Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
open
Total volume
$404,549
$15,521 in 24h
Trades
2,789
Unique wallets
560
Liquidity
$108,808
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-24 17:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.1¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $70.3K
vs crowd: 6% YES on $227.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 46 | $4.7K | $144.4K | $139.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 90 | $5.5K | $49.8K | $44.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 123 | $2.0K | $17.0K | $14.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 301 | $742 | $3.1K | $2.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 23 | $4.8K | $65.5K | $60.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 45 | $315 | $11.2K | $10.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 24 | $207 | $18.0K | $17.8K |
| Median | 67 | $242 | $3.4K | $3.1K |
| Below median | 72 | $21 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 23 | $1.6K | $2.6K | $946 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 35 | $149 | $11.6K | $11.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 16 | $213 | $18.4K | $18.2K |
| unranked | 255 | $5.4K | $82.4K | $76.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Striped-Pressroom 0x485a…21cb | Yes | +54,521 | $4,044 | $4,044 | 15 | 07-24 17:45 |
| Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | +45,000 | $41,950 | $41,950 | 71 | 07-16 21:50 |
| Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | Yes | +34,487 | $2,617 | $2,617 | 39 | 07-22 14:52 |
| Broken-Dogwood 0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | +26,345 | $1,710 | $1,710 | 4 | 07-21 01:13 |
| Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | +23,017 | $21,515 | $21,555 | 14 | 07-24 07:38 |
| Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | +14,000 | $13,090 | $13,090 | 5 | 07-12 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x364f…1515 | Yes | +11,999 | $1,105 | $1,105 | 42 | 07-05 00:40 |
| Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | No | +9,045 | $8,387 | $8,387 | 6 | 07-23 20:12 |
| Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | No | +8,650 | $7,797 | $7,797 | 16 | 07-01 08:46 |
| Knotty-Mud 0x71dd…d61c | No | +6,000 | $5,580 | $5,580 | 1 | 07-23 20:12 |
| Unfolded-Saffron 0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | +5,784 | $5,379 | $5,379 | 10 | 07-21 20:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cd4…5b25 | No | +5,435 | $5,000 | $5,000 | 1 | 06-16 10:18 |
| Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | +4,627 | $4,215 | $8,339 | 34 | 06-17 19:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x613a…2185 | No | +3,817 | $3,550 | $3,550 | 4 | 07-19 16:30 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | +3,000 | $2,820 | $2,820 | 1 | 07-11 23:08 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +2,500 | $2,340 | $2,340 | 3 | 07-23 18:55 |
| Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | +2,500 | $2,270 | $4,150 | 23 | 07-23 18:55 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +2,400 | $189 | $189 | 10 | 07-22 14:52 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +2,100 | $1,926 | $1,926 | 17 | 07-23 18:55 |
| Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | +2,085 | $1,938 | $1,938 | 6 | 07-22 02:09 |
| studmuffin6969 0xa8af…325e | No | +2,000 | $1,820 | $1,820 | 1 | 06-12 22:58 |
| Verifiable-Interior 0x11de…21d7 | No | +2,000 | $1,900 | $1,900 | 1 | 07-10 05:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | +2,000 | $1,850 | $3,730 | 4 | 07-23 18:55 |
| Sentimental-Investigation 0x9ec7…9a5c | Yes | +1,840 | $202 | $202 | 2 | 06-01 23:00 |
| Quarterly-Comeback 0x5a22…17a6 | No | +1,575 | $1,465 | $1,465 | 4 | 07-22 14:48 |
| Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | +1,548 | $124 | $359 | 46 | 07-23 18:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +1,502 | $1,380 | $7,522 | 170 | 07-16 21:50 |
| Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | +1,500 | $1,395 | $1,395 | 1 | 07-18 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1d0…529c | Yes | +1,457 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 07-13 22:49 |
| Lone-Glutamate 0xc682…17bb | No | +1,107 | $1,000 | $6,440 | 73 | 07-21 21:03 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,069 | $88 | $242 | 25 | 07-24 10:34 |
| Immaculate-Hassock 0x84f8…0ff2 | No | +1,000 | $932 | $932 | 32 | 07-17 19:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd0d…17b6 | No | +1,000 | $890 | $890 | 4 | 06-07 08:35 |
| Lean-Attraction 0xbad2…5296 | No | +1,000 | $900 | $900 | 1 | 06-12 18:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c65…d60d | No | +1,000 | $930 | $930 | 1 | 07-16 21:50 |
| Fabulous-Eponym 0x5ca7…8195 | Yes | +1,000 | $70 | $70 | 5 | 07-19 16:29 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +1,000 | $890 | $890 | 25 | 06-06 18:35 |
| Plain-Mezzanine 0xafaa…f0e4 | Yes | +876 | $59 | $59 | 4 | 07-21 01:14 |
| Late-Slate 0x74cd…67fe | Yes | +842 | $98 | $98 | 2 | 06-11 15:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7e6…4f99 | No | +798 | $750 | $750 | 1 | 07-18 16:19 |
| Impish-Midden 0x29ea…701e | Yes | +721 | $59 | $59 | 5 | 06-22 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e66…60b3 | Yes | +692 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-17 16:45 |
| Violent-Hubcap 0x2577…ce3b | No | +604 | $550 | $550 | 2 | 07-16 05:34 |
| Yummy-Winter 0xb17d…59ae | No | +600 | $560 | $560 | 2 | 07-05 05:58 |
| Utter-Conference-Risk 0x3b06…9b69 | Yes | +400 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-22 21:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | +364 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 07-05 16:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 17:45:45 | Striped-Pressroom 0x485a…21cb | Yes | BUY | 290 | 7¢ | $20 | 0xb20895… |
| 07-24 17:45:45 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | SELL | 290 | 7¢ | $20 | 0xb20895… |
| 07-24 16:00:55 | Striped-Pressroom 0x485a…21cb | Yes | BUY | 180 | 7¢ | $13 | 0x53c2e3… |
| 07-24 16:00:55 | (anonymous) 0x21c3…5654 | No | BUY | 59 | 93¢ | $55 | 0x53c2e3… |
| 07-24 16:00:55 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | SELL | 121 | 7¢ | $8 | 0x53c2e3… |
| 07-24 10:34:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x3408e4… |
| 07-24 10:34:04 | (anonymous) 0xa522…ee11 | No | SELL | 17 | 92¢ | $16 | 0x3408e4… |
| 07-24 10:25:40 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8cc063… |
| 07-24 10:25:40 | (anonymous) 0xa522…ee11 | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x8cc063… |
| 07-24 07:39:00 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xab67ec… |
| 07-24 07:39:00 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xab67ec… |
| 07-24 07:38:57 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xca0dc1… |
| 07-24 07:38:57 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xca0dc1… |
| 07-24 07:38:57 | (anonymous) 0x4e84…ef69 | No | SELL | 23 | 92¢ | $21 | 0xca0dc1… |
| 07-24 05:01:43 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | SELL | 739 | 7¢ | $52 | 0x37461d… |
| 07-24 05:01:43 | Limp-Interconnection 0x4b74…e8d7 | No | BUY | 128 | 93¢ | $119 | 0x37461d… |
| 07-24 05:01:43 | Striped-Pressroom 0x485a…21cb | Yes | BUY | 867 | 7¢ | $61 | 0x37461d… |
| 07-24 01:29:21 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa65724… |
| 07-24 01:29:21 | (anonymous) 0x2802…6f1e | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa65724… |
| 07-23 21:16:58 | (anonymous) 0xc754…bb99 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3b589d… |
| 07-23 21:16:58 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3b589d… |
| 07-23 21:11:12 | (anonymous) 0xaabd…0992 | No | BUY | 319 | 94¢ | $300 | 0x48c80b… |
