Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
+$295
Hit rate
70.1%
Resolved
32
Trades
17,503
lifetime
Volume
$153.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$295
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 06:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
44% 57% +$70
Politics
38% 44% $-22
Sports
12%
Tech
4%
Crypto
2% 0% $-22
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -395 $-75 16¢ $-65 +$10 06-14 02:17
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +1,938 $-3 $62 +$65 06-26 21:16
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +1,103 $-149 $47 +$197 06-09 01:53
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +322 $4 $26 +$22 06-21 16:23
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +500 $10 $23 +$13 06-02 11:30
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes -236 $-17 $-13 +$4 06-19 13:37
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,394 $36 $11 $-25 06-15 18:27
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +200 $10 $11 +$1 06-21 20:36
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +250 $8 $10 +$2 06-09 10:18
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +249 $10 $6 $-4 06-13 12:47
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? Yes +94 $4 $4 +$0 06-22 17:18
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? Yes +250 $-13 $3 +$16 06-10 00:00
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes +1,250 $5 $2 $-2 06-29 19:06
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Yes +38 $1 $2 +$1 06-12 09:20
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? Yes +250 $5 $2 $-3 06-22 12:11
Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30? Yes +250 $2 $2 $-1 06-22 13:57
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +20 $1 $1 +$0 06-28 14:38
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +103 $1 $1 +$0 06-28 08:48
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? Yes +1,060 $6 $1 $-5 06-25 07:48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? Yes +764 $8 $1 $-7 06-14 14:12
Ben Pasternak jailed? Yes +19 $0 $1 +$0 06-30 15:02
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +109 $-1 $0 +$1 06-14 07:15
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes +32 $0 $0 $-0 07-01 00:25
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes -1 $-0 28¢ $-0 $-0 06-25 05:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -164 $-9 $-0 +$9 06-19 14:18
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $0 $0 +$0 06-13 18:53
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +3 $0 $0 $-0 06-23 02:24
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 06-19 15:36