Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e156…ce27af
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.76K
Unrealized P&L
+$967
Hit rate
96.4%
Resolved
135
Trades
1,003
lifetime
Volume
$530.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$528
Open exposure
$50.7K
22 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 10-27 13:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Politics
52% 94% -$2,889
Other
48% 94% +$2,832
Tech
0% 0% -$1,700
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +15,566 $14,460 94¢ $14.6K +$95 10-05 14:40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +4,841 $4,520 94¢ $4.6K +$55 10-06 14:36
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +4,526 $4,286 97¢ $4.4K +$97 09-12 07:17
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +4,413 $4,202 96¢ $4.2K +$39 10-18 16:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +3,352 $3,272 100¢ $3.3K +$68 10-06 20:21
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3,397 $3,100 94¢ $3.2K +$76 09-12 07:13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +2,950 $2,784 98¢ $2.9K +$93 10-16 17:45
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +2,582 $2,420 95¢ $2.4K +$27 10-06 14:35
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +2,522 $2,271 97¢ $2.4K +$164 10-26 08:03
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +2,535 $2,425 95¢ $2.4K -$15 09-05 23:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +2,128 $2,000 100¢ $2.1K +$117 10-01 14:20
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +1,358 $1,300 97¢ $1.3K +$20 07-21 16:37
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,111 $989 92¢ $1.0K +$28 09-20 00:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1,369 $863 64¢ $883 +$21 09-29 15:13
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +717 $700 99¢ $713 +$13 10-01 14:20
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +165 $119 96¢ $157 +$38 10-27 13:17
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +400 $96 12¢ $48 -$48 08-19 02:41
Trump out as President before 2027? No +0 -$8 96¢ $0 +$8 10-10 21:39
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +0 -$39 89¢ $0 +$39 10-22 09:26
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 No +0 -$33 97¢ $0 +$33 09-03 14:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $0 10-19 12:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 $0 10-12 10:15