Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
open
Total volume
$1,625,929
$55,676 in 24h
Trades
53,446
Unique wallets
1,472
Liquidity
$75,071
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-01 05:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $370.3K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $925.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 87 | $4.1K | $789.4K | $785.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 114 | $1.8K | $63.9K | $62.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 204 | $1.0K | $25.7K | $24.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,067 | $1.5K | $38.6K | $37.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 22 | $130 | $370.1K | $370.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 40 | $1.6K | $142.6K | $141.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 49 | $27 | $37.7K | $37.7K |
| Median | 256 | $137 | $12.4K | $12.2K |
| Below median | 176 | $251 | $10.8K | $10.6K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 30 | $63 | $10.3K | $10.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 30 | $3.5K | $5.4K | $1.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 24 | $21 | $261.4K | $261.3K |
| unranked | 845 | $2.7K | $66.8K | $64.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +336,320 | $335,733 | $335,733 | 113 | 07-01 05:26 |
| Tan-Server 0xbd04…fbb0 | Yes | +90,679 | $1,321 | $1,321 | 4 | 06-13 22:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x340c…1007 | Yes | +47,561 | $48 | $51 | 35 | 06-28 00:53 |
| Striped-Pressroom 0x485a…21cb | Yes | +46,823 | $898 | $920 | 38 | 06-14 20:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f49…24fc | Yes | +30,000 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-27 17:23 |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist 0x3eae…e2ed | No | +25,630 | $25,071 | $25,071 | 10 | 06-02 23:12 |
| Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | +21,610 | $68 | $187 | 24 | 06-30 05:14 |
| Amused-Venti 0x521a…d12f | No | +20,000 | $19,310 | $19,310 | 2 | 06-10 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e40…f622 | Yes | +16,630 | $220 | $220 | 4 | 06-26 22:54 |
| Itchy-Cradle 0x49ae…f3ba | No | +14,655 | $14,266 | $27,084 | 13 | 06-14 21:50 |
| Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | No | +14,151 | $14,137 | $14,137 | 2 | 06-30 05:14 |
| Buoyant-Drainage 0xa69d…2d3b | Yes | +13,950 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-27 09:03 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +12,464 | $62 | $62 | 64 | 06-27 09:03 |
| Awesome-Availability 0xb1ca…1705 | No | +11,109 | $10,840 | $22,624 | 587 | 06-10 20:47 |
| Illustrious-Spectacles 0xbaa2…2c73 | No | +10,404 | $10,352 | $10,352 | 12 | 06-21 17:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fd8…0829 | Yes | +10,000 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-07 20:15 |
| Nippy-Veneer 0x9f9e…4c57 | Yes | +10,000 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-28 00:53 |
| Single-Air 0x94eb…37e6 | No | +10,000 | $9,950 | $9,950 | 1 | 06-19 06:43 |
| Deficient-Ark 0x730d…d448 | No | +7,475 | $7,254 | $7,254 | 3 | 06-11 00:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +5,000 | $4,990 | $4,990 | 1 | 06-25 11:56 |
| Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | +4,956 | $31 | $62 | 3 | 06-17 03:26 |
| Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | +3,895 | $2,877 | $210,069 | 217 | 06-30 05:10 |
| Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | +3,678 | $3,674 | $3,674 | 8 | 06-29 23:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa691…4735 | Yes | +3,095 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-28 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x7777…67f0 | Yes | +3,000 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-26 21:15 |
| Measly-Desert 0xcd78…8b60 | Yes | +3,000 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-27 23:43 |
| Incomplete-Cherry 0x107f…bb8c | No | +2,900 | $2,884 | $2,884 | 10 | 06-25 07:39 |
| Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | +2,700 | $2,649 | $2,649 | 1 | 06-07 07:42 |
| Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | +2,539 | $2,500 | $2,500 | 5 | 06-17 17:03 |
| Sardonic-Archer 0xc9ad…79d0 | No | +2,500 | $2,452 | $2,452 | 2 | 06-07 07:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x7956…9ca3 | Yes | +2,240 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 06-21 17:31 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +2,000 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-21 14:09 |
| Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | +2,000 | $1,995 | $1,995 | 2 | 06-23 14:17 |
| Burdensome-Kielbasa 0xf2ab…97a4 | No | +2,000 | $1,974 | $1,974 | 6 | 06-18 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xf34c…4f33 | No | +1,966 | $1,946 | $1,946 | 2 | 06-18 18:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x4558…a2b3 | No | +1,800 | $1,755 | $1,755 | 1 | 06-10 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xbde8…8fd4 | Yes | +1,785 | $49 | $91 | 2 | 06-08 03:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x45bd…af96 | Yes | +1,700 | $6 | $9 | 4 | 06-24 03:00 |
