Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
open
Total volume
$113,466
$8,486 in 24h
Trades
1,524
Unique wallets
330
Liquidity
$27,031
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-13 03:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.6¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $26.9K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $76.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 30 | $1.3K | $32.2K | $30.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 40 | $891 | $29.8K | $28.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 60 | $337 | $6.0K | $5.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 200 | $2.7K | $3.6K | $901 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 10 | $2.0K | $24.9K | $22.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 28 | $315 | $7.3K | $7.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $9 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
| Median | 30 | $1.6K | $144 | +$1.5K |
| Below median | 74 | $326 | $1.7K | $1.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 16 | $105 | $351 | $246 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $10 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 16 | $320 | $26.3K | $26.0K |
| unranked | 134 | $557 | $7.6K | $7.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stable-Fog 0x1de9…831d | No | +23,393 | $21,040 | $21,040 | 13 | 07-12 11:39 |
| Subdued-Lane 0x56b1…0e9f | Yes | +17,611 | $1,552 | $1,552 | 78 | 07-12 11:40 |
| Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | +15,580 | $13,971 | $13,971 | 101 | 07-12 17:13 |
| Playful-Wellbeing 0x49b3…6486 | Yes | +11,153 | $1,203 | $1,203 | 125 | 07-12 08:04 |
| Shocked-Brink 0x8b88…5f5e | No | +9,130 | $8,000 | $8,000 | 2 | 06-02 01:15 |
| Calm-Dusk 0x77c3…00c8 | No | +5,000 | $4,500 | $4,500 | 7 | 07-09 23:41 |
| Limited-Graphic 0x5943…2ef2 | No | +3,017 | $2,745 | $2,745 | 12 | 07-13 02:40 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | +2,251 | $213 | $213 | 7 | 07-12 11:39 |
| Zbinik 0xa9f3…4bce | No | +1,790 | $1,645 | $1,645 | 4 | 06-27 05:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cda…8832 | No | +1,505 | $1,335 | $1,335 | 1 | 06-02 15:55 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,489 | $131 | $870 | 93 | 07-11 19:14 |
| Downright-Website 0x836f…906e | No | +1,369 | $1,246 | $1,246 | 8 | 07-03 19:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x2620…78f5 | Yes | +1,111 | $158 | $158 | 2 | 07-04 03:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f56…075d | No | +1,087 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-05 06:03 |
| Elaborate-Watercress 0x4222…aa99 | Yes | +985 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 07-03 20:28 |
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +982 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 07-07 04:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xd453…1f27 | Yes | +884 | $87 | $87 | 2 | 07-08 21:38 |
| Optimistic-Yang 0x869a…bd64 | Yes | +833 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 07-04 02:48 |
| Straight-Bay 0xe733…8ed4 | Yes | +711 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 07-03 19:28 |
| Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | +577 | $75 | $77 | 37 | 06-14 13:33 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +560 | $515 | $515 | 1 | 07-02 02:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb74b…d765 | Yes | +556 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-30 19:02 |
| Rotating-Strawman 0xbb22…710a | Yes | +519 | $67 | $67 | 6 | 05-30 22:46 |
| Big-Jewellery 0x3eb7…a89e | No | +518 | $461 | $461 | 1 | 06-02 21:24 |
| Villainous-Deformation 0x5d01…6ca9 | Yes | +500 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 07-03 12:38 |
| Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | +463 | $416 | $416 | 62 | 07-03 11:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x826e…df69 | Yes | +400 | $45 | $45 | 12 | 06-13 08:05 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | No | +397 | $360 | $360 | 5 | 07-11 18:21 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +360 | $37 | $37 | 4 | 06-22 14:19 |
| Understated-Topsail 0x2c9d…61e5 | Yes | +344 | $34 | $138 | 6 | 06-26 12:27 |
