Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
open
Total volume
$48,770
$47 in 24h
Trades
601
Unique wallets
206
Liquidity
$68,798
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-21 19:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.7¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $3.7K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $21.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 21 | $175 | $13.0K | $12.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $17 | $3.6K | $3.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 41 | $141 | $3.1K | $3.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 117 | $35 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $125 | $3.5K | $3.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $45 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $15 | $15 |
| Median | 31 | $1 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| Below median | 18 | $1 | $241 | $240 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $4 | $5 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $17 | $3.9K | $3.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $80 | $200 | $120 |
| unranked | 112 | $95 | $11.4K | $11.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normal-Motivation 0x18cd…d8d2 | No | +3,605 | $3,425 | $3,425 | 2 | 06-14 22:37 |
| Pristine-Business 0x014c…820c | Yes | +2,818 | $125 | $125 | 1 | 07-21 14:26 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | No | +2,128 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 06-04 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | +1,500 | $1,425 | $1,425 | 12 | 07-08 09:26 |
| Another-Parenting 0xbb2e…5bbf | No | +1,334 | $1,280 | $1,280 | 2 | 07-15 22:46 |
| Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | +1,186 | $1,126 | $1,126 | 7 | 07-17 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x38d9…a783 | Yes | +1,100 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 07-08 09:26 |
| Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | +1,000 | $956 | $956 | 18 | 07-21 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | +894 | $864 | $864 | 10 | 07-21 18:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +810 | $773 | $773 | 3 | 07-21 14:26 |
| Phony-Envelope-Tram 0x88a3…e75f | No | +799 | $759 | $759 | 1 | 06-05 19:34 |
| Acclaimed-Teammate 0x6d71…82e5 | No | +792 | $760 | $760 | 1 | 07-11 11:24 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +477 | $452 | $452 | 3 | 07-08 18:36 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +439 | $413 | $413 | 4 | 06-15 06:22 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +375 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-21 18:50 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +237 | $226 | $226 | 2 | 06-27 18:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | +133 | $5 | $5 | 16 | 07-18 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | +118 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 07-21 18:50 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +95 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-13 18:20 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +82 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 07-17 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xc48e…f355 | No | +77 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 07-08 09:26 |
| Slow-Stock 0x9dc7…8c0a | Yes | +57 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 08:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c34…0717 | No | +56 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 07-11 23:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xef12…7f3d | No | +55 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 07-21 14:26 |
| Third-Cobweb 0xd60a…1bcd | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-07 06:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x8254…d536 | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-21 14:26 |
| Fearful-Industrialisation 0x74f5…8cdf | No | +46 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 07-18 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xd633…7a18 | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-17 07:38 |
| Minor-Enemy 0x53f6…3ca4 | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 22:37 |
| Unkempt-Strand 0x4569…ec91 | No | +29 | $28 | $30 | 2 | 07-21 03:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x118b…d58f | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-07 08:00 |
| Immaculate-Hassock 0x84f8…0ff2 | No | +26 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 07-10 07:08 |
| Weighty-Lottery 0x1d18…c4ab | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 19:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 19:35:04 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x87d1ec… |
| 07-21 19:35:04 | Weighty-Lottery 0x1d18…c4ab | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x87d1ec… |
| 07-21 19:35:04 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x87d1ec… |
| 07-21 18:50:31 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 600 | 97¢ | $581 | 0x5d4dc2… |
| 07-21 18:50:31 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 225 | 3¢ | $7 | 0x5d4dc2… |
| 07-21 18:50:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 375 | 3¢ | $12 | 0x5d4dc2… |
| 07-21 18:50:00 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xeca1fc… |
| 07-21 18:50:00 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xeca1fc… |
| 07-21 18:49:52 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5e06ba… |
| 07-21 18:49:52 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x5e06ba… |
| 07-21 18:49:37 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0xc00577… |
| 07-21 18:49:37 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xc00577… |
| 07-21 18:49:22 | (anonymous) 0x261b…d42a | No | SELL | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x725a47… |
| 07-21 18:49:22 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x725a47… |
| 07-21 18:49:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x74e33e… |
| 07-21 18:49:13 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x74e33e… |
| 07-21 18:15:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xcbc4b1… |
| 07-21 18:15:21 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xcbc4b1… |
| 07-21 18:15:04 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x87ae31… |
| 07-21 18:15:04 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | SELL | 39 | 96¢ | $37 | 0x87ae31… |
| 07-21 18:15:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x87ae31… |
| 07-21 18:15:04 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 80 | 96¢ | $76 | 0x87ae31… |
| 07-21 18:14:34 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7c575d… |
| 07-21 18:14:34 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x7c575d… |
