Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
open
Total volume
$578,033
$15,521 in 24h
Trades
3,350
Unique wallets
657
Liquidity
$108,808
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-14 08:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.2¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $134.5K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $345.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 60 | $5.0K | $236.6K | $231.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 100 | $8.7K | $73.5K | $64.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 145 | $2.9K | $13.4K | $10.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 352 | $811 | $4.9K | $4.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 22 | $5.2K | $129.3K | $124.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 50 | $650 | $15.0K | $14.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 24 | $207 | $18.9K | $18.7K |
| Median | 77 | $242 | $5.3K | $5.1K |
| Below median | 82 | $21 | $1.8K | $1.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 28 | $1.7K | $13.1K | $11.4K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 40 | $395 | $13.1K | $12.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 22 | $213 | $25.9K | $25.7K |
| unranked | 312 | $8.8K | $106.1K | $97.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Striped-Pressroom 0x485a…21cb | Yes | +94,521 | $6,444 | $6,444 | 16 | 08-09 18:05 |
| Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | +50,000 | $46,700 | $46,700 | 72 | 07-30 21:09 |
| Illustrious-Spectacles 0xbaa2…2c73 | No | +44,739 | $42,055 | $42,055 | 18 | 08-09 18:05 |
| Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | Yes | +39,474 | $2,916 | $2,916 | 40 | 07-29 18:39 |
| Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | +23,027 | $21,524 | $21,565 | 15 | 07-25 02:01 |
| Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | +22,068 | $20,674 | $20,674 | 20 | 08-14 08:05 |
| Broken-Dogwood 0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | +20,345 | $1,410 | $2,010 | 5 | 08-09 18:27 |
| Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | +15,000 | $14,100 | $14,100 | 7 | 08-10 11:11 |
| Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | No | +13,650 | $12,497 | $12,497 | 42 | 08-07 07:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x364f…1515 | Yes | +11,999 | $1,105 | $1,105 | 42 | 07-05 00:40 |
| Feminine-Crusader 0x8476…5418 | No | +11,112 | $10,512 | $10,512 | 3 | 08-08 12:10 |
| Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | No | +9,045 | $8,387 | $8,387 | 6 | 07-23 20:12 |
| Knotty-Mud 0x71dd…d61c | No | +6,000 | $5,580 | $5,580 | 1 | 07-23 20:12 |
| Unfolded-Saffron 0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | +5,784 | $5,379 | $5,379 | 10 | 07-21 20:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cd4…5b25 | No | +5,435 | $5,000 | $5,000 | 1 | 06-16 10:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f2b…665a | No | +5,000 | $4,750 | $4,750 | 1 | 08-09 08:12 |
| Fabulous-Eponym 0x5ca7…8195 | Yes | +4,999 | $310 | $310 | 6 | 08-07 07:44 |
| Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | +4,627 | $4,215 | $8,339 | 34 | 06-17 19:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x613a…2185 | No | +3,817 | $3,550 | $3,550 | 4 | 07-19 16:30 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +3,500 | $3,260 | $3,260 | 4 | 07-25 02:01 |
| Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | +3,085 | $2,878 | $2,878 | 7 | 08-07 07:44 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +3,000 | $228 | $228 | 22 | 07-26 10:49 |
| Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | +2,500 | $2,230 | $7,870 | 26 | 07-26 10:49 |
| Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | +2,442 | $2,286 | $2,286 | 4 | 08-07 07:44 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +2,400 | $2,202 | $2,202 | 18 | 07-25 02:01 |
| studmuffin6969 0xa8af…325e | No | +2,000 | $1,820 | $1,820 | 1 | 06-12 22:58 |
