Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
open
Total volume
$79,091
$15,521 in 24h
Trades
589
Unique wallets
209
Liquidity
$108,808
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-12 20:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.6¢
(top1%: 16% YES on $6.1K
vs crowd: 10% YES on $36.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 24 | $967 | $17.2K | $16.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 31 | $1.1K | $6.5K | $5.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 42 | $1.5K | $8.0K | $6.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 112 | $233 | $530 | $297 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 11 | $987 | $5.2K | $4.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $67 | $3.9K | $3.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $115 | $6.1K | $6.0K |
| Median | 20 | $238 | $2.5K | $2.3K |
| Below median | 29 | $9 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $1.3K | $530 | +$782 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $15 | $3.5K | $3.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $21 | $5.3K | $5.3K |
| unranked | 88 | $993 | $4.2K | $3.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x364f…1515 | Yes | +9,999 | $1,005 | $1,005 | 35 | 06-09 19:21 |
| Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | Yes | +6,888 | $758 | $758 | 1 | 05-31 12:17 |
| Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | +5,019 | $4,517 | $4,517 | 1 | 06-12 20:19 |
| Striped-Pressroom 0x485a…21cb | Yes | +4,839 | $572 | $572 | 2 | 06-11 22:54 |
| Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | No | +3,734 | $3,286 | $3,286 | 5 | 06-11 18:35 |
| Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | +3,239 | $2,938 | $7,062 | 14 | 06-11 19:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xa509…7f21 | No | +2,070 | $1,842 | $1,842 | 6 | 06-08 12:52 |
| Sentimental-Investigation 0x9ec7…9a5c | Yes | +1,840 | $202 | $202 | 2 | 06-01 23:00 |
| Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | +1,500 | $1,335 | $1,335 | 4 | 06-11 22:54 |
| Broken-Dogwood 0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | +1,326 | $159 | $159 | 1 | 05-27 22:42 |
| Hefty-Almond 0x3da6…9ac4 | Yes | +1,095 | $115 | $115 | 6 | 06-12 20:29 |
| Velvety-Rutabaga 0x9ddf…2c83 | No | +1,012 | $891 | $891 | 14 | 05-30 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd0d…17b6 | No | +1,000 | $890 | $890 | 4 | 06-07 08:35 |
| Lean-Attraction 0xbad2…5296 | No | +1,000 | $900 | $900 | 1 | 06-12 18:08 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +1,000 | $890 | $890 | 25 | 06-06 18:35 |
| Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | +1,000 | $885 | $885 | 12 | 06-01 17:05 |
| Muted-Stew 0xd221…a44b | Yes | +894 | $112 | $197 | 7 | 06-10 12:13 |
| Late-Slate 0x74cd…67fe | Yes | +842 | $98 | $98 | 2 | 06-11 15:14 |
| Slushy-Corral 0x2aa0…ee01 | No | +800 | $720 | $720 | 2 | 06-05 06:00 |
| Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | No | +611 | $544 | $544 | 4 | 06-12 20:16 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +600 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 06-12 20:19 |
| Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | +582 | $56 | $150 | 9 | 06-12 18:08 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +563 | $504 | $504 | 3 | 06-12 20:29 |
| Hidden-Participation 0x2675…5bf9 | No | +560 | $504 | $504 | 1 | 06-12 10:43 |
| Unsteady-Enjoyment 0x4b2d…f0d4 | No | +556 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-04 08:38 |
| Safe-Corruption 0x3e57…84a5 | No | +500 | $450 | $450 | 1 | 06-04 01:41 |
| Extra-Large-Begonia 0x095d…52cf | No | +466 | $416 | $416 | 9 | 06-12 20:22 |
| Violent-Hubcap 0x2577…ce3b | No | +444 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 06-05 07:51 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +440 | $44 | $97 | 4 | 06-12 18:08 |
| siick 0xf9b7…60a4 | No | +417 | $367 | $367 | 5 | 05-28 20:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xbde7…cf8a | No | +333 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-02 07:32 |
| Potable-Screamer 0x845a…37ac | No | +333 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-03 03:59 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | +300 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-12 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | +300 | $263 | $443 | 3 | 06-12 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x75d3…7bb1 | No | +263 | $237 | $237 | 1 | 06-12 09:23 |
| Insidious-Woodshed 0x5d6d…0510 | No | +245 | $220 | $220 | 1 | 06-02 05:12 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +236 | $210 | $210 | 2 | 06-10 22:20 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +200 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-12 20:19 |
| Yummy-Winter 0xb17d…59ae | No | +200 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 06-03 05:28 |
| Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | +200 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 06-12 20:19 |
| Impish-Midden 0x29ea…701e | Yes | +188 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 06-06 02:13 |
| Hefty-Attitude 0x5e67…77ad | No | +181 | $161 | $161 | 2 | 06-06 18:35 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +147 | $129 | $129 | 5 | 05-31 12:18 |
