US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
open
Total volume
$3,872
$56 in 24h
Trades
306
Unique wallets
79
Liquidity
$6,651
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
79¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-04 15:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+57.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $212
vs crowd: 43% YES on $2.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $495 | $250 | +$246 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $193 | $869 | $676 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $139 | $370 | $231 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 49 | $338 | $71 | +$267 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $212 | — | +$212 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $25 | $241 | $216 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $182 | $2 | +$180 |
| Median | 7 | $62 | $5 | +$57 |
| Below median | 17 | $12 | $317 | $304 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $2 | $778 | $776 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $12 | $79 | $67 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $335 | $34 | +$301 |
| unranked | 29 | $323 | $104 | +$219 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | +1,100 | $253 | $253 | 23 | 07-04 05:09 |
| Chubby-Prior 0x8797…bbbe | No | +1,000 | $778 | $778 | 1 | 07-04 05:09 |
| Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | Yes | +715 | $169 | $169 | 23 | 06-24 15:40 |
| Shadowy-Possible 0xef9f…8924 | Yes | +654 | $149 | $149 | 9 | 07-04 15:12 |
| Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | +417 | $303 | $303 | 9 | 06-05 01:29 |
| Adolescent-Trousers 0x95bf…e00b | No | +304 | $217 | $217 | 9 | 07-03 13:13 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +198 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 07-04 05:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +59 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 07-02 15:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e5f…82fe | Yes | +53 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-15 18:15 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +51 | $11 | $39 | 4 | 07-04 12:44 |
| Opulent-Jackfruit 0x6f8d…6e2a | Yes | +43 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-19 03:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xea2e…1e57 | Yes | +42 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-24 15:40 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +24 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 06-01 21:44 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +23 | $6 | $54 | 15 | 06-25 13:00 |
| Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | +23 | $6 | $17 | 11 | 07-04 05:19 |
| Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | No | +23 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-15 18:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x013d…1441 | Yes | +12 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-24 15:40 |
| Uneven-Pipe 0x9ac0…d756 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-02 18:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1957…5c58 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-30 07:39 |
| Hateful-Chestnut 0x3e9c…b879 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-01 07:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x2702…7cb4 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 13:13 |
| Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e92…9b2e | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 15:40 |
| Hasty-Farmer 0xe9e3…b7de | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 04:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xcece…a1e7 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 11:54 |
| Sweaty-Dimple 0x87dd…a18e | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e9f…91db | Yes | +2 | $2 | $95 | 3 | 06-23 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x2223…640e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-02 17:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xdfab…5fb5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 16:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 15:12:05 | Shadowy-Possible 0xef9f…8924 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x6ea69e… |
| 07-04 15:12:05 | (anonymous) 0x1307…fb6c | Yes | SELL | 28 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x6ea69e… |
| 07-04 12:44:59 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 16 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x8fd5ba… |
| 07-04 12:44:59 | (anonymous) 0x1307…fb6c | Yes | BUY | 28 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x8fd5ba… |
| 07-04 12:44:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x8fd5ba… |
| 07-04 12:44:59 | Turbulent-Binoculars 0xa1e5…79da | Yes | SELL | 3 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x8fd5ba… |
| 07-04 05:19:23 | Turbulent-Binoculars 0xa1e5…79da | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x81c529… |
| 07-04 05:19:23 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x81c529… |
| 07-04 05:09:08 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xa7a911… |
| 07-04 05:09:08 | Shadowy-Possible 0xef9f…8924 | Yes | BUY | 126 | 19¢ | $24 | 0xa7a911… |
| 07-04 05:09:08 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xa7a911… |
| 07-04 05:09:08 | Chubby-Prior 0x8797…bbbe | No | BUY | 1,000 | 78¢ | $778 | 0xa7a911… |
| 07-04 05:09:08 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 198 | 22¢ | $43 | 0xa7a911… |
| 07-04 05:09:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 22¢ | $9 | 0xa7a911… |
| 07-04 05:09:08 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 582 | 23¢ | $134 | 0xa7a911… |
| 07-04 05:09:08 | Lighthearted-Living 0x1ea0…2b20 | No | SELL | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xa7a911… |
| 07-03 13:13:49 | (anonymous) 0x2702…7cb4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x54340d… |
| 07-03 13:13:49 | Adolescent-Trousers 0x95bf…e00b | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x54340d… |
| 07-02 18:55:11 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xd05015… |
| 07-02 18:55:11 | Uneven-Pipe 0x9ac0…d756 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xd05015… |
| 07-02 17:26:13 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x2e55a6… |
| 07-02 17:26:13 | (anonymous) 0x2223…640e | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x2e55a6… |
| 07-02 15:10:49 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 59 | 77¢ | $45 | 0xc2184a… |
| 07-02 15:10:49 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 23¢ | $13 | 0xc2184a… |
| 07-02 09:51:53 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x80f8ba… |
| 07-02 09:51:53 | (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x80f8ba… |
| 07-02 03:59:07 | Blond-Grace 0x97b1…1a63 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xa42c3d… |
