Realized P&L
-$17.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
59.9%
Resolved
1,248
Trades
3,657
lifetime
Volume
$474.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$130
Open exposure
$2.96K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-20
last 10-14 02:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
90% 40% -$15,318
Sports
4% 37% -$1,516
Crypto
4% 57% -$679
Politics
2% 50% -$1
Tech
0% 0% -$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490 No +902 $262 87¢ $789 +$527 08-15 07:02
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No +520 $375 98¢ $511 +$136 08-27 02:18
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +371 $238 98¢ $362 +$123 08-10 07:51
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +270 $259 97¢ $263 +$4 09-03 07:40
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +559 $210 44¢ $243 +$33 07-22 01:43
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No +147 $111 92¢ $136 +$25 07-06 09:18
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119 No +290 $177 28¢ $81 -$96 07-18 03:44
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +79 $59 92¢ $73 +$14 08-01 12:45
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No +72 $64 98¢ $71 +$7 07-29 09:50
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +98 $61 56¢ $55 -$6 07-11 17:33
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +55 $47 92¢ $51 +$3 08-07 14:30
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +59 $45 80¢ $47 +$3 08-13 10:55
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +49 $29 74¢ $36 +$7 08-13 18:31
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $140 +60 $9 60¢ $36 +$26 06-21 09:41
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +33 $13 82¢ $27 +$14 08-23 05:10
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +29 $16 90¢ $26 +$10 08-14 21:52
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119 Yes +36 $16 72¢ $26 +$10 06-25 16:57
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +70 $31 33¢ $23 -$8 07-17 23:07
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +19 -$7 96¢ $18 +$25 08-04 17:34
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +25 $14 67¢ $17 +$3 08-10 09:26
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +14 $8 100¢ $14 +$6 07-06 03:41
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +879 $513 1¢ $12 -$501 07-14 05:14
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +463 $340 2¢ $12 -$328 08-08 05:34
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +20 $11 40¢ $8 -$3 06-27 09:19
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 60¢ $6 +$4 06-25 19:21
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $7 10¢ $4 -$3 06-25 11:21
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +72 $14 6¢ $4 -$10 06-30 23:42
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +40 $8 8¢ $3 -$4 06-21 16:09
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5 $3 56¢ $3 $0 06-23 02:34
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +30 $9 4¢ $1 -$8 08-08 06:27