| Verifiable-Interior 0x11de…21d7 | No | +2,000 | $1,900 | $1,900 | 1 | 07-10 05:46 |
| Sugary-Peen 0x469c…309b | Yes | +1,870 | $137 | $481 | 68 | 07-26 10:49 |
| Sentimental-Investigation 0x9ec7…9a5c | Yes | +1,840 | $202 | $202 | 2 | 06-01 23:00 |
| Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | +1,700 | $1,560 | $1,560 | 2 | 07-25 02:01 |
| Quarterly-Comeback 0x5a22…17a6 | No | +1,575 | $1,465 | $1,465 | 4 | 07-22 14:48 |
| Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | +1,500 | $1,395 | $1,395 | 1 | 07-18 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1d0…529c | Yes | +1,457 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 07-13 22:49 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,319 | $99 | $323 | 43 | 07-26 10:49 |
| Lone-Glutamate 0xc682…17bb | No | +1,107 | $1,000 | $6,440 | 73 | 07-21 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +1,053 | $989 | $989 | 1 | 08-02 23:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd0d…17b6 | No | +1,000 | $890 | $890 | 4 | 06-07 08:35 |
| Immaculate-Hassock 0x84f8…0ff2 | No | +1,000 | $932 | $932 | 32 | 07-17 19:40 |
| Lean-Attraction 0xbad2…5296 | No | +1,000 | $900 | $900 | 1 | 06-12 18:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c65…d60d | No | +1,000 | $930 | $930 | 1 | 07-16 21:50 |
| Late-Slate 0x74cd…67fe | Yes | +842 | $98 | $98 | 2 | 06-11 15:14 |
| Plain-Mezzanine 0xafaa…f0e4 | Yes | +760 | $53 | $65 | 5 | 08-09 18:27 |
| Impish-Midden 0x29ea…701e | Yes | +721 | $59 | $59 | 5 | 06-22 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e66…60b3 | Yes | +692 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-17 16:45 |
| Striped-Alien 0x89c2…7ce4 | Yes | +500 | $33 | $39 | 6 | 08-03 12:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 08:05:00 | Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x198aa8… |
| 08-14 08:05:00 | (anonymous) 0xdbec…04d0 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x198aa8… |
| 08-13 15:21:19 | (anonymous) 0x64b2…55de | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x2932e3… |
| 08-13 15:21:19 | Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x2932e3… |
| 08-12 20:25:34 | Purple-Amendment 0xf438…9901 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa8aaf3… |
| 08-12 20:25:34 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 17 | 95¢ | $16 | 0xa8aaf3… |
| 08-12 14:54:37 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 460 | 95¢ | $437 | 0x8d4fdb… |
| 08-12 14:54:37 | Hefty-Attitude 0x5e67…77ad | No | BUY | 460 | 95¢ | $437 | 0x8d4fdb… |
| 08-12 12:40:22 | Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | BUY | 23 | 94¢ | $22 | 0xaa893e… |
| 08-12 12:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x24f3…cf28 | No | SELL | 23 | 94¢ | $22 | 0xaa893e… |
| 08-12 09:27:48 | Previous-Codepage 0x60a3…2b94 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x5a5a1a… |
| 08-12 09:27:48 | Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x5a5a1a… |
| 08-12 08:37:42 | Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | BUY | 3,694 | 94¢ | $3,473 | 0x862f86… |
| 08-12 08:37:42 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | SELL | 3,694 | 94¢ | $3,473 | 0x862f86… |
| 08-12 08:37:31 | Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | BUY | 3,694 | 94¢ | $3,473 | 0x3f6ac9… |
| 08-12 08:37:31 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | SELL | 3,694 | 94¢ | $3,473 | 0x3f6ac9… |
| 08-12 06:50:04 | Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | BUY | 45 | 94¢ | $42 | 0x3a20e6… |
| 08-12 06:50:04 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 45 | 94¢ | $42 | 0x3a20e6… |
| 08-12 02:45:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x38b00b… |
| 08-12 02:45:49 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…1225 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x38b00b… |
| 08-11 21:06:15 | Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xdb94e4… |
| 08-11 21:06:15 | (anonymous) 0xd6ae…3e15 | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xdb94e4… |
