Essential-Diarist 0x0a7aaf…d6df1b Create alert
whale bot hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$2.09K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.46K
Hit rate
61.0%
Resolved (30d)
216
Trades (30d)
1,831
27,758 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$22.9K
$233.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$6.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 00:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 301 days
Categories
Other
47% 37% +$14,461
Politics
38% 41% +$6,914
Sports
8% 49% -$2,619
Tech
5% 49% +$1,253
Crypto
1% 42% +$376
Pop-Culture
0% 41% -$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 411 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -2,000 -$1,629 82¢ $-1641 -$12 11-05 19:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,200 $614 87¢ $1.0K +$430 10-29 17:55
Will the KMT win the Taipei and New Taipei mayoral elections? Yes +1,650 $111 29¢ $478 +$368 11-13 20:26
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,807 $60 10¢ $267 +$207 11-04 17:16
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +350 $142 74¢ $257 +$115 08-01 12:12
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,700 $164 13¢ $222 +$58 11-06 10:15
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,252 $112 15¢ $182 +$70 11-08 22:09
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? Yes +2,500 -$10 6¢ $162 +$172 11-06 19:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,314 $164 6¢ $150 -$13 11-14 00:51
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +3,578 $170 4¢ $147 -$23 11-10 15:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 -$8 7¢ $141 +$150 11-12 12:27
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,927 $82 7¢ $130 +$48 11-12 20:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,260 $151 3¢ $130 -$21 11-12 22:46
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +125 -$98 96¢ $120 +$218 07-22 05:17
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +2,284 $96 5¢ $120 +$24 10-11 20:58
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -121 -$66 94¢ $-113 -$47 05-16 09:16
Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany? No +2,403 $259 4¢ $106 -$153 11-08 04:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +3,865 -$375 2¢ $93 +$468 11-04 23:15
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,300 $131 3¢ $91 -$41 11-12 20:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,000 $470 9¢ $90 -$380 11-09 15:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +183 -$130 42¢ $76 +$206 11-13 06:01
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,102 $50 6¢ $61 +$11 11-09 14:51
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes +4,833 $16 1¢ $60 +$45 11-05 16:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,443 $50 2¢ $60 +$10 10-29 17:31
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,156 $19 3¢ $59 +$41 10-23 19:48
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes +2,000 -$362 3¢ $59 +$422 09-16 03:09
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +682 $19 8¢ $58 +$39 11-13 16:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +500 -$72 12¢ $58 +$130 11-10 11:06
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +3,625 $118 2¢ $54 -$63 09-23 08:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $68 11¢ $53 -$16 09-04 21:33