Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.67K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.08K
Hit rate
61.7%
Resolved (7d)
117
Trades (7d)
457
27,276 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$6.86K
$228.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$6.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 14:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 294 days
Categories
Other
47% 37% +$14,409
Politics
38% 41% +$7,087
Sports
9% 49% -$2,619
Tech
5% 49% +$1,253
Crypto
1% 42% +$376
Pop-Culture
0% 41% -$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 411 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -2,000 -$1,629 81¢ $-1619 +$10 11-05 19:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,200 $614 80¢ $955 +$341 10-29 17:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +2,000 $750 39¢ $780 +$30 11-05 16:14
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,700 $164 20¢ $348 +$184 11-06 10:15
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,807 $60 11¢ $309 +$249 11-04 17:16
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +350 $142 70¢ $243 +$101 08-01 12:12
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? Yes — +2,538 -$6 8¢ $216 +$222 11-06 12:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,443 $50 7¢ $176 +$126 10-29 17:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +2,000 -$31 8¢ $150 +$181 11-04 17:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +679 $57 20¢ $132 +$75 10-07 01:33
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +125 -$98 94¢ $118 +$216 07-22 05:17
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,245 $37 5¢ $112 +$76 10-20 12:04
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +2,284 $96 5¢ $110 +$14 10-11 20:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +3,865 -$375 3¢ $108 +$483 11-04 23:15
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +2,872 $107 4¢ $102 -$5 11-04 14:13
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 8? No +1,000 $12 10¢ $98 +$86 11-05 10:31
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,888 $89 5¢ $94 +$5 11-03 11:35
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,134 $75 4¢ $84 +$9 11-06 14:30
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +2,419 $135 3¢ $82 -$53 11-06 14:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,495 $68 6¢ $82 +$15 11-03 15:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $68 16¢ $78 +$9 09-04 21:33
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes +4,833 $16 2¢ $77 +$62 11-05 16:58
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes +2,000 -$362 4¢ $76 +$438 09-16 03:09
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,632 $85 4¢ $73 -$11 11-06 12:33
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 Yes +764 $51 10¢ $73 +$22 08-21 21:03
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,691 -$46 3¢ $71 +$118 09-05 07:19
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +3,625 $118 2¢ $67 -$50 09-23 08:43
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes +2,750 $40 2¢ $65 +$25 10-06 22:03
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes +300 -$35 22¢ $64 +$100 10-25 22:59
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,243 $63 3¢ $63 $0 10-25 16:37