Essential-Diarist 0x0a7aaf…d6df1b Create alert
whale bot hot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.50K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.14K
Hit rate
56.2%
Resolved (90d)
529
Trades (90d)
5,280
26,828 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$36.8K
$218.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$6.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 11:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 299 days
Categories
Other
47% 37% +$14,520
Politics
38% 41% +$6,914
Sports
8% 49% -$2,619
Tech
5% 49% +$1,253
Crypto
1% 42% +$376
Pop-Culture
0% 41% -$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 411 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -2,000 -$1,629 82¢ $-1639 -$10 11-05 19:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,200 $614 87¢ $1.0K +$426 10-29 17:55
Will the KMT win the Taipei and New Taipei mayoral elections? Yes +1,737 $137 26¢ $460 +$323 11-11 23:04
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,807 $60 10¢ $267 +$207 11-04 17:16
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +350 $142 72¢ $254 +$112 08-01 12:12
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,700 $164 13¢ $227 +$63 11-06 10:15
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,252 $112 18¢ $219 +$107 11-08 22:09
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? Yes +2,500 -$10 6¢ $162 +$172 11-06 19:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,550 $36 6¢ $158 +$123 11-11 22:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +679 $57 22¢ $146 +$89 10-07 01:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,000 $470 15¢ $145 -$325 11-09 15:15
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +125 -$98 96¢ $119 +$217 07-22 05:17
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +3,578 $170 3¢ $116 -$53 11-10 15:53
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +2,284 $96 5¢ $115 +$20 10-11 20:58
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -121 -$66 94¢ $-113 -$47 05-16 09:16
Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany? No +2,403 $259 4¢ $97 -$162 11-08 04:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,443 $50 4¢ $92 +$42 10-29 17:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +3,865 -$375 2¢ $91 +$466 11-04 23:15
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,008 $89 4¢ $81 -$7 11-09 23:43
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +1,016 $49 8¢ $76 +$27 11-07 08:16
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31? Yes +940 $11 7¢ $70 +$58 11-09 14:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +500 -$72 14¢ $68 +$140 11-10 11:06
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,102 $50 6¢ $66 +$17 11-09 14:51
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,156 $19 3¢ $65 +$46 10-23 19:48
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes +2,750 $40 2¢ $65 +$25 10-06 22:03
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,948 $91 3¢ $64 -$26 11-09 21:32
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,243 $63 3¢ $63 $0 10-25 16:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +2,708 -$44 2¢ $61 +$105 11-09 19:44
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes +4,833 $16 1¢ $60 +$45 11-05 16:58
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +3,625 $118 2¢ $60 -$58 09-23 08:43