| Apprehensive-Mix 0x9df3…2569 | No | +111 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-03 13:38 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +109 | $11 | $18 | 6 | 06-12 20:19 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 20:19 |
| Petty-Wild 0x1ab6…6c70 | Yes | +91 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 11:15 |
| Afraid-Batting 0x7a10…94bc | Yes | +83 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-28 17:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 20:29:01 | Hefty-Almond 0x3da6…9ac4 | Yes | BUY | 127 | 10¢ | $13 | 0xdc2295… |
| 06-12 20:29:01 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 127 | 90¢ | $114 | 0xdc2295… |
| 06-12 20:22:46 | Hefty-Almond 0x3da6…9ac4 | Yes | BUY | 168 | 10¢ | $17 | 0xfdb5c3… |
| 06-12 20:22:46 | Extra-Large-Begonia 0x095d…52cf | No | BUY | 32 | 90¢ | $29 | 0xfdb5c3… |
| 06-12 20:22:46 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 136 | 90¢ | $122 | 0xfdb5c3… |
| 06-12 20:19:46 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x147a30… |
| 06-12 20:19:46 | Extra-Large-Begonia 0x095d…52cf | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x147a30… |
| 06-12 20:19:43 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xec92ad… |
| 06-12 20:19:43 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xec92ad… |
| 06-12 20:19:40 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xa70b13… |
| 06-12 20:19:40 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 71 | 90¢ | $64 | 0xa70b13… |
| 06-12 20:19:40 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xa70b13… |
| 06-12 20:19:40 | Hefty-Almond 0x3da6…9ac4 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0xf4a7dc… |
| 06-12 20:19:40 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xa70b13… |
| 06-12 20:19:40 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | SELL | 300 | 90¢ | $270 | 0xa70b13… |
| 06-12 20:19:40 | Tidy-Jumbo 0x0e6f…dfb9 | No | SELL | 3,000 | 90¢ | $2,700 | 0xa70b13… |
| 06-12 20:19:40 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 300 | 10¢ | $30 | 0xa70b13… |
| 06-12 20:19:40 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xa70b13… |
| 06-12 20:19:40 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | BUY | 5,019 | 90¢ | $4,517 | 0xa70b13… |
| 06-12 20:19:40 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xa70b13… |
| 06-12 20:19:40 | Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | BUY | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0xf4a7dc… |
| 06-12 20:19:40 | Foolish-Clipper 0xa14d…fcec | No | SELL | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0xa70b13… |
| 06-12 20:19:40 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa70b13… |
| 06-12 20:19:40 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xa70b13… |
| 06-12 20:19:40 | (anonymous) 0xdfb5…8bd4 | No | SELL | 862 | 90¢ | $776 | 0xa70b13… |
| 06-12 20:16:34 | Hefty-Almond 0x3da6…9ac4 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 11¢ | $22 | 0xbbd7d2… |
| 06-12 20:16:34 | Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | No | BUY | 200 | 89¢ | $178 | 0xbbd7d2… |
| 06-12 20:13:31 | Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | No | BUY | 200 | 89¢ | $178 | 0xc7d7ee… |
| 06-12 20:13:31 | Hefty-Almond 0x3da6…9ac4 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 11¢ | $22 | 0xc7d7ee… |
| 06-12 20:07:10 | Hefty-Almond 0x3da6…9ac4 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 11¢ | $22 | 0x2b2758… |
| 06-12 20:07:10 | Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | No | BUY | 200 | 89¢ | $178 | 0x2b2758… |
| 06-12 18:08:25 | Lean-Attraction 0xbad2…5296 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 90¢ | $900 | 0x71cdae… |
| 06-12 18:08:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 220 | 10¢ | $22 | 0x71cdae… |
| 06-12 18:08:25 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 322 | 10¢ | $32 | 0x71cdae… |
| 06-12 18:08:25 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 99 | 90¢ | $89 | 0x71cdae… |
| 06-12 18:08:25 | Grumpy-Urn 0x0845…6b6f | No | SELL | 61 | 90¢ | $55 | 0x71cdae… |
| 06-12 10:43:28 | Hidden-Participation 0x2675…5bf9 | No | BUY | 560 | 90¢ | $504 | 0x03692a… |
| 06-12 10:43:28 | Grumpy-Urn 0x0845…6b6f | No | SELL | 560 | 90¢ | $504 | 0x03692a… |
| 06-12 09:23:54 | Grumpy-Urn 0x0845…6b6f | No | SELL | 263 | 90¢ | $237 | 0x644f7e… |
| 06-12 09:23:54 | (anonymous) 0x75d3…7bb1 | No | BUY | 263 | 90¢ | $237 | 0x644f7e… |
| 06-12 07:53:09 | Grumpy-Urn 0x0845…6b6f | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x090ba9… |
| 06-12 07:53:09 | Gregarious-Jiffy 0xf3f6…bc90 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x090ba9… |
| 06-12 06:00:39 | (anonymous) 0x0016…e43d | No | SELL | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xdad06b… |
| 06-12 06:00:39 | Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xdad06b… |
| 06-12 01:15:52 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 13 | 89¢ | $12 | 0x972911… |
| 06-12 01:15:52 | (anonymous) 0xf885…d719 | No | SELL | 13 | 89¢ | $12 | 0x972911… |
| 06-12 01:04:54 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xfc960e… |