| 07-21 18:14:25 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xb1e764… |
| 07-21 18:14:25 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb1e764… |
| 07-21 16:52:45 | (anonymous) 0x48f2…b4b7 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x94c34e… |
| 07-21 16:52:45 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x94c34e… |
| 07-21 14:26:46 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x322808… |
| 07-21 14:26:46 | (anonymous) 0x8254…d536 | No | BUY | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0x322808… |
| 07-21 14:26:46 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 218 | 95¢ | $208 | 0x322808… |
| 07-21 14:26:46 | Pristine-Business 0x014c…820c | Yes | BUY | 2,818 | 4¢ | $125 | 0x322808… |
| 07-21 14:26:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 96¢ | $77 | 0x322808… |
| 07-21 14:26:46 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x322808… |
| 07-21 14:26:46 | (anonymous) 0xef12…7f3d | No | BUY | 45 | 96¢ | $43 | 0x322808… |
| 07-21 14:26:46 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 77 | 95¢ | $74 | 0x322808… |
| 07-21 14:26:46 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x322808… |
| 07-21 14:26:46 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 96 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x322808… |
| 07-21 14:26:46 | Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | BUY | 910 | 96¢ | $870 | 0x322808… |
| 07-21 14:13:27 | (anonymous) 0xef12…7f3d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x91aa14… |
| 07-21 14:13:27 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x91aa14… |
| 07-21 14:13:19 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x835519… |
| 07-21 14:13:19 | (anonymous) 0x261b…d42a | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x835519… |
| 07-21 08:35:00 | (anonymous) 0xef12…7f3d | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x92efec… |
| 07-21 08:35:00 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x92efec… |
| 07-21 08:34:52 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe3db6a… |
| 07-21 08:34:52 | (anonymous) 0x261b…d42a | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe3db6a… |
| 07-21 05:32:39 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xef9c72… |
| 07-21 05:32:39 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0xef9c72… |
| 07-21 05:32:39 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xef9c72… |
| 07-21 03:51:19 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xef49a7… |
| 07-21 03:51:19 | Unkempt-Strand 0x4569…ec91 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xef49a7… |
| 07-19 16:47:52 | (anonymous) 0x261b…d42a | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xf3c64b… |
| 07-19 16:47:52 | (anonymous) 0x5b03…21e3 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf3c64b… |
| 07-19 16:47:52 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf3c64b… |
| 07-19 11:47:39 | (anonymous) 0xf5bc…7560 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x25fc9a… |
| 07-19 11:47:39 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x25fc9a… |
| 07-18 20:43:19 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xbe1412… |
| 07-18 20:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbe1412… |
| 07-18 20:38:12 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xb1fc20… |
| 07-18 20:38:12 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | SELL | 17 | 96¢ | $17 | 0xb1fc20… |
| 07-18 20:38:12 | Fearful-Industrialisation 0x74f5…8cdf | No | BUY | 46 | 96¢ | $45 | 0xb1fc20… |
| 07-18 20:38:12 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb1fc20… |
| 07-18 19:51:37 | Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xde0977… |
| 07-18 19:51:37 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xde0977… |
| 07-18 19:51:28 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xcab76b… |
| 07-18 19:51:28 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcab76b… |
| 07-18 19:51:28 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xcab76b… |
| 07-18 19:12:43 | Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x46eb9a… |
| 07-18 19:12:43 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x46eb9a… |
| 07-18 19:12:36 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6718c5… |
| 07-18 19:12:36 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6718c5… |
| 07-18 18:40:33 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7c3eed… |
| 07-18 18:40:33 | Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7c3eed… |
| 07-18 18:40:24 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x88beaf… |
| 07-18 18:40:24 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x88beaf… |
| 07-18 16:44:54 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x59340e… |
| 07-18 16:44:54 | Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x59340e… |
| 07-18 16:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd8f5ef… |
| 07-18 16:44:46 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd8f5ef… |
| 07-18 15:49:55 | Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5308c3… |
| 07-18 15:49:55 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5308c3… |
| 07-18 15:49:48 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x51d5c6… |
| 07-18 15:49:48 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x51d5c6… |
| 07-18 15:32:36 | Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb33380… |
| 07-18 15:32:36 | (anonymous) 0x11c9…f5aa | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb33380… |
| 07-18 15:32:27 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbb04ce… |
| 07-18 15:32:27 | (anonymous) 0x11c9…f5aa | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xbb04ce… |
| 07-18 14:20:55 | Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7b564c… |
| 07-18 14:20:55 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7b564c… |
| 07-18 14:20:46 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa8fb49… |
| 07-18 14:20:46 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa8fb49… |
| 07-18 14:02:49 | (anonymous) 0x11c9…f5aa | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x97f070… |
| 07-18 14:02:49 | Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x97f070… |
| 07-18 14:02:39 | (anonymous) 0x11c9…f5aa | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb58820… |
| 07-18 14:02:39 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb58820… |
| 07-18 13:33:36 | Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x02fc6a… |
| 07-18 13:33:36 | (anonymous) 0x11c9…f5aa | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x02fc6a… |
| 07-18 13:33:24 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd63566… |
| 07-18 13:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x11c9…f5aa | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd63566… |