US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,724
$56 in 24h
Trades
94
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$6,651
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-08 02:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+45.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $65
vs crowd: 55% YES on $1.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $130 | $140 | $11 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $120 | $2 | +$118 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $52 | $15 | +$36 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $263 | $308 | $45 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $65 | — | +$65 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $7 | $124 | $117 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $150 | $2 | +$148 |
| Median | 3 | $3 | $5 | $2 |
| Below median | 7 | $1 | $311 | $310 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $65 | $24 | +$41 |
| unranked | 8 | $262 | — | +$262 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shadowy-Possible 0xef9f…8924 | Yes | +500 | $120 | $120 | 7 | 06-07 19:19 |
| Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | +417 | $303 | $303 | 9 | 06-05 01:29 |
| Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | Yes | +264 | $65 | $65 | 5 | 06-07 19:19 |
| Adolescent-Trousers 0x95bf…e00b | No | +180 | $124 | $124 | 1 | 06-04 19:47 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +173 | $42 | $56 | 4 | 06-05 16:09 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +26 | $6 | $53 | 14 | 06-07 19:19 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +24 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 06-01 21:44 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $28 | 2 | 06-05 16:09 |
| Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 16:42 |
| Red-Girlfriend 0x7b64…8440 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-27 21:39 |
| Sweaty-Dimple 0x87dd…a18e | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 14:17 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 16:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 02:50:21 | (anonymous) 0x87ce…7dbe | No | SELL | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xc8e733… |
| 06-08 02:50:21 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xc8e733… |
| 06-07 21:08:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0x482ef4… |
| 06-07 21:08:33 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0x482ef4… |
| 06-07 19:19:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xc95bac… |
| 06-07 19:19:40 | Shadowy-Possible 0xef9f…8924 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0xc95bac… |
| 06-07 19:19:40 | Easy-Going-Browser 0xf9e1…e46f | No | SELL | 24 | 75¢ | $18 | 0xc95bac… |
| 06-07 19:19:40 | Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | Yes | BUY | 49 | 23¢ | $11 | 0xc95bac… |
| 06-07 19:19:40 | (anonymous) 0xaadf…51a4 | Yes | SELL | 89 | 24¢ | $21 | 0xc95bac… |
| 06-07 17:33:21 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xe07e52… |
| 06-07 17:33:21 | Easy-Going-Browser 0xf9e1…e46f | No | SELL | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xe07e52… |
| 06-07 13:41:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x95393c… |
| 06-07 13:41:13 | Shadowy-Possible 0xef9f…8924 | Yes | BUY | 93 | 24¢ | $22 | 0x95393c… |
| 06-07 13:41:13 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | Yes | SELL | 103 | 24¢ | $25 | 0x95393c… |
| 06-06 02:46:04 | Cautious-Compliance 0xd3de…fe0e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x75097d… |
| 06-06 02:46:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 75¢ | $7 | 0x75097d… |
| 06-06 02:45:31 | Cautious-Compliance 0xd3de…fe0e | No | SELL | 15 | 71¢ | $11 | 0xc20fe6… |
| 06-06 02:45:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 29¢ | $4 | 0xc20fe6… |
| 06-05 16:09:37 | Knowledgeable-Masonry 0x6eb0…766a | Yes | BUY | 103 | 29¢ | $29 | 0x5b065b… |
| 06-05 16:09:37 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x5b065b… |
| 06-05 16:09:37 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x5b065b… |
| 06-05 16:09:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 29¢ | $12 | 0x5b065b… |
| 06-05 16:09:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x5b065b… |
| 06-05 15:59:49 | Shadowy-Possible 0xef9f…8924 | Yes | BUY | 195 | 24¢ | $47 | 0xaff1e4… |
| 06-05 15:59:49 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 182 | 25¢ | $45 | 0xaff1e4… |
| 06-05 15:59:49 | (anonymous) 0xf443…bddb | Yes | SELL | 803 | 25¢ | $204 | 0xaff1e4… |
| 06-05 15:59:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 27¢ | $16 | 0xaff1e4… |
| 06-05 15:59:49 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xaff1e4… |
| 06-05 15:59:49 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | No | SELL | 16 | 72¢ | $11 | 0xaff1e4… |
| 06-05 06:37:10 | (anonymous) 0x3319…df65 | Yes | SELL | 159 | 28¢ | $44 | 0xcc8778… |
| 06-05 06:37:10 | (anonymous) 0xf443…bddb | Yes | BUY | 159 | 28¢ | $44 | 0xcc8778… |
| 06-05 02:47:43 | (anonymous) 0xf443…bddb | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x187f19… |
| 06-05 02:47:43 | (anonymous) 0x87ce…7dbe | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x187f19… |
| 06-05 01:29:42 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | BUY | 68 | 72¢ | $49 | 0x4226e9… |
| 06-05 01:29:42 | (anonymous) 0xf443…bddb | Yes | BUY | 68 | 28¢ | $19 | 0x4226e9… |
| 06-04 21:13:55 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | BUY | 134 | 72¢ | $96 | 0x6e0836… |
| 06-04 21:13:55 | (anonymous) 0xf443…bddb | Yes | BUY | 134 | 28¢ | $38 | 0x6e0836… |
