(anonymous) 0xd39064…f989ae
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
8,568
lifetime
Volume
$55.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$67
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 06-30 12:44
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
52% — —
Politics
48% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 394 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -27 $-15 94¢ $-25 $-10 06-30 16:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +11 $12 100¢ $11 $-0 06-14 20:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +6 $9 100¢ $6 $-3 06-08 13:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $-0 06-13 23:08
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -5 $-5 93¢ $-5 $-0 06-29 05:51
Will Alberta join the US? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 06-30 11:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +4 $14 95¢ $4 $-10 06-30 15:43
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +2 $5 96¢ $2 $-3 06-30 13:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1 $2 99¢ $1 $-1 06-27 18:08
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 $-1 06-30 15:33
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 $-0 06-23 03:23
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 $1 95¢ $0 $-0 06-30 12:59
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 $-0 06-09 00:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-24 21:39
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-27 02:09
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-25 18:10
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-03 04:50
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-29 11:29
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-14 17:22
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-19 18:28
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-14 19:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-17 12:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-21 10:40
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-28 21:43
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-12 09:23
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-13 11:54
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 05-29 18:18
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-27 21:45
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-09 16:30
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-09 23:55