Essential-Diarist 0x0a7aaf…d6df1b
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
+$515
Hit rate
70.1%
Resolved
32
Trades
18,430
lifetime
Volume
$158.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$723
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 15:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
44% 57% +$70
Politics
38% 44% $-22
Sports
12% — —
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
2% 0% $-22
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -395 $-75 27¢ $-107 $-32 06-14 02:17
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +667 $13 12¢ $77 +$63 07-19 10:34
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? Yes +415 $12 12¢ $50 +$37 07-19 21:42
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +1,938 $-3 2¢ $41 +$43 06-26 21:16
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +822 $15 5¢ $38 +$24 07-12 18:44
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +250 $8 14¢ $34 +$27 06-09 10:18
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +1,103 $-149 3¢ $34 +$183 06-09 01:53
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +672 $29 5¢ $34 +$5 07-02 19:27
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +1,500 $40 2¢ $32 $-8 07-20 19:45
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes +617 $1 4¢ $28 +$26 07-14 21:41
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +500 $10 6¢ $28 +$18 06-02 11:30
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Yes +233 $14 11¢ $24 +$10 07-08 02:54
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? Yes +689 $12 3¢ $23 +$12 07-17 03:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,942 $11 1¢ $22 +$12 07-16 18:00
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +308 $16 6¢ $17 +$1 07-10 04:57
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.? Yes +250 $10 6¢ $15 +$5 07-17 23:39
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +146 $-12 8¢ $12 +$23 07-04 15:04
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +249 $10 5¢ $12 +$2 06-13 12:47
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -156 $-53 7¢ $-11 +$42 07-10 05:57
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? Yes +161 $6 6¢ $10 +$4 07-18 22:15
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027? Yes +23 $0 44¢ $10 +$10 07-12 08:33
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? Yes +594 $19 2¢ $9 $-9 07-04 03:08
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +500 $10 2¢ $8 $-2 07-09 11:48
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +112 $7 7¢ $8 +$1 07-20 20:24
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes -157 $-13 5¢ $-8 +$5 07-06 08:15
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +122 $4 6¢ $7 +$4 07-09 03:32
Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +750 $8 1¢ $7 $-1 07-21 10:57
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? Yes +500 $5 1¢ $6 +$1 07-06 07:09
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? No +167 $3 4¢ $6 +$3 07-02 18:52
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Yes +38 $1 15¢ $6 +$5 06-12 09:20