Unfortunate-Pray — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$4.44K

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

Trades

5,435

lifetime

Volume

$3.12M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$574

Open exposure

$158.6K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 04:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

50% 97% +$11,847

Other

39% 93% +$8,239

Crypto

11% 88% +$495

Tech

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+65,000	$60,956	97¢	$63.0K	+$1,996	10-21 19:56
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	+37,267	$34,986	98¢	$36.4K	+$1,368	10-22 12:07
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	+30,000	$27,701	95¢	$28.5K	+$799	09-14 09:44
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	+10,000	$9,634	98¢	$9.8K	+$131	10-24 03:05
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	+9,476	$8,946	97¢	$9.2K	+$275	10-27 04:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	-7,000	-$6,780	98¢	$-6849	-$69	09-26 13:48
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	-5,000	-$4,870	99¢	$-4933	-$62	06-06 16:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	181	$226.5K	111,792	116,792	-5,000	No	+$1,520	06-27 21:21
will israel nuke iran by january 31	156	$165.6K	88,293	78,313	+9,981	No	+$281	01-25 12:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	200	$158.0K	99,843	60,000	+39,843	No	+$1,604	05-27 05:18
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	103	$138.7K	70,000	70,000	+0	No	+$994	08-13 09:06
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	206	$100.2K	48,919	51,941	-3,022	No	+$129	03-16 06:05
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	88	$88.4K	42,764	46,000	-3,236	No	+$172	02-28 22:12
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	261	$86.0K	41,841	45,717	-3,876	No	+$208	03-17 14:04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	74	$81.8K	53,738	28,910	+24,828	No	+$640	04-25 08:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	6	$79.8K	40,000	40,000	+0	No	+$150	10-01 17:27
netanyahu out by march 31 854	108	$74.8K	64,100	13,000	+51,100	No	+$2,083	03-30 18:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	102	$73.1K	71,335	6,335	+65,000	open	—	10-21 19:56
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	479	$72.2K	56,455	19,188	+37,267	open	—	10-22 12:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	126	$69.3K	60,000	10,000	+50,000	No	+$704	07-30 21:52
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?	73	$65.6K	52,386	13,547	+38,839	No	+$258	02-28 21:48
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	177	$62.7K	58,679	5,000	+53,679	No	+$980	03-30 21:20
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	78	$59.2K	30,030	30,030	+0	No	+$290	07-28 21:04
Netanyahu out by April 30?	129	$52.6K	23,161	30,000	-6,839	No	+$60	04-20 08:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	53	$50.6K	24,000	27,000	-3,000	No	+$300	05-15 15:35
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	206	$50.1K	31,112	21,112	+10,000	No	+$1,247	10-03 22:46
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	78	$49.8K	25,006	25,006	+0	No	+$95	02-18 10:07
will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	62	$49.4K	24,650	25,000	-350	No	+$114	02-19 00:04
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	56	$43.9K	40,172	3,870	+36,302	No	+$133	02-23 12:36
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	42	$41.7K	31,000	11,000	+20,000	Yes	+$211	05-03 13:49
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	5	$39.9K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$20	02-16 08:51
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$39.9K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$40	07-14 21:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	40	$39.2K	34,544	5,000	+29,544	No	+$310	04-30 09:05
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	109	$37.9K	20,000	18,383	+1,617	No	+$200	03-22 22:15
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	68	$37.4K	34,366	4,500	+29,866	No	+$1,352	01-29 17:15
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	55	$36.4K	37,150	0	+37,150	Yes	+$706	03-01 11:00
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	32	$35.5K	17,869	17,869	+0	No	+$190	07-29 02:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:52:29	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x3accf5…
10-26 21:28:56	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	1,487	97¢	$1,445	0xb80a26…
10-25 20:44:39	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf9acc2…
10-25 18:37:38	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x61eaa3…
10-25 06:25:18	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x22cec3…
10-24 11:41:39	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xeec979…
10-24 11:35:47	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x235810…
10-24 03:05:14	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	143	97¢	$139	0x2110b9…
10-23 10:42:32	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd796f9…
10-23 08:35:36	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x3622a0…
10-23 02:58:35	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x46de61…
10-22 14:14:35	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x71371e…
10-22 12:25:02	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe80357…
10-22 12:07:24	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	649	98¢	$633	0xa721d7…
10-22 10:53:15	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0f8ff2…
10-22 09:40:42	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x5957b5…
10-22 02:35:06	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	350	98¢	$341	0x9532b7…
10-22 00:33:47	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1,964	98¢	$1,915	0xd10233…
10-21 23:00:54	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$487	0x13de00…
10-21 22:20:45	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	97¢	$4,870	0x88178b…
10-21 20:31:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1,699	98¢	$1,656	0xba1a48…
10-21 19:56:09	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	5,000	96¢	$4,810	0x2e8fea…
10-21 15:05:30	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	332	97¢	$323	0x105466…
10-20 19:08:29	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x234b28…
10-20 15:42:32	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xeb5fd7…
