-23 07:13:35	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x7cc49b…
10-23 07:11:54	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x46304d…
10-23 07:11:24	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	260	83¢	$216	0x55b7b6…
10-23 07:10:27	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x75429b…
10-23 07:10:26	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	211	96¢	$202	0x4f3998…
10-23 07:06:02	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xe7c28d…
10-23 07:05:39	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xe94e2a…
10-23 07:05:24	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xefa0dc…
10-23 07:04:12	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	37¢	$14	0x5bacb4…
10-23 07:04:12	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	98	37¢	$36	0x1e6244…
10-23 07:03:59	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	37¢	$14	0x0b80f8…
10-23 07:03:14	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	36¢	$12	0xcb6440…
10-23 07:01:18	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0xbe5f6a…
10-23 07:01:12	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x791d35…
10-23 07:01:00	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x737cd7…
10-23 07:00:54	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0x7f394e…
10-23 07:00:48	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x4ccc92…
10-23 07:00:36	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	35¢	$9	0x237901…
10-23 07:00:32	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xbcdb20…
10-23 07:00:21	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x9ba680…
10-23 07:00:15	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0xe14d23…
10-23 06:11:47	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0xaf5ffe…
10-23 06:11:47	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x5f5ce3…
10-23 06:11:09	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x226a0d…
10-23 06:10:02	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	245	39¢	$95	0x228932…
10-23 06:00:08	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x8b4b9a…
10-23 05:49:45	Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	20¢	$15	0x5f4e05…
10-23 05:32:11	France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x23f92e…
10-23 05:23:39	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	40¢	$18	0x6160dc…
10-23 02:45:35	Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xe06f12…
10-22 21:13:45	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	No	SELL	16	84¢	$14	0x352edf…
10-22 20:59:20	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xab9adc…