US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
open
Total volume
$6,815
$56 in 24h
Trades
453
Unique wallets
110
Liquidity
$6,651
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-22 19:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.1¢
(top1%: 36% YES on $1.4K
vs crowd: 35% YES on $4.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $608 | $1.3K | $716 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $523 | $917 | $394 |
| 🐟 Fish | 24 | $166 | $677 | $511 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 60 | $350 | $97 | +$252 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $505 | $882 | $377 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $25 | $246 | $221 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $257 | $104 | +$153 |
| Median | 8 | $83 | $5 | +$78 |
| Below median | 20 | $14 | $317 | $303 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $55 | $905 | $850 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $352 | $130 | +$222 |
| unranked | 40 | $349 | $427 | $78 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | Yes | +1,215 | $259 | $259 | 30 | 07-14 13:11 |
| Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | +1,100 | $253 | $253 | 23 | 07-04 05:09 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,051 | $205 | $288 | 24 | 07-22 08:40 |
| Chubby-Prior 0x8797…bbbe | No | +1,000 | $778 | $778 | 1 | 07-04 05:09 |
| Shadowy-Possible 0xef9f…8924 | Yes | +932 | $203 | $227 | 15 | 07-22 19:16 |
| Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | +750 | $610 | $610 | 1 | 07-08 10:31 |
| Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | +325 | $272 | $272 | 2 | 07-15 11:57 |
| Adolescent-Trousers 0x95bf…e00b | No | +304 | $217 | $217 | 9 | 07-03 13:13 |
| Ample-Camp 0x7319…0299 | Yes | +225 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 07-14 13:11 |
| Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | +200 | $162 | $162 | 1 | 07-05 13:53 |
| Aggressive-Polenta 0x5e92…618a | No | +175 | $140 | $140 | 1 | 07-06 15:05 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +99 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 07-06 01:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +80 | $15 | $23 | 3 | 07-15 18:12 |
| Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | +60 | $49 | $49 | 4 | 07-09 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e5f…82fe | Yes | +53 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-15 18:15 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +45 | $37 | $159 | 12 | 07-18 17:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xea2e…1e57 | Yes | +42 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-24 15:40 |
| Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | Yes | +35 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-14 13:11 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +31 | $5 | $78 | 8 | 07-15 17:48 |
| Defiant-Disruption 0x3cd7…e9af | No | +26 | $21 | $21 | 5 | 07-07 18:52 |
| Forthright-Extremist 0xde64…a821 | Yes | +25 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 10:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x2702…7cb4 | Yes | +25 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 07-12 04:41 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +24 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 06-01 21:44 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +23 | $6 | $66 | 18 | 07-05 23:36 |
| Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | No | +23 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-15 18:15 |
| Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | +23 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-05 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x013d…1441 | Yes | +12 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-24 15:40 |
| Different-Flugelhorn 0xd212…42c4 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-07 00:51 |
| Hasty-Farmer 0xe9e3…b7de | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-12 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x1957…5c58 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-30 07:39 |
| Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | +8 | $4 | $26 | 16 | 07-11 18:53 |
| Hateful-Chestnut 0x3e9c…b879 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-01 07:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xd66d…b64a | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-15 11:57 |
| Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 18:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 02:40 |
| Vengeful-Rhythm 0x8a2e…d3ca | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-10 10:58 |
| Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e92…9b2e | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xcece…a1e7 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 11:54 |
