Essential-Diarist 0x0a7aaf…d6df1b Create alert
whale bot hot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$2.05K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.17K
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved (30d)
225
Trades (30d)
1,818
27,585 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$22.5K
$231.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$5.73K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 05:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 298 days
Categories
Other
47% 37% +$14,520
Politics
38% 41% +$6,941
Sports
8% 49% -$2,619
Tech
5% 49% +$1,253
Crypto
1% 42% +$376
Pop-Culture
0% 41% -$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 411 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -2,000 -$1,629 82¢ $-1637 -$8 11-05 19:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,200 $614 83¢ $992 +$378 10-29 17:55
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,700 $164 17¢ $295 +$131 11-06 10:15
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +350 $142 78¢ $271 +$129 08-01 12:12
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,807 $60 10¢ $267 +$207 11-04 17:16
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? Yes +2,500 -$10 6¢ $162 +$172 11-06 19:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +679 $57 22¢ $146 +$89 10-07 01:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,000 $470 12¢ $125 -$345 11-09 15:15
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +125 -$98 96¢ $119 +$217 07-22 05:17
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,008 $89 6¢ $113 +$25 11-09 23:43
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -121 -$66 94¢ $-113 -$47 05-16 09:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +3,865 -$375 3¢ $106 +$481 11-04 23:15
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,245 $37 5¢ $102 +$65 10-20 12:04
Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany? No +2,403 $259 4¢ $99 -$160 11-08 04:04
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +3,578 $170 3¢ $95 -$75 11-10 15:53
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,252 $112 8¢ $94 -$18 11-08 22:09
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,948 $91 4¢ $86 -$5 11-09 21:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,443 $50 3¢ $83 +$33 10-29 17:31
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +2,284 $96 3¢ $79 -$17 10-11 20:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +2,708 -$44 3¢ $77 +$121 11-09 19:44
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +1,016 $49 8¢ $76 +$27 11-07 08:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +500 -$72 15¢ $73 +$145 11-10 11:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $68 15¢ $73 +$4 09-04 21:33
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31? Yes +940 $11 7¢ $70 +$58 11-09 14:36
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,102 $50 6¢ $66 +$17 11-09 14:51
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes +2,750 $40 2¢ $65 +$25 10-06 22:03
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 Yes +514 $11 12¢ $64 +$54 11-09 19:45
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,243 $63 3¢ $63 $0 10-25 16:37
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes +4,833 $16 1¢ $60 +$45 11-05 16:58
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes +2,000 -$362 3¢ $58 +$420 09-16 03:09