Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e156…ce27af
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$196
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
184
lifetime
Volume
$71.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$391
Open exposure
$52.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 06-04 00:52
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
50% — —
Other
47% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +8,059 $7,800 97¢ $7.8K +$10 06-03 05:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +6,232 $6,100 98¢ $6.1K +$29 06-03 17:10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +4,623 $4,540 99¢ $4.6K +$43 06-03 05:46
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No +4,135 $4,000 98¢ $4.1K +$56 06-03 07:38
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No +3,541 $3,500 99¢ $3.5K $-3 06-03 06:07
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +2,918 $2,800 96¢ $2.8K +$16 06-02 07:33
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? No +2,025 $2,000 98¢ $2.0K $-22 06-03 14:39
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +1,924 $1,900 99¢ $1.9K +$6 06-03 07:39
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No +1,915 $1,800 97¢ $1.9K +$57 06-03 07:39
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +1,633 $1,600 98¢ $1.6K +$2 06-01 20:11
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +1,432 $1,400 98¢ $1.4K +$7 06-03 06:07
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +1,423 $1,400 98¢ $1.4K +$1 06-01 16:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,594 $1,400 88¢ $1.4K $-6 06-01 16:07
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No +1,224 $1,200 98¢ $1.2K +$1 06-01 19:59
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No +1,214 $1,200 98¢ $1.2K $-14 06-01 20:18
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +1,128 $1,100 98¢ $1.1K +$10 06-03 07:59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +1,011 $1,000 99¢ $1000 $-0 06-01 16:54
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No +1,012 $1,000 98¢ $990 $-10 06-02 07:40
French election called by June 30, 2026? No +909 $900 99¢ $903 +$3 06-01 16:24
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? No +911 $900 98¢ $895 $-5 06-03 07:41
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +783 $727 90¢ $704 $-23 06-03 07:44
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +709 $700 99¢ $701 +$1 06-01 20:01
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? No +709 $700 98¢ $696 $-4 06-01 20:15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +714 $600 88¢ $625 +$25 06-01 16:48
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? No +504 $500 100¢ $503 +$3 06-01 20:08
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No +415 $400 98¢ $408 +$8 06-01 20:20
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +256 $200 80¢ $206 +$6 05-29 23:25
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? No +202 $200 99¢ $200 $-0 06-02 21:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -102 $-101 99¢ $-101 $-0 06-04 00:51
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? No +101 $100 99¢ $100 $-0 06-01 16:25