| 07-02 03:59:07 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xa42c3d… |
| 07-01 20:56:56 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 143 | 23¢ | $33 | 0x6ec947… |
| 07-01 20:56:56 | Dangerous-Lysine 0x4ecb…69d1 | Yes | SELL | 143 | 23¢ | $33 | 0x6ec947… |
| 07-01 18:56:28 | Appropriate-Galoshes 0xa6b3…d56e | Yes | SELL | 17 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xf40997… |
| 07-01 18:56:28 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xf40997… |
| 07-01 17:54:14 | Adolescent-Trousers 0x95bf…e00b | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $3 | 0x1d6bd9… |
| 07-01 17:54:14 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x1d6bd9… |
| 07-01 07:19:04 | Adolescent-Trousers 0x95bf…e00b | No | BUY | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0x5e79a8… |
| 07-01 07:19:04 | Hateful-Chestnut 0x3e9c…b879 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x5e79a8… |
| 06-30 19:41:02 | (anonymous) 0xdfab…5fb5 | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xc480a7… |
| 06-30 19:41:02 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xc480a7… |
| 06-30 19:41:01 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x5260e8… |
| 06-30 19:41:01 | Adolescent-Trousers 0x95bf…e00b | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $3 | 0x5260e8… |
| 06-30 07:39:59 | Turbulent-Binoculars 0xa1e5…79da | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x71db55… |
| 06-30 07:39:59 | (anonymous) 0x1957…5c58 | No | BUY | 8 | 76¢ | $6 | 0x71db55… |
| 06-30 05:47:35 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 23¢ | $13 | 0x066447… |
| 06-30 05:47:35 | (anonymous) 0xf651…3516 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 23¢ | $13 | 0x066447… |
| 06-30 02:40:14 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xe343ba… |
| 06-30 02:40:14 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xe343ba… |
| 06-29 21:35:23 | Digital-Professional 0xb71e…641a | No | SELL | 0 | 75¢ | $0 | 0xbb3186… |
| 06-29 21:35:23 | Adolescent-Trousers 0x95bf…e00b | No | BUY | 0 | 75¢ | $0 | 0xbb3186… |
| 06-29 21:15:05 | Adolescent-Trousers 0x95bf…e00b | No | BUY | 40 | 75¢ | $30 | 0x07cea2… |
| 06-29 21:15:05 | Digital-Professional 0xb71e…641a | No | SELL | 40 | 75¢ | $30 | 0x07cea2… |
| 06-29 21:07:29 | Adolescent-Trousers 0x95bf…e00b | No | BUY | 11 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xbd1f60… |
| 06-29 21:07:29 | Digital-Professional 0xb71e…641a | No | SELL | 11 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xbd1f60… |
| 06-29 21:07:25 | Digital-Professional 0xb71e…641a | No | BUY | 51 | 77¢ | $39 | 0xa98134… |
| 06-29 21:07:25 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 23¢ | $12 | 0xa98134… |
| 06-29 21:06:55 | Digital-Professional 0xb71e…641a | No | SELL | 51 | 75¢ | $38 | 0x7c104c… |
| 06-29 21:06:55 | Adolescent-Trousers 0x95bf…e00b | No | BUY | 51 | 75¢ | $38 | 0x7c104c… |
| 06-29 21:05:44 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 23¢ | $12 | 0xe39c1c… |
| 06-29 21:05:44 | Digital-Professional 0xb71e…641a | No | BUY | 51 | 77¢ | $39 | 0xe39c1c… |
| 06-29 19:41:50 | (anonymous) 0x7ba9…60ab | Yes | SELL | 2 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xfe5a40… |
| 06-29 19:41:50 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xfe5a40… |
| 06-29 19:41:47 | (anonymous) 0x7ba9…60ab | No | SELL | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x0d753a… |
| 06-29 19:41:47 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x0d753a… |
| 06-29 14:08:40 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x5f1bbb… |
| 06-29 14:08:40 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x5f1bbb… |
| 06-29 14:06:01 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xfb2a95… |
| 06-29 14:06:01 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xfb2a95… |
| 06-29 12:24:38 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x214574… |
| 06-29 12:24:38 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x214574… |
| 06-29 12:21:41 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xd96db4… |
| 06-29 12:21:41 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xd96db4… |
| 06-29 02:29:28 | Busy-Bat 0xce50…1e2d | No | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $7 | 0x2984be… |
| 06-29 02:29:28 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x2984be… |
| 06-28 02:43:56 | Red-Girlfriend 0x7b64…8440 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xa5586a… |
| 06-28 02:43:56 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xa5586a… |
| 06-27 15:40:28 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x96674a… |
| 06-27 15:40:28 | Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x96674a… |
| 06-27 14:26:04 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xe0ff63… |
| 06-27 14:26:04 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xe0ff63… |
| 06-27 10:31:55 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x9a29e8… |
| 06-27 10:31:55 | (anonymous) 0xd8e4…a9cf | Yes | SELL | 12 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x9a29e8… |
| 06-26 14:02:52 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x5a42d9… |
| 06-26 14:02:52 | (anonymous) 0xb58c…4f15 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x5a42d9… |
| 06-26 11:54:31 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x38ac2f… |
| 06-26 11:54:31 | (anonymous) 0xcece…a1e7 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x38ac2f… |
| 06-26 07:43:02 | (anonymous) 0xd8e4…a9cf | Yes | BUY | 12 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x2bf1ed… |
| 06-26 07:43:02 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x2bf1ed… |
| 06-26 04:50:28 | Hasty-Farmer 0xe9e3…b7de | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xd179e7… |
| 06-26 04:50:28 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xd179e7… |
| 06-25 19:20:10 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x63a4cf… |
| 06-25 19:20:10 | Popular-Middleman 0x31c4…622f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x63a4cf… |
| 06-25 13:00:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x602d8d… |
| 06-25 13:00:26 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x602d8d… |
| 06-25 12:58:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $3 | 0x29f1f1… |
| 06-25 12:58:46 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x29f1f1… |
| 06-24 17:35:50 | Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x47bbc7… |
| 06-24 17:35:50 | (anonymous) 0x5c41…8794 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x47bbc7… |
| 06-24 15:40:13 | (anonymous) 0x5c41…8794 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x24a34a… |
| 06-24 15:40:13 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x24a34a… |
| 06-24 15:40:10 | (anonymous) 0xb58c…4f15 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x560310… |
| 06-24 15:40:10 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x53fbca… |