| 06-12 01:04:54 | Grumpy-Urn 0x0845…6b6f | No | SELL | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0xfc960e… |
| 06-12 01:03:39 | Impractical-Quicksand 0x466a…c444 | Yes | SELL | 11,702 | 10¢ | $1,170 | 0x1bb2f1… |
| 06-12 01:03:39 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x1bb2f1… |
| 06-12 01:03:39 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 300 | 10¢ | $30 | 0x1bb2f1… |
| 06-12 01:03:39 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 10,000 | 90¢ | $9,000 | 0x1bb2f1… |
| 06-12 01:03:39 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | SELL | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x1bb2f1… |
| 06-12 01:03:39 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 300 | 10¢ | $30 | 0x1bb2f1… |
| 06-12 01:03:39 | Grumpy-Urn 0x0845…6b6f | No | SELL | 19 | 90¢ | $17 | 0x1bb2f1… |
| 06-12 01:02:30 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 90¢ | $900 | 0x3b459a… |
| 06-12 01:02:30 | Impractical-Quicksand 0x466a…c444 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 10¢ | $100 | 0x3b459a… |
| 06-11 22:54:36 | Extra-Large-Begonia 0x095d…52cf | No | BUY | 131 | 89¢ | $117 | 0x64994d… |
| 06-11 22:54:36 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x64994d… |
| 06-11 22:54:36 | Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | BUY | 500 | 89¢ | $445 | 0x64994d… |
| 06-11 22:54:36 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 197 | 89¢ | $176 | 0x64994d… |
| 06-11 22:54:36 | Striped-Pressroom 0x485a…21cb | Yes | BUY | 839 | 11¢ | $92 | 0x64994d… |
| 06-11 22:22:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x67d47d… |
| 06-11 22:22:40 | (anonymous) 0xc625…f8dc | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x67d47d… |
| 06-11 21:34:40 | (anonymous) 0x18c5…d578 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xaf9a89… |
| 06-11 21:34:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xaf9a89… |
| 06-11 20:51:33 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xd4c5a3… |
| 06-11 20:51:33 | (anonymous) 0x1a46…ee7b | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xd4c5a3… |
| 06-11 19:16:01 | Trivial-Jasmine 0xce3c…07cc | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xff4f43… |
| 06-11 19:16:01 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xff4f43… |
| 06-11 19:15:57 | (anonymous) 0x8f4a…a95c | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x159f46… |
| 06-11 19:15:57 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x159f46… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | Kosher-Icebreaker 0x1547…d066 | No | SELL | 500 | 90¢ | $450 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | (anonymous) 0xae59…99e6 | No | SELL | 56 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 21 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 103 | 89¢ | $92 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | Bad-Shakedown 0xea28…3a0b | No | SELL | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | (anonymous) 0x1d3c…1e8d | No | SELL | 56 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | BUY | 322 | 11¢ | $35 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | (anonymous) 0x96b3…ce64 | No | SELL | 56 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 220 | 11¢ | $24 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | Notable-Tin 0xc315…fe18 | No | SELL | 161 | 90¢ | $145 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | (anonymous) 0xc8ea…92b8 | No | SELL | 56 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | (anonymous) 0xdfb5…8bd4 | No | SELL | 2,138 | 90¢ | $1,924 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | Made-Up-Rediscovery 0x8c07…3644 | No | SELL | 56 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | (anonymous) 0xf724…85cc | Yes | SELL | 12,271 | 10¢ | $1,237 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | (anonymous) 0xef38…adc9 | No | SELL | 200 | 89¢ | $178 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | (anonymous) 0x326a…de74 | No | SELL | 56 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | (anonymous) 0x928c…3445 | No | SELL | 56 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 3,007 | 90¢ | $2,706 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:15:51 | (anonymous) 0x1bb5…309f | No | SELL | 56 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x373173… |
| 06-11 19:11:48 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | SELL | 400 | 89¢ | $356 | 0xcff006… |
| 06-11 19:11:48 | (anonymous) 0x718b…53d8 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 11¢ | $44 | 0xcff006… |
| 06-11 18:35:39 | (anonymous) 0x3699…5c27 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x7cba79… |
| 06-11 18:35:39 | Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | No | BUY | 25 | 88¢ | $22 | 0x7cba79… |
| 06-11 18:17:22 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x80944c… |
| 06-11 18:17:22 | (anonymous) 0x4fb5…666e | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x80944c… |
| 06-11 18:00:03 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | SELL | 751 | 89¢ | $668 | 0xbf27ec… |
| 06-11 18:00:03 | Vigilant-Parrot 0x4612…d79b | Yes | SELL | 751 | 11¢ | $83 | 0xbf27ec… |
| 06-11 17:37:31 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | SELL | 17 | 89¢ | $15 | 0xcdcd2c… |