| Tinted-Piglet 0xa2f7…10d3 | No | +337 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-02 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x12d8…3f7c | Yes | +336 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 07-05 12:35 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | +329 | $42 | $42 | 4 | 07-08 16:16 |
| Real-Advertisement 0xf2b0…b26b | No | +326 | $290 | $290 | 2 | 06-08 23:45 |
| Noxious-Cloth 0x1f6b…91b9 | Yes | +310 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 06-09 17:17 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +300 | $272 | $272 | 2 | 07-02 02:47 |
| Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | +300 | $273 | $273 | 2 | 07-12 14:59 |
| Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | +300 | $272 | $272 | 9 | 06-24 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xf052…a61d | Yes | +250 | $23 | $23 | 10 | 07-08 15:25 |
| Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | +224 | $204 | $204 | 1 | 07-04 14:21 |
| Untried-Weird 0x1294…d526 | Yes | +222 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-01 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6f7…06b5 | No | +218 | $200 | $200 | 20 | 07-13 03:42 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +217 | $28 | $439 | 111 | 07-07 20:57 |
| Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | +212 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-20 09:44 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | +200 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 07-09 23:41 |
| Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | +200 | $176 | $176 | 1 | 06-11 15:13 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +200 | $182 | $182 | 5 | 06-24 19:41 |
| Blond-Grace 0x97b1…1a63 | Yes | +172 | $18 | $55 | 5 | 07-02 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8df…41e1 | No | +160 | $146 | $146 | 2 | 07-05 23:44 |
| Well-Off-Elicit 0x9e00…f029 | Yes | +156 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-25 00:25 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +155 | $139 | $139 | 7 | 07-11 22:37 |
| Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | +150 | $13 | $18 | 4 | 07-09 15:05 |
| Distinct-Kale 0x46a1…2736 | No | +134 | $118 | $118 | 3 | 06-14 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | +133 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 06-27 05:33 |
| Skeletal-Pardon 0x4734…60b1 | Yes | +122 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 07-11 08:08 |
| Concrete-Horn 0x49e5…f527 | No | +115 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-27 21:29 |
| Apprehensive-Mix 0x9df3…2569 | No | +114 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-03 13:40 |
| Decimal-Formula 0x8baa…0032 | Yes | +111 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-28 13:14 |
| Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | +100 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 06-10 02:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x582d…c221 | No | +100 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 07-07 04:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 03:42:22 | (anonymous) 0xf6f7…06b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xb2d3a7… |
| 07-13 03:42:22 | Ragged-Shark 0x9589…39b0 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xb2d3a7… |
| 07-13 03:37:17 | Ragged-Shark 0x9589…39b0 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xfd727b… |
| 07-13 03:37:17 | (anonymous) 0xf6f7…06b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xfd727b… |
| 07-13 03:32:14 | Ragged-Shark 0x9589…39b0 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xc05482… |
| 07-13 03:32:14 | (anonymous) 0xf6f7…06b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xc05482… |
| 07-13 03:27:10 | (anonymous) 0xf6f7…06b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x4816d5… |
| 07-13 03:27:10 | Ragged-Shark 0x9589…39b0 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x4816d5… |
| 07-13 03:21:35 | Ragged-Shark 0x9589…39b0 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xbe6897… |
| 07-13 03:21:35 | (anonymous) 0xf6f7…06b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xbe6897… |
| 07-13 03:16:31 | (anonymous) 0xf6f7…06b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x01bee7… |
| 07-13 03:16:31 | Ragged-Shark 0x9589…39b0 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x01bee7… |
