Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$76
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
298
lifetime
Volume
$120.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$404
Open exposure
$15.8K
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 07-21 16:37
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
56%
Politics
42%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +3,337 $3,300 99¢ $3.3K $-1 07-18 16:50
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +3,142 $3,000 94¢ $3.0K $-31 07-21 16:37
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +1,761 $1,700 94¢ $1.6K $-54 07-18 17:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,594 $1,400 90¢ $1.4K +$26 06-01 16:07
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +1,358 $1,300 96¢ $1.3K $-3 07-21 16:37
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,250 $1,100 86¢ $1.1K $-19 07-18 14:33
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +838 $800 96¢ $800 +$0 07-18 14:28
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +826 $800 97¢ $798 $-2 07-18 14:26
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +751 $700 91¢ $684 $-16 07-18 14:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +714 $600 90¢ $639 +$39 06-01 16:48
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +538 $500 90¢ $487 $-13 07-18 14:27
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No -427 $-415 99¢ $-421 $-6 06-22 09:24
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +227 $200 90¢ $204 +$4 07-18 14:49