Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
open
Total volume
$33,247
$47 in 24h
Trades
286
Unique wallets
120
Liquidity
$68,798
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-01 15:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $2.4K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $13.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $33 | $8.8K | $8.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $17 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 22 | $42 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 69 | $14 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | — | $2.4K | $2.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $41 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 19 | $1 | $142 | $141 |
| Below median | 14 | $1 | $241 | $240 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $4 | $3.7K | $3.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $39 | — | +$39 |
| unranked | 59 | $20 | $5.7K | $5.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normal-Motivation 0x18cd…d8d2 | No | +3,605 | $3,425 | $3,425 | 2 | 06-14 22:37 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | No | +2,128 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 06-04 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | +924 | $877 | $877 | 3 | 07-01 15:00 |
| Phony-Envelope-Tram 0x88a3…e75f | No | +799 | $759 | $759 | 1 | 06-05 19:34 |
| Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | +745 | $652 | $4,201 | 16 | 06-26 05:23 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +439 | $413 | $413 | 4 | 06-15 06:22 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +303 | $285 | $285 | 2 | 06-16 12:39 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +237 | $226 | $226 | 2 | 06-27 18:39 |
| Real-Advertisement 0xf2b0…b26b | No | +200 | $188 | $188 | 1 | 06-01 18:39 |
| Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-27 17:20 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-23 20:37 |
| Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | +68 | $61 | $505 | 14 | 07-01 13:38 |
| Slow-Stock 0x9dc7…8c0a | Yes | +57 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 08:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf6a…9f91 | No | +54 | $51 | $51 | 4 | 06-30 09:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d0c…2512 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-23 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ec1…94c3 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-23 16:37 |
| Third-Cobweb 0xd60a…1bcd | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-07 06:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xe824…8644 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-23 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x261b…d42a | No | +43 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-26 05:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xd633…7a18 | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-17 07:38 |
| Minor-Enemy 0x53f6…3ca4 | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 22:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x0253…e6bd | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-12 14:58 |
| Plain-Alteration 0x9c1e…302f | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 16:54 |
| Flimsy-Gammaray 0x8ae7…b35f | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 23:18 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-13 20:14 |
| Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | +8 | $6 | $333 | 16 | 06-30 09:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x604f…4941 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-30 11:11 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-14 22:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | +5 | $5 | $14 | 3 | 06-27 17:20 |
| Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 16:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 15:00:44 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x9b9ee1… |
| 07-01 15:00:44 | (anonymous) 0x0164…3639 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x9b9ee1… |
| 07-01 13:38:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Hobbit 0x56e8…a57c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf4f6ad… |
| 07-01 13:38:16 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf4f6ad… |
| 07-01 02:53:10 | (anonymous) 0x7fac…f045 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x048e65… |
| 07-01 02:53:10 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x048e65… |
| 06-30 11:11:01 | (anonymous) 0x604f…4941 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6043f6… |
| 06-30 11:11:01 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6043f6… |
| 06-30 09:14:28 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0xe5ed55… |
| 06-30 09:14:28 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0xe5ed55… |
| 06-30 09:14:28 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 919 | 95¢ | $873 | 0xe5ed55… |
| 06-30 09:14:28 | (anonymous) 0xcf6a…9f91 | No | BUY | 39 | 95¢ | $37 | 0xe5ed55… |
| 06-30 09:14:28 | Distinct-Kale 0x46a1…2736 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 95¢ | $950 | 0xe5ed55… |
| 06-29 21:45:17 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xfc0416… |
| 06-29 21:45:17 | (anonymous) 0xcf6a…9f91 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xfc0416… |
| 06-29 20:12:08 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa30a73… |
| 06-29 20:12:08 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa30a73… |
| 06-29 19:17:37 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7a1fe3… |
| 06-29 19:17:37 | (anonymous) 0xcf6a…9f91 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7a1fe3… |
| 06-29 19:06:47 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x89b617… |
| 06-29 19:06:47 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x89b617… |
| 06-29 18:20:35 | (anonymous) 0xcf6a…9f91 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x3618c5… |
| 06-29 18:20:35 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x3618c5… |
| 06-29 17:38:05 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb347e4… |
| 06-29 17:38:05 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb347e4… |
| 06-27 18:39:58 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 200 | 95¢ | $190 | 0xbf06db… |
| 06-27 18:39:58 | Whimsical-Paint 0x4fea…d383 | No | SELL | 200 | 95¢ | $190 | 0xbf06db… |
| 06-27 17:20:49 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x25e031… |
| 06-27 17:20:49 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x25e031… |
| 06-27 17:20:49 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 37 | 95¢ | $36 | 0x25e031… |
