Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$42
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
13,986
lifetime
Volume
$84.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$44
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 07-20 23:57
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50%
Politics
50%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 394 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -21 $-3 96¢ $-20 $-17 07-21 03:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +9 $25 96¢ $8 $-16 07-21 05:19
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 07-20 10:54
Will Alberta join the US? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 07-17 15:31
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +4 $9 96¢ $4 $-5 07-21 02:03
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +1 $2 98¢ $1 $-1 07-21 05:33
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 $-1 07-19 13:22
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $1 94¢ $0 $-0 07-18 23:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 07-14 18:10
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 07-01 06:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 89¢ $0 $-0 07-17 06:33
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 $-0 07-16 14:06
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 07-16 06:43
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 07-20 13:16
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-09 23:55
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 07-01 16:23
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 07-18 12:25