| 08-11 16:48:39 | Impeccable-Sparerib 0x1ea0…ae77 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x1f1a5c… |
| 08-11 16:48:39 | Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x1f1a5c… |
| 08-11 16:03:10 | Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | BUY | 167 | 94¢ | $157 | 0x44b3cc… |
| 08-11 16:03:10 | (anonymous) 0xdf1d…0171 | Yes | BUY | 167 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x44b3cc… |
| 08-11 15:55:34 | Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xe07a40… |
| 08-11 15:55:34 | Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xe07a40… |
| 08-11 15:21:10 | Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | No | BUY | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0x4906dd… |
| 08-11 15:21:10 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0x4906dd… |
| 08-11 14:58:46 | Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | BUY | 131 | 94¢ | $123 | 0x345a5a… |
| 08-11 14:58:46 | Joyful-Chief 0x51aa…b50e | No | SELL | 131 | 94¢ | $123 | 0x345a5a… |
| 08-11 10:28:10 | Dreary-Bakery 0x6577…ce03 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4725db… |
| 08-11 10:28:10 | Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x4725db… |
| 08-11 08:02:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 18 | 95¢ | $17 | 0xe35b0b… |
| 08-11 08:02:16 | Private-Neighbourhood 0x771f…1222 | No | BUY | 18 | 95¢ | $17 | 0xe35b0b… |
| 08-11 07:51:40 | (anonymous) 0x947f…100d | No | SELL | 37 | 94¢ | $35 | 0xbbba00… |
| 08-11 07:51:40 | Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | BUY | 37 | 94¢ | $35 | 0xbbba00… |
| 08-11 01:46:37 | frosique1 0x91c7…b576 | No | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0x151b75… |
| 08-11 01:46:37 | Shimmering-Age 0xb121…b73c | No | BUY | 223 | 94¢ | $210 | 0x151b75… |
| 08-11 01:46:37 | Bland-Metronome 0x0325…16e7 | No | SELL | 274 | 94¢ | $258 | 0x151b75… |
| 08-11 01:20:04 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 300 | 95¢ | $285 | 0x7d0531… |
| 08-11 01:20:04 | Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | BUY | 300 | 95¢ | $285 | 0x7d0531… |
| 08-10 22:21:30 | frosique1 0x91c7…b576 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x05ded4… |
| 08-10 22:21:30 | (anonymous) 0xd352…b02c | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x05ded4… |
| 08-10 18:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x8832…08dc | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc100cc… |
| 08-10 18:44:40 | frosique1 0x91c7…b576 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc100cc… |
| 08-10 17:29:33 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 364 | 95¢ | $345 | 0xe51dcc… |
| 08-10 17:29:33 | (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | SELL | 364 | 5¢ | $18 | 0xe51dcc… |
| 08-10 16:26:34 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x472740… |
| 08-10 16:26:34 | (anonymous) 0xd6ae…3e15 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x472740… |
| 08-10 15:24:16 | Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | No | SELL | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x0c6c98… |
| 08-10 15:24:16 | frosique1 0x91c7…b576 | No | BUY | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x0c6c98… |
| 08-10 14:01:22 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xd94d4a… |
| 08-10 14:01:22 | (anonymous) 0x4da7…fa90 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xd94d4a… |
| 08-10 13:46:22 | frosique1 0x91c7…b576 | No | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0xbe5e7d… |
| 08-10 13:46:22 | (anonymous) 0x87a9…94fd | No | SELL | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0xbe5e7d… |
| 08-10 13:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x87a9…94fd | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x38995e… |
| 08-10 13:46:04 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x38995e… |
| 08-10 11:11:27 | French-Warmup 0x48b7…f103 | No | SELL | 2,091 | 94¢ | $1,966 | 0xbed872… |
| 08-10 11:11:27 | Wide-Eyed-Metaphor 0x99bf…1af6 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xbed872… |
