Essential-Diarist 0x0a7aaf…d6df1b Create alert
whale bot hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.33K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.48K
Hit rate
55.7%
Resolved (90d)
524
Trades (90d)
5,329
26,995 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$37.4K
$220.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$6.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 03:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 302 days
Categories
Other
47% 37% +$14,461
Politics
38% 41% +$6,914
Sports
8% 49% -$2,619
Tech
5% 49% +$1,253
Crypto
1% 42% +$376
Pop-Culture
0% 41% -$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 411 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -2,000 -$1,629 83¢ $-1669 -$40 11-05 19:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,200 $614 85¢ $1.0K +$402 10-29 17:55
Will the KMT win the Taipei and New Taipei mayoral elections? Yes +1,000 -$84 32¢ $325 +$409 11-14 13:45
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,807 $60 10¢ $267 +$207 11-04 17:16
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,700 $164 15¢ $262 +$98 11-06 10:15
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +350 $142 71¢ $248 +$106 08-01 12:12
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,252 $112 14¢ $175 +$63 11-08 22:09
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? Yes +2,500 -$10 6¢ $162 +$172 11-06 19:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 -$8 7¢ $140 +$149 11-12 12:27
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +2,734 $125 5¢ $131 +$6 11-14 22:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,260 $151 3¢ $130 -$21 11-12 22:46
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +125 -$98 98¢ $122 +$220 07-22 05:17
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -121 -$66 97¢ $-117 -$51 05-16 09:16
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +2,284 $96 5¢ $115 +$20 10-11 20:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +183 -$130 62¢ $114 +$245 11-13 06:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,665 $113 6¢ $108 -$5 11-14 11:21
Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany? No +2,403 $259 4¢ $106 -$153 11-08 04:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +3,865 -$375 2¢ $95 +$470 11-04 23:15
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,927 $82 4¢ $83 +$1 11-12 20:51
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,300 $131 2¢ $83 -$49 11-12 20:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,000 $470 8¢ $75 -$395 11-09 15:15
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +2,000 $62 4¢ $70 +$8 11-06 09:27
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes +4,833 $16 1¢ $68 +$52 11-05 16:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +500 -$72 14¢ $68 +$140 11-10 11:06
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +2,500 $35 3¢ $66 +$31 10-14 03:45
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026? Yes +1,135 $40 5¢ $62 +$22 11-09 22:48
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,436 $49 4¢ $59 +$10 11-08 01:08
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +3,625 $118 2¢ $58 -$60 09-23 08:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,443 $50 2¢ $57 +$7 10-29 17:31
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes +2,000 -$362 3¢ $57 +$420 09-16 03:09