| Sandy-Enemy 0x2106…fa73 | Yes | +1,486 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-01 12:28 |
| Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | No | +1,391 | $1,375 | $1,375 | 58 | 06-20 12:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6bed…43cf | Yes | +1,160 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-08 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0d1…b755 | Yes | +1,050 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-28 05:39 |
| Icky-Timing 0x6f43…9e9a | Yes | +1,044 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 06-03 07:37 |
| Best-Footwear-Cherry 0xfcdf…8431 | Yes | +1,026 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-07 20:07 |
| Joyous-Inspector 0x6286…f59c | Yes | +1,000 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 19:18 |
| Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 06-28 05:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 05:26:58 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 105 | 100¢ | $105 | 0x400c60… |
| 07-01 05:26:58 | (anonymous) 0xa8f9…9fae | No | SELL | 105 | 100¢ | $105 | 0x400c60… |
| 06-30 12:57:40 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x229839… |
| 06-30 12:57:40 | Obvious-Warming 0x3428…b226 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x229839… |
| 06-30 12:39:17 | Blank-Waveform 0xc966…bac9 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x179f40… |
| 06-30 12:39:17 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x179f40… |
| 06-30 12:36:35 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x91551d… |
| 06-30 12:36:35 | (anonymous) 0xfc80…ab3c | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x91551d… |
| 06-30 12:26:01 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x87eba0… |
| 06-30 12:26:01 | Used-Thermometer 0x4887…b853 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x87eba0… |
| 06-30 12:15:01 | Greedy-Cultivar 0x8338…2ea3 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x16d37f… |
| 06-30 12:15:01 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x16d37f… |
| 06-30 11:55:35 | Innocent-Engine 0x83e6…2488 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x50ebc1… |
| 06-30 11:55:35 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x50ebc1… |
| 06-30 11:53:10 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd6db51… |
| 06-30 11:53:10 | Concerned-Preference 0xcf07…77c4 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd6db51… |
| 06-30 11:48:40 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x329ad8… |
| 06-30 11:48:40 | Black-Ruler 0x539f…4d03 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x329ad8… |
| 06-30 11:46:35 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdfdf02… |
| 06-30 11:46:35 | Light-Backburn 0x4fe1…4691 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdfdf02… |
| 06-30 07:13:53 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x60c015… |
| 06-30 07:13:53 | Oddball-Title 0x12bc…1eab | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x60c015… |
| 06-30 05:14:11 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | No | SELL | 72 | 100¢ | $72 | 0x8088ff… |
| 06-30 05:14:11 | Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x8088ff… |
| 06-30 05:14:11 | Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | BUY | 11,096 | 0¢ | $11 | 0x8088ff… |
| 06-30 05:14:11 | Circular-Airman 0x8de6…2938 | No | BUY | 11,181 | 100¢ | $11,169 | 0x8088ff… |
| 06-30 05:10:16 | Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4f1792… |
| 06-30 05:10:16 | Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0x4f1792… |
| 06-30 04:40:17 | Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa965ea… |
| 06-30 04:40:17 | Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0xa965ea… |
| 06-30 04:10:17 | Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3860ad… |
| 06-30 04:10:17 | Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0x3860ad… |
| 06-30 03:40:17 | Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0x061054… |
| 06-30 03:40:17 | Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x061054… |
| 06-30 03:10:17 | Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x578f09… |
| 06-30 03:10:17 | Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0x578f09… |
| 06-30 02:40:17 | Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0x5fdd87… |
| 06-30 02:40:17 | Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5fdd87… |
| 06-30 02:10:19 | Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0xefd3d2… |
| 06-30 02:10:19 | Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xefd3d2… |
| 06-30 01:40:17 | Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0x4e571e… |
| 06-30 01:40:17 | Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e571e… |
| 06-30 01:10:19 | Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf60972… |
| 06-30 01:10:19 | Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0xf60972… |
| 06-30 00:40:19 | Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x569ece… |
