Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
+$406
Hit rate
70.1%
Resolved
32
Trades
16,102
lifetime
Volume
$138.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$590
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
46% 57% +$70
Politics
35% 44% $-22
Sports
13%
Tech
4%
Crypto
2% 0% $-22
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 375 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +750 $68 10¢ $71 +$4 06-08 05:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +625 $42 10¢ $59 +$17 06-08 15:34
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +2,171 $52 $53 +$1 06-07 19:28
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +1,103 $-149 $52 +$202 06-09 01:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +301 $27 12¢ $36 +$9 06-09 17:23
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? Yes +250 $-13 13¢ $32 +$46 06-10 00:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes +523 $26 $29 +$3 06-04 05:04
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +688 $21 $28 +$7 06-06 20:02
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +500 $10 $26 +$16 06-02 11:30
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes -193 $-39 12¢ $-23 +$15 05-29 11:58
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +798 $6 $21 +$14 06-06 04:23
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? Yes +438 $4 $17 +$12 06-03 12:01
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +250 $8 $14 +$7 06-09 10:18
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +103 $2 14¢ $14 +$12 06-06 15:33
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes +151 $9 $14 +$5 06-08 12:23
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Yes +1,401 $3 $10 +$7 06-05 15:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +747 $9 $10 +$0 06-09 13:16
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +250 $8 $9 +$2 06-05 06:33
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? Yes +538 $2 $9 +$7 06-05 11:03
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes -120 $-8 $-8 +$1 06-06 13:24
Another Elon baby by June 30? Yes +100 $2 $7 +$5 06-08 16:27
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? Yes +750 $8 $7 $-0 06-05 18:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +144 $6 $6 +$1 06-09 13:53
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +285 $-8 $6 +$14 06-03 23:32
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? Yes +992 $4 $6 +$2 06-09 22:17
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? Yes +658 $7 $6 $-1 06-08 18:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +159 $3 $5 +$1 06-09 14:35
Chirayu Rana divorced? Yes +750 $8 $4 $-3 06-05 18:52
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? Yes +638 $1 $4 +$2 06-09 02:36
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +500 $4 $3 $-1 06-10 03:53