Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
open
Total volume
$68,166
$8,486 in 24h
Trades
912
Unique wallets
235
Liquidity
$27,031
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-22 00:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.9¢
(top1%: 9% YES on $18.5K
vs crowd: 7% YES on $44.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 21 | $1.2K | $2.2K | $1.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 31 | $599 | $31.8K | $31.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 45 | $214 | $4.3K | $4.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 138 | $1.2K | $3.0K | $1.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $1.7K | $16.8K | $15.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 22 | $265 | $822 | $557 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $2 | $92 | $90 |
| Median | 24 | $542 | $120 | +$422 |
| Below median | 54 | $158 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 16 | $95 | $416 | $321 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $10 | $872 | $862 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 12 | $212 | $15.5K | $15.3K |
| unranked | 84 | $218 | $5.4K | $5.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stable-Fog 0x1de9…831d | No | +17,957 | $16,040 | $16,040 | 11 | 06-20 09:44 |
| Playful-Wellbeing 0x49b3…6486 | Yes | +10,491 | $1,144 | $1,144 | 109 | 06-21 11:50 |
| Shocked-Brink 0x8b88…5f5e | No | +9,130 | $8,000 | $8,000 | 2 | 06-02 01:15 |
| Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | +5,853 | $5,176 | $5,176 | 30 | 06-19 01:43 |
| Subdued-Lane 0x56b1…0e9f | Yes | +4,848 | $503 | $503 | 27 | 06-20 18:31 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | +1,651 | $160 | $160 | 3 | 06-20 09:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cda…8832 | No | +1,505 | $1,335 | $1,335 | 1 | 06-02 15:55 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,489 | $148 | $562 | 59 | 06-20 18:31 |
| Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | +1,111 | $985 | $985 | 15 | 06-20 15:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x2620…78f5 | Yes | +1,022 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-28 06:13 |
| Stormy-Ideal 0x08ab…cbc4 | Yes | +577 | $75 | $77 | 37 | 06-14 13:33 |
| Rotating-Strawman 0xbb22…710a | Yes | +519 | $67 | $67 | 6 | 05-30 22:46 |
| Big-Jewellery 0x3eb7…a89e | No | +518 | $461 | $461 | 1 | 06-02 21:24 |
| High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | No | +466 | $407 | $407 | 6 | 06-03 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x826e…df69 | Yes | +400 | $45 | $45 | 12 | 06-13 08:05 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +388 | $48 | $343 | 59 | 06-20 22:39 |
| Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | +345 | $308 | $308 | 44 | 06-22 00:21 |
| Tinted-Piglet 0xa2f7…10d3 | No | +337 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-02 20:20 |
| Wordy-Bark 0xe762…064b | No | +326 | $286 | $286 | 6 | 06-03 05:29 |
| Real-Advertisement 0xf2b0…b26b | No | +326 | $290 | $290 | 2 | 06-08 23:45 |
| Noxious-Cloth 0x1f6b…91b9 | Yes | +310 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 06-09 17:17 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | +308 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 06-01 07:31 |
| Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | +300 | $261 | $261 | 3 | 05-29 10:55 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +250 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 06-20 22:39 |
| Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | +212 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-20 09:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xf052…a61d | Yes | +200 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 06-20 09:44 |
| Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | +200 | $176 | $176 | 1 | 06-11 15:13 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +200 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 06-19 01:43 |
| Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | No | +180 | $158 | $158 | 3 | 05-29 10:56 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +140 | $12 | $26 | 3 | 06-20 09:44 |
| Distinct-Kale 0x46a1…2736 | No | +134 | $118 | $118 | 3 | 06-14 14:28 |
| Sneaky-Assertion 0x29a1…5645 | No | +130 | $115 | $115 | 5 | 06-03 05:29 |
| Concrete-Horn 0x49e5…f527 | No | +115 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-27 21:29 |
| Apprehensive-Mix 0x9df3…2569 | No | +114 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-03 13:40 |
| Dependent-Millimeter 0x9b22…3a92 | No | +102 | $89 | $89 | 7 | 06-03 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9ca…1763 | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 16:58 |
| Villainous-Deformation 0x5d01…6ca9 | Yes | +100 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-13 20:40 |
| Agonizing-Nonbeliever 0xbb75…f28e | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 05-29 09:09 |
| Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | +100 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 06-10 02:29 |
| Metallic-Basket 0x5c3d…c0ca | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 4 | 06-13 11:55 |
| Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | No | +96 | $84 | $84 | 12 | 05-31 19:39 |
| Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | +80 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-20 18:31 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +80 | $70 | $70 | 4 | 05-31 09:42 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +69 | $61 | $61 | 3 | 06-05 06:29 |
| Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | +68 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 05-30 21:09 |
| Blond-Grace 0x97b1…1a63 | Yes | +59 | $7 | $45 | 4 | 06-20 05:11 |
| Prudent-Tackle 0xae8c…1dc0 | No | +57 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-03 11:43 |
| Sparkling-Self 0xf257…3ed5 | No | +57 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-03 17:03 |
| Frugal-Nectarine 0xf16c…5061 | No | +56 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-02 19:38 |
| Exhausted-Show-Bankbook 0x1390…8786 | Yes | +54 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-30 19:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f19…798a | Yes | +48 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-12 19:39 |
| Gracious-Locust 0xc8b8…c770 | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-08 23:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0f8…0da6 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 12:09 |
| Critical-Woodshed 0x340e…176d | Yes | +21 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-03 10:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 00:21:55 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0xfc893c… |
| 06-22 00:21:55 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xfc893c… |
| 06-22 00:21:55 | Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xfc893c… |
| 06-21 16:59:35 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x0bcd79… |
| 06-21 16:59:35 | (anonymous) 0x9e59…a4ba | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x0bcd79… |
| 06-21 11:50:53 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x1705c8… |
| 06-21 11:50:53 | Playful-Wellbeing 0x49b3…6486 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x1705c8… |
| 06-20 22:39:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd9dc4d… |
| 06-20 22:39:26 | Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xd9dc4d… |
| 06-20 22:39:26 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 23 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xd9dc4d… |
| 06-20 22:39:26 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xd9dc4d… |
| 06-20 22:39:26 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd9dc4d… |
| 06-20 18:31:31 | Playful-Wellbeing 0x49b3…6486 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x6ecfac… |
| 06-20 18:31:31 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 23 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x6ecfac… |
| 06-20 18:31:31 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x6ecfac… |
| 06-20 18:31:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 248 | 9¢ | $22 | 0x6ecfac… |
| 06-20 18:31:31 | Strange-Reading 0xc07c…4a21 | Yes | SELL | 1,215 | 8¢ | $102 | 0x6ecfac… |
| 06-20 18:31:31 | Subdued-Lane 0x56b1…0e9f | Yes | BUY | 82 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x6ecfac… |
| 06-20 18:31:31 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 112 | 8¢ | $9 | 0x6ecfac… |
| 06-20 16:22:47 | (anonymous) 0xbabc…c106 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x409dcf… |
| 06-20 16:22:47 | Playful-Wellbeing 0x49b3…6486 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x409dcf… |
| 06-20 15:54:34 | Frilly-Cruise 0x60be…2407 | No | SELL | 113 | 89¢ | $101 | 0x75150d… |
| 06-20 15:54:34 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | BUY | 66 | 89¢ | $59 | 0x75150d… |
| 06-20 14:16:43 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 47 | 89¢ | $42 | 0xed9a67… |
| 06-20 14:16:43 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | BUY | 47 | 89¢ | $42 | 0xed9a67… |
| 06-20 14:13:10 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0xb82bcd… |
| 06-20 14:13:10 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb82bcd… |
| 06-20 14:13:10 | Playful-Wellbeing 0x49b3…6486 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 10¢ | $8 | 0xb82bcd… |
| 06-20 12:35:35 | (anonymous) 0xd1a4…a562 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x4598b1… |
| 06-20 12:35:35 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x4598b1… |
| 06-20 11:43:31 | (anonymous) 0xbf35…6c5b | No | BUY | 26 | 91¢ | $24 | 0xc5c158… |
| 06-20 11:43:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 26 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc5c158… |
| 06-20 10:45:22 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | SELL | 16 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x446a46… |
| 06-20 10:45:22 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x446a46… |
| 06-20 10:45:22 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x446a46… |
| 06-20 10:44:01 | Troubled-Anesthesiologist 0xc94e…55dc | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x0f4325… |
| 06-20 10:44:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x0f4325… |
| 06-20 10:43:14 | Vigilant-Cornflakes 0x145b…8f5c | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xf29acd… |
| 06-20 10:43:14 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xf29acd… |
| 06-20 09:45:19 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x48ae85… |
| 06-20 09:45:19 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x48ae85… |
| 06-20 09:44:50 | (anonymous) 0xdc7d…b552 | No | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0xcc4606… |