| 07-13 03:11:28 | (anonymous) 0xf6f7…06b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xb67e16… |
| 07-13 03:11:28 | Ragged-Shark 0x9589…39b0 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xb67e16… |
| 07-13 03:06:23 | Ragged-Shark 0x9589…39b0 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xc14d7c… |
| 07-13 03:06:23 | (anonymous) 0xf6f7…06b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xc14d7c… |
| 07-13 03:01:19 | (anonymous) 0xf6f7…06b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x5f1f40… |
| 07-13 03:01:19 | Ragged-Shark 0x9589…39b0 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x5f1f40… |
| 07-13 02:56:14 | Ragged-Shark 0x9589…39b0 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x9f3575… |
| 07-13 02:56:14 | (anonymous) 0xf6f7…06b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x9f3575… |
| 07-13 02:40:13 | Limited-Graphic 0x5943…2ef2 | No | BUY | 17 | 91¢ | $15 | 0x5e19cc… |
| 07-13 02:40:13 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5e19cc… |
| 07-12 22:22:26 | (anonymous) 0x2af2…cc12 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xd878e3… |
| 07-12 22:22:26 | Ragged-Shark 0x9589…39b0 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xd878e3… |
| 07-12 21:06:14 | (anonymous) 0x29fe…c4f2 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x8afdf4… |
| 07-12 21:06:14 | Ragged-Shark 0x9589…39b0 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x8afdf4… |
| 07-12 21:00:52 | Ragged-Shark 0x9589…39b0 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x90542e… |
| 07-12 21:00:52 | Gullible-Shower 0x5703…6091 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x90542e… |
| 07-12 20:18:04 | Ragged-Shark 0x9589…39b0 | No | SELL | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0xd050f5… |
| 07-12 20:18:04 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xd050f5… |
| 07-12 20:18:04 | Major-Spinach 0xa519…eda4 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xd050f5… |
| 07-12 18:46:41 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x8c529f… |
| 07-12 18:46:41 | (anonymous) 0x289a…7be1 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x8c529f… |
| 07-12 18:19:14 | Sniveling-Checkroom 0xf996…2ac4 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x7a0431… |
| 07-12 18:19:14 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x7a0431… |
| 07-12 17:48:52 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xb44a02… |
| 07-12 17:48:52 | Frugal-Crunch 0xe2c2…62e4 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xb44a02… |
| 07-12 17:13:28 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | BUY | 28 | 90¢ | $25 | 0x347142… |
| 07-12 17:13:28 | Agonizing-Nonbeliever 0xbb75…f28e | No | SELL | 28 | 90¢ | $25 | 0x347142… |
| 07-12 15:02:04 | Wordy-Bark 0xe762…064b | No | SELL | 170 | 90¢ | $153 | 0x92f17c… |
| 07-12 15:02:04 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | BUY | 170 | 90¢ | $153 | 0x92f17c… |
| 07-12 15:00:50 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | BUY | 65 | 90¢ | $59 | 0x7ecf66… |
| 07-12 15:00:50 | Sneaky-Assertion 0x29a1…5645 | No | SELL | 65 | 90¢ | $59 | 0x7ecf66… |
| 07-12 15:00:28 | Sneaky-Assertion 0x29a1…5645 | No | SELL | 65 | 90¢ | $59 | 0x05218f… |
| 07-12 15:00:28 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | BUY | 65 | 90¢ | $59 | 0x05218f… |
| 07-12 15:00:23 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | BUY | 170 | 90¢ | $153 | 0x371f8a… |
| 07-12 15:00:23 | Wordy-Bark 0xe762…064b | No | SELL | 170 | 90¢ | $153 | 0x371f8a… |
| 07-12 14:59:58 | (anonymous) 0x1516…3f5a | No | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x6e1b74… |
| 07-12 14:59:58 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | BUY | 105 | 90¢ | $95 | 0xd53135… |
| 07-12 14:59:58 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | BUY | 316 | 90¢ | $285 | 0x2a5f3b… |
| 07-12 14:59:58 | Dependent-Millimeter 0x9b22…3a92 | No | SELL | 105 | 90¢ | $95 | 0xd53135… |
| 07-12 14:59:58 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x6e1b74… |
| 07-12 14:59:58 | High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | No | SELL | 535 | 90¢ | $484 | 0x2a5f3b… |
| 07-12 14:59:58 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 219 | 91¢ | $199 | 0x2a5f3b… |
| 07-12 11:40:02 | Vicious-Party 0x1bf7…6f57 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x327edb… |
