Realized P&L
-$22
Unrealized P&L
-$289
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
427
lifetime
Volume
$17.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$295
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 06-17 12:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
57%
Other
24% 0% $-5
Crypto
16% 0% $-17
Tech
3%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -284 $-77 26¢ $-75 +$2 05-31 13:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +556 $100 14¢ $75 $-25 05-31 13:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +769 $100 10¢ $73 $-27 05-31 13:03
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -638 $-51 10¢ $-61 $-10 06-17 08:29
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +833 $10 $2 $-8 06-17 12:27
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +1,429 $100 $2 $-98 05-31 13:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +1,621 $20 $2 $-18 06-17 12:26
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +1,486 $30 $1 $-29 06-01 12:28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +1,381 $60 $1 $-59 06-12 07:16
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? Yes +1,137 $10 $1 $-9 06-10 18:33
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes +583 $10 $1 $-9 06-09 06:37