| 06-20 09:44:50 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | BUY | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0xcc4606… |
| 06-20 09:44:50 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | BUY | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0x3f2b80… |
| 06-20 09:44:50 | (anonymous) 0x75c5…870f | No | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0x3f2b80… |
| 06-20 09:44:49 | Subdued-Lane 0x56b1…0e9f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x2715f8… |
| 06-20 09:44:49 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 500 | 9¢ | $45 | 0x2715f8… |
| 06-20 09:44:49 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x2715f8… |
| 06-20 09:44:49 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | BUY | 212 | 8¢ | $17 | 0x2715f8… |
| 06-20 09:44:49 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 398 | 91¢ | $362 | 0x2715f8… |
| 06-20 09:44:49 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x2715f8… |
| 06-20 09:44:49 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x2715f8… |
| 06-20 09:44:49 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2715f8… |
| 06-20 09:44:49 | (anonymous) 0xf052…a61d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x2715f8… |
| 06-20 09:44:49 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2715f8… |
| 06-20 09:44:49 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x2715f8… |
| 06-20 09:44:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 275 | 10¢ | $28 | 0x2715f8… |
| 06-20 09:44:49 | Hospitable-Touch 0x06b6…eba6 | No | SELL | 237 | 92¢ | $218 | 0x2715f8… |
| 06-20 09:44:49 | Stable-Fog 0x1de9…831d | No | BUY | 3,282 | 91¢ | $3,000 | 0x2715f8… |
| 06-20 09:36:50 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xadbd07… |
| 06-20 09:36:50 | Solid-Mistake 0x5622…89ad | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xadbd07… |
| 06-20 08:19:22 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | BUY | 200 | 89¢ | $178 | 0x83c8fa… |
| 06-20 08:19:22 | Sticky-Authorisation 0xd86d…9ce1 | No | SELL | 1,106 | 89¢ | $985 | 0x83c8fa… |
| 06-20 08:19:22 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 60 | 11¢ | $7 | 0x83c8fa… |
| 06-20 08:19:22 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x83c8fa… |
| 06-20 08:19:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 242 | 11¢ | $27 | 0x83c8fa… |
| 06-20 08:19:22 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x83c8fa… |
| 06-20 08:09:58 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xe83e00… |
| 06-20 08:09:58 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xe83e00… |
| 06-20 08:09:37 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x143a7d… |
| 06-20 08:09:37 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x143a7d… |
| 06-20 08:09:23 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x9b12c1… |
| 06-20 08:09:23 | Troubled-Anesthesiologist 0xc94e…55dc | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x9b12c1… |
| 06-20 08:08:55 | Vigilant-Cornflakes 0x145b…8f5c | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x5c2abc… |
| 06-20 08:08:55 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x5c2abc… |
| 06-20 07:38:17 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x91d821… |
| 06-20 07:38:17 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x91d821… |
| 06-20 07:38:02 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xfeac67… |
| 06-20 07:38:02 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xfeac67… |
| 06-20 07:37:37 | Tangible-Loss 0x243d…cd7f | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xb61e60… |
| 06-20 07:37:37 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xb61e60… |
| 06-20 07:37:04 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x928253… |
| 06-20 07:37:04 | Every-Variety 0x560e…85f5 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x928253… |
| 06-20 07:06:56 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xbe2624… |
| 06-20 07:06:56 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xbe2624… |
| 06-20 07:06:40 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x21bbcb… |
| 06-20 07:06:40 | Dead-Award 0x7122…c9e4 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x21bbcb… |
| 06-20 07:06:17 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x1fa80d… |
| 06-20 07:06:17 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x1fa80d… |
| 06-20 07:06:10 | Hideous-Attacker 0xc861…e376 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x5ac276… |
| 06-20 07:06:10 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x5ac276… |
| 06-20 06:36:16 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xce8a99… |
| 06-20 06:36:16 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xce8a99… |
| 06-20 06:35:40 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x103696… |
| 06-20 06:35:40 | Ashamed-Dishwasher 0x28fc…4e92 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x103696… |
| 06-20 06:35:35 | Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x8297da… |
| 06-20 06:35:35 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x8297da… |
| 06-20 06:35:14 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x082429… |
| 06-20 06:35:14 | Impossible-Mate 0xbbff…ca93 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x082429… |
| 06-20 06:04:58 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xb38e93… |