US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
open
Total volume
$10,054
$56 in 24h
Trades
561
Unique wallets
133
Liquidity
$6,651
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-14 01:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.0¢
(top1%: 26% YES on $2.7K
vs crowd: 27% YES on $7.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $625 | $2.5K | $1.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $727 | $1.1K | $404 |
| 🐟 Fish | 27 | $166 | $484 | $319 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 76 | $520 | $1.4K | $924 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $703 | $2.0K | $1.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $140 | $252 | $112 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $257 | $160 | +$97 |
| Median | 8 | $83 | $10 | +$73 |
| Below median | 21 | $19 | $317 | $298 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $8 | $778 | $770 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $57 | $127 | $70 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $366 | $132 | +$234 |
| unranked | 57 | $404 | $1.8K | $1.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +2,493 | $394 | $493 | 54 | 08-12 12:32 |
| Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | +1,652 | $1,412 | $1,412 | 12 | 08-06 15:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8115…f0d4 | No | +1,450 | $1,305 | $1,305 | 5 | 08-14 01:15 |
| Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | Yes | +1,215 | $259 | $259 | 30 | 07-14 13:11 |
| Stiff-Activist 0x15d4…56a2 | Yes | +1,150 | $115 | $115 | 2 | 08-13 12:11 |
| Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | +1,100 | $253 | $253 | 23 | 07-04 05:09 |
| Chubby-Prior 0x8797…bbbe | No | +1,000 | $778 | $778 | 1 | 07-04 05:09 |
| Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | +750 | $610 | $610 | 1 | 07-08 10:31 |
| Shadowy-Possible 0xef9f…8924 | Yes | +693 | $160 | $270 | 19 | 07-31 03:10 |
| Adolescent-Trousers 0x95bf…e00b | No | +304 | $217 | $217 | 9 | 07-03 13:13 |
| Ample-Camp 0x7319…0299 | Yes | +225 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 07-14 13:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x43b8…0368 | Yes | +200 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 08-14 01:15 |
| Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | +200 | $162 | $162 | 1 | 07-05 13:53 |
| Aggressive-Polenta 0x5e92…618a | No | +175 | $140 | $140 | 1 | 07-06 15:05 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +131 | $18 | $95 | 11 | 08-02 21:40 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +99 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 07-06 01:46 |
| Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | +60 | $49 | $49 | 4 | 07-09 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e5f…82fe | Yes | +53 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-15 18:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xea2e…1e57 | Yes | +42 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-24 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | +40 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-02 06:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x42cc…4ee3 | Yes | +35 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-04 06:59 |
| Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | Yes | +35 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-14 13:11 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +29 | $26 | $276 | 16 | 08-12 12:32 |
| Defiant-Disruption 0x3cd7…e9af | No | +26 | $21 | $21 | 5 | 07-07 18:52 |
| Forthright-Extremist 0xde64…a821 | Yes | +25 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 10:31 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +24 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 06-01 21:44 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +23 | $6 | $66 | 18 | 07-05 23:36 |
| Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | No | +23 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-15 18:15 |
| Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | +23 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-05 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x7157…e799 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-27 20:58 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 08-02 06:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x013d…1441 | Yes | +12 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-24 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +10 | $8 | $30 | 5 | 08-14 01:15 |
| Different-Flugelhorn 0xd212…42c4 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-07 00:51 |
| Hasty-Farmer 0xe9e3…b7de | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-12 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x1957…5c58 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-30 07:39 |
| Hateful-Chestnut 0x3e9c…b879 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-01 07:19 |