| 08-10 11:11:27 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 1,987 | 94¢ | $1,868 | 0xbed872… |
| 08-10 11:11:27 | (anonymous) 0xfe91…4cd3 | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0xbed872… |
| 08-10 11:08:24 | French-Warmup 0x48b7…f103 | No | SELL | 2,091 | 94¢ | $1,966 | 0x38de7e… |
| 08-10 11:08:24 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 2,091 | 94¢ | $1,966 | 0x38de7e… |
| 08-10 08:40:13 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 119 | 94¢ | $112 | 0x71e051… |
| 08-10 08:40:13 | Dark-Hatbox 0xeb1f…4b42 | No | SELL | 119 | 94¢ | $112 | 0x71e051… |
| 08-10 06:21:51 | Aggressive-Torso 0xbed5…b661 | No | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0x5364b5… |
| 08-10 06:21:51 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0x5364b5… |
| 08-10 03:28:06 | (anonymous) 0x0b5e…c62b | No | SELL | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0xf5d40a… |
| 08-10 03:28:06 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0xf5d40a… |
| 08-10 01:07:54 | Faithful-Misplacement 0x862f…14f0 | No | BUY | 35 | 95¢ | $33 | 0x9013fd… |
| 08-10 01:07:54 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 35 | 95¢ | $33 | 0x9013fd… |
| 08-10 00:30:33 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 83 | 94¢ | $78 | 0x71fe84… |
| 08-10 00:30:33 | (anonymous) 0xdf1d…0171 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x71fe84… |
| 08-09 22:10:42 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0x4166f6… |
| 08-09 22:10:42 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0x4166f6… |
| 08-09 19:58:33 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x58c2a5… |
| 08-09 19:58:33 | Wooden-Cinema 0x648b…00ba | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x58c2a5… |
| 08-09 19:23:48 | Wooden-Cinema 0x648b…00ba | Yes | BUY | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x712cf8… |
| 08-09 19:23:48 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 33 | 94¢ | $31 | 0x712cf8… |
| 08-09 19:23:36 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 130 | 95¢ | $124 | 0x2c3982… |
| 08-09 19:23:36 | Joyful-Chief 0x51aa…b50e | No | BUY | 130 | 95¢ | $124 | 0x2c3982… |
| 08-09 18:54:18 | Wooden-Cinema 0x648b…00ba | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x100450… |
| 08-09 18:54:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 18 | 95¢ | $17 | 0x100450… |
| 08-09 18:47:39 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 18 | 95¢ | $17 | 0x31a834… |
| 08-09 18:47:39 | Wooden-Cinema 0x648b…00ba | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x31a834… |
| 08-09 18:27:37 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 116 | 95¢ | $110 | 0x7030bb… |
| 08-09 18:27:37 | Plain-Mezzanine 0xafaa…f0e4 | Yes | SELL | 116 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x7030bb… |
| 08-09 18:27:30 | (anonymous) 0xc19e…261d | Yes | SELL | 42 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xfa0cec… |
| 08-09 18:27:30 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0xfa0cec… |
| 08-09 18:27:27 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x2af0a4… |
| 08-09 18:27:27 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 4,529 | 95¢ | $4,303 | 0x2af0a4… |
| 08-09 18:27:27 | (anonymous) 0x8080…39d9 | No | SELL | 55 | 95¢ | $52 | 0x2af0a4… |
| 08-09 18:27:27 | Broken-Dogwood 0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | SELL | 6,000 | 5¢ | $300 | 0x2af0a4… |
| 08-09 18:05:57 | (anonymous) 0x24f3…cf28 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5aab2c… |
| 08-09 18:05:57 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5aab2c… |
| 08-09 18:05:57 | Kaleidoscopic-Camp 0x8afa…adb6 | No | SELL | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0xc53656… |
| 08-09 18:05:57 | (anonymous) 0xd00a…4c29 | No | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0xc53656… |
| 08-09 18:05:12 | Stylish-Chemical 0x69a2…3bee | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xce0375… |