Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$227
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,942
lifetime
Volume
$76.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$3.81K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 07-23 00:03
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
47%
Politics
41%
Other
10%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,510 $1,262 92¢ $1.4K +$120 07-22 17:18
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +864 $777 93¢ $803 +$26 07-12 10:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,073 $863 70¢ $757 $-106 07-23 02:58
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -163 $-141 82¢ $-133 +$8 06-27 12:06
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -135 $-102 82¢ $-111 $-8 07-09 10:49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +114 $99 90¢ $102 +$3 06-11 14:22
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -108 $-98 90¢ $-98 +$0 06-10 02:29
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -83 $-104 90¢ $-75 +$29 06-30 03:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +70 $60 92¢ $64 +$5 07-02 11:49
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +53 $45 86¢ $46 +$1 07-23 04:30
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +250 $69 18¢ $45 $-24 07-02 10:58
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -61 $-60 66¢ $-41 +$19 07-22 12:46
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +44 $37 86¢ $38 +$1 07-22 17:36
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No -30 $-33 68¢ $-21 +$12 07-18 09:33
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -20 $-18 96¢ $-19 $-1 06-27 01:30
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -36 $-14 34¢ $-12 +$2 07-09 19:47
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -26 $-17 42¢ $-11 +$6 07-08 09:58
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 06-14 14:22
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? Yes +26 $8 29¢ $8 $-0 07-12 04:19
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -10 $-144 70¢ $-7 +$137 07-18 10:08
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +35 $6 18¢ $6 $-0 07-14 13:11
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No -7 $-6 91¢ $-6 +$0 07-22 08:07
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +30 $5 12¢ $3 $-1 06-28 12:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +30 $1 11¢ $3 +$2 07-23 04:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $3 30¢ $3 $-0 07-20 04:54
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No -10 $-3 26¢ $-3 +$1 07-13 09:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +194 $5 $2 $-3 07-13 05:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +5 $2 34¢ $2 $-0 07-07 07:49
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +18 $0 $1 +$1 07-02 12:08
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +10 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-14 13:33