| Attentive-Retention 0x7421…d03e | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-05 21:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-02 06:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xd66d…b64a | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-15 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x8710…a7cf | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-02 21:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 02:40 |
| Vengeful-Rhythm 0x8a2e…d3ca | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-10 10:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 08-14 01:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x3be5…f7fe | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-31 14:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-12 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $4 | $13 | 3 | 08-12 12:32 |
| Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | Yes | +5 | $1 | $2 | 2 | 08-10 15:24 |
| Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 15:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 01:15:46 | (anonymous) 0x8115…f0d4 | No | BUY | 127 | 90¢ | $114 | 0x55f743… |
| 08-14 01:15:46 | (anonymous) 0x43b8…0368 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0x55f743… |
| 08-14 01:15:46 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x55f743… |
| 08-14 01:15:46 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 68 | 10¢ | $7 | 0x55f743… |
| 08-13 16:10:06 | (anonymous) 0x31b2…1f93 | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x98a095… |
| 08-13 16:10:06 | (anonymous) 0x8115…f0d4 | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x98a095… |
| 08-13 12:11:18 | Stiff-Activist 0x15d4…56a2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x209afb… |
| 08-13 12:11:18 | (anonymous) 0x8115…f0d4 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x209afb… |
| 08-13 12:09:49 | Stiff-Activist 0x15d4…56a2 | Yes | BUY | 1,130 | 10¢ | $113 | 0x900e9d… |
| 08-13 12:09:49 | (anonymous) 0x8115…f0d4 | No | BUY | 1,130 | 90¢ | $1,017 | 0x900e9d… |
| 08-12 12:32:21 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x2f27cd… |
| 08-12 12:32:21 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x2f27cd… |
| 08-12 12:32:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x2f27cd… |
| 08-12 12:32:21 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x2f27cd… |
| 08-12 12:30:57 | Dark-Thunderstorm 0x6f7a…15fa | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xe3088f… |
| 08-12 12:30:57 | (anonymous) 0x8115…f0d4 | No | BUY | 166 | 90¢ | $149 | 0xe3088f… |
| 08-12 12:30:57 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 146 | 10¢ | $15 | 0xe3088f… |
| 08-12 12:22:22 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x1e5ef2… |
| 08-12 12:22:22 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x1e5ef2… |
| 08-12 10:19:37 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xb45668… |
| 08-12 10:19:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb45668… |
| 08-11 22:16:28 | (anonymous) 0x2702…7cb4 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x4e64ae… |
| 08-11 22:16:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x4e64ae… |
| 08-10 15:24:39 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x2cea15… |
| 08-10 15:24:39 | Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x2cea15… |
| 08-07 09:19:37 | (anonymous) 0xfdce…0c77 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x6c8e0e… |
| 08-07 09:19:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x6c8e0e… |
| 08-06 18:43:53 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7748c9… |
| 08-06 18:43:53 | (anonymous) 0x4e44…15d1 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7748c9… |
| 08-06 18:43:21 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4d6bbc… |
| 08-06 18:43:21 | (anonymous) 0x4e44…15d1 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4d6bbc… |
| 08-06 15:03:39 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 52 | 89¢ | $46 | 0x8773a5… |
| 08-06 15:03:39 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 52 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x8773a5… |
| 08-06 08:54:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xdad239… |
| 08-06 08:54:26 | (anonymous) 0xf8f5…394c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xdad239… |
| 08-05 21:20:35 | Attentive-Retention 0x7421…d03e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xdcec0a… |
| 08-05 21:20:35 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xdcec0a… |
| 08-05 14:14:54 | (anonymous) 0xf8f5…394c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x265c17… |
| 08-05 14:14:54 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x265c17… |
| 08-05 13:42:18 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x42da28… |
| 08-05 13:42:18 | (anonymous) 0xf8f5…394c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x42da28… |
| 08-05 13:41:38 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xcec1e5… |
| 08-05 13:41:38 | (anonymous) 0xf8f5…394c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xcec1e5… |
| 08-04 08:22:02 | (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | SELL | 110 | 11¢ | $12 | 0xa8d159… |
| 08-04 08:22:02 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 110 | 11¢ | $12 | 0xa8d159… |
