Realized P&L
+$18.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.45K
Hit rate
70.7%
Resolved
3,046
Trades
26,675
lifetime
Volume
$216.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$5.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 09:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 284 days
Categories
Other
46% 38% +$12,680
Politics
38% 42% +$7,006
Sports
9% 49% -$2,619
Tech
5% 49% +$1,394
Crypto
1% 42% +$378
Pop-Culture
0% 38% -$27
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 411 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -1,000 -$850 82¢ $-817 +$33 10-09 11:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +500 $300 99¢ $493 +$193 09-04 20:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +9,754 $322 4¢ $390 +$68 10-27 03:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +500 $235 64¢ $322 +$88 07-17 08:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1,943 $34 13¢ $259 +$226 10-26 01:19
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +350 $142 55¢ $194 +$52 08-01 12:12
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,156 $19 9¢ $187 +$168 10-23 19:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +5,391 $170 3¢ $173 +$2 10-16 11:32
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +2,284 $96 8¢ $171 +$76 10-11 20:58
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes +2,000 -$362 8¢ $170 +$532 09-16 03:09
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,245 $37 7¢ $159 +$123 10-20 12:04
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,691 -$46 4¢ $121 +$168 09-05 07:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +679 $57 18¢ $119 +$61 10-07 01:33
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +3,625 $118 3¢ $118 +$0 09-23 08:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,025 $116 6¢ $111 -$4 10-19 11:01
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +125 -$98 89¢ $111 +$209 07-22 05:17
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,888 $95 6¢ $104 +$9 10-21 17:23
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 Yes +764 $51 14¢ $103 +$52 08-21 21:03
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +2,087 -$44 5¢ $102 +$146 10-24 07:00
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? Yes +2,335 $71 4¢ $96 +$24 10-26 13:42
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +908 $59 11¢ $95 +$36 10-13 01:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $68 16¢ $83 +$14 09-04 21:33
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +749 -$65 11¢ $82 +$147 10-25 21:36
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? Yes +957 $13 8¢ $81 +$69 10-19 14:46
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +4,675 $205 2¢ $79 -$126 09-20 04:30
us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236 Yes +2,250 $90 3¢ $76 -$13 10-24 18:41
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +415 $60 16¢ $68 +$9 10-05 22:53
us imports russian diesel by october 31 Yes +1,500 $26 4¢ $67 +$40 10-23 09:33
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3,774 $40 2¢ $66 +$26 10-16 11:56
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes +2,750 $40 2¢ $66 +$26 10-06 22:03