| 07-23 21:11:12 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 319 | 6¢ | $19 | 0x48c80b… |
| 07-23 20:12:21 | Striped-Pressroom 0x485a…21cb | Yes | BUY | 8,814 | 7¢ | $617 | 0x893379… |
| 07-23 20:12:21 | (anonymous) 0xa87f…864d | No | BUY | 72 | 93¢ | $67 | 0x893379… |
| 07-23 20:12:21 | Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | No | BUY | 2,742 | 93¢ | $2,550 | 0x893379… |
| 07-23 20:12:21 | Knotty-Mud 0x71dd…d61c | No | BUY | 6,000 | 93¢ | $5,580 | 0x893379… |
| 07-23 19:26:25 | (anonymous) 0xca2a…9f73 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0c5b1a… |
| 07-23 19:26:25 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0c5b1a… |
| 07-23 18:55:12 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 1,000 | 93¢ | $930 | 0x183bec… |
| 07-23 18:55:12 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 300 | 93¢ | $279 | 0x183bec… |
| 07-23 18:55:12 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 93¢ | $930 | 0x183bec… |
| 07-23 18:55:12 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | SELL | 1,050 | 7¢ | $74 | 0x183bec… |
| 07-23 18:55:12 | Striped-Pressroom 0x485a…21cb | Yes | BUY | 11,801 | 7¢ | $826 | 0x183bec… |
| 07-23 18:55:12 | Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | No | BUY | 5,692 | 93¢ | $5,294 | 0x183bec… |
| 07-23 18:55:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 220 | 7¢ | $15 | 0x183bec… |
| 07-23 18:55:12 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | SELL | 322 | 7¢ | $23 | 0x183bec… |
| 07-23 18:55:12 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 1,000 | 93¢ | $930 | 0x183bec… |
| 07-23 17:15:25 | Excellent-Withdrawal 0x4ef7…21be | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x266c8d… |
| 07-23 17:15:25 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x266c8d… |
| 07-23 15:26:40 | Frugal-Ethnicity 0x28e8…1e84 | No | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0x468b82… |
| 07-23 15:26:40 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 1,051 | 6¢ | $63 | 0x468b82… |
| 07-23 15:26:40 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 1,000 | 94¢ | $940 | 0x468b82… |
| 07-23 09:15:54 | Elastic-Bat 0x9b4c…9a45 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xa2b4e2… |
| 07-23 09:15:54 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xa2b4e2… |
| 07-23 08:08:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xf9825b… |
| 07-23 08:08:18 | New-Panic 0x9e75…7573 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xf9825b… |
| 07-23 06:40:36 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 44 | 93¢ | $41 | 0x4e9bd8… |
| 07-23 06:40:36 | (anonymous) 0xf885…d719 | No | SELL | 44 | 93¢ | $41 | 0x4e9bd8… |
| 07-23 06:02:21 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xa6fdf0… |
| 07-23 06:02:21 | (anonymous) 0x78b5…ebbb | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xa6fdf0… |
| 07-23 04:15:46 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xecf258… |
| 07-23 04:15:46 | Powerless-Almighty 0xc432…506d | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xecf258… |
| 07-23 03:05:39 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xcce09d… |
| 07-23 03:05:39 | (anonymous) 0x60bc…88bc | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xcce09d… |
| 07-22 20:41:24 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x90913d… |
| 07-22 20:41:24 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x90913d… |
| 07-22 14:52:21 | Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | Yes | BUY | 4,621 | 6¢ | $277 | 0x926d42… |
| 07-22 14:52:21 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 300 | 6¢ | $18 | 0x926d42… |
| 07-22 14:52:21 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | BUY | 4,933 | 94¢ | $4,637 | 0x926d42… |
| 07-22 14:52:21 | Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | SELL | 12 | 94¢ | $12 | 0x926d42… |
| 07-22 14:50:55 | (anonymous) 0x58f6…9077 | No | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x43d6f8… |