10-20 12:36:51	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x32dad4…
10-20 09:31:44	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0x059d31…
10-19 22:46:53	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	510	97¢	$496	0x65934f…
10-19 22:45:36	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	762	97¢	$741	0xbff3fc…
10-19 18:52:05	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	223	98¢	$217	0xda9dae…
10-19 18:51:53	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xfbd770…
10-19 09:03:42	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$974	0x532836…
10-17 10:14:05	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	228	98¢	$222	0x776000…
10-17 02:58:30	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x6672e4…
10-16 21:59:03	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x57bfc3…
10-16 20:55:30	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	751	98¢	$733	0xf459d0…
10-16 20:14:41	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	878	97¢	$853	0x3474d4…
10-16 20:12:59	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xd24aab…
10-15 08:31:28	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	156	97¢	$151	0x289638…
10-14 22:19:46	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	97¢	$3,892	0xd67e7a…
10-08 21:18:20	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	97¢	$3,888	0x22900c…
10-08 21:14:48	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	98¢	$1,956	0xc91cd6…
10-08 19:42:11	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa345a4…
10-08 19:22:53	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x232c1b…
10-08 17:57:23	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x371e64…
10-08 17:21:59	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x4561dc…
10-08 16:25:45	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa8f793…
10-08 15:11:36	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0xd7d3c2…
10-08 13:22:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	306	98¢	$300	0x5b33d6…
10-08 11:45:59	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa036ae…
10-07 22:41:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	616	98¢	$603	0x1381ba…
10-07 22:38:04	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	610	98¢	$597	0x16c8bb…
10-07 16:10:25	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x032235…
10-07 16:07:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x31703f…
10-07 16:00:23	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	300	98¢	$294	0x931a2c…
10-07 08:47:06	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1,597	98¢	$1,564	0x2734aa…
10-05 17:33:32	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	667	98¢	$653	0xa31a16…
10-05 17:09:29	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xeadcb5…
10-05 16:56:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xa54de3…
10-05 14:48:01	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	705	98¢	$690	0x9087bc…
10-05 14:12:10	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	106	98¢	$103	0xf85c7c…
10-03 22:46:16	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe2f06b…
10-03 22:46:16	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x994a78…
10-03 21:04:17	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$117	0x8ec2a0…
10-03 21:04:17	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x89dfac…
10-03 20:03:10	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	3,505	100¢	$3,491	0x095960…
10-03 19:43:03	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x86d191…
10-03 19:43:01	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7451c2…
10-03 16:18:24	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$158	0x552c1c…
10-03 16:15:33	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	654	100¢	$651	0x666d3c…
10-03 16:10:56	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x4df9e2…
10-03 16:02:35	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7b2779…
10-03 16:02:29	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1b1950…
10-01 17:27:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0xca4418…
09-30 01:02:09	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	5,000	95¢	$4,760	0xb6c4da…
09-29 21:34:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0xd3a2b5…
09-27 11:40:26	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	187	97¢	$181	0x198289…
09-27 02:11:20	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	157	98¢	$154	0xf0ff7d…
09-27 02:11:15	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	556	98¢	$546	0x7cfc68…
09-27 02:11:08	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	556	98¢	$546	0xe09752…
09-27 02:09:15	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	111	98¢	$109	0xc817d7…
09-26 23:03:23	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3185b2…
09-26 21:30:38	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	556	98¢	$546	0x6e4356…
09-26 13:48:45	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	982	96¢	$939	0xa26dfa…
09-26 13:24:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x802ac7…
09-26 12:56:08	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x307a41…
09-26 12:41:06	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,046	96¢	$1,000	0x0e8dea…
09-26 12:40:09	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa9dfe5…
09-26 12:01:48	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	259	98¢	$254	0x5b0ec3…
09-26 11:41:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x79b653…
09-26 11:30:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	8,799	100¢	$8,764	0xaf6180…
09-26 11:23:08	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,867	96¢	$2,741	0xe076c5…
09-26 11:21:47	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	2,780	98¢	$2,730	0xa36267…
09-26 11:15:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x57d760…
09-26 11:14:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0xb525c0…
09-23 00:59:58	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	3,790	98¢	$3,711	0x4f00f2…
09-22 23:27:44	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	74	97¢	$71	0x53aaa3…
09-20 18:38:19	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe17be0…
09-20 05:11:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	73	95¢	$69	0x21e4b4…
09-20 00:46:12	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0x181ab5…