| 06-30 00:40:19 | Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0x569ece… |
| 06-30 00:10:19 | Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb07351… |
| 06-30 00:10:19 | Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0xb07351… |
| 06-29 23:50:20 | (anonymous) 0xd878…1b0c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedce0f… |
| 06-29 23:50:20 | Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedce0f… |
| 06-29 23:40:19 | Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0x30cde6… |
| 06-29 23:40:19 | Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x30cde6… |
| 06-29 23:36:07 | (anonymous) 0xb519…5a82 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc70c0d… |
| 06-29 23:36:07 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc70c0d… |
| 06-29 23:35:13 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa8aaa5… |
| 06-29 23:35:13 | Impractical-Pulse 0x311e…190e | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa8aaa5… |
| 06-29 23:25:08 | Sleepy-Tuber 0xbb52…118d | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc90a61… |
| 06-29 23:25:08 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc90a61… |
| 06-29 23:16:52 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x04eb6b… |
| 06-29 23:16:52 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x04eb6b… |
| 06-29 23:16:50 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x8ea6b6… |
| 06-29 23:16:50 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x7f4567… |
| 06-29 23:16:50 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x62de7a… |
| 06-29 23:16:50 | Made-Up-Sectional 0x5cc2…0d6e | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x9fa469… |
| 06-29 23:16:50 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x9fa469… |
| 06-29 23:16:50 | (anonymous) 0xb4f6…eada | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x01b931… |
| 06-29 23:16:50 | Welcome-Zephyr 0xcb65…d87c | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x8ea6b6… |
| 06-29 23:16:50 | Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x7f4567… |
| 06-29 23:16:50 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x01b931… |
| 06-29 23:16:50 | (anonymous) 0x4108…17b1 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x62de7a… |
| 06-29 23:16:49 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9eb223… |
| 06-29 23:16:49 | (anonymous) 0x5f59…e61d | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xad9120… |
| 06-29 23:16:49 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9eb223… |
| 06-29 23:16:49 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x9eb223… |
| 06-29 23:16:49 | Soupy-Wallaby 0x93cc…6ffc | No | BUY | 162 | 100¢ | $162 | 0x9eb223… |
| 06-29 23:16:49 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 398 | 100¢ | $397 | 0x9eb223… |
| 06-29 23:16:49 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x9eb223… |
| 06-29 23:16:49 | Opulent-Right 0xb100…6461 | No | SELL | 21,620 | 100¢ | $21,577 | 0x9eb223… |
| 06-29 23:16:49 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 10,000 | 100¢ | $9,980 | 0x9eb223… |
| 06-29 23:16:49 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xad9120… |
| 06-29 23:16:49 | Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x9eb223… |
| 06-29 23:10:19 | Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0xb35c3f… |
| 06-29 23:10:19 | Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb35c3f… |
| 06-29 23:04:59 | Flippant-Disclosure 0xcaf5…67b4 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x2dfced… |
| 06-29 23:04:59 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x2dfced… |
| 06-29 23:04:22 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x3dc3c3… |
| 06-29 23:04:22 | Guilty-Ring 0xedb6…8221 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x3dc3c3… |
| 06-29 22:56:14 | Fair-Aim 0xd32d…1051 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x91d2a6… |
| 06-29 22:56:14 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x91d2a6… |
| 06-29 22:54:10 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x07d9cc… |
| 06-29 22:54:10 | Authorized-Limit 0xef86…b9a9 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x07d9cc… |
| 06-29 22:43:41 | Talkative-Brood 0x4444…ed4c | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf42322… |
| 06-29 22:43:41 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf42322… |
| 06-29 22:42:41 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x465d03… |
| 06-29 22:42:41 | Another-Cummerbund 0x7674…90b4 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x465d03… |
| 06-29 22:39:10 | Infamous-Hierarchy 0xaca1…dad4 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x81307c… |
| 06-29 22:39:10 | Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb7ef58… |
| 06-29 22:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x4978…a5b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb7ef58… |
| 06-29 22:39:10 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x81307c… |
| 06-29 05:19:38 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 207 | 100¢ | $206 | 0x3850d6… |