| 07-12 11:40:02 | Subdued-Lane 0x56b1…0e9f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x327edb… |
| 07-12 11:39:47 | Stable-Fog 0x1de9…831d | No | BUY | 3,261 | 92¢ | $3,000 | 0xa1bbda… |
| 07-12 11:39:47 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | SELL | 372 | 92¢ | $342 | 0xa1bbda… |
| 07-12 11:39:47 | Subdued-Lane 0x56b1…0e9f | Yes | BUY | 189 | 8¢ | $15 | 0xa1bbda… |
| 07-12 11:39:47 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0xa1bbda… |
| 07-12 08:04:46 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 81 | 91¢ | $74 | 0x3006e5… |
| 07-12 08:04:46 | Playful-Wellbeing 0x49b3…6486 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x3006e5… |
| 07-11 22:37:53 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x74f327… |
| 07-11 22:37:53 | Playful-Wellbeing 0x49b3…6486 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x74f327… |
| 07-11 19:14:38 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 165 | 9¢ | $15 | 0x5d19a6… |
| 07-11 19:14:38 | Limited-Graphic 0x5943…2ef2 | No | BUY | 500 | 91¢ | $455 | 0x5d19a6… |
| 07-11 19:14:38 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 286 | 9¢ | $26 | 0x5d19a6… |
| 07-11 19:14:38 | Playful-Wellbeing 0x49b3…6486 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x5d19a6… |
| 07-11 18:21:50 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 330 | 9¢ | $30 | 0x213c61… |
| 07-11 18:21:50 | Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | No | BUY | 330 | 91¢ | $300 | 0x213c61… |
| 07-11 13:22:23 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x455aae… |
| 07-11 13:22:23 | (anonymous) 0x2142…6b8c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x455aae… |
| 07-11 08:08:41 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x68f123… |
| 07-11 08:08:41 | Skeletal-Pardon 0x4734…60b1 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x68f123… |
| 07-10 22:30:05 | (anonymous) 0x6141…5d51 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xf02509… |
| 07-10 22:30:05 | Round-Resolution 0x11fc…dc48 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xf02509… |
| 07-10 17:12:04 | Itchy-Cloudburst 0x3963…f6b6 | Yes | SELL | 392 | 9¢ | $35 | 0x501656… |
| 07-10 17:12:04 | Round-Resolution 0x11fc…dc48 | No | SELL | 392 | 91¢ | $357 | 0x501656… |
| 07-09 23:41:04 | Animated-Souvenir 0xda47…941c | No | SELL | 5,722 | 90¢ | $5,150 | 0x234d79… |
| 07-09 23:41:04 | Calm-Dusk 0x77c3…00c8 | No | BUY | 4,130 | 90¢ | $3,717 | 0x234d79… |
| 07-09 23:41:04 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | BUY | 1,106 | 90¢ | $996 | 0x234d79… |
| 07-09 23:41:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 286 | 10¢ | $29 | 0x234d79… |
| 07-09 23:41:04 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0x234d79… |
| 07-09 20:29:41 | Round-Resolution 0x11fc…dc48 | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x2c6e9d… |
| 07-09 20:29:41 | (anonymous) 0xd63d…e141 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x2c6e9d… |
| 07-09 20:29:40 | Precious-Venture 0xc078…e0ae | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x283d62… |
| 07-09 20:29:40 | Calm-Dusk 0x77c3…00c8 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x283d62… |
| 07-09 19:46:26 | Round-Resolution 0x11fc…dc48 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x801fa0… |
| 07-09 19:46:26 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x801fa0… |
| 07-09 15:05:02 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x50560a… |
| 07-09 15:05:02 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x50560a… |
| 07-09 15:05:02 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x50560a… |
| 07-09 15:05:02 | Calm-Dusk 0x77c3…00c8 | No | BUY | 37 | 90¢ | $33 | 0x50560a… |
| 07-09 15:05:02 | Sparse-Premier 0x3809…81bd | No | SELL | 87 | 91¢ | $79 | 0x50560a… |
| 07-09 11:35:28 | (anonymous) 0xaaaf…59d8 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x9c00d1… |
| 07-09 11:35:28 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x9c00d1… |
| 07-08 22:36:38 | (anonymous) 0xd63d…e141 | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x2afb44… |
| 07-08 22:36:38 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x2afb44… |
| 07-08 22:36:37 | Subdued-Lane 0x56b1…0e9f | Yes | BUY | 300 | 10¢ | $30 | 0xa3a5c8… |
| 07-08 22:36:37 | Calm-Dusk 0x77c3…00c8 | No | BUY | 300 | 90¢ | $270 | 0xa3a5c8… |