| 08-04 06:59:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xa9947b… |
| 08-04 06:59:12 | (anonymous) 0x42cc…4ee3 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xa9947b… |
| 08-04 06:59:12 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa9947b… |
| 08-04 04:40:06 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xb80194… |
| 08-04 04:40:06 | Dark-Thunderstorm 0x6f7a…15fa | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xb80194… |
| 08-04 01:48:23 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 198 | 12¢ | $24 | 0x4bc4f5… |
| 08-04 01:48:23 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 198 | 88¢ | $174 | 0x4bc4f5… |
| 08-04 01:43:21 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x89bfba… |
| 08-04 01:43:21 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 198 | 87¢ | $172 | 0x89bfba… |
| 08-04 01:43:21 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 193 | 13¢ | $25 | 0x89bfba… |
| 08-03 15:56:24 | (anonymous) 0xfdce…0c77 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xecc151… |
| 08-03 15:56:24 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0xecc151… |
| 08-03 13:23:50 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x2c02c5… |
| 08-03 13:23:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x2c02c5… |
| 08-03 13:23:48 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xf92cb1… |
| 08-03 13:23:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xf92cb1… |
| 08-03 13:22:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 168 | 14¢ | $23 | 0x2eed00… |
| 08-03 13:22:42 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 168 | 86¢ | $144 | 0x2eed00… |
| 08-02 21:41:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0xbe20c1… |
| 08-02 21:41:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xbe20c1… |
| 08-02 21:40:05 | (anonymous) 0x8710…a7cf | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x010a84… |
| 08-02 21:40:05 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 315 | 86¢ | $270 | 0x010a84… |
| 08-02 21:40:05 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 13¢ | $14 | 0x010a84… |
| 08-02 21:40:05 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 198 | 15¢ | $30 | 0x010a84… |
| 08-02 06:13:20 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xa42438… |
| 08-02 06:13:20 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 181 | 85¢ | $153 | 0xa42438… |
| 08-02 06:13:20 | Overcooked-Plowman 0x3373…3716 | No | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xa42438… |
| 08-02 06:13:20 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa42438… |
| 08-02 06:13:20 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 117 | 16¢ | $19 | 0xa42438… |
| 08-02 06:13:20 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa42438… |
| 08-02 06:13:20 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa42438… |
| 07-31 14:15:39 | (anonymous) 0xeea2…b499 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x74f169… |
| 07-31 14:15:39 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x74f169… |
| 07-31 14:14:36 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x24a4bf… |
| 07-31 14:14:36 | (anonymous) 0xeea2…b499 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x24a4bf… |
| 07-31 14:14:36 | (anonymous) 0x3be5…f7fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x24a4bf… |
| 07-31 03:10:18 | Shadowy-Possible 0xef9f…8924 | Yes | SELL | 127 | 18¢ | $23 | 0xf78953… |
| 07-31 03:10:18 | 0x9e7aa5b92f925163add7b0a9385f41b68e22390e 0x5380…9592 | No | SELL | 127 | 82¢ | $104 | 0xf78953… |
| 07-29 15:21:56 | (anonymous) 0xeea2…b499 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x747fb7… |
| 07-29 15:21:56 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x747fb7… |
| 07-29 15:21:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x747fb7… |
| 07-29 15:20:06 | (anonymous) 0xeea2…b499 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xacc679… |
| 07-29 15:20:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xacc679… |
| 07-28 01:02:03 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x538932… |
| 07-28 01:02:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x538932… |
| 07-27 20:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x31b2…1f93 | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x5564f1… |
| 07-27 20:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x31b2…1f93 | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x7834c4… |
| 07-27 20:58:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x7834c4… |
| 07-27 20:58:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x5564f1… |
| 07-27 20:58:39 | (anonymous) 0x7157…e799 | No | BUY | 17 | 84¢ | $15 | 0x9ca7a4… |
| 07-27 20:58:39 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x9ca7a4… |
| 07-27 20:58:36 | Overcooked-Plowman 0x3373…3716 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x63c3d7… |
| 07-27 20:58:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 124 | 17¢ | $21 | 0xfa6e7a… |
| 07-27 20:58:36 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 124 | 83¢ | $103 | 0xfa6e7a… |
| 07-27 20:58:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 47 | 83¢ | $39 | 0xdacb32… |