| Sweaty-Dimple 0x87dd…a18e | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x31b2…1f93 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-15 11:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e9f…91db | Yes | +2 | $2 | $95 | 3 | 06-23 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x2223…640e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-02 17:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xdfab…5fb5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 16:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 19:16:18 | Shadowy-Possible 0xef9f…8924 | Yes | SELL | 68 | 18¢ | $12 | 0x52d575… |
| 07-22 19:16:18 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 68 | 82¢ | $56 | 0x52d575… |
| 07-22 08:40:39 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xbb589d… |
| 07-22 08:40:39 | Aggravating-Photodiode 0x662b…eb47 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xbb589d… |
| 07-22 07:31:52 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x9ccb92… |
| 07-22 07:31:52 | Bruised-Venison 0xfc83…e1aa | No | SELL | 25 | 81¢ | $20 | 0x9ccb92… |
| 07-21 21:35:25 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 134 | 81¢ | $109 | 0x20b3db… |
| 07-21 21:35:25 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | SELL | 134 | 19¢ | $25 | 0x20b3db… |
| 07-21 21:35:12 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 17 | 81¢ | $14 | 0xcb2281… |
| 07-21 21:35:12 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 19¢ | $3 | 0xcb2281… |
| 07-21 10:21:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 37 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x1701b5… |
| 07-21 10:21:04 | (anonymous) 0x19d5…ced0 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x1701b5… |
| 07-18 17:26:16 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x551efb… |
| 07-18 17:26:16 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 27 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x551efb… |
| 07-18 17:26:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 33 | 82¢ | $27 | 0x551efb… |
| 07-16 17:39:38 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 19¢ | $3 | 0xe17685… |
| 07-16 17:39:38 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 17 | 81¢ | $14 | 0xe17685… |
| 07-16 14:38:25 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0xb947ac… |
| 07-16 14:38:25 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xb947ac… |
| 07-16 05:04:46 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 19¢ | $3 | 0xa7b04e… |
| 07-16 05:04:46 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 17 | 81¢ | $14 | 0xa7b04e… |
| 07-16 04:23:20 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 19¢ | $10 | 0xf0c88e… |
| 07-16 04:23:20 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 52 | 81¢ | $42 | 0xf0c88e… |
| 07-16 02:08:52 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x1daf34… |
| 07-16 02:08:52 | Jumpy-Liquor 0xabb9…bdc2 | No | SELL | 3 | 81¢ | $2 | 0x1daf34… |
| 07-15 18:13:11 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x294d7e… |
| 07-15 18:13:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x294d7e… |
| 07-15 18:13:10 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x429015… |
| 07-15 18:13:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x429015… |
| 07-15 18:13:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x7914af… |
| 07-15 18:13:07 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x7914af… |
| 07-15 18:12:58 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x458c4f… |
| 07-15 18:12:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x458c4f… |
| 07-15 18:12:49 | Uneven-Pipe 0x9ac0…d756 | No | SELL | 137 | 82¢ | $112 | 0xa3b9ac… |
| 07-15 18:12:49 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xa3b9ac… |
| 07-15 18:12:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 117 | 18¢ | $21 | 0xa3b9ac… |
| 07-15 17:57:29 | (anonymous) 0x0e38…e544 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xcaa5ca… |
| 07-15 17:57:29 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xcaa5ca… |
| 07-15 17:51:19 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xf8edbf… |
| 07-15 17:51:19 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 25 | 82¢ | $20 | 0xf8edbf… |
| 07-15 17:51:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 35 | 18¢ | $6 | 0x317b6e… |
| 07-15 17:51:07 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 35 | 82¢ | $29 | 0x317b6e… |
| 07-15 17:50:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x54485b… |
| 07-15 17:50:55 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x54485b… |
| 07-15 17:50:43 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 8 | 82¢ | $7 | 0x7ded8a… |
| 07-15 17:50:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x7ded8a… |
| 07-15 17:50:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xd645b8… |
| 07-15 17:50:31 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 7 | 82¢ | $6 | 0xd645b8… |
| 07-15 17:48:49 | Uneven-Pipe 0x9ac0…d756 | No | SELL | 86 | 83¢ | $71 | 0xf7d054… |
| 07-15 17:48:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 86 | 17¢ | $15 | 0xf7d054… |
