Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
open
Total volume
$69,817
$47 in 24h
Trades
924
Unique wallets
264
Liquidity
$68,798
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-11 18:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.9¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $3.7K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $31.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 22 | $203 | $21.0K | $20.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 32 | $17 | $4.7K | $4.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 43 | $144 | $2.9K | $2.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 167 | $121 | $2.5K | $2.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $125 | $3.5K | $3.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $62 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | — | $15 | $15 |
| Median | 38 | $4 | $8.0K | $8.0K |
| Below median | 22 | $1 | $244 | $243 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $9 | $15 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $19 | $5.0K | $4.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $89 | $215 | $125 |
| unranked | 152 | $177 | $12.9K | $12.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +7,906 | $7,650 | $7,650 | 6 | 08-10 19:48 |
| Normal-Motivation 0x18cd…d8d2 | No | +3,605 | $3,425 | $3,425 | 2 | 06-14 22:37 |
| Pristine-Business 0x014c…820c | Yes | +2,818 | $125 | $125 | 1 | 07-21 14:26 |
| Faraway-Company 0x1a6d…f672 | Yes | +2,038 | $70 | $70 | 7 | 08-10 19:49 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +1,575 | $1,519 | $1,519 | 6 | 08-01 13:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | +1,500 | $1,425 | $1,425 | 12 | 07-08 09:26 |
| Another-Parenting 0xbb2e…5bbf | No | +1,334 | $1,280 | $1,280 | 2 | 07-15 22:46 |
| Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | +1,186 | $1,126 | $1,126 | 7 | 07-17 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x38d9…a783 | Yes | +1,100 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 07-08 09:26 |
| Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | +1,000 | $956 | $956 | 18 | 07-21 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | +994 | $961 | $961 | 12 | 08-11 18:14 |
| Phony-Envelope-Tram 0x88a3…e75f | No | +799 | $759 | $759 | 1 | 06-05 19:34 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +792 | $760 | $760 | 1 | 07-11 11:24 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +439 | $413 | $413 | 4 | 06-15 06:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +429 | $4 | $97 | 21 | 08-09 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | +237 | $229 | $833 | 50 | 08-11 18:14 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +237 | $226 | $226 | 2 | 06-27 18:39 |
| Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | +232 | $224 | $832 | 46 | 08-11 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6029…34f4 | Yes | +158 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-09 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x973e…37dc | Yes | +148 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-11 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d56…f65e | Yes | +110 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-03 06:22 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +82 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 07-17 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x23b5…7718 | No | +60 | $58 | $58 | 9 | 08-05 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xddbe…78f0 | No | +58 | $56 | $56 | 7 | 07-30 21:07 |
| Slow-Stock 0x9dc7…8c0a | Yes | +57 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 08:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xef12…7f3d | No | +55 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 07-21 14:26 |
| Hairy-Saffron 0xbabc…1606 | No | +53 | $51 | $51 | 8 | 07-31 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d93…88a8 | No | +53 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 08-03 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x69fb…1e56 | No | +53 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 08-05 12:47 |
| Third-Cobweb 0xd60a…1bcd | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-07 06:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x26c7…8ba9 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-03 06:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x7059…17bd | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-01 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5767…ac46 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 08-03 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2b5…74e7 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-01 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a93…c7c4 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 4 | 08-03 06:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xc573…c989 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 7 | 08-01 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x460a…0cf9 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-03 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e4e…bbba | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 08-02 01:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 18:14:01 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xac1c78… |
| 08-11 18:14:01 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $15 | 0xac1c78… |
| 08-11 18:14:01 | (anonymous) 0x973e…37dc | Yes | BUY | 148 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xac1c78… |
| 08-11 18:14:01 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0xac1c78… |
| 08-11 18:14:01 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xac1c78… |
| 08-11 18:14:01 | Venerated-Dawn 0xfdd1…1829 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xac1c78… |
| 08-11 18:14:01 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xac1c78… |
| 08-11 18:14:01 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xac1c78… |
| 08-11 07:53:46 | Venerated-Dawn 0xfdd1…1829 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcc6312… |
| 08-11 07:53:46 | (anonymous) 0x1094…1daf | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcc6312… |
| 08-11 05:39:25 | Venerated-Dawn 0xfdd1…1829 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf779fc… |
| 08-11 05:39:25 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf779fc… |
| 08-11 05:39:25 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0xf779fc… |
| 08-11 02:03:36 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe1cd5d… |
| 08-11 02:03:36 | (anonymous) 0xd027…bbf9 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe1cd5d… |
| 08-11 02:03:36 | Venerated-Dawn 0xfdd1…1829 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe1cd5d… |
| 08-10 19:49:24 | Faraway-Company 0x1a6d…f672 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x014ca5… |
| 08-10 19:49:24 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x014ca5… |
| 08-10 19:49:24 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x014ca5… |
| 08-10 19:49:12 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x188fa9… |
| 08-10 19:49:12 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 402 | 4¢ | $15 | 0x188fa9… |
| 08-10 19:49:12 | Faraway-Company 0x1a6d…f672 | Yes | BUY | 423 | 4¢ | $16 | 0x188fa9… |
