Ample-Camp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$709

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,371

lifetime

Volume

$132.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-01 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

84% 50% $-709

Other

11% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	108	$11.1K	36,521	37,821	-1,300	open	—	02-28 23:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	18	$9.2K	6,544	6,544	+0	open	—	04-07 23:12
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$8.2K	4,140	4,140	+0	open	—	04-08 00:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	62	$8.1K	8,520	8,520	+0	Yes	$-1,344	05-08 19:19
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	27	$7.8K	12,847	12,847	+0	open	—	04-20 16:32
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in january 2026	10	$7.3K	4,122	4,122	+0	open	—	01-21 14:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	18	$7.1K	7,046	7,046	+0	open	—	04-09 23:20
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	38	$5.6K	7,356	6,928	+428	open	—	01-30 11:05
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	63	$5.4K	29,943	18,544	+11,399	open	—	07-01 17:37
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	34	$5.4K	4,421	4,387	+34	open	—	06-07 02:16
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$3.1K	2,039	2,039	+0	open	—	02-13 11:20
bitcoin below microstrategy average buy price by march 31	1	$2.9K	2,955	0	+2,955	open	—	01-31 18:54
ukraine election called by march 31 2026	76	$2.9K	20,529	20,829	-300	open	—	02-11 18:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	17	$2.8K	3,082	3,082	+0	Yes	+$626	05-08 18:51
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	101	$2.8K	20,574	18,627	+1,947	open	—	05-26 16:50
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	7	$2.6K	1,374	1,374	+0	open	—	03-08 22:05
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	15	$2.0K	2,462	2,186	+276	open	—	03-06 16:16
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	12	$2.0K	2,442	2,442	+0	open	—	01-10 07:16
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	9	$1.9K	1,104	1,104	+0	open	—	01-15 13:19
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	3	$1.9K	1,821	1,820	+0	open	—	04-08 22:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	12	$1.8K	4,226	4,226	+0	Yes	+$10	02-21 21:47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	4	$1.7K	3,369	3,569	-200	open	—	04-17 13:10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	9	$1.6K	9,042	9,042	+0	open	—	05-01 20:11
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	7	$1.6K	24,550	24,550	+0	open	—	01-25 20:22
will clavicular be the top ranked chad by march 31	2	$1.6K	1,163	1,163	+0	open	—	03-13 05:54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	16	$1.5K	1,955	1,955	+0	open	—	05-25 17:07
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	51	$1.5K	11,394	11,394	+0	open	—	04-24 18:37
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	40	$1.4K	6,370	6,370	+0	open	—	06-24 06:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$1.4K	1,640	1,640	+0	open	—	05-23 21:40
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	21	$1.0K	5,351	5,351	+0	open	—	02-01 15:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 17:37:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	5,407	0¢	$5	0x91fd66…
07-01 16:55:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0xdbd43b…
07-01 12:40:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	98	0¢	$0	0x742ce6…
07-01 11:38:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	64	0¢	$0	0xad0dec…
07-01 09:24:25	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	SELL	79	98¢	$77	0x9b5001…
07-01 09:17:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	285	0¢	$0	0x0de441…
06-30 19:29:46	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x1acccd…
06-30 19:28:32	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	7¢	$19	0xcd585f…
06-30 19:26:47	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	777	5¢	$38	0xa829be…
06-30 19:26:32	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	915	4¢	$33	0x66a010…
06-30 19:25:23	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x3f3dd2…
06-30 19:23:29	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	160	2¢	$3	0xe9bf67…
06-30 19:22:19	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,360	1¢	$12	0xfebebe…
06-24 17:39:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	1,289	35¢	$451	0x2674dd…
06-24 16:58:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	1,289	17¢	$219	0x1887a6…
06-24 06:26:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	29	10¢	$3	0xb7fe6b…
06-24 05:52:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x17e5e2…
06-24 05:38:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xeee8ff…
06-24 05:32:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x47f09b…
06-24 05:32:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xab1c0c…
06-24 05:09:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0x2e2f7d…
06-24 04:48:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	44	10¢	$4	0x9a670f…
06-24 04:05:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	96	10¢	$10	0xe6d73a…
06-24 03:59:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	109	10¢	$11	0x93f49f…
06-24 03:58:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	41	10¢	$4	0x5ca4a6…
06-24 03:45:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0xfe9b6a…
06-24 03:33:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	250	10¢	$25	0xef09c0…
06-24 03:31:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	651	10¢	$65	0x4400df…
06-23 20:29:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	712	10¢	$71	0x709c3a…