| 07-15 17:43:46 | Radiant-Tab 0xcb7e…28dd | No | SELL | 25 | 83¢ | $21 | 0x71ccee… |
| 07-15 17:43:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x71ccee… |
| 07-15 11:57:47 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 33 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x82c23e… |
| 07-15 11:57:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 33 | 84¢ | $28 | 0x82c23e… |
| 07-15 11:57:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 15¢ | $17 | 0xadf590… |
| 07-15 11:57:13 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 116 | 85¢ | $98 | 0xadf590… |
| 07-15 11:57:13 | (anonymous) 0xd66d…b64a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xadf590… |
| 07-15 11:56:44 | (anonymous) 0x31b2…1f93 | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x4718b6… |
| 07-15 11:56:44 | (anonymous) 0xd66d…b64a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x4718b6… |
| 07-15 11:56:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0xe5783d… |
| 07-15 11:56:38 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 209 | 83¢ | $174 | 0xe5783d… |
| 07-15 11:56:38 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 198 | 17¢ | $34 | 0xe5783d… |
| 07-14 13:11:26 | (anonymous) 0x0e38…e544 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x3b5277… |
| 07-14 13:11:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0x3b5277… |
| 07-14 13:11:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 198 | 18¢ | $36 | 0x4fd40f… |
| 07-14 13:11:22 | Ample-Camp 0x7319…0299 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 19¢ | $38 | 0x4fd40f… |
| 07-14 13:11:22 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x4fd40f… |
| 07-14 13:11:22 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 27 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x4fd40f… |
| 07-14 13:11:22 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 59 | 82¢ | $48 | 0x4fd40f… |
| 07-14 13:11:22 | Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | Yes | BUY | 23 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x4fd40f… |
| 07-14 13:11:22 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | SELL | 516 | 18¢ | $95 | 0x4fd40f… |
| 07-13 21:52:19 | Opulent-Jackfruit 0x6f8d…6e2a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xd039f3… |
| 07-13 21:52:19 | Ample-Camp 0x7319…0299 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xd039f3… |
| 07-12 15:31:10 | Opulent-Jackfruit 0x6f8d…6e2a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x4794fb… |
| 07-12 15:31:10 | Scientific-Crazy 0x53f9…80b7 | No | SELL | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x4794fb… |
| 07-12 12:38:58 | (anonymous) 0x1698…4f46 | No | SELL | 7 | 81¢ | $6 | 0xbb761a… |
| 07-12 12:38:58 | Opulent-Jackfruit 0x6f8d…6e2a | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xbb761a… |
| 07-12 04:41:05 | (anonymous) 0x2702…7cb4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x850df2… |
| 07-12 04:41:05 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x850df2… |
| 07-12 04:40:53 | Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | Yes | BUY | 149 | 18¢ | $27 | 0x850bc0… |
| 07-12 04:40:53 | Flashy-Aunt 0x40fe…3bfd | Yes | SELL | 149 | 18¢ | $27 | 0x850bc0… |
| 07-12 04:13:37 | (anonymous) 0x2702…7cb4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x0d81cb… |
| 07-12 04:13:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x0d81cb… |
| 07-12 04:13:25 | Gentle-Nectar 0x6066…ac8f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x67de2f… |
| 07-12 04:13:25 | Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x67de2f… |
| 07-12 03:03:07 | Hasty-Farmer 0xe9e3…b7de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x97c721… |
| 07-12 03:03:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x97c721… |
| 07-11 18:53:35 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xabf273… |
| 07-11 18:53:35 | (anonymous) 0x2702…7cb4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xabf273… |
| 07-11 18:53:34 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xb1bab6… |
| 07-11 18:53:34 | Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xb1bab6… |
| 07-10 10:58:02 | (anonymous) 0x2702…7cb4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x37ffbd… |
| 07-10 10:58:02 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x37ffbd… |
| 07-10 10:58:01 | Vengeful-Rhythm 0x8a2e…d3ca | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xcbaba4… |
| 07-10 10:58:01 | Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xcbaba4… |
| 07-10 00:54:04 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf8a6ab… |
| 07-10 00:54:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf8a6ab… |
| 07-09 20:52:38 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 22 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x5b9961… |
| 07-09 20:52:38 | Exotic-Prize 0x40cf…d21d | Yes | BUY | 22 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x5b9961… |
| 07-09 13:51:26 | Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | BUY | 25 | 81¢ | $20 | 0x0a4631… |