Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e156…ce27af
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$1.22K
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
249
lifetime
Volume
$91.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$368
Open exposure
$61.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 06-30 07:58
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
52% — —
Other
46% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +8,644 $8,500 100¢ $8.6K +$135 06-17 17:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +7,465 $7,217 100¢ $7.5K +$240 06-13 16:32
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +4,740 $4,600 100¢ $4.7K +$125 06-17 17:02
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +4,623 $4,540 100¢ $4.6K +$78 06-03 05:46
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No +4,135 $4,000 100¢ $4.1K +$124 06-03 07:38
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No +3,943 $3,900 100¢ $3.9K +$39 06-17 17:02
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +2,539 $2,500 100¢ $2.5K +$36 06-17 17:03
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +2,243 $2,200 100¢ $2.2K +$40 06-17 17:14
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No +2,028 $2,000 100¢ $2.0K +$24 06-17 17:04
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +1,924 $1,900 100¢ $1.9K +$22 06-03 07:39
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No +1,926 $1,900 100¢ $1.9K +$22 06-17 17:06
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? No +1,616 $1,600 100¢ $1.6K +$15 06-17 17:33
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +1,615 $1,600 100¢ $1.6K +$12 06-17 17:11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,594 $1,400 90¢ $1.4K +$42 06-01 16:07
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +1,423 $1,400 100¢ $1.4K +$20 06-01 16:22
French election called by June 30, 2026? No +1,311 $1,300 100¢ $1.3K +$9 06-17 17:05
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +1,128 $1,100 100¢ $1.1K +$27 06-03 07:59
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No +1,012 $1,000 100¢ $1.0K +$11 06-02 07:40
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +1,011 $1,000 100¢ $1.0K +$10 06-01 16:54
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? No +1,013 $997 99¢ $1.0K +$10 06-30 07:58
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? No +911 $900 100¢ $911 +$11 06-03 07:41
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? No +709 $700 100¢ $707 +$7 06-01 20:15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +714 $600 90¢ $639 +$39 06-01 16:48
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No +639 $543 99¢ $635 +$92 06-24 20:25
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? No +504 $500 100¢ $503 +$3 06-01 20:08
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No +503 $500 100¢ $503 +$3 06-17 17:18
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No +415 $400 100¢ $414 +$14 06-01 20:20
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No -427 $-415 96¢ $-411 +$5 06-22 09:24
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? No +403 $400 100¢ $402 +$2 06-17 17:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +306 $300 100¢ $306 +$6 06-17 17:11