| 07-22 14:50:55 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | BUY | 8,000 | 94¢ | $7,520 | 0x43d6f8… |
| 07-22 14:50:55 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | SELL | 2,391 | 94¢ | $2,248 | 0x43d6f8… |
| 07-22 14:50:55 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | SELL | 160 | 94¢ | $150 | 0x43d6f8… |
| 07-22 14:50:55 | Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | Yes | BUY | 1,271 | 6¢ | $76 | 0x43d6f8… |
| 07-22 14:50:55 | Worried-Slump 0x1401…9b4d | No | SELL | 200 | 94¢ | $188 | 0x43d6f8… |
| 07-22 14:50:55 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 322 | 6¢ | $19 | 0x43d6f8… |
| 07-22 14:50:55 | Wide-Eyed-Metaphor 0x99bf…1af6 | No | SELL | 200 | 94¢ | $188 | 0x43d6f8… |
| 07-22 14:50:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 220 | 6¢ | $13 | 0x43d6f8… |
| 07-22 14:50:55 | (anonymous) 0xde04…d63b | No | SELL | 43 | 94¢ | $40 | 0x43d6f8… |
| 07-22 14:50:55 | Harmful-Wrench 0x709a…7e39 | No | SELL | 1,100 | 94¢ | $1,034 | 0x43d6f8… |
| 07-22 14:50:55 | Polished-Foray 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 6¢ | $120 | 0x43d6f8… |
| 07-22 14:50:55 | (anonymous) 0x96e9…a769 | No | SELL | 43 | 94¢ | $40 | 0x43d6f8… |
| 07-22 14:48:46 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 234 | 93¢ | $217 | 0x09f270… |
| 07-22 14:48:46 | Quarterly-Comeback 0x5a22…17a6 | No | BUY | 108 | 93¢ | $101 | 0x09f270… |
| 07-22 14:48:46 | Elderly-Assistant 0x3fa1…585f | No | SELL | 342 | 93¢ | $318 | 0x09f270… |
| 07-22 11:04:30 | (anonymous) 0xf38c…633c | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x505648… |
| 07-22 11:04:30 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x505648… |
| 07-22 09:20:22 | Raw-Shawl-Macrofauna 0x8672…62bc | No | SELL | 37 | 93¢ | $34 | 0x1f4085… |
| 07-22 09:20:22 | Quarterly-Comeback 0x5a22…17a6 | No | BUY | 37 | 93¢ | $34 | 0x1f4085… |
| 07-22 08:13:13 | Swift-Directive 0xa07c…4372 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x16cf59… |
| 07-22 08:13:13 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | SELL | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x16cf59… |
| 07-22 06:54:33 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x4f0af0… |
| 07-22 06:54:33 | (anonymous) 0xe37f…0b79 | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x4f0af0… |
| 07-22 05:06:58 | (anonymous) 0x9132…7344 | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0xa60fce… |
| 07-22 05:06:58 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | SELL | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0xa60fce… |
| 07-22 04:15:16 | Wooden-Cinema 0x648b…00ba | Yes | SELL | 1,215 | 6¢ | $73 | 0x56468b… |
| 07-22 04:15:16 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | SELL | 1,000 | 94¢ | $940 | 0x56468b… |
| 07-22 04:15:16 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | SELL | 215 | 94¢ | $202 | 0x56468b… |
| 07-22 03:08:24 | (anonymous) 0xbefe…4450 | No | BUY | 26 | 94¢ | $24 | 0xee7dfa… |
| 07-22 03:08:24 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | SELL | 26 | 94¢ | $24 | 0xee7dfa… |
| 07-22 02:58:45 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | SELL | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xaca7d6… |
| 07-22 02:58:45 | Second-Hand-Score 0x5d06…7821 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xaca7d6… |
| 07-22 02:38:37 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x52ce11… |
| 07-22 02:38:37 | (anonymous) 0xa71e…ee2f | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x52ce11… |
| 07-22 02:09:09 | Quarterly-Comeback 0x5a22…17a6 | No | BUY | 355 | 93¢ | $330 | 0xadabab… |
| 07-22 02:09:09 | Wooden-Cinema 0x648b…00ba | Yes | BUY | 1,216 | 7¢ | $85 | 0xadabab… |
| 07-22 02:09:09 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | BUY | 861 | 93¢ | $801 | 0xadabab… |
| 07-21 22:40:07 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | BUY | 143 | 93¢ | $133 | 0x2537b2… |