06-23 20:19:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x1917de…
06-23 20:11:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$1	0xd3af68…
06-23 19:54:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xed5b79…
06-23 19:48:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xef2748…
06-23 19:47:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x6e62ad…
06-23 19:47:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	235	10¢	$23	0x0111af…
06-23 19:47:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	2,044	10¢	$204	0x1827d9…
06-23 17:44:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	1,704	9¢	$153	0x6deb75…
06-23 15:13:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	1,915	8¢	$153	0xb495f4…
06-23 14:50:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	125	9¢	$11	0xc01565…
06-23 14:48:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	465	9¢	$42	0x014b3b…
06-23 14:41:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	275	9¢	$25	0xb78f5f…
06-23 14:41:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x5df07c…
06-23 14:39:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xfd4947…
06-23 14:39:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x83d9c2…
06-23 14:33:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xb8d854…
06-23 14:25:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	36	9¢	$3	0x89b058…
06-23 14:25:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x59c804…
06-23 14:05:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x1028d5…
06-23 13:57:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	61	9¢	$5	0x5efa89…
06-23 13:57:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xae79ac…
06-23 13:08:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	3,123	10¢	$297	0x430e80…
06-23 03:34:40	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	SELL	170	36¢	$61	0xbb2f16…
06-23 03:33:22	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	156	36¢	$56	0x782dd9…
06-22 08:24:11	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x9b463c…
06-22 04:08:11	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x576efe…
06-21 11:03:56	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xfbc26b…
06-21 08:05:16	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xe66b8d…
06-20 03:06:35	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	5,754	4¢	$204	0x8b922c…
06-20 03:05:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	SELL	687	2¢	$12	0x01a6d2…
06-20 03:04:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	SELL	5,947	2¢	$143	0xac9c31…
06-19 21:59:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	5,947	4¢	$214	0xfeef90…
06-19 21:35:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	SELL	1,078	3¢	$32	0x92bfdb…
06-19 12:36:56	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	5,754	5¢	$287	0xfa3549…
06-19 11:26:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x3921a4…
06-19 11:18:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xe06512…
06-19 11:13:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x90c4e9…
06-19 11:06:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x572880…
06-19 11:03:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x246e2a…
06-19 10:53:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x481965…
06-19 10:48:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xb31cbc…
06-19 08:08:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	417	4¢	$17	0xf2a8d9…
06-19 07:58:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x6416c4…
06-19 07:55:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xc0ecb1…
06-19 07:45:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xb8266a…
06-19 07:29:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x07276b…
06-19 07:23:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xb2ff9e…
06-19 07:19:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x0fdcab…
06-19 07:15:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc40faf…
06-19 07:14:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x35c919…
06-19 07:14:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xea72e4…
06-19 07:14:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xd0ca40…
06-19 03:33:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xf9e0f0…
06-19 03:33:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xb7b59f…
06-19 03:33:20	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xd8c641…
06-19 03:33:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x8b699f…
06-18 21:43:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	SELL	844	30¢	$253	0xeb7f5a…
06-18 21:41:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	SELL	299	31¢	$94	0x9fa66e…
06-18 18:50:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	Yes	SELL	642	9¢	$60	0x4ff495…
06-18 17:22:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	Yes	BUY	147	1¢	$2	0xce923c…
06-18 17:04:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf370e9…
06-18 16:55:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xce8c97…
06-18 16:55:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc7b1c3…
06-18 16:55:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xade6f7…
06-18 16:55:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x976110…
06-18 16:55:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x1f0a76…
06-18 16:55:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1e091d…
06-18 16:55:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc2638e…
06-18 16:55:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xacf158…
06-18 16:55:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8eaec8…
06-18 16:55:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf841cf…