Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
3,380
lifetime
Volume
$22.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$61
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 06-09 18:47
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
62%
Politics
38%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 394 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -31 $-26 94¢ $-29 $-4 06-09 21:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +22 $22 97¢ $21 $-0 06-10 00:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +6 $9 98¢ $6 $-3 06-08 13:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -4 $0 93¢ $-3 $-3 06-10 00:27
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +1 $2 95¢ $1 $-1 06-09 20:15
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +0 $1 98¢ $0 $-0 06-09 00:48
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-09 16:15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 06-08 12:50
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-03 04:50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-09 07:56
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-08 23:04
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-09 08:59
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-09 19:20
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 05-29 18:18
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-09 17:02
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $-0 06-07 13:45
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-09 16:30
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-09 23:55