| 06-04 21:09:40 | (anonymous) 0xf443…bddb | Yes | BUY | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x95ff0e… |
| 06-04 21:09:40 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | BUY | 17 | 72¢ | $12 | 0x95ff0e… |
| 06-04 21:05:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 17 | 29¢ | $5 | 0xd4dda0… |
| 06-04 21:05:48 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | BUY | 17 | 71¢ | $12 | 0xd4dda0… |
| 06-04 20:00:03 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | BUY | 15 | 72¢ | $11 | 0x38dc49… |
| 06-04 20:00:03 | (anonymous) 0xf443…bddb | Yes | BUY | 15 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x38dc49… |
| 06-04 19:54:51 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | BUY | 25 | 71¢ | $18 | 0x8c01db… |
| 06-04 19:54:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0x8c01db… |
| 06-04 19:52:16 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | BUY | 64 | 72¢ | $46 | 0x154a09… |
| 06-04 19:52:16 | (anonymous) 0xf443…bddb | Yes | BUY | 64 | 28¢ | $18 | 0x154a09… |
| 06-04 19:47:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 36 | 27¢ | $10 | 0x3bcb69… |
| 06-04 19:47:42 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x3bcb69… |
| 06-04 19:47:42 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | No | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $5 | 0x3bcb69… |
| 06-04 19:47:42 | (anonymous) 0xf443…bddb | Yes | BUY | 339 | 29¢ | $100 | 0x3bcb69… |
| 06-04 19:47:42 | Adolescent-Trousers 0x95bf…e00b | No | BUY | 180 | 69¢ | $124 | 0x3bcb69… |
| 06-04 19:47:42 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 27¢ | $12 | 0x3bcb69… |
| 06-04 17:52:15 | Shadowy-Possible 0xef9f…8924 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 24¢ | $6 | 0x607dda… |
| 06-04 17:52:15 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | BUY | 23 | 76¢ | $17 | 0x607dda… |
| 06-04 17:43:58 | Shadowy-Possible 0xef9f…8924 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 24¢ | $13 | 0x470cad… |
| 06-04 17:43:58 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | BUY | 54 | 76¢ | $41 | 0x470cad… |
| 06-04 16:42:12 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xec6c85… |
| 06-04 16:42:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xec6c85… |
| 06-04 13:15:58 | Spiteful-Comic 0x5d6b…b03a | Yes | SELL | 22 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x3426f6… |
| 06-04 13:15:58 | Shadowy-Possible 0xef9f…8924 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x3426f6… |
| 06-03 16:58:46 | Shadowy-Possible 0xef9f…8924 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 24¢ | $27 | 0xac9f95… |
| 06-03 16:58:46 | Trifling-Wing 0x1e0f…6e94 | Yes | SELL | 113 | 24¢ | $27 | 0xac9f95… |
| 06-02 12:53:32 | (anonymous) 0xa5df…25d5 | Yes | SELL | 147 | 25¢ | $37 | 0xd7e461… |
| 06-02 12:53:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 26¢ | $4 | 0xd7e461… |
| 06-02 12:53:32 | Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | Yes | BUY | 53 | 25¢ | $13 | 0xd7e461… |
| 06-02 12:53:32 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xd7e461… |
| 06-01 21:44:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x26b50e… |
| 06-01 21:44:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x26b50e… |
| 06-01 21:42:53 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 26¢ | $12 | 0x1a7632… |
| 06-01 21:42:53 | Dependent-Sausage 0x904f…50c6 | Yes | SELL | 204 | 25¢ | $52 | 0x1a7632… |
| 06-01 21:42:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 22 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x1a7632… |
| 06-01 21:42:53 | Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | Yes | BUY | 136 | 25¢ | $34 | 0x1a7632… |
| 06-01 12:14:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x57b56f… |
| 06-01 12:14:27 | Well-Informed-Channel 0xb7e6…d9e3 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x57b56f… |
| 05-31 20:51:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x232385… |
| 05-31 20:51:27 | Nutty-Casket 0xef31…8269 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x232385… |
| 05-30 15:18:10 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | SELL | 11 | 73¢ | $8 | 0x9f2f56… |
| 05-30 15:18:10 | (anonymous) 0x1aac…d1e3 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x9f2f56… |
| 05-30 03:37:27 | Lumpy-Anybody 0x57c4…115c | No | SELL | 140 | 70¢ | $98 | 0x52eb67… |
| 05-30 03:37:27 | (anonymous) 0x0989…1b82 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 30¢ | $30 | 0x52eb67… |
| 05-30 03:37:27 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 11 | 71¢ | $8 | 0x52eb67… |
| 05-30 03:37:27 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | No | BUY | 3 | 69¢ | $2 | 0x52eb67… |
| 05-30 03:37:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x52eb67… |
| 05-29 14:17:56 | Sweaty-Dimple 0x87dd…a18e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xece6be… |
| 05-29 14:17:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xece6be… |
| 05-29 14:17:54 | (anonymous) 0xec9b…563a | Yes | SELL | 29 | 25¢ | $7 | 0xa801a9… |
| 05-29 14:17:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xa801a9… |
| 05-29 14:17:54 | Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | Yes | BUY | 24 | 25¢ | $6 | 0xa801a9… |
| 05-28 04:14:53 | gmolate 0xc0fa…4f92 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x083196… |
| 05-28 04:14:53 | Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x083196… |
| 05-28 04:14:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x083196… |
| 05-27 21:39:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x48650d… |
| 05-27 21:39:46 | Red-Girlfriend 0x7b64…8440 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x48650d… |