| 08-10 19:49:07 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x994dce… |
| 08-10 19:49:07 | Faraway-Company 0x1a6d…f672 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x994dce… |
| 08-10 19:49:03 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 136 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x071dc5… |
| 08-10 19:49:03 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x071dc5… |
| 08-10 19:49:03 | Faraway-Company 0x1a6d…f672 | Yes | BUY | 178 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x071dc5… |
| 08-10 19:49:03 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x071dc5… |
| 08-10 19:48:31 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xd6f535… |
| 08-10 19:48:31 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xd6f535… |
| 08-10 19:48:31 | Faraway-Company 0x1a6d…f672 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd6f535… |
| 08-10 19:48:22 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 318 | 97¢ | $307 | 0x64a30b… |
| 08-10 19:48:22 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x64a30b… |
| 08-10 19:48:22 | Faraway-Company 0x1a6d…f672 | Yes | BUY | 328 | 3¢ | $11 | 0x64a30b… |
| 08-10 19:48:22 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x64a30b… |
| 08-10 19:48:09 | Faraway-Company 0x1a6d…f672 | Yes | BUY | 932 | 3¢ | $30 | 0x90d684… |
| 08-10 19:48:09 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x90d684… |
| 08-10 19:48:09 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x90d684… |
| 08-10 19:48:09 | Peaceful-Grassland 0xcd61…0002 | Yes | SELL | 891 | 3¢ | $29 | 0x90d684… |
| 08-09 19:58:37 | (anonymous) 0x6029…34f4 | Yes | BUY | 158 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xf5a807… |
| 08-09 19:58:37 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xf5a807… |
| 08-09 19:58:37 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xf5a807… |
| 08-09 19:58:37 | Peaceful-Grassland 0xcd61…0002 | Yes | SELL | 109 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xf5a807… |
| 08-09 19:58:37 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf5a807… |
| 08-09 12:49:25 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | SELL | 153 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x36074e… |
| 08-09 12:49:25 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | SELL | 153 | 97¢ | $149 | 0x36074e… |
| 08-09 04:45:28 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x04f118… |
| 08-09 04:45:28 | (anonymous) 0xf4e4…e471 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x04f118… |
| 08-09 02:33:24 | Famous-Flugelhorn 0x255c…6712 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xd87461… |
| 08-09 02:33:24 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xd87461… |
| 08-09 01:31:07 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x5fa35d… |
| 08-09 01:31:07 | (anonymous) 0x2849…3208 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x5fa35d… |
| 08-08 14:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x4955…3db1 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x994bce… |
| 08-08 14:24:18 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x994bce… |
| 08-08 13:33:21 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x4bb6ef… |
| 08-08 13:33:21 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4bb6ef… |
| 08-08 13:33:13 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xda352f… |
| 08-08 13:33:13 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xda352f… |
| 08-08 13:22:52 | (anonymous) 0x391b…1fbb | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x0f48c0… |
| 08-08 13:22:52 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x0f48c0… |
| 08-08 13:03:00 | (anonymous) 0x56e7…cf24 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xeb0c52… |
| 08-08 13:03:00 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0xeb0c52… |
| 08-08 13:03:00 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xeb0c52… |
| 08-08 11:25:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x034234… |
| 08-08 11:25:46 | (anonymous) 0xa515…5f37 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x034234… |
| 08-08 10:25:21 | Frilly-Counterforce 0xa6dc…b4f3 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x93d6bf… |
| 08-08 10:25:21 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x93d6bf… |
| 08-08 08:50:43 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 153 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x768ea4… |
| 08-08 08:50:43 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x768ea4… |
| 08-08 08:50:43 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x768ea4… |
| 08-08 08:50:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 121 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x768ea4… |
| 08-08 08:50:43 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x768ea4… |
| 08-08 08:14:28 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf64c54… |
| 08-08 08:14:28 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf64c54… |
| 08-08 08:14:19 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x0886bb… |
| 08-08 08:14:19 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x0886bb… |
| 08-08 07:58:31 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xdb8d88… |
| 08-08 07:58:31 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xdb8d88… |
| 08-08 07:58:25 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x418e58… |
| 08-08 07:58:25 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x418e58… |
| 08-08 05:44:43 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x259d65… |
| 08-08 05:44:43 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x259d65… |
| 08-08 05:44:36 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xbabcc7… |
| 08-08 05:44:36 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xbabcc7… |
| 08-07 06:49:16 | (anonymous) 0x78b5…ebbb | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x3743e4… |
| 08-07 06:49:16 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x3743e4… |
| 08-07 01:47:19 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x9d87a8… |
| 08-07 01:47:19 | Tired-Reader 0xe6d6…04ca | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x9d87a8… |
| 08-06 16:06:27 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x81bb79… |
| 08-06 16:06:27 | Warped-Forte 0xc656…c9fd | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x81bb79… |
| 08-06 14:44:51 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x18eec8… |
| 08-06 14:44:51 | (anonymous) 0xcdfe…0b55 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x18eec8… |
| 08-06 10:30:48 | Spectacular-Wont 0xf5cf…1b46 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x64eae0… |
| 08-06 10:30:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x64eae0… |
| 08-06 10:00:12 | International-Prohibition 0x8cd3…5659 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd9cebf… |
| 08-06 10:00:12 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd9cebf… |
| 08-06 09:51:45 | Polished-Province 0x2575…4420 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xdd6b76… |
| 08-06 09:51:45 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdd6b76… |
| 08-06 06:35:53 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xc72c5a… |
| 08-06 06:35:53 | (anonymous) 0xa8f0…fdba | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xc72c5a… |