| 06-27 17:20:49 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x25e031… |
| 06-27 17:20:49 | Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x25e031… |
| 06-27 17:20:49 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x25e031… |
| 06-26 22:40:16 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x03deb5… |
| 06-26 22:40:16 | (anonymous) 0x5b18…a4ff | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x03deb5… |
| 06-26 22:35:04 | (anonymous) 0x5b18…a4ff | Yes | SELL | 142 | 5¢ | $7 | 0xf67a2a… |
| 06-26 22:35:04 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xf67a2a… |
| 06-26 22:35:04 | (anonymous) 0x0f0f…949a | No | SELL | 32 | 95¢ | $30 | 0xf67a2a… |
| 06-26 22:35:04 | (anonymous) 0xfccf…12e0 | No | SELL | 48 | 95¢ | $46 | 0xf67a2a… |
| 06-26 22:35:04 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0xf67a2a… |
| 06-26 22:35:04 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | SELL | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0xf67a2a… |
| 06-26 05:23:29 | (anonymous) 0xfccf…12e0 | No | BUY | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x3fc5e7… |
| 06-26 05:23:29 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x3fc5e7… |
| 06-26 05:23:29 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 154 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x3fc5e7… |
| 06-26 05:23:29 | (anonymous) 0x0f0f…949a | No | BUY | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x3fc5e7… |
| 06-26 05:23:29 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x3fc5e7… |
| 06-26 05:23:29 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3fc5e7… |
| 06-26 05:23:29 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | BUY | 1,477 | 94¢ | $1,388 | 0x3fc5e7… |
| 06-26 05:23:29 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x3fc5e7… |
| 06-26 05:23:29 | Round-Resolution 0x11fc…dc48 | No | SELL | 2,167 | 94¢ | $2,040 | 0x3fc5e7… |
| 06-26 05:23:29 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3fc5e7… |
| 06-26 05:23:29 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x3fc5e7… |
| 06-26 05:23:29 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x3fc5e7… |
| 06-26 05:23:29 | (anonymous) 0x261b…d42a | No | BUY | 43 | 94¢ | $40 | 0x3fc5e7… |
| 06-25 21:38:58 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x663c81… |
| 06-25 21:38:58 | (anonymous) 0x35c0…1930 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x663c81… |
| 06-24 11:46:46 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0afd30… |
| 06-24 11:46:46 | (anonymous) 0x8318…7afd | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0afd30… |
| 06-23 21:22:28 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 29 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x98db9c… |
| 06-23 21:22:28 | (anonymous) 0xfb36…3055 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x98db9c… |
| 06-23 20:37:23 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xa1b84f… |
| 06-23 20:37:23 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xa1b84f… |
| 06-23 20:37:23 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 54 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xa1b84f… |
| 06-23 20:37:23 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xa1b84f… |
| 06-23 20:37:23 | (anonymous) 0x89b5…ab4c | Yes | SELL | 500 | 4¢ | $20 | 0xa1b84f… |
| 06-23 20:37:23 | (anonymous) 0xc2ef…543c | No | SELL | 43 | 96¢ | $41 | 0xa1b84f… |
| 06-23 20:37:23 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa1b84f… |
| 06-23 20:37:23 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xa1b84f… |
| 06-23 20:37:23 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa1b84f… |
| 06-23 20:37:23 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | SELL | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xa1b84f… |
| 06-23 20:37:23 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa1b84f… |
| 06-23 16:37:46 | (anonymous) 0xe824…8644 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x44ebfe… |
| 06-23 16:37:46 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x44ebfe… |
| 06-23 16:37:46 | (anonymous) 0xd442…616d | No | SELL | 1,062 | 95¢ | $1,009 | 0x44ebfe… |
| 06-23 16:37:46 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x44ebfe… |
| 06-23 16:37:46 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x44ebfe… |
| 06-23 16:37:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 115 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x44ebfe… |
| 06-23 16:37:46 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 86 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x44ebfe… |
| 06-23 16:37:46 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x44ebfe… |
| 06-23 16:37:46 | (anonymous) 0x3ec1…94c3 | No | BUY | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0x44ebfe… |
| 06-23 16:37:46 | (anonymous) 0x1d0c…2512 | No | BUY | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0x44ebfe… |
| 06-22 13:38:07 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcee401… |
| 06-22 13:38:07 | Melodic-Harmonise 0x1d2c…5e4a | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xcee401… |
| 06-22 01:38:38 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb9a441… |
| 06-22 01:38:38 | (anonymous) 0xd8a9…8a2c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb9a441… |
| 06-20 10:42:52 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x45a115… |
| 06-20 10:42:52 | Sociable-Physiology 0x452d…f886 | No | SELL | 65 | 95¢ | $62 | 0x45a115… |
| 06-20 10:42:52 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x45a115… |
| 06-19 16:54:19 | Plain-Alteration 0x9c1e…302f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2a1fce… |
| 06-19 16:54:19 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x2a1fce… |
| 06-18 22:36:11 | Improbable-Egghead 0xd7dd…c7f8 | No | BUY | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0xb6ddb5… |
| 06-18 22:36:11 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xb6ddb5… |
| 06-18 22:36:11 | Wide-Border 0x17b4…4d48 | No | SELL | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xb6ddb5… |
| 06-18 13:55:49 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | SELL | 70 | 96¢ | $67 | 0xcbfb4a… |
| 06-18 13:55:49 | (anonymous) 0xef87…6273 | Yes | SELL | 2,907 | 4¢ | $116 | 0xcbfb4a… |
| 06-18 13:55:49 | (anonymous) 0x7a6b…8b2f | No | SELL | 56 | 96¢ | $54 | 0xcbfb4a… |
| 06-18 13:55:49 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xcbfb4a… |
| 06-18 13:55:49 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xcbfb4a… |
| 06-18 13:55:49 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | SELL | 1,848 | 96¢ | $1,774 | 0xcbfb4a… |
| 06